Opponent Advance Report
UCLA Bruins
2026 · 52-8 · Big 10 31-2 · vs D-I 52-8
Record
52-8
Big 10 31-2 · vs D-I 52-8
ESPN schedule
Runs / Game
7.93
Last 10: 4.80
Season
Runs Allowed / Game
3.80
Last 10: 4.40
Season
Run Diff / Game
+4.13
One-run games 10-4
Season
Recent Record
7-3
Last 10 completed games
Season
Opponent Identity
Five things to know
1
HIGH-END SCORING OFFENSE
Scoring rate ranks in the 90th percentile nationally (17 of 163 D-I
teams).
2
STRONG RUN PREVENTION
Runs allowed ranks in the 89th percentile nationally (19 of 163 D-I
teams).
3
COMPLETE TEAM PROFILE
Run differential per game ranks in the 99th percentile nationally (2 of
163 D-I teams).
4
RECENT COOL-OFF
Recent win rate is meaningfully below the full-season baseline.
5
RECENT FORM
They are 7-3 over the last 10 completed games.
Rotation
Projected starter
| Player | Last start | Slot history | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Barnett | May 30 | G2×3 · Single×2 | POSSIBLE |
| Wylan Moss | May 29 | G1×3 · Single×2 | POSSIBLE |
| Angel Cervantes | May 31 | G3×1 · Single×3 | POSSIBLE |
Ranked by recency-weighted starts in the same series slot as the next
scheduled game, then adjusted for whether there is enough rest to start
it. Tiers, not probabilities - this data does not support a percentage.
Recent Form
Season vs now
| Window | Record | Win % | R/G | RA/G | RD/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 52-8 | 86.7% | 7.93 | 3.80 | +4.13 |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 70.0% | 4.80 | 4.40 | +0.40 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60.0% | 4.60 | 4.20 | +0.40 |
| vs Division I | 52-8 | 86.7% | 7.93 | 3.80 | +4.13 |
Series plan
Pitcher Plan
Where their offense is strong
- Run production grades in the 90th percentile nationally.
- They reach without the ball in play: 4.1 BB + HBP per game across the last 16 games.
How we mitigate it
- Make the middle of the order hit with the bases empty. Free traffic in front of them is what turns a single into a crooked number.
- Win strike one. Their on-base profile is built on counts, not on barrels.
Top three hitters — season OPS, 40+ PA
Roch Cholowsky — 1.088 OPS · .320/.452/.636 · 21 HR
Will Gasparino — 1.071 OPS · .314/.412/.659 · 20 HR
Mulivai Levu — 1.063 OPS · .340/.441/.622 · 18 HR
Hitter Plan
What their pitching does well
- Run prevention grades in the 89th percentile nationally.
- The staff misses bats: 9.6 K/9 across the last 16 games.
Where we can attack
- 5 relief arms are carrying elevated recent workload.
How we take advantage
- Scoring chances will be scarce. Do not give away outs once we create traffic.
- Shrink the zone with two strikes and make them throw a competitive finish pitch.
- Make the starter work. Getting into the middle-relief portion of this staff early is worth a plan of its own.
Top three pitchers — season, ERA and WHIP, 30+ IP
Easton Hawk — 1.93 ERA · 1.14 WHIP · 11.1 K/9 · 42.0 IP
Ian May — 2.08 ERA · 0.95 WHIP · 10.8 K/9 · 39.0 IP
Wylan Moss — 2.49 ERA · 1.05 WHIP · 10.5 K/9 · 65.0 IP
Recent results
| Date | Opponent | Site | Slot | Result | Score | Conf | D-I |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31 | SMC | N | Single | L | 5-6 | — | Yes |
| May 30 | VT | H | Single | W | 6-5 | — | Yes |
| May 29 | SMC | H | Single | L | 2-3 | — | Yes |
| May 24 | ORE | N | Single | W | 3-2 | Yes | Yes |
| May 23 | PUR | N | Single | W | 4-3 | Yes | Yes |
| May 23 | USC | N | Single | W | 7-5 | Yes | Yes |
| May 16 | WASH | A | G2 | W | 6-5 | Yes | Yes |
| May 16 | WASH | A | G3 | W | 6-1 | Yes | Yes |
| May 15 | WASH | A | G1 | L | 0-8 | Yes | Yes |
| May 10 | ORE | H | G2 | L | 6-9 | Yes | Yes |
Lineup Preparation
Expected lineup and hitter profile
Read this first. Two different windows appear on this
page and they are never mixed in the same column. The season
line is the official full-season total. The recent window
is built from the 16 most recent games that returned a box score. Season
rate stats come from stats.ncaa.org and are recomputed from the counting
stats.
Expected lineup
| Spot | Player | Pos | Starts (last 5) | Last start | Next most used |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dean West | LF | 5 | May 31 | — |
| 2 | Roch Cholowsky | SS | 5 | May 31 | — |
| 3 | Mulivai Levu | 1B | 5 | May 31 | — |
| 4 | Roman Martin | 3B | 5 | May 31 | — |
| 5 | Payton Brennan | RF | 3 | May 29 | — |
| 6 | Cashel Dugger | C | 5 | May 31 | — |
| 8 | Trey Gudoy | DH | 3 | May 31 | — |
| 9 | Phoenix Call | 2B | 4 | May 31 | — |
Built from the most recent five games with a published starting lineup.
