| Analysis_set | N |
|---|---|
| YCA enrolled | 51 |
| YCA paired 6MWD (primary analysis) | 48 |
| YCA paired 6MWD without rhythm/medication changes (sensitivity) | 39 |
| GMV paired 6MWD | 28 |
YouControl-AFib: Digital Health Intervention to Promote Physical Activity in Persons With Atrial Fibrillation
1 Study and analysis overview
YouControl-AFib (YCA) was a single-arm prospective digital health intervention designed to support physical activity among persons with atrial fibrillation. The primary analysis evaluates change in 6-minute walk distance (6MWD) from baseline to post-intervention assessment. Group Medical Visits (GMV) provides a nonrandomized contextual comparator cohort.
The primary continuous outcome is the change in 6MWD, calculated as
\[ \Delta \mathrm{6MWD} = \mathrm{6MWD}_{\mathrm{post}} - \mathrm{6MWD}_{\mathrm{baseline}}, \]
in meters. A clinically meaningful improvement is defined as \(\Delta \mathrm{6MWD} \geq 30\) meters.
2 Analysis populations
3 Statistical analysis
Baseline characteristics will be summarized with counts and percentages for categorical variables and mean (SD) or median (IQR) for continuous variables. The primary within-YCA analysis will estimate the mean paired change in 6MWD, with a 95% confidence interval and paired t-test. The proportion with a clinically meaningful improvement of at least 30 m will be reported with an exact 95% confidence interval.
The analysis excluding participants with a rhythm or relevant medication change will be presented as a sensitivity analysis. YCA-versus-GMV comparisons are observational and will be presented as contextual (rather than causal) comparisons. Predictor, adherence, residence subgroup, and composite-score analyses will be described as exploratory.
4 Results
4.1 Cohort characteristics
The YCA cohort included 51 enrolled participants, of whom 48 completed both 6MWD assessments. The following tables describe all enrolled participants. Because the urban/non-urban and YCA/GMV comparisons are exploratory and sample sizes are modest, the tables are descriptive; no baseline hypothesis tests are presented.
Table 2 compares baseline characteristics and 6MWD change between urban and non-urban YCA participants. Table 3 compares the YCA and GMV cohorts.
| Characteristic | Non-urban N = 281 |
Urban N = 231 |
Overall N = 511 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age, years | 64 (7) | 62 (12) | 63 (10) |
| Gender | |||
| Female | 15 (54%) | 11 (48%) | 26 (51%) |
| Male | 13 (46%) | 12 (52%) | 25 (49%) |
| Body mass index, kg/m² | 39.8 (5.0) | 39.9 (6.2) | 39.9 (5.5) |
| Hypertension | 23 (82%) | 19 (83%) | 42 (82%) |
| Diabetes mellitus | 8 (29%) | 10 (43%) | 18 (35%) |
| Heart failure history | 10 (36%) | 8 (35%) | 18 (35%) |
| Prior ablations | 0.75 (0.70) | 0.70 (0.82) | 0.73 (0.75) |
| Prior cardioversions | 0.82 (1.19) | 1.13 (1.69) | 0.96 (1.43) |
| Rate-control agent at baseline | 21 (75%) | 17 (74%) | 38 (75%) |
| Rhythm-control agent at baseline | 11 (39%) | 8 (35%) | 19 (37%) |
| Rhythm at baseline | |||
| A-paced | 0 (0%) | 1 (4.3%) | 1 (2.0%) |
| AFib | 2 (7.1%) | 1 (4.3%) | 3 (5.9%) |
| Sinus | 26 (93%) | 21 (91%) | 47 (92%) |
