#help(mtcars)
summary(mtcars)
##       mpg             cyl             disp             hp       
##  Min.   :10.40   Min.   :4.000   Min.   : 71.1   Min.   : 52.0  
##  1st Qu.:15.43   1st Qu.:4.000   1st Qu.:120.8   1st Qu.: 96.5  
##  Median :19.20   Median :6.000   Median :196.3   Median :123.0  
##  Mean   :20.09   Mean   :6.188   Mean   :230.7   Mean   :146.7  
##  3rd Qu.:22.80   3rd Qu.:8.000   3rd Qu.:326.0   3rd Qu.:180.0  
##  Max.   :33.90   Max.   :8.000   Max.   :472.0   Max.   :335.0  
##       drat             wt             qsec             vs        
##  Min.   :2.760   Min.   :1.513   Min.   :14.50   Min.   :0.0000  
##  1st Qu.:3.080   1st Qu.:2.581   1st Qu.:16.89   1st Qu.:0.0000  
##  Median :3.695   Median :3.325   Median :17.71   Median :0.0000  
##  Mean   :3.597   Mean   :3.217   Mean   :17.85   Mean   :0.4375  
##  3rd Qu.:3.920   3rd Qu.:3.610   3rd Qu.:18.90   3rd Qu.:1.0000  
##  Max.   :4.930   Max.   :5.424   Max.   :22.90   Max.   :1.0000  
##        am              gear            carb      
##  Min.   :0.0000   Min.   :3.000   Min.   :1.000  
##  1st Qu.:0.0000   1st Qu.:3.000   1st Qu.:2.000  
##  Median :0.0000   Median :4.000   Median :2.000  
##  Mean   :0.4062   Mean   :3.688   Mean   :2.812  
##  3rd Qu.:1.0000   3rd Qu.:4.000   3rd Qu.:4.000  
##  Max.   :1.0000   Max.   :5.000   Max.   :8.000
head(mtcars)
##                    mpg cyl disp  hp drat    wt  qsec vs am gear carb
## Mazda RX4         21.0   6  160 110 3.90 2.620 16.46  0  1    4    4
## Mazda RX4 Wag     21.0   6  160 110 3.90 2.875 17.02  0  1    4    4
## Datsun 710        22.8   4  108  93 3.85 2.320 18.61  1  1    4    1
## Hornet 4 Drive    21.4   6  258 110 3.08 3.215 19.44  1  0    3    1
## Hornet Sportabout 18.7   8  360 175 3.15 3.440 17.02  0  0    3    2
## Valiant           18.1   6  225 105 2.76 3.460 20.22  1  0    3    1

Logistic am ~ qsec

am_qsec_glm <- glm(am ~ qsec, data = mtcars, family = binomial)
summary(am_qsec_glm)
## 
## Call:
## glm(formula = am ~ qsec, family = binomial, data = mtcars)
## 
## Coefficients:
##             Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept)   4.7389     4.0452   1.171    0.241
## qsec         -0.2882     0.2279  -1.265    0.206
## 
## (Dispersion parameter for binomial family taken to be 1)
## 
##     Null deviance: 43.230  on 31  degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 41.465  on 30  degrees of freedom
## AIC: 45.465
## 
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 4

explanation: I created a logistic regression to predict the transmission type(am), using “1/4 mile time”(qsec) as the predictor.

The coefficients for qsec is -0.2882. It means that as qsec increase (car takes longer to finish 1/4 mile), the probability of being manual decrease. In another word, the longer a car takes to finish 1/4 mile, the higher probability being a automatic

p-value = 0.206, which is grearer than 0.05 significant level, the predictor is not a statistically significant.

scatter plot

# calculate odds
prob <- predict(am_qsec_glm, type = "response")
odds <- prob / ( 1 - prob)

plot(mtcars$qsec, odds, col = "darkorange",
     xlab = "1/4 mile time",
     ylab = "Calculated odds of manual transmission",
     main = "1/4 mile time vs odds")

explanation: the scatter plot of odds vs 1/4 mile shows a clear negative downward trend: cars with faster acceleration (lower qsec) have higher odds of being manual.

regression line

plot(mtcars$qsec, odds, col = "darkblue",
     xlab = "1/4 mile time",
     ylab = "Calculated odds of manual transmission",
     main = "1/4 mile time vs odds")
abline(am_qsec_glm, col = "red", lwd = 2)