The last column shows the next most frequent name in that spot, so an
unsettled lineup reads as unsettled instead of certain.
Season line
| Player | Pos | Yr | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | HR | BB% | K% | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roch Cholowsky | INF | Jr | 60 | 299 | .320 | .452 | .636 | 1.088 | .316 | 21 | 12% | 12% | 1 |
| Will Gasparino | OF | Jr | 58 | 262 | .314 | .412 | .659 | 1.071 | .345 | 20 | 11% | 21% | 3 |
| Mulivai Levu | 1B | Jr | 59 | 288 | .340 | .441 | .622 | 1.063 | .282 | 18 | 10% | 11% | 3 |
| Roman Martin | INF | Jr | 60 | 289 | .333 | .446 | .549 | .995 | .215 | 9 | 15% | 19% | — |
| Aidan Espinoza | OF | Jr | 28 | 47 | .342 | .447 | .447 | .894 | .105 | 0 | 11% | 15% | 1 |
| Payton Brennan | OF | Sr | 58 | 264 | .290 | .392 | .493 | .885 | .203 | 9 | 10% | 21% | 6 |
| Dean West | OF | Jr | 58 | 301 | .277 | .418 | .417 | .835 | .140 | 7 | 12% | 11% | 11 |
| Cashel Dugger | C | Jr | 54 | 233 | .251 | .378 | .382 | .760 | .131 | 5 | 14% | 17% | — |
| Trey Gudoy | OF | Fr | 30 | 84 | .273 | .422 | .333 | .755 | .061 | 0 | 17% | 18% | — |
| Dominic Cadiz | INF | Fr | 39 | 107 | .256 | .364 | .378 | .742 | .122 | 2 | 11% | 14% | — |
| Aiden Aguayo | INF | Fr | 38 | 129 | .243 | .339 | .355 | .694 | .112 | 2 | 11% | 18% | 1 |
| Jarrod Hocking | OF | Sr | 21 | 50 | .214 | .298 | .262 | .560 | .048 | 0 | 8% | 24% | 2 |
Source: stats.ncaa.org season totals, 2026. Slash line recomputed from
AB / H / TB / BB / HBP / SF rather than read off the published rate
columns. Qualifier: 40 or more plate appearances.
Recent window
| Player | Pos | G | AB | AVG | Reach% | HR | BB | K | RBI | R | Last game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Brennan | RF | 14 | 48 | .354 | 41.5% | 1 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 11 | May 29 |
| Mulivai Levu | 1B | 15 | 55 | .309 | 40.6% | 6 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 11 | May 31 |
| Roman Martin | 3B | 16 | 65 | .338 | 37.7% | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 10 | May 31 |
| Roch Cholowsky | SS | 16 | 61 | .262 | 36.6% | 5 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 14 | May 31 |
| Aiden Aguayo | 2B | 10 | 20 | .200 | 36.0% | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | May 31 |
| Dominic Cadiz | DH | 9 | 15 | .267 | 35.3% | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | May 31 |
| Dean West | LF | 14 | 56 | .268 | 33.9% | 3 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 7 | May 31 |
| Aidan Espinoza | PH | 9 | 14 | .286 | 33.3% | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | May 30 |
| Will Gasparino | CF | 15 | 56 | .268 | 32.8% | 3 | 5 | 16 | 8 | 8 | May 31 |
| Trey Gudoy | DH | 9 | 25 | .200 | 28.6% | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 4 | May 31 |
| Cashel Dugger | C | 14 | 49 | .122 | 24.6% | 1 | 8 | 16 | 6 | 5 | May 31 |
| Phoenix Call | 2B | 14 | 37 | .216 | 23.7% | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 | May 31 |
| Jarrod Hocking | DH | 11 | 23 | .174 | 20.8% | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | May 30 |
Source: ESPN game box scores, last 16 games. Reach% is
(H + BB) / (AB + BB) - it is not on-base percentage. ESPN game box
scores do not publish hit-by-pitch or sacrifice flies, so a true OBP
cannot be built from this window and is not shown here. Use the season
line above for OBP.
Limited sample
| Player | Pos | G | AB | H | HR | BB | K | Last game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasen Khansarinia | C | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | May 29 |
| David Mysza | 2B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | May 30 |
Under 10 at-bats in the window. Shown as counting stats only - rate
stats on samples this size are noise, so they are not computed.
Staff Preparation
Rotation, workload and staff profile
Rotation projection
| Player | Starts | Slot history | Starts in this slot | Last start | Typical rest | Days out | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Barnett | 5 | G2×3 · Single×2 | 0 | May 30 | 8 d | 6 | POSSIBLE |
| Wylan Moss | 5 | G1×3 · Single×2 | 0 | May 29 | 8 d | 7 | POSSIBLE |
| Angel Cervantes | 4 | G3×1 · Single×3 | 0 | May 31 | 8 d | 5 | POSSIBLE |
| Landon Stump | 2 | G3×2 | 0 | May 10 | 14 d | 26 | UNLIKELY |
Projecting for the next scheduled game. College staffs line up by series
slot, not by rest days, so slot history carries the most weight,
discounted by recency, then penalised if there is not enough rest. Every
input is printed above so the call can be overridden.