| Any rhythm or medication change | 3 (11%) | 7 (30%) | 10 (20%) |
| Left atrial enlargement | |||
| Normal | 8 (30%) | 13 (57%) | 21 (42%) |
| Dilated | 19 (70%) | 10 (43%) | 29 (58%) |
| Mitral regurgitation | |||
| None/trace/trivial | 17 (65%) | 16 (73%) | 33 (69%) |
| Mild or greater | 9 (35%) | 6 (27%) | 15 (31%) |
| LE8 BMI score | 12 (21) | 14 (22) | 13 (21) |
| LE8 blood-pressure score | 44 (31) | 50 (27) | 47 (29) |
| LE8 physical-activity score | 49 (35) | 53 (36) | 51 (35) |
| LE8 blood-glucose score | 58 (33) | 50 (28) | 55 (31) |
| LE8 cholesterol score | 49 (33) | 49 (32) | 49 (33) |
| LE8 nicotine score | 90 (13) | 87 (21) | 89 (17) |
| Change in 6-minute walk distance, m | 39 (45) | 17 (67) | 29 (56) |
| 1 Mean (SD); n (%) | |||
| LE8 PA was available for 50 of 51 participants; 6MWD change was available for 48 of 51. | |||
| Characteristic | Group Medical Visits N = 281 |
YouControl-AFib N = 511 |
Overall N = 791 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age, years | 67 (10) | 63 (10) | 64 (10) |
| Gender | |||
| Female | 15 (54%) | 26 (51%) | 41 (52%) |
| Male | 13 (46%) | 25 (49%) | 38 (48%) |
| Body mass index, kg/m² | 35 (7) | 40 (6) | 38 (6) |
| Hypertension | 22 (79%) | 42 (82%) | 64 (81%) |
| Diabetes mellitus | 4 (14%) | 18 (35%) | 22 (28%) |
| Heart failure history | 11 (39%) | 18 (35%) | 29 (37%) |
| Prior ablations | 0.64 (0.78) | 0.73 (0.75) | 0.70 (0.76) |
| Prior cardioversions | 1.54 (1.71) | 0.96 (1.43) | 1.16 (1.55) |
| Rate-control agent at baseline | 27 (96%) | 38 (75%) | 65 (82%) |
| Rhythm-control agent at baseline | 10 (36%) | 19 (37%) | 29 (37%) |
| Rhythm at baseline | |||
| A-paced | 2 (7.1%) | 1 (2.0%) | 3 (3.8%) |
| AFib | 3 (11%) | 3 (5.9%) | 6 (7.6%) |
| Sinus | 23 (82%) | 47 (92%) | 70 (89%) |
| Any rhythm or medication change | 5 (18%) | 10 (20%) | 15 (19%) |
| Left atrial enlargement | |||
| Normal | 11 (41%) | 21 (42%) | 32 (42%) |
| Dilated | 16 (59%) | 29 (58%) | 45 (58%) |
| Mitral regurgitation | |||
| None/trace/trivial | 19 (73%) | 33 (69%) | 52 (70%) |
| Mild or greater | 7 (27%) | 15 (31%) | 22 (30%) |
| LE8 BMI score | 31 (31) | 13 (21) | 19 (26) |
| LE8 blood-pressure score | 59 (30) | 47 (29) | 51 (30) |
| LE8 physical-activity score | — | 51 (35) | 51 (35) |
| LE8 blood-glucose score | 79 (26) | 55 (31) | 63 (31) |
| LE8 cholesterol score | 74 (19) | 49 (33) | 57 (31) |
| LE8 nicotine score | 89 (13) | 89 (17) | 89 (16) |
| Change in 6-minute walk distance, m | 19 (49) | 29 (56) | 25 (54) |
| 1 Mean (SD); n (%) | |||
| LE8 PA was available for 50 of 51 YCA participants and was not collected in GMV. Change in 6MWD was available for 48 YCA and 28 GMV participants. | |||
4.2 Primary 6MWD analysis
The primary analysis included the 48 YCA participants with both baseline and post-intervention 6MWD assessments. The mean paired change in 6MWD was 29.2 m (95% CI: 12.8 to 45.5 m; paired t-test <0.001). A clinically meaningful improvement of at least 30 m was observed in 24 of 48 participants (50%).
The sensitivity analysis excluding participants with a rhythm or relevant medication change included 39 participants. Results are shown alongside the primary analysis in Table 4.
