Story

Row

26%

$27,640

30-40%

33%

Row

The story in one paragraph: Australia sent a generation to university with a promise study hard, carry the debt, and a rewarding career will follow. That promise is fraying. One in four of the 2024 graduates couldn’t find full-time work within six months of completing their degree. Between 30 and 40 per cent of those who did find work say they are not using their education at all. Meanwhile, average HECS debt hit $27,640 and in 2023 it grew by 7.1% in a single year due to CPI indexation, while graduate salaries barely moved. Australia now produces more degrees than ever, with less certainty they lead anywhere.

Charts

Row

Chart 1 - More Graduates, Fewer Jobs: The Supply-Demand Mismatch (2013–2024)

Sources: Dept of Education Higher Education Statistics 2024; QILT Graduate Outcomes Survey 2024 National Report.

Row

Chart 2 - Not All Degrees Are Equal: Full-Time Employment Rate by Field of Study (2024)

Source: QILT Graduate Outcomes Survey 2024 National Report.

Row

Chart 3 - The Debt That Doesn’t Match the Pay: HECS Burden vs. Starting Salary (Multivariate)

Sources: ATO HELP debt statistics 2023–24 (Finder 2024); QILT Graduate Outcomes Survey 2024 National Report.

Row

Chart 4 - The Overqualification Trap: Skills Waste by Field and Career Stage (Multivariate)

Sources: QILT Graduate Outcomes Survey 2024 (SPOQ measure: Scale of Perceived Over-Qualification); QILT GOS-Longitudinal 2024.

Row

Chart 5 - The Indexation Trap: When Student Debt Grows Faster Than Your Pay (Multivariate)

Sources: ATO HELP indexation history; ABS Wage Price Index (Cat. 6345.0); QILT Graduate Outcomes Survey salary data 2015–2024; Finder/Canstar HECS statistics 2024.

About & References

Row

About This Story

This visual story pitches a data-driven article for The Conversation on graduate underemployment and the structural mismatch between Australia’s higher education system and its labour market. The five charts build a deliberate narrative arc: Chart 1 shows the macro mismatch between growing graduate supply and stagnating full-time employment rates; Chart 2 reveals the wide variation in outcomes by field of study; Chart 3 exposes the disproportionate debt burden carried by graduates in lower-earning fields; Chart 4 maps the overqualification trap across fields and career stages; and Chart 5 demonstrates how debt indexation has, in recent years, outpaced both wages and graduate salary growth trapping some graduates in a slow-moving debt spiral.


Story Pitch

Australia has spent three decades expanding university enrolment, driven by a belief that more degrees mean a more productive, prosperous society. But the data from 2024 tells a more complicated story. One in four new graduates cannot find full-time work within six months of finishing. Between 30 and 40 per cent of those who do work say they are not using their degree at all. And the debt they carry averaging $27,640 grew by 7.1% in a single year in 2023 due to CPI indexation, far outpacing what most graduates were earning in salary growth. This story is not anti-university. It is a call to interrogate whether the current system is delivering on the promise it makes to students at enrolment and who bears the cost when it does not.


References (APA 7th Edition)

Australian Bureau of Statistics. (2025). Education and work, Australia, May 2025. ABS. https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/education/education-and-work-australia/latest-release

Australian Taxation Office. (2024). HELP, VSL, SSL, ABSTUDY SSL, HECS-HELP benefit, TSL and SFSS repayment thresholds and rates. ATO. https://www.ato.gov.au

Department of Education, Australian Government. (2025). Selected higher education statistics - 2024 student data. https://www.education.gov.au/higher-education-statistics/student-data/selected-higher-education-statistics-2024-student-data

Finder Australia. (2024). Student debt statistics 2024. https://www.finder.com.au/loans/student-help-hecs-debt-statistics

Norton, A. (2025, September 19). 2024 graduate employment outcomes and early 2025 trends. https://andrewnorton.id.au/2025/09/19/2024-graduate-employment-outcomes-and-early-2025-trends/

Quality Indicators for Learning and Teaching. (2024). 2024 Graduate Outcomes Survey national report. Social Research Centre / Department of Education. https://www.qilt.edu.au/surveys/graduate-outcomes-survey-(gos)

Quality Indicators for Learning and Teaching. (2024). 2024 Graduate Outcomes Survey - longitudinal national report. Social Research Centre / Department of Education. https://www.qilt.edu.au/surveys/graduate-outcomes-survey---longitudinal-(gos-l)


Acknowledgements

All visualisations were created in R (v4.3+) using ggplot2, plotly, flexdashboard, dplyr, tidyr, and scales. Colour palette sourced from The Conversation brand style guide.

Generative AI (Claude, Anthropic) was used to assist with assignment structure, grammar check and debugging during development. All data sourcing, chart design decisions, narrative framing, and analytical interpretations were made independently by me. Acknowledged as per RMIT Library guidelines: Anthropic. (2024). Claude [Large language model]. https://www.anthropic.com