Starter workload
| Player | GS | Typical outing | Longest outing | Median pitches | Max pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Barnett | 5 | 4.2 | 6.0 | 75 | 86 |
| Wylan Moss | 5 | 4.1 | 7.0 | 68 | 91 |
| Angel Cervantes | 4 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 80 | 94 |
| Landon Stump | 2 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 62 | 67 |
How deep each starter has actually gone. This is where the opening is:
if a starter’s typical outing ends around a known pitch count, the third
time through the order is when the plan changes. ESPN does not publish a
pitch count for every college game, so blanks here are missing data, not
zeros.
Pitcher usage — recent window
| Player | App | GS | IP | ERA | WHIP | K | BB | K/9 | BB/9 | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wylan Moss | 5 | 5 | 24.0 | 4.12 | 1.08 | 26 | 8 | 9.8 | 3.0 | May 29 |
| Michael Barnett | 5 | 5 | 23.2 | 5.70 | 1.44 | 15 | 9 | 5.7 | 3.4 | May 30 |
| Angel Cervantes | 5 | 4 | 17.1 | 2.60 | 1.44 | 18 | 9 | 9.3 | 4.7 | May 31 |
| Landon Stump | 7 | 2 | 13.2 | 3.95 | 1.39 | 11 | 7 | 7.2 | 4.6 | May 31 |
| Easton Hawk | 10 | 0 | 13.1 | 2.02 | 1.20 | 19 | 8 | 12.8 | 5.4 | May 31 |
| Ian May | 6 | 0 | 10.0 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 13 | 4 | 11.7 | 3.6 | May 24 |
| Cal Randall | 9 | 0 | 10.0 | 0.90 | 0.70 | 16 | 2 | 14.4 | 1.8 | May 31 |
| Zach Strickland | 8 | 0 | 9.2 | 0.93 | 0.52 | 11 | 2 | 10.2 | 1.9 | May 30 |
| CJ Bott | 2 | 0 | 4.0 | 4.50 | 1.25 | 4 | 3 | 9.0 | 6.8 | May 14 |
| Elai Iwanaga | 3 | 0 | 3.2 | 2.45 | 1.64 | 4 | 2 | 9.8 | 4.9 | May 14 |
| Justin Lee | 7 | 0 | 3.1 | 10.80 | 3.30 | 6 | 5 | 16.2 | 13.5 | May 24 |
| Jack O’Connor | 3 | 0 | 2.1 | 11.57 | 2.14 | 1 | 0 | 3.9 | 0.0 | May 10 |
| Chris Grothues | 4 | 0 | 2.0 | 9.00 | 1.50 | 1 | 0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | May 31 |
| Jake Swenson | 2 | 0 | 1.2 | 10.80 | 1.80 | 2 | 0 | 10.8 | 0.0 | May 14 |
| Mack Edwards | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 18.0 | 0.0 | May 05 |
Source: ESPN game box scores, last 16 games. ERA, K/9 and BB/9 are
computed from innings actually recorded in this window - they are not
the season figures. Innings are summed in outs, so a total can never
come out as an impossible value like 4.3.
Season line
| Player | App | GS | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | H/9 | K/BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Easton Hawk | 34 | — | 42.0 | 1.93 | 1.14 | 11.1 | 4.1 | 6.2 | 2.74 |
| Ian May | 26 | — | 39.0 | 2.08 | 0.95 | 10.8 | 2.3 | 6.2 | 4.70 |
| Elai Iwanaga | 14 | — | 11.7 | 2.31 | 1.37 | 11.6 | 4.6 | 7.7 | 2.50 |
| Wylan Moss | 17 | 6 | 65.0 | 2.49 | 1.05 | 10.5 | 3.3 | 6.1 | 3.17 |
| Zach Strickland | 27 | — | 38.3 | 2.82 | 0.86 | 12.2 | 1.4 | 6.3 | 8.67 |
| Cal Randall | 34 | — | 31.0 | 3.19 | 1.10 | 16.5 | 5.5 | 4.4 | 3.00 |
| Justin Lee | 23 | — | 19.3 | 3.26 | 1.29 | 12.1 | 5.1 | 6.5 | 2.36 |
| Jack O’Connor | 20 | — | 15.3 | 3.52 | 1.50 | 4.7 | 4.1 | 9.4 | 1.14 |
| Landon Stump | 18 | 13 | 54.7 | 4.12 | 1.28 | 7.1 | 3.6 | 7.9 | 1.95 |
| Angel Cervantes | 19 | 15 | 49.7 | 4.17 | 1.45 | 6.7 | 2.7 | 10.3 | 2.47 |
| Michael Barnett | 16 | 16 | 71.0 | 4.18 | 1.31 | 7.4 | 3.7 | 8.1 | 2.00 |
| Jake Swenson | 18 | — | 12.3 | 5.11 | 1.54 | 9.5 | 5.8 | 8.0 | 1.62 |
| CJ Bott | 8 | — | 10.0 | 5.40 | 1.60 | 7.2 | 5.4 | 9.0 | 1.33 |
| Chris Grothues | 19 | — | 13.7 | 5.93 | 1.54 | 8.6 | 5.3 | 8.6 | 1.62 |
| Mack Edwards | 2 | — | 1.0 | 9.00 | 1.00 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | — |
Source: stats.ncaa.org season totals, 2026.
