Melbourne · An urban forest story
Step out of a Melbourne park and onto the street. The trees continue, but the forest may not be quite the same.

The city records those trees together, as part of one urban forest. On paper, that seems reasonable. The inventory holds 82,064 tree records and 680 scientific-name categories. It sounds like a picture of abundance and variety.

Yet the two numbers conceal something important. They say nothing about which species are doing most of the work of filling that inventory, or how the mix changes between a park and the streets around it.

I wanted to understand that difference, because an urban forest is not only a count on a council website. It is the shade people seek, the trees outside homes and workplaces, and the green infrastructure a city must maintain through pests, disease and a changing climate. The question matters to people who use those spaces, as well as those deciding what to plant and protect.

Melbourne has recognised the importance of variety for years. In 2011, the City of Melbourne proposed a 2040 goal under which no species would exceed 5% of the urban forest, no genus 10%, and no family 20% (City of Melbourne, 2011). Those were long term, citywide concentration guidelines—not deadlines that had already passed.

I went back to the city’s September 2025 inventory (City of Melbourne, 2025). What I found was not one simple story about a green city, but a succession of contrasts. The first appears before we even leave the citywide totals.


The promise · What a tree count hides

Six hundred and eighty names. But who really dominates?

The three most prevalent botanical groups are compared with Melbourne’s historical 5–10–20 guidelines. Green circles are recorded shares; amber diamonds are the 2040 reference levels. Hover to see the counts behind each figure.

The citywide figures reveal a tension the overall count does not show. River red gum (Eucalyptus camaldulensis) accounts for 10.2% of these tree records more than double the 5% species benchmark. At broader levels, Eucalyptus represents 21.6% of the inventory, and Myrtaceae 36.0%.

These are not three independent groups. River red gum belongs to Eucalyptus, and Eucalyptus sits within Myrtaceae. That overlap is precisely why the family level result matters: diversity can look substantial at one level while the inventory remains heavily weighted towards related trees.

It would be wrong to call this a failure. The benchmarks are intended for 2040, and this inventory is only one snapshot of recorded public trees. But the figures do challenge a comfortable assumption: a long list of species is not the same thing as a balanced forest.

And that is before location enters the story. The citywide average gives no hint of what happens when the same inventory is separated into park trees and street trees.

Sources: City of Melbourne (2025), Trees, with species and dimensions (Urban Forest), September 2025 inventory; City of Melbourne (2011), Urban Forest Diversity Guidelines. Benchmarks are long term citywide guidelines, not tests of individual locations.

The divide · Parks and streets

Leave the park. Meet a different cast of trees.

Each pair of markers compares a common species’ share of park trees with its share of street trees. These are percentages within each environment, not percentages of the whole city. Hover to see the recorded counts.

River red gum dominates a much larger share of the park inventory: 15.8%, against just 2.1% of street trees. London plane (Platanus × acerifolia) turns the picture around. Its share is 13.6% on streets and only 1.0% in parks.

Those two species almost exchange roles. A name that looms large in one environment becomes relatively uncommon in the other. Count the trees together and that contrast fades into a single citywide average.

This matters for more than the appearance of a graph. A resident’s everyday experience of urban trees depends on where they spend time. For someone managing the forest, a species mix concentrated in streets can raise different questions from a mix concentrated in parks. The inventory describes those differences; it does not prove what caused them.

Still, it would be tempting to settle on a tidy explanation: parks are the botanically varied places, while streets are more uniform. The neighbourhood figures show why that assumption would be premature.

Source: City of Melbourne (2025). Percentages use separate inventories of 48,262 park tree records and 33,802 street tree records. They describe botanical representation, not tree-canopy cover or environmental quality.

The reversal · The precincts change the answer

The streets are more diverse in four precincts.

Each circle represents a precinct. The horizontal axis compares park tree diversity with street-tree diversity on the vertical axis. Dots above the dashed diagonal have more diverse streets. Bigger circles contain more tree records. Hover to explore all eleven precincts; the four street led precincts are labelled.
Reading the comparison: The effective number of species measures variety and balance, not simply how many different names appear. A score of 40 is the diversity equivalent of 40 equally common species (Jost, 2006). Precincts require at least 200 park tree and 200 street-tree records to be shown.

