Golden Ticket Sims

Las Vegas Cup · Practice

South Point 400 · Sunday 04 October · NCS Final Practice

The session in numbers

37
cars ran
in NCS Final Practice
35
median laps
Half the field ran more than this. Under 10 laps is too few to read a long run.
+0.42s
track change
How much slower the track got per lap from the start of the session to the end, on equal tyres. The board takes this out.
+0.63s
tyre wear, 20 laps
How much slower a typical car was per lap on 20-lap-old tyres than on fresh ones. The board takes this out too.

The board

Every clean green lap from NCS Final Practice, with tyre wear and the track changing through the session taken out, so cars that ran at different times on different tyres compare fairly. Pit laps, caution laps and the lap into the pits are left out. Click a column to sort.

Long runDriverTeamGapLapsOne lapSalaryvs price
1Tyler Reddick23XI Racingfastest ±0.12247$10,500+3
2Kyle LarsonHendrick Motorsports+0.036 ±0.11332$11,500-1
3Christopher BellJoe Gibbs Racing+0.046 ±0.104110$10,7000
4Denny HamlinJoe Gibbs Racing+0.069 ±0.09483$11,000-2
5William ByronHendrick Motorsports+0.091 ±0.10371$9,200+3
6Ross ChastainTrackhouse Racing+0.152 ±0.11359$7,100+10
7Chase BriscoeJoe Gibbs Racing+0.159 ±0.09514$9,900-1
8Bubba Wallace23XI Racing+0.162 ±0.103916$8,200+4
9Ty GibbsJoe Gibbs Racing+0.171 ±0.113611$8,9000
10Chase ElliottHendrick Motorsports+0.173 ±0.104013$8,500+1
11Carson HocevarSpire Motorsports+0.174 ±0.10418$8,700-1
12Daniel SuarezSpire Motorsports+0.186 ±0.10395$6,600+8
13Austin CindricTeam Penske+0.193 ±0.113028$7,9000
14Brad KeselowskiRFK Racing+0.199 ±0.103431$7,000+3
15Chris BuescherRFK Racing+0.214 ±0.113012$7,600-1
16Alex BowmanHendrick Motorsports+0.239 ±0.103421$7,300-1
17Ryan BlaneyTeam Penske+0.240 ±0.103914$10,200-12
18Michael McDowellSpire Motorsports+0.247 ±0.103727$6,100+6
19Shane Van GisbergenTrackhouse Racing+0.253 ±0.104118$6,500+2
20Joey LoganoTeam Penske+0.298 ±0.113223$9,500-13
21AJ AllmendingerKaulig Racing+0.323 ±0.10376$5,700+7
22Ricky Stenhouse Jr.HYAK Motorsports+0.328 ±0.103515$5,200+11
23Zane SmithFront Row Motorsports+0.331 ±0.103225$6,2000
24Ryan PreeceRFK Racing+0.334 ±0.104532$6,700-5
25Noah GragsonFront Row Motorsports+0.337 ±0.123026$5,400+6
26Erik JonesLegacy Motor Club+0.352 ±0.113322$6,300-4
27Connor ZilischTrackhouse Racing+0.357 ±0.104219$5,8000
28Austin DillonRichard Childress Racing+0.390 ±0.103817$5,900-2
29Josh BerryWood Brothers Racing+0.418 ±0.132236$6,900-11
30Cole CusterHaas Factory Team+0.433 ±0.113529$4,800+5
31Austin HillRichard Childress Racing+0.466 ±0.094735$5,600-2
32Todd GillilandFront Row Motorsports+0.495 ±0.122930$5,3000
33Riley Herbst23XI Racing+0.515 ±0.113524$6,000-8
34Cody WareRick Ware Racing+0.535 ±0.113120$4,500+2
35John Hunter Nemechek+0.590 ±0.1131–––
36Ty DillonKaulig Racing+0.647 ±0.113233$5,000-2
–John H. NemechekLegacy Motor Club–3934$5,500–
Long run
Rank on long-run pace, fastest first. A dash means too few clean laps to score.
Gap
Seconds per lap slower than the fastest car. The ± is the range his pace could really sit in given how many laps he ran; two cars whose ranges overlap were not clearly different.
Laps
Laps run in the session.
One lap
Rank of his single fastest lap.
vs price
Places above (+) or below (−) his DraftKings salary rank that he ran in practice.

What stood out

Quicker than his price

Ran better than his salary says he should. The vs-price number is how many places above his salary rank he ran.

DriverLapsLong runOne lapSalaryvs price
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.3522nd15th$5,200+11
Ross Chastain356th9th$7,100+10
Daniel Suarez3912th5th$6,600+8
AJ Allmendinger3721st6th$5,700+7
Michael McDowell3718th27th$6,100+6

Slower than his price

Priced up, but practice did not back it up.

DriverLapsLong runOne lapSalaryvs price
Joey Logano3220th23rd$9,500-13
Ryan Blaney3917th14th$10,200-12
Josh Berry2229th36th$6,900-11
Riley Herbst3533rd24th$6,000-8

One-lap car, not a long-run car

Quick over a single lap and well down over a long run. That is qualifying trim, and it does not carry into the race.