Table 5 summarizes the distribution of 6MWD changes in the primary paired-analysis population.
| Analysis set | N | Baseline 6MWD, mean (SD) | Post-intervention 6MWD, mean (SD) | Mean change, m (95% CI) | Paired t-test p-value | Improvement ≥30 m, n (%) | Responder proportion, 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primary analysis | 48 | 423.7 (99.1) | 452.9 (100.7) | 29.2 (12.8, 45.5) | <0.001 | 24 (50%) | (35%, 65%) |
| Sensitivity analysis: no rhythm or medication change | 39 | 421.2 (94.5) | 450.0 (95.0) | 28.8 (11.2, 46.5) | 0.002 | 20 (51%) | (35%, 68%) |
Figure 1 displays individual and overall changes in 6-minute walk distance among YCA participants with paired assessments.
| Change in 6-minute walk distance | n (%) |
|---|---|
| Decreased or no improvement (≤0 m) | 14 (29%) |
| Modest improvement (>0 to <30 m) | 10 (21%) |
| Clinically meaningful improvement (≥30 m) | 24 (50%) |
4.3 Patient-reported outcomes
Changes in patient-reported outcomes are summarized in Table 6. These analyses are exploratory; p-values are unadjusted for multiple comparisons.
For PHQ-9 and AFSS, negative changes indicate improvement. For AFKAT, AFEQT, and SF-12 scores, positive changes indicate improvement.
| Outcome | N | Baseline, mean (SD) | Post-intervention, mean (SD) | Mean change, post minus baseline (95% CI) | Paired t-test p-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHQ-9 score | 46 | 4.8 (3.3) | 3.9 (3.5) | -0.9 (-1.7, -0.1) | 0.022 |
| AFSS score | 46 | 6.9 (5.7) | 6.1 (5.5) | -0.9 (-2.2, 0.5) | 0.208 |
| AF knowledge assessment score (%) | 49 | 91.3 (5.8) | 92.2 (5.5) | 0.9 (-0.7, 2.4) | 0.267 |
| AFEQT score | 46 | 78.6 (15.6) | 83.7 (14.6) | 5.1 (1.1, 9.1) | 0.013 |
| SF-12 physical component score | 44 | 40.4 (4.1) | 41.8 (5.3) | 1.5 (0.2, 2.8) | 0.025 |
| SF-12 mental component score | 44 | 48.1 (5.6) | 48.0 (5.1) | -0.1 (-2.1, 1.8) | 0.887 |
| AFKAT scores are displayed as percentages. P-values are exploratory and unadjusted for multiple comparisons. | |||||
Figure 2 displays the distributions of the patient-reported outcomes at baseline and post-intervention. Lines connect paired observations from the same participant.
4.4 Differences by residence
Changes by residence and non-urban minus urban differences are shown in Table 7. Adjusted comparisons control for the baseline value of each outcome.
| Outcome | Non-urban change (95% CI), N | Urban change (95% CI), N | Difference (95% CI) | p-value | Adjusted difference (95% CI) | Adjusted p-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6MWD (m) | 38.8 (20.9, 56.7); N=27 | 16.8 (-13.8, 47.4); N=21 | 22.0 (-12.7, 56.7) | 0.206 | 24.1 (-7.8, 56.0) | 0.135 |
| AFEQT | 1.1 (-3.8, 6.0); N=25 | 9.8 (3.5, 16.2); N=21 | -8.7 (-16.5, -0.9) | 0.030 | -4.8 (-12.1, 2.6) | 0.196 |
| SF-12 physical | 2.0 (0.2, 3.7); N=25 | 0.8 (-1.3, 2.9); N=19 | 1.1 (-1.5, 3.8) | 0.386 | 1.4 (-1.2, 4.0) | 0.272 |
The non-urban–urban difference in 6MWD change was 22.0 (-12.7, 56.7) m (p = 0.206). The baseline-adjusted difference was 24.1 (-7.8, 56.0) m. The unadjusted AFEQT improvement was greater in urban participants, but the difference weakened after baseline adjustment. SF-12 physical score changes showed no clear difference by residence.