Bullpen workload — last 7 days
| Player | Last | Days rest | App (7d) | IP (7d) | Pitches (7d) | Back-to-back | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Easton Hawk | May 31 | 0 | 4 | 6.2 | 133 | 3 | HEAVY |
| Cal Randall | May 31 | 0 | 3 | 3.0 | 55 | 2 | HEAVY |
| Landon Stump | May 31 | 0 | 3 | 4.1 | 46 | 1 | HEAVY |
| Chris Grothues | May 31 | 0 | 1 | 0.1 | 5 | 0 | FRESH |
| Zach Strickland | May 30 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 32 | 1 | HEAVY |
| Ian May | May 24 | 7 | 1 | 1.0 | 21 | 0 | FRESH |
| Justin Lee | May 24 | 7 | 1 | 0.0 | 7 | 1 | HEAVY |
| CJ Bott | May 14 | 17 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | FRESH |
| Elai Iwanaga | May 14 | 17 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | FRESH |
| Jake Swenson | May 14 | 17 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | FRESH |
| Jack O’Connor | May 10 | 21 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | FRESH |
| Angel Cervantes | May 10 | 21 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | FRESH |
Workload is measured against the last completed game, May 31.
Back-to-back days now count toward the HEAVY flag, since consecutive-day
usage constrains availability more than raw appearance totals do.
Pitcher splits
| Player | Split | App | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel Cervantes | As starter | 4 | 15.1 | 2.93 | 1.50 | 10.0 | 4.7 |
| Angel Cervantes | At home | 2 | 7.0 | 0.00 | 1.29 | 7.7 | 5.1 |
| Angel Cervantes | In relief | 1 | 2.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Angel Cervantes | On the road | 3 | 10.1 | 4.35 | 1.55 | 10.5 | 4.4 |
| Angel Cervantes | vs Division I | 5 | 17.1 | 2.60 | 1.44 | 9.3 | 4.7 |
| CJ Bott | In relief | 2 | 4.0 | 4.50 | 1.25 | 9.0 | 6.8 |
| CJ Bott | On the road | 2 | 4.0 | 4.50 | 1.25 | 9.0 | 6.8 |
| CJ Bott | vs Division I | 2 | 4.0 | 4.50 | 1.25 | 9.0 | 6.8 |
| Cal Randall | At home | 5 | 5.1 | 1.69 | 0.94 | 13.5 | 3.4 |
| Cal Randall | In relief | 9 | 10.0 | 0.90 | 0.70 | 14.4 | 1.8 |
| Cal Randall | On the road | 4 | 4.2 | 0.00 | 0.43 | 15.4 | 0.0 |
| Cal Randall | vs Division I | 9 | 10.0 | 0.90 | 0.70 | 14.4 | 1.8 |
| Easton Hawk | At home | 8 | 10.2 | 1.69 | 0.75 | 12.7 | 2.5 |
| Easton Hawk | In relief | 10 | 13.1 | 2.02 | 1.20 | 12.8 | 5.4 |
| Easton Hawk | On the road | 2 | 2.2 | 3.38 | 3.00 | 13.5 | 16.9 |
| Easton Hawk | vs Division I | 10 | 13.1 | 2.02 | 1.20 | 12.8 | 5.4 |
| Elai Iwanaga | At home | 2 | 3.0 | 3.00 | 1.33 | 9.0 | 3.0 |
| Elai Iwanaga | In relief | 3 | 3.2 | 2.45 | 1.64 | 9.8 | 4.9 |
| Elai Iwanaga | On the road | 1 | 0.2 | 0.00 | 3.00 | 13.5 | 13.5 |
| Elai Iwanaga | vs Division I | 3 | 3.2 | 2.45 | 1.64 | 9.8 | 4.9 |
| Ian May | At home | 5 | 7.0 | 0.00 | 0.71 | 10.3 | 5.1 |
| Ian May | In relief | 6 | 10.0 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 11.7 | 3.6 |
| Ian May | On the road | 1 | 3.0 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 15.0 | 0.0 |
| Ian May | vs Division I | 6 | 10.0 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 11.7 | 3.6 |
| Justin Lee | At home | 5 | 2.0 | 13.50 | 4.00 | 13.5 | 18.0 |
| Justin Lee | In relief | 7 | 3.1 | 10.80 | 3.30 | 16.2 | 13.5 |
| Justin Lee | On the road | 2 | 1.1 | 6.75 | 2.25 | 20.2 | 6.8 |
| Justin Lee | vs Division I | 7 | 3.1 | 10.80 | 3.30 | 16.2 | 13.5 |
| Landon Stump | As starter | 2 | 5.2 | 9.53 | 2.12 | 7.9 | 7.9 |
| Landon Stump | At home | 5 | 10.0 | 5.40 | 1.50 | 8.1 | 4.5 |
| Landon Stump | In relief | 5 | 8.0 | 0.00 | 0.88 | 6.8 | 2.2 |
| Landon Stump | On the road | 2 | 3.2 | 0.00 | 1.09 | 4.9 | 4.9 |
| Landon Stump | vs Division I | 7 | 13.2 | 3.95 | 1.39 | 7.2 | 4.6 |
| Michael Barnett | As starter | 5 | 23.2 | 5.70 | 1.44 | 5.7 | 3.4 |
| Michael Barnett | At home | 4 | 20.0 | 5.40 | 1.30 | 5.4 | 3.1 |
| Michael Barnett | On the road | 1 | 3.2 | 7.36 | 2.18 | 7.4 | 4.9 |