In the precinct labelled Melbourne, park trees have an effective diversity of approximately 101.0, compared with 21.7 for street trees. It is easy to look at that contrast and assume that parks generally contain a more balanced mix of trees.

Across the city, however, the result is not consistent. 4 of 11 precincts in the comparison actually have a higher street tree diversity score: West Melbourne, Parkville, Southbank, Docklands. This is not a Parkville-only exception. The direction of the park street difference genuinely changes by precinct.

Parkville makes the reversal particularly revealing. Its streets have an effective diversity of 38.9, against 24.0 in its parks. Looking back at the original records provides a clue: 25.7% of Parkville’s park trees are river red gums. That’s a substantial share for a single species, although it does not, by itself, establish why Parkville’s diversity index is lower.

The same citywide forest looks very different depending on which side of the kerb—and which precinct you count.

Different precinct sizes, park configurations and inventory coverage may also shape these comparisons. The next step is to see where the two prominent species from the park street chart appear in Melbourne’s geography.

Data: City of Melbourne (2025). Method: exponential Shannon effective diversity (Jost, 2006), calculated from recorded scientific names. Precinct comparisons require at least 200 inventoried park trees and 200 street trees; they are not equal area comparisons.

The map · The divide takes shape

The map reveals where the contrast gathers.

Choose River red gum or London plane in the map control. Only one species is shown at a time. Each circle groups tree records in an approximately 0.003 degree coordinate cell; click for its count. These are selected high-count cells, not every tree or canopy area.

Parkville now connects two of the charts. Its recorded park trees have a strong river red gum presence, and some of the highest count river red gum grid cells also appear around Parkville. London planes show a different spatial pattern, with selected high-count cells in and around central Melbourne.

These are related observations, not proof of a cause-and-effect relationship. The map doesn’t measure each precinct’s entire distribution, and the high-count cells do not prove that river red gums caused Parkville’s lower park diversity. They do show why a citywide species average can conceal highly local concentrations.

Only the ten highest count grid cells for each species are displayed, among cells containing at least 50 trees overall. Areas without markers may still contain the species. The symbol sizes show selected counts, not canopy cover or trees per hectare.

London planes are prominent in the existing street inventory. But are they equally prominent in the records assigned more recent planting years?

Source: City of Melbourne (2025). Ten highest count coordinate cells per species, using approximately 0.003 degree grids and a minimum of 50 total tree records per cell. Basemap: Esri World Topographic Map, with provider attribution on the map.

The last clue · Newer recorded cohorts

The familiar London plane is less common in newer records.

This line follows the London plane share among trees still present in the September 2025 street inventory, grouped by recorded planting year from 2006 to 2024. Use the buttons to zoom into the more recent decade. The dashed line is the share in the entire street inventory, not a target.

The contrast is hard to miss. London planes make up 17.9% of street trees assigned a planting year of 2008, against 3.3% of those assigned 2024. The line isn’t a smooth decline; there are bumps and reversals. But several newer recorded cohorts contain London planes at much lower shares than some earlier ones.

These are surviving tree records, not a planting ledger. Some trees planted in earlier years may since have been removed, and records may not capture their original planting dates consistently. The series starts in 2006 because there were no eligible street records in 2003, only one in 2004 and 92 in 2005. It ends in 2024 because the September 2025 snapshot cannot represent a complete 2025 planting year. The chart therefore cannot establish changes in planting policy.

What the chart can say is narrower, and still worth knowing: the London plane’s place in the existing street population is not mirrored equally across newer recorded cohorts. The forest we count today and the trees assigned more recent planting years are not necessarily composed in the same way.

Source: City of Melbourne (2025), September 2025 tree inventory. Surviving street tree records with assigned planting years 2006–2024 only. The full inventory comparison line is a reference, not a planting policy target.