4.5 Contextual comparison with GMV
The GMV cohort is a nonrandomized contextual comparator. Accordingly, the following comparisons describe differences between the two cohorts and should not be interpreted as estimates of a causal intervention effect.
Table 8 summarizes 6MWD outcomes by cohort. Figure 3 displays paired baseline and post-intervention measurements in each cohort. The adjusted model controls for baseline 6MWD only.
| Cohort | N | Baseline 6MWD, mean (SD) | Post-intervention 6MWD, mean (SD) | Change in 6MWD, mean (SD) | Improvement ≥30 m, n (%) | Responder proportion, 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group Medical Visits | 28 | 382.9 (102.1) | 402.0 (119.2) | 19.1 (48.7) | 12 (43%) | (24%, 63%) |
| YouControl-AFib | 48 | 423.7 (99.1) | 452.9 (100.7) | 29.2 (56.3) | 24 (50%) | (35%, 65%) |
| GMV is a nonrandomized contextual comparator. | ||||||
In an unadjusted comparison, the mean difference in change in 6MWD between YCA and GMV was 10.1 m (95% CI: -14.4 to 34.6 m; 0.414).
After adjustment for baseline 6MWD, the estimated difference in post-intervention 6MWD for YCA versus GMV was 12.7 m (95% CI: -13.2 to 38.6 m; 0.331). These comparisons are contextual and not causal.
4.6 Exploratory predictors and composite score
The following analysis evaluates an exploratory composite score based on rural residence, LE8 blood-pressure score above the cohort median, and LE8 physical activity score above the cohort median. Because the components and cut points were selected using the present dataset, this analysis is hypothesis-generating and does not constitute validation of a prediction model.
One missing PA score is classified as not above the median in the composite score.
The blood-pressure and physical-activity score medians were 50 and 40, respectively. Table 9 summarizes 6MWD change and clinically meaningful response by composite score.
| Composite score | N | Change in 6MWD, mean (SD) | Improvement ≥30 m, n (%) | Responder proportion, 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | -9.6 (28.5) | 0 (0%) | (0%, 46%) |
| 1 | 16 | 19.9 (53.6) | 6 (38%) | (15%, 65%) |
| 2 | 21 | 42.1 (61.3) | 14 (67%) | (43%, 85%) |
| 3 | 5 | 50.8 (51.4) | 4 (80%) | (28%, 99%) |
| Composite score = rural residence + LE8 blood-pressure score above the paired-YCA median + LE8 physical-activity score above the paired-YCA median. | ||||
Figure 4 displays the relationship of the composite score with continuous 6MWD change and the proportion of participants achieving a clinically meaningful improvement.
4.7 Fitbit adherence and longitudinal activity
Weekly Fitbit step-count and activity-minute data were used to characterize intervention-period activity and post-intervention Fitbit continuation. Continued Fitbit use was defined as any weekly step count greater than zero after the participant’s intervention end date.
Table 10 summarizes post-intervention Fitbit continuation overall and its exploratory association with clinically meaningful improvement in 6MWD.
| Group | N | Post-trial Fitbit continuation, n (%) | Improvement ≥30 m, n (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| All enrolled YCA participants | 51 | 47 (92%) | — |
| Continued Fitbit use | 45 | — | 23 (51%) |
| No recorded post-trial Fitbit use | 3 | — | 1 (33%) |
| Fisher’s exact test p >0.999. Only three paired participants had no recorded post-trial use; interpret this comparison cautiously. | |||
Activity is summarized at Weeks 1, 6, and 12. Week 1 represents early intervention activity, not a pre-intervention assessment.