| Michael Barnett | vs Division I | 5 | 23.2 | 5.70 | 1.44 | 5.7 | 3.4 |
| Wylan Moss | As starter | 5 | 24.0 | 4.12 | 1.08 | 9.8 | 3.0 |
| Wylan Moss | At home | 4 | 19.2 | 3.20 | 1.07 | 9.2 | 3.2 |
| Wylan Moss | On the road | 1 | 4.1 | 8.31 | 1.15 | 12.5 | 2.1 |
| Wylan Moss | vs Division I | 5 | 24.0 | 4.12 | 1.08 | 9.8 | 3.0 |
| Zach Strickland | At home | 7 | 7.2 | 1.17 | 0.52 | 9.4 | 1.2 |
| Zach Strickland | In relief | 8 | 9.2 | 0.93 | 0.52 | 10.2 | 1.9 |
| Zach Strickland | On the road | 1 | 2.0 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 13.5 | 4.5 |
| Zach Strickland | vs Division I | 8 | 9.2 | 0.93 | 0.52 | 10.2 | 1.9 |
Splits are built from box-score appearances rather than from
play-by-play. ESPN college play-by-play does not reliably identify which
pitcher is on the mound for a given at-bat, so a per-pitcher
batter-level split would be guesswork. Anything that needs the man on
the mound is reported at staff level on the Spray & Splits tab and
labelled that way.
Batted Ball & Situational
Spray tendencies and splits
What this is. Every line below is parsed out of the
play-by-play text for 15 games. Direction is field direction,
not pull or opposite field: ESPN does not publish batting handedness for
college players, so pull side is not knowable and is not guessed at. Gap
balls are assigned to the half of the field they were hit toward. The
share of plays that could not be parsed is reported at the bottom of
this tab rather than quietly dropped.
Hitter spray profile
Left
side
Middle
Right
side
| Player | BIP | Direction | Lean | GB% | Air% | Parsed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean West | 48 | Spread | 46% | 54% | 96% | |
| Roch Cholowsky | 45 | Spread | 18% | 82% | 100% | |
| Roman Martin | 39 | Left side | 39% | 61% | 97% | |
| Mulivai Levu | 37 | Right side | 39% | 61% | 97% | |
| Payton Brennan | 29 | Right side | 36% | 64% | 93% | |
| Phoenix Call | 28 | Left side | 52% | 48% | 96% | |
| Will Gasparino | 28 | Left side | 44% | 56% | 100% | |
| Cashel Dugger | 25 | Left side | 35% | 65% | 100% | |
| Trey Gudoy | 16 | Left side | 38% | 62% | 75% | |
| Jarrod Hocking | 12 | Right side | 70% | 30% | 92% | |
| Dominic Cadiz | 12 | Spread | 14% | 86% | 92% | |
| Aiden Aguayo | 11 | Right side | 22% | 78% | 100% | |
| Aidan Espinoza | 8 | — | 50% | 50% | 75% |
BIP = balls in play in the window. Parsed is the share
of that hitter’s balls in play where the play text named a direction; a
low number there means the bar above it is built on less than it looks.
Minimum eight balls in play to appear.
1 additional hitters had fewer than eight parsed balls in play and are
held out rather than shown with a direction split that cannot mean
anything.
Hitter situational splits
| Player | PA | On-base% | K% | RISP PA | RISP AVG | Leadoff OB% | 1st PA OB% | 3rd+ PA OB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean West | 60 | 33.3% | 10% | 18 | .222 | 47% | 50% | 31% |
| Roch Cholowsky | 59 | 37.3% | 10% | 15 | .133 | 50% | 33% | 37% |
| Roman Martin | 55 | 40.0% | 18% | 19 | .211 | 25% | 42% | 32% |
| Mulivai Levu | 51 | 43.1% | 12% | 11 | .182 | 43% | 27% | 55% |
| Will Gasparino | 46 | 34.8% | 26% | 13 | .077 | 33% | 27% | 33% |
| Cashel Dugger | 43 | 23.3% | 28% | 19 | .000 | 57% | 30% | 26% |
| Payton Brennan | 40 | 47.5% | 12% | 8 | .125 | 33% | 50% | 50% |
| Phoenix Call | 37 | 29.7% | 14% | 9 | .000 | 25% | 18% | 31% |
| Trey Gudoy | 26 | 34.6% | 23% | 6 | .500 | 20% | 62% | 18% |
Derived from play text, so these are parsed plate appearances rather
than official ones and will not tie exactly to the season line. Runners
in scoring position is reconstructed conservatively - it only counts a
runner the text positively places on second or third, and clears on runs
scored and outs on the bases, so it undercounts before it overcounts.