What the numbers leave out

Conclusion

Melbourne’s inventory looks reassuring when reduced to one total. Its botanical makeup is much less uniform. One river red gum can count towards a species, a genus and a family already prominent in the inventory. Parks and streets have contrasting species mixes. And in four of the eleven precincts suitable for comparison, streets not parks show higher effective diversity.

Parkville makes the point concrete: river red gums represent more than a quarter of the recorded park trees there. The selected map cells show that some river red gum concentrations also fall nearby. Together, the charts make a case for looking below the citywide average, without pretending the map explains every ecological difference.

The practical takeaway is specific: as Melbourne works towards its long-term botanical diversity ambitions, species, genus and family shares should be tracked separately across parks, streets and precincts. Repeated inventories could show whether those concentrations change. A single snapshot cannot establish why they arose, whether individual trees are healthy or how resilient each neighbourhood will be to future threats.

The useful question is no longer only how many trees Melbourne has. It is which trees are common, where they are common, and whether that mix becomes more balanced over time.

Melbourne counts one urban forest. Its trees tell more than one story.

Data and Methodology

The investigation draws on the City of Melbourne’s public Trees, with species and dimensions (Urban Forest) dataset, using the CSV snapshot updated on 22 September 2025 (City of Melbourne, 2025). The source data are read from a local CSV file rather than entered manually. The dataset describes inventoried tree assets, not every tree in the wider metropolitan area.

Melbourne’s botanical concentration benchmarks come from its 2011 Urban Forest Diversity Guidelines (City of Melbourne, 2011). These were proposed for the urban forest as a whole with a 2040 horizon, not as requirements for each neighbourhood or a measure of current ecosystem health.

The dataset labels each record as either Park or Street in the located_in field, and provides the named administrative area in its precinct field. I used these existing source classifications rather than inventing park boundaries or matching neighbourhoods by map coordinates. Chart 2 compares the ten most frequently recorded scientific names citywide, selected before splitting them into park and street shares; its purpose is to show how the most common species differ between environments.

The precinct comparison uses the effective number of species, derived from the exponential Shannon diversity index (Jost, 2006). Only precincts with at least 200 park-tree and 200 street tree records are included; this leaves 11 comparable precincts. The threshold avoids very small samples but does not equalise geographic area, tree density, sampling conditions or precinct size.

The spatial map displays the ten highest-count approximately 0.003 degree coordinate cells for river red gum and London plane among cells with at least 50 inventoried trees. It shows selected species concentrations rather than the complete distribution, or density per unit area.

Planting year analysis treats pre 2003 dates as unverified historical values and omits 2003–2005 because the surviving street inventory contains too few records in those years for a meaningful annual comparison (zero, one and 92, respectively). It excludes 2025 because the inventory was updated in September, before the year finished. The analysis is based on records remaining in that snapshot, not all historical plantings.

The diameter_breast_height field is missing for about 54.7% of records, and useful_life_expectency is missing for about 21.2%. Because these fields are incomplete and a small number of diameter values appear anomalously large, I did not use them to infer the health or remaining life of trees. The original scientific name spelling is retained for matching, including the source’s x notation for hybrids; for readability, the narrative uses the botanical multiplication sign (×). No independent taxonomic reconciliation was performed.

References

City of Melbourne. (2011). Urban forest diversity guidelines: 2011 tree species selection strategy for the City of Melbourne. https://mvga-prod-files.s3.ap-southeast-4.amazonaws.com/public/2024-07/urban-forest-diversity-guidelines.pdf

City of Melbourne. (2025). Trees, with species and dimensions (Urban Forest) [Data set]. data.gov.au. https://data.gov.au/data/en/dataset/trees-with-species-and-dimensions-urban-forest

Jost, L. (2006). Entropy and diversity. Oikos, 113(2), 363–375. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2006.0030-1299.14714.x

OpenAI. (2026). ChatGPT [Large language model]. https://chatgpt.com/

Acknowledgements and GenAI use

Generative AI tools, including ChatGPT, were used to assist with identifying and correcting R code errors, checking syntax, improving grammar and sentence structure, and suggesting relevant references. All data analysis, visualisations, interpretations, and final content were independently developed, reviewed, and verified.