| Measure | Study week | 6MWD response group | N | Mean (SD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly activity minutes | 1 | No clinically meaningful improvement (<30 m) | 24 | 258 (315) |
| Weekly activity minutes | 1 | Clinically meaningful improvement (≥30 m) | 24 | 185 (202) |
| Weekly activity minutes | 6 | No clinically meaningful improvement (<30 m) | 24 | 315 (348) |
| Weekly activity minutes | 6 | Clinically meaningful improvement (≥30 m) | 24 | 220 (223) |
| Weekly activity minutes | 12 | No clinically meaningful improvement (<30 m) | 24 | 273 (372) |
| Weekly activity minutes | 12 | Clinically meaningful improvement (≥30 m) | 24 | 168 (130) |
| Weekly step count | 1 | No clinically meaningful improvement (<30 m) | 24 | 42 394 (21 401) |
| Weekly step count | 1 | Clinically meaningful improvement (≥30 m) | 24 | 35 478 (20 330) |
| Weekly step count | 6 | No clinically meaningful improvement (<30 m) | 24 | 44 016 (23 690) |
| Weekly step count | 6 | Clinically meaningful improvement (≥30 m) | 24 | 41 605 (17 536) |
| Weekly step count | 12 | No clinically meaningful improvement (<30 m) | 24 | 41 565 (31 393) |
| Weekly step count | 12 | Clinically meaningful improvement (≥30 m) | 24 | 42 659 (20 370) |
Figure 5 displays the distributions of weekly step counts and activity minutes at Weeks 1, 6, and 12 by 6MWD response group.
4.8 LE8 scores and early activity
LE8 BP and PA scores were examined separately. Continuous scores are reported per 10-point increase; the requested cutoff compares scores >30 with scores ≤30. Associations with 6MWD change adjust for baseline 6MWD. Activity-minute change is Week 12 minus Week 1, adjusted for Week 1 activity. All additional analyses are exploratory; p-values are unadjusted for multiple comparisons.
| Scale | Outcome | N | Measure | Estimate (95% CI) | p-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LE8 BP | |||||
| Per 10 points | 6MWD change (m) | 48 | Mean difference | 4.6 (-0.7, 9.9) | 0.087 |
| >30 vs ≤30 | 6MWD change (m) | 48 | Mean difference | 21.6 (-10.3, 53.5) | 0.179 |
| Per 10 points | 6MWD response ≥30 m | 48 | Odds ratio | 1.231 (1.001, 1.514) | 0.048 |
| >30 vs ≤30 | 6MWD response ≥30 m | 48 | Odds ratio | 2.318 (0.725, 7.413) | 0.157 |
| Per 10 points | Week 1 steps | 51 | Mean difference | -267.8 (-2304.8, 1769.1) | 0.793 |
| >30 vs ≤30 | Week 1 steps | 51 | Mean difference | -2760.9 (-14473.4, 8951.6) | 0.638 |
| Per 10 points | Activity-minute change | 51 | Mean difference | 4.9 (-12.4, 22.2) | 0.569 |
| >30 vs ≤30 | Activity-minute change | 51 | Mean difference | 7.0 (-93.0, 107.1) | 0.888 |
| LE8 PA | |||||
| Per 10 points | 6MWD change (m) | 47 | Mean difference | 3.4 (-1.4, 8.1) | 0.158 |
| >30 vs ≤30 | 6MWD change (m) | 47 | Mean difference | 14.9 (-19.9, 49.7) | 0.393 |
| Per 10 points | 6MWD response ≥30 m | 47 | Odds ratio | 1.194 (0.998, 1.428) | 0.053 |
| >30 vs ≤30 | 6MWD response ≥30 m | 47 | Odds ratio | 2.082 (0.599, 7.232) | 0.249 |
| Per 10 points | Week 1 steps | 50 | Mean difference | 821.5 (-829.4, 2472.3) | 0.322 |
| >30 vs ≤30 | Week 1 steps | 50 | Mean difference | 4264.6 (-7676.9, 16206.2) | 0.476 |
| Per 10 points | Activity-minute change | 50 | Mean difference | -0.4 (-15.4, 14.5) | 0.955 |
| >30 vs ≤30 | Activity-minute change | 50 | Mean difference | 96.8 (-6.9, 200.5) | 0.067 |
| Models include one LE8 score at a time. 6MWD outcomes adjust for baseline 6MWD; activity-minute change adjusts for Week 1 activity. Week 1 step associations are unadjusted. Missing PA scores are excluded. | |||||
LE8 BP showed a borderline association with the ≥30 m response (OR 1.231 (1.001, 1.514) per 10 points; p = 0.048). The corresponding PA association was borderline (p = 0.053). Neither score showed clear associations with continuous 6MWD change, Week 1 steps, or activity-minute change. The >30 cutoffs did not strengthen the response associations.