Minimum 20 parsed plate appearances.
Team situational — offense
| Split | PA | H | BB | K | On-base% | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All plate appearances | 604 | 129 | 59 | 104 | 34.8% | 17.2% |
| Runners in scoring position | 193 | 32 | 26 | 42 | 34.2% | 21.8% |
| Bases empty / no RISP | 411 | 97 | 33 | 62 | 35.0% | 15.1% |
| Leading off an inning | 133 | 33 | 9 | 17 | 36.1% | 12.8% |
| First look (1st PA of game) | 125 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 38.4% | 19.2% |
| Third look or later | 246 | 54 | 23 | 43 | 34.1% | 17.5% |
| Innings 1-3 | 213 | 41 | 26 | 37 | 36.2% | 17.4% |
| Innings 4-6 | 196 | 43 | 15 | 39 | 31.1% | 19.9% |
| Innings 7+ | 195 | 45 | 18 | 28 | 36.9% | 14.4% |
| At home | 395 | 95 | 33 | 72 | 35.7% | 18.2% |
| On the road | 209 | 34 | 26 | 32 | 33.0% | 15.3% |
Team situational — pitching staff
| Split | PA faced | H allowed | BB issued | K | On-base% allowed | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All plate appearances | 573 | 105 | 56 | 146 | 30.2% | 25.5% |
| Runners in scoring position | 137 | 26 | 16 | 37 | 32.8% | 27.0% |
| Bases empty / no RISP | 436 | 79 | 40 | 109 | 29.4% | 25.0% |
| Leading off an inning | 135 | 25 | 13 | 28 | 32.6% | 20.7% |
| First look (1st PA of game) | 113 | 17 | 9 | 26 | 23.0% | 23.0% |
| Third look or later | 219 | 36 | 17 | 61 | 27.4% | 27.9% |
| Innings 1-3 | 195 | 37 | 18 | 44 | 30.3% | 22.6% |
| Innings 4-6 | 194 | 42 | 17 | 41 | 31.4% | 21.1% |
| Innings 7+ | 184 | 26 | 21 | 61 | 28.8% | 33.2% |
| At home | 380 | 66 | 36 | 89 | 28.9% | 23.4% |
| On the road | 193 | 39 | 20 | 57 | 32.6% | 29.5% |
Staff level, not per pitcher - see the note on the Pitching tab. This is
how the whole staff has handled each situation across 15 games.
Running game
| Metric | Value | PerGame |
|---|---|---|
| Stolen bases | 5 | 0.33 |
| Caught stealing | 0 | 0.00 |
| Steal attempts | 5 | 0.33 |
| Steal success rate | 100% | |
| Picked off | 1 | 0.07 |
| Bunt attempts | 19 | 1.27 |
| Sacrifice bunts | 4 | 0.27 |
| Player | SB | CS | Att | Success | Bunts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roch Cholowsky | 2 | 0 | 2 | 100% | 0 |
| Phoenix Call | 1 | 0 | 1 | 100% | 8 |
| Dean West | 1 | 0 | 1 | 100% | 3 |
| Jarrod Hocking | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 |
| Payton Brennan | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 2 |
| Cashel Dugger | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 2 |
| Aidan Espinoza | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 1 |
Attribution is to the player named at the start of the play only. The
previous build credited every roster name that appeared anywhere in the
sentence, which handed steal attempts to the catcher and shortstop on
any caught-stealing play.
Parse coverage
| Metric | Value | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Event rows kept | 1409 | pitch-tracking and matchup rows removed |
| Plate appearances identified | 1177 | text matched a plate-appearance result |
| PA attributed to a named batter | 78% | leading-name match against the box-score roster |
| Balls in play with a resolved direction | 93% | left / center / right, from the play text |
| Balls in play with a resolved type | 70% | GB / LD / FB / PU / HR |
These figures govern how much weight to put on this tab. A direction or
type share well under 100% means the play text was less descriptive in
those games, not that the hitter did something unusual.
Context
National profile and scoring shape
Division I relative profile
Win Percentage89.5%
100th percentile · 1 of 163 D-I teams
Runs / Game8.12
90th percentile · 17 of 163 D-I teams
Run Prevention3.75 RA/G
89th percentile · 19 of 163 D-I teams
Run Differential / Game+4.37
99th percentile · 2 of 163 D-I teams
Ranks are against the 163 teams in the ESPN Division I standings feed
and are not adjusted for strength of schedule. A team
that has played a soft schedule will grade high here. Use the rank as
context, not as an evaluation.
