Bushfire area has grown dramatically since 2000, while prescribed burns remain small.
Prescribed burns are getting smaller over time — from 400 ha in the 1960s to just 9 ha in the 2020s.
As temperatures rise, conditions for catastrophic fire become more frequent.
The average Victorian bushfire was 7 times larger in the 2000s than the 1990s. Bubble size represents number of fires.
Victoria burns less than half of what’s needed to reduce megafire risk.
Data sources: Geoscience Australia — National Bushfire Historical Extents (2025) Bureau of Meteorology — Melbourne Daily Maximum Temperature, Station 086071 Victorian Auditor-General’s Office (2020) — Reducing Bushfire Risks.