Week 1 activity and baseline measurements are compared using Spearman correlations (Table 13).
| Pair | N | Spearman correlation (95% CI) | p-value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 steps / baseline 6MWD | 51 | 0.54 (0.30, 0.73) | <0.001 |
| Week 1 activity / baseline 6MWD | 51 | 0.40 (0.07, 0.65) | 0.004 |
| LE8 PA / Week 1 steps | 50 | 0.16 (-0.11, 0.42) | 0.255 |
| LE8 PA / Week 1 activity | 50 | 0.14 (-0.14, 0.40) | 0.349 |
| LE8 PA / baseline 6MWD | 50 | 0.03 (-0.26, 0.32) | 0.839 |
| 95% CIs use 2,000 participant-level bootstrap samples. Activity refers to weekly activity minutes. | |||
| Measure | N | Median (IQR) | Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly activity minutes | 51 | 136 (40, 272) | 0–1413 |
| Weekly steps | 51 | 40671 (21022, 55865) | 0–74971 |
Week 1 steps and activity minutes correlated with baseline 6MWD (Spearman r = 0.54 and 0.40, respectively). LE8 PA correlations with Fitbit activity and baseline 6MWD were weak (r = 0.03–0.16).
These are weekly totals. Variation between participants does not by itself identify measurement error or inconsistency with self-reported activity.
4.9 Activity trends and walking response
Each participant’s trend was estimated by regressing weekly activity on study week across Weeks 1–12. Associations with walking outcomes adjust for baseline 6MWD and the corresponding Week 1 activity measure (Table 15).
| Trend | Outcome | N | Estimate (95% CI) | p-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steps | ||||
| Per 1,000 steps/week increase | 6MWD change (m) | 48 | 11.62 (0.13, 23.11) | 0.048 |
| Per 1,000 steps/week increase | 6MWD response ≥30 m (OR) | 48 | 1.18 (0.76, 1.82) | 0.454 |
| Positive vs nonpositive | 6MWD change (m) | 48 | 38.42 (4.78, 72.07) | 0.026 |
| Positive vs nonpositive | 6MWD response ≥30 m (OR) | 48 | 1.90 (0.53, 6.75) | 0.323 |
| Activity minutes | ||||
| Per 10 min/week increase | 6MWD change (m) | 48 | 0.96 (-11.12, 13.04) | 0.873 |
| Per 10 min/week increase | 6MWD response ≥30 m (OR) | 48 | 0.78 (0.47, 1.27) | 0.315 |
| Positive vs nonpositive | 6MWD change (m) | 48 | 1.98 (-30.58, 34.55) | 0.903 |
| Positive vs nonpositive | 6MWD response ≥30 m (OR) | 48 | 0.79 (0.25, 2.54) | 0.692 |
| A positive trend means a fitted slope >0. OR, odds ratio. Trends use weekly totals, not daily averages. | ||||
| Activity | Trend | N | Improvement ≥30 m, n (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Activity minutes | Nonpositive | 23 | 12 (52%) |
| Activity minutes | Positive | 25 | 12 (48%) |
| Steps | Nonpositive | 18 | 7 (39%) |
| Steps | Positive | 30 | 17 (57%) |
Increasing step counts were associated with greater continuous 6MWD improvement. Participants with a positive step trend had an adjusted difference of 38.4 (4.8, 72.1) m (p = 0.026). The continuous step-trend association was weaker using outlier-resistant slopes (p = 0.073). Step trends were not clearly associated with the ≥30 m responder outcome; activity-minute trends showed no clear association with either outcome.
These associations describe changes over the same intervention period and do not establish that activity trends predict future walking improvement.