Recent form
| Window | Record | Win % | R/G | RA/G | RD/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 52-8 | 86.7% | 7.93 | 3.80 | +4.13 |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 70.0% | 4.80 | 4.40 | +0.40 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60.0% | 4.60 | 4.20 | +0.40 |
| vs Division I | 52-8 | 86.7% | 7.93 | 3.80 | +4.13 |
Scoring by inning
12
1
9
2
6
3
10
4
8
5
7
6
9
7
12
8
11
9
Runs scored by inning across 15 games with play-by-play
Early runs
27
32% of parsed runs
Innings 1-3
Middle runs
25
30% of parsed runs
Innings 4-6
Late runs
32
38% of parsed runs
Innings 7+
One-run games
10-4
Full season
ESPN schedule
Big 10 record
31-2
Full season
ESPN schedule
Automated flags
HIGH-END SCORING OFFENSE
Scoring rate ranks in the 90th percentile nationally (17 of 163 D-I
teams).
STRONG RUN PREVENTION
Runs allowed ranks in the 89th percentile nationally (19 of 163 D-I
teams).
COMPLETE TEAM PROFILE
Run differential per game ranks in the 99th percentile nationally (2 of
163 D-I teams).
RECENT COOL-OFF
Recent win rate is meaningfully below the full-season baseline.
Percentile-based flags are measured against the national field.
Rate-based flags (power, free bases, running game, bunts, strikeouts)
fire on fixed scouting thresholds set in the THRESHOLDS block at the top
of the source file - they are conventions, not league percentiles, and
are labelled that way on purpose.
Series Preparation
Game plan
Pitcher Plan
Where their offense is strong
- Run production grades in the 90th percentile nationally.
- They reach without the ball in play: 4.1 BB + HBP per game across the last 16 games.
How we mitigate it
- Make the middle of the order hit with the bases empty. Free traffic in front of them is what turns a single into a crooked number.
- Win strike one. Their on-base profile is built on counts, not on barrels.
Top three hitters — season OPS, 40+ PA
Roch Cholowsky — 1.088 OPS · .320/.452/.636 · 21 HR
Will Gasparino — 1.071 OPS · .314/.412/.659 · 20 HR
Mulivai Levu — 1.063 OPS · .340/.441/.622 · 18 HR
Hitter Plan
What their pitching does well
- Run prevention grades in the 89th percentile nationally.
- The staff misses bats: 9.6 K/9 across the last 16 games.
Where we can attack
- 5 relief arms are carrying elevated recent workload.
How we take advantage
- Scoring chances will be scarce. Do not give away outs once we create traffic.
- Shrink the zone with two strikes and make them throw a competitive finish pitch.
- Make the starter work. Getting into the middle-relief portion of this staff early is worth a plan of its own.
Top three pitchers — season, ERA and WHIP, 30+ IP
Easton Hawk — 1.93 ERA · 1.14 WHIP · 11.1 K/9 · 42.0 IP
Ian May — 2.08 ERA · 0.95 WHIP · 10.8 K/9 · 39.0 IP
Wylan Moss — 2.49 ERA · 1.05 WHIP · 10.5 K/9 · 65.0 IP
Recent performers
Hot Bats
Last 5 games · May 23 – May 31. Small samples on purpose — at-bats and
innings are on every line.
Payton Brennan — .600 reach · .500 AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · 4-for-8
Will Gasparino — .533 reach · .462 AVG · 1 HR · 3 RBI · 6-for-13
Dominic Cadiz — .500 reach · .429 AVG · 0 HR · 1 RBI · 3-for-7
Hot Arms
Last 5 games · May 23 – May 31. Small samples on purpose — at-bats and
innings are on every line.
Landon Stump — 0.00 ERA · 0.71 WHIP · 6.4 K/9 · 5.2 IP
Cal Randall — 0.00 ERA · 1.00 WHIP · 18.0 K/9 · 3.0 IP
Zach Strickland — 2.70 ERA · 0.30 WHIP · 13.5 K/9 · 3.1 IP
Season source: NCAA official season totals.
Season lists. Hitters are ranked on season OPS and need
40+ plate appearances. Pitchers are ranked on ERA, then WHIP, and must
have thrown 30+ innings (0.5 per team game), so a four-inning cameo
cannot lead the staff on rate stats. Recent lists. The
same three-deep view over the last 5 games only, ranked on reach rate
for hitters (6+ AB) and ERA then WHIP for pitchers (6+ outs). These are
small samples by design — they answer who is going well right now, not
who is good — so the at-bats and innings behind each rate are printed on
the line. Read them next to the season lists, not instead of them.
Plan language is generated from the tables in this report. Where the
data did not support a point, the plan says so rather than filling the
space. Every claim above traces to a number on another tab.
Trust
Where every number came from
OK
Conference record
Big 10: 31-2 across 33 games. ESPN’s schedule feed carries no conference
flag for college baseball, so conference games are identified by
matching the opponent’s team id against the 17 teams in the conference
standings - an id comparison, not a name match.
OK
Schedule parsed
60 completed games, 0 scheduled ahead.
