ECON 465 – Stage 3: Final Analysis & Presentation

Instructions & Announcement

Author

Gül Ertan Özgüzer

Published

June 2, 2026

I have uploaded your Stage 2 grades and feedback. Please read the comments before you start Stage 3.

Stage 3 has two separate components: a Final Report and a Presentation. Read the instructions for each carefully. Deadlines have been updated — please note them.


Part A: Final Report (25 points)

Submission deadline: June 5 at 13:00

Submit a single Quarto document (.qmd) with the rendered output (.html or .pdf), and your RPubs link if published.

3.1 Complete Analysis Pipeline (6 points)

  • Choose one dataset from your Stage 2 work — either your regression dataset or your classification dataset — and build your Stage 3 analysis around it
  • Combine your work from Stages 1 and 2 into a single, reproducible Quarto document
  • Organize your document with a clear narrative structure: Economic Question → Data → Probability Analysis → Modeling → Results → Conclusion
  • Ensure all code runs without errors before submitting (use quarto render to verify)

3.2 Economic Interpretation (6 points)

  • Answer your original economic question based on your model results
  • Interpret the model coefficients and explain what they mean in economic terms
  • Discuss how your findings could inform economic policy, business decisions, or future research

3.3 Limitations & Reproducibility (4 points)

  • Describe at least two limitations of your analysis
  • Explain the steps you took to make your analysis reproducible (e.g., relative file paths, set.seed(), package versions)

3.4 AI Use Log (4 points)

  • Document all AI tools used (ChatGPT, Copilot, etc.) in an AI Use Log section
  • For at least one interaction, provide: the exact prompt you gave, how you used the output, and how you verified or modified it

3.5 Final Reflections (5 points)

  • Suggest one improvement you would make with more time or better data
  • Propose one new economic question your analysis has inspired that you would like to investigate in the future

Part B: Presentation (15 points)

Presentation date: June 4 in class

Slides submission deadline: June 4 at 09:30 — submit your slides before you arrive.

Format & Timing

Teams (2 members) Independent students
Speaking time 5 minutes per member (10 min total) 10 minutes
Q&A Group Q&A after both members present Individual Q&A

Slide Requirements

Your slides must be created as a Quarto presentation document (.qmd). I have attached the Quarto slides document I used in a previous lecture as a template — use it as a starting point.

To create a Quarto presentation, set the format in your YAML header as follows:

---
title: "Your Project Title"
author: "Your Name"
format: revealjs
---

Each slide is separated by ## (for a new slide with a title) or --- (for a blank slide break). Render it the same way as your regular Quarto documents. If you are unsure, refer to the attached example or ask during office hours.

  • Maximum 10–12 slides — focus on the key points only
  • Do not try to fit everything in; summarize clearly and concisely

What to Cover in Your Slides

Your presentation should be built around the one dataset you chose for Stage 3. Cover the following:

  1. Economic question and motivation
  2. Dataset description (source, variables, outcome)
  3. Key findings from your probability/distribution analysis (Stage 1)
  4. Models you built and compared — explain why you chose your final model over the alternative(s)
  5. Main results and economic interpretation
  6. Limitations and what you would do differently

Team Presentations

  • Both members must present — each speaks for 5 minutes
  • You cannot split the content between members. Both of you are expected to know the full project inside and out
  • After both members have presented, there will be a group Q&A — any member may be asked any question about the project
  • Each member is graded separately on their individual presentation

Important Rules

  • Be in class before 10:20. I will randomly select who presents first
  • No phones during the presentation
  • Do not read from your slides. Reading directly from the slides will cost you points — know your content and speak naturally
  • Rehearse. Five minutes goes quickly; practice your timing beforehand

Grading (15 points)


Feel free to come to my office hours (Wednesday 13:00-15:00) if you have questions. Good luck!