DriverLapsLong runOne lapSalaryvs price
AJ Allmendinger3721st6th$5,700+7
Cody Ware3134th20th$4,500+2

Long-run car the one-lap board missed

The opposite: unremarkable on one lap, strong over a long run.

DriverLapsLong runOne lapSalaryvs price
Austin Cindric3013th28th$7,900+0
Brad Keselowski3414th31st$7,000+3

Charts

Long-run pace against salary. Higher is faster. A car high on the chart and far left ran well above its price. Hover a dot for the driver. Not shown: Herbst, Ware, Dillon, more than 0.5 seconds a lap off.
Quicker than his priceSlower than his priceEveryone else
+0.0+0.1+0.2+0.3+0.4+0.5$4k$6k$8k$10k$12kDK salaryseconds per lap off the fastestTyler Reddick: $10,500, +0.000s/lap, 24 lapsKyle Larson: $11,500, +0.036s/lap, 33 lapsChristopher Bell: $10,700, +0.046s/lap, 41 lapsDenny Hamlin: $11,000, +0.069s/lap, 48 lapsWilliam Byron: $9,200, +0.091s/lap, 37 lapsRoss Chastain: $7,100, +0.152s/lap, 35 lapsChase Briscoe: $9,900, +0.159s/lap, 51 lapsBubba Wallace: $8,200, +0.162s/lap, 39 lapsTy Gibbs: $8,900, +0.171s/lap, 36 lapsChase Elliott: $8,500, +0.173s/lap, 40 lapsCarson Hocevar: $8,700, +0.174s/lap, 41 lapsDaniel Suarez: $6,600, +0.186s/lap, 39 lapsAustin Cindric: $7,900, +0.193s/lap, 30 lapsBrad Keselowski: $7,000, +0.199s/lap, 34 lapsChris Buescher: $7,600, +0.214s/lap, 30 lapsAlex Bowman: $7,300, +0.239s/lap, 34 lapsRyan Blaney: $10,200, +0.240s/lap, 39 lapsMichael McDowell: $6,100, +0.247s/lap, 37 lapsShane Van Gisbergen: $6,500, +0.253s/lap, 41 lapsJoey Logano: $9,500, +0.298s/lap, 32 lapsAJ Allmendinger: $5,700, +0.323s/lap, 37 lapsRicky Stenhouse Jr.: $5,200, +0.328s/lap, 35 lapsZane Smith: $6,200, +0.331s/lap, 32 lapsRyan Preece: $6,700, +0.334s/lap, 45 lapsNoah Gragson: $5,400, +0.337s/lap, 30 lapsErik Jones: $6,300, +0.352s/lap, 33 lapsConnor Zilisch: $5,800, +0.357s/lap, 42 lapsAustin Dillon: $5,900, +0.390s/lap, 38 lapsJosh Berry: $6,900, +0.418s/lap, 22 lapsCole Custer: $4,800, +0.433s/lap, 35 lapsAustin Hill: $5,600, +0.466s/lap, 47 lapsTodd Gilliland: $5,300, +0.495s/lap, 29 lapsReddickLarsonBellChastainSuarezBlaneyLoganoStenhouseBerry
How the fastest cars held their pace. Lap time against tyre age for the top 8 on the board, on each car's longest run, smoothed over five laps, with the track changing through the session taken out. Faster is higher. A flat line kept its speed as the tyres wore; a line dropping to the right fell off.
Tyler ReddickKyle LarsonChristopher Bell4th to 8th
30.130.230.330.430.530.630.730.830.931.031.131.231.301020tyre age (laps)lap time (seconds)Tyler Reddick, run of 19 lapsDenny Hamlin, run of 20 lapsRoss Chastain, run of 18 lapsChase Briscoe, run of 16 lapsChristopher Bell, run of 15 lapsBubba Wallace, run of 16 lapsReddickBell
Team pace. The average long-run gap across each team's cars, for teams with two or more in the session. Shorter is faster. The number in brackets is how many cars the team ran.
Joe Gibbs Racing (4)Joe Gibbs Racing: 4 cars, average +0.111s/lap, best 3rd+0.111Hendrick Motorsports (4)Hendrick Motorsports: 4 cars, average +0.135s/lap, best 2nd+0.135Spire Motorsports (3)Spire Motorsports: 3 cars, average +0.202s/lap, best 11th+0.20223XI Racing (3)23XI Racing: 3 cars, average +0.226s/lap, best 1st+0.226Team Penske (3)Team Penske: 3 cars, average +0.244s/lap, best 13th+0.244RFK Racing (3)RFK Racing: 3 cars, average +0.249s/lap, best 14th+0.249Trackhouse Racing (3)Trackhouse Racing: 3 cars, average +0.254s/lap, best 6th+0.254Front Row Motorsports (3)Front Row Motorsports: 3 cars, average +0.388s/lap, best 23rd+0.388Richard Childress Racing (2)Richard Childress Racing: 2 cars, average +0.428s/lap, best 28th+0.428Kaulig Racing (2)Kaulig Racing: 2 cars, average +0.485s/lap, best 21st+0.485average seconds per lap off the fastest car