OK
Opponent division
Every completed opponent appears in the ESPN Division I team index.
PARTIAL
Box-score coverage
16 of 20 requested games returned a player box score.
PARTIAL
Play-by-play coverage
15 of 20 requested games returned play-by-play.
MERGED
Player identity
16 players appeared under more than one spelling of their name (usually
a middle initial present in some box scores and not others) and 16 under
more than one ESPN athlete id. Those were merged into one player before
any totals were computed, so the same person is not split across two
rows.
OK
Player name keys unique
No name collisions between the two rosters in this window.
OK
NCAA official stats
Matched to ‘NA’ via id remembered from an earlier render. 33 hitters and
18 pitchers loaded.
OK
ESPN vs NCAA slash lines
14 hitters matched by name (1 unmatched). 0 differ by more than 30
points on at least one rate stat. The report uses the NCAA figure where
the two disagree.
OK
Scoreboard reconstruction
Runs rebuilt from the play-by-play scoreboard match the final score in
100% of 15 games. This is what the Scoring by Inning chart is built
from.
OK
Runs named in the play text
The play text accounts for 100% of the runs this team actually scored
across 15 games. This is the real test of the text parse that the Spray
& Splits tab depends on - falling a little short is normal, since
runs scored on a wild pitch or balk are written under the pitcher’s
name.
OK
National baseline
Compared against 163 teams in the ESPN Division I standings feed.
Game-by-game coverage
| Date | Opponent | Box score | Play-by-play | Player rows | Play rows |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31 | SMC | Yes | Yes | 31 | 672 |
| May 30 | VT | Yes | Yes | 32 | 616 |
| May 29 | SMC | Yes | Yes | 28 | 549 |
| May 24 | ORE | Yes | Yes | 33 | 334 |
| May 23 | USC | Yes | Yes | 32 | 323 |
| May 23 | PUR | Yes | Yes | 30 | 301 |
| May 16 | WASH | Yes | Yes | 29 | 277 |
| May 16 | WASH | Yes | Yes | 32 | 317 |
| May 15 | WASH | Yes | Yes | 26 | 274 |
| May 10 | ORE | Yes | Yes | 34 | 282 |
| May 10 | ORE | Yes | MISSING | 22 | 0 |
| May 09 | ORE | Yes | Yes | 23 | 220 |
| May 06 | LMU | Yes | Yes | 33 | 317 |
| May 03 | MSU | MISSING | MISSING | 0 | 0 |
| May 02 | MSU | MISSING | MISSING | 0 | 0 |
| May 01 | MSU | MISSING | MISSING | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 28 | UCSB | MISSING | MISSING | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 26 | SAC | Yes | Yes | 30 | 306 |
| Apr 25 | SAC | Yes | Yes | 32 | 279 |
| Apr 25 | SAC | Yes | Yes | 28 | 277 |
The report asked ESPN for 20 games and received box scores for 16 and
play-by-play for 15. Every window label elsewhere in this report uses
the number received, never the number requested. If a game shows
MISSING, re-knit with REFRESH_DATA <- TRUE to try it again.
Source and retrieval log
| Source | Status | Items | Oldest retrieved | Newest retrieved |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN | cached | 25 | Sep 01 11:26 | Sep 01 11:28 |
| NCAA | cached | 2 | Sep 01 11:27 | Sep 01 11:28 |
Cached rows were read from the cache/ folder and carry the timestamp of
when they were originally downloaded, not of this render. That is the
point of showing it: a report built entirely from three-week-old cache
should look different from a fresh one.
ESPN vs NCAA agreement
All 14 matched hitters agree within 10 points on every rate stat across
the two sources.
Play-by-play consistency
Scoreboard reconstruction. Runs rebuilt from the
play-by-play scoreboard match the final score in 15 of 15 games. Runs
are taken as the highest score reached in each inning, differenced
across innings - not accumulated row by row, which is order-dependent
and loses any run whose row is filtered out.
Text parse. Separately, the play text names 100% of the
runs actually scored. That figure touches none of the score columns, so
it is an independent check on the parser behind the Spray & Splits
tab rather than a restatement of the line above.
Method and limitations
Division of sources. Season rate stats come from
stats.ncaa.org and are recomputed from the counting stats. Recent-window
counting stats come from ESPN game box scores. Spray, situational and
baserunning tendencies come from ESPN play-by-play text. No column mixes
two of these.
What this report cannot do. There is no batting or
throwing handedness in the public college feeds, so there are no platoon
splits and no pull/oppo - only field direction. ESPN college
play-by-play does not reliably name the pitcher on the mound, so there
are no per-pitcher batter-level splits; that material is reported at
staff level. ESPN game box scores omit hit-by-pitch, sacrifice flies,
doubles and triples, so a window slash line cannot be rebuilt from them
and is not shown. National percentiles are unadjusted for strength of
schedule. Runners-in-scoring-position state is reconstructed from text
and is deliberately conservative.
Reproducing this render. baseballr 2.0.0 · R 4.5.0 ·
team query “UCLA” resolved to UCLA Bruins (ESPN id 66) · detail window
20 games requested.