library(boot)
## Warning: package 'boot' was built under R version 4.4.3
library(mice)
## Warning: package 'mice' was built under R version 4.4.3
## 
## Attaching package: 'mice'
## The following object is masked from 'package:stats':
## 
##     filter
## The following objects are masked from 'package:base':
## 
##     cbind, rbind
library(broom)
## Warning: package 'broom' was built under R version 4.4.3
library(ggplot2)
## Warning: package 'ggplot2' was built under R version 4.4.3

1. Membuat Data Simulasi

set.seed(123)

# Jumlah observasi
n <- 100

# Variabel x
x <- rnorm(n, mean = 10, sd = 2)

# Variabel y
y <- 3 + 1.5 * x + rnorm(n, mean = 0, sd = 2)

# Gabungkan menjadi data frame
data <- data.frame(x, y)

# Menambahkan missing value pada x
data[sample(1:n, 10), "x"] <- NA

# Melihat data awal
head(data)
##           x        y
## 1  8.879049 14.89776
## 2  9.539645 17.82323
## 3 13.117417 22.18274
## 4 10.141017 17.51644
## 5 10.258575 16.48463
## 6 13.430130 23.05514

2. Bootstrap Regresi Tanpa Missing Value

# Menghapus data yang mengandung NA
clean_data <- na.omit(data)

# Fungsi bootstrap regresi
boot_regression <- function(data, indices) {
  
  d <- data[indices, ]
  
  model <- lm(y ~ x, data = d)
  
  return(coef(model))
}

# Bootstrap 1000 kali
boot_result <- boot(
  data = clean_data,
  statistic = boot_regression,
  R = 1000
)

# Hasil bootstrap
boot_result
## 
## ORDINARY NONPARAMETRIC BOOTSTRAP
## 
## 
## Call:
## boot(data = clean_data, statistic = boot_regression, R = 1000)
## 
## 
## Bootstrap Statistics :
##     original      bias    std. error
## t1* 3.581084  0.06067069   1.1482885
## t2* 1.412127 -0.00547455   0.1074228
# Plot bootstrap
plot(boot_result)

# Confidence Interval 95%
boot.ci(
  boot_result,
  type = "perc",
  index = 2
)
## BOOTSTRAP CONFIDENCE INTERVAL CALCULATIONS
## Based on 1000 bootstrap replicates
## 
## CALL : 
## boot.ci(boot.out = boot_result, type = "perc", index = 2)
## 
## Intervals : 
## Level     Percentile     
## 95%   ( 1.176,  1.596 )  
## Calculations and Intervals on Original Scale

3. Mean Imputation + Bootstrap

# Menghitung mean x tanpa NA
mean_x <- mean(data$x, na.rm = TRUE)

# Mengganti NA dengan mean
data$ximp <- ifelse(
  is.na(data$x),
  mean_x,
  data$x
)

# Model regresi setelah imputasi
model_imp <- lm(y ~ ximp, data = data)

summary(model_imp)
## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = y ~ ximp, data = data)
## 
## Residuals:
##     Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
## -4.1153 -1.4394 -0.0902  1.2053  6.5280 
## 
## Coefficients:
##             Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
## (Intercept)   3.6538     1.2332   2.963  0.00383 ** 
## ximp          1.4121     0.1191  11.854  < 2e-16 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Residual standard error: 2.109 on 98 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared:  0.5891, Adjusted R-squared:  0.5849 
## F-statistic: 140.5 on 1 and 98 DF,  p-value: < 2.2e-16
# Fungsi bootstrap imputasi
boot_imp <- function(data, indices) {
  
  d <- data[indices, ]
  
  model <- lm(y ~ ximp, data = d)
  
  return(coef(model))
}

# Bootstrap setelah imputasi
boot_result_imp <- boot(
  data = data,
  statistic = boot_imp,
  R = 1000
)

# Hasil bootstrap
boot_result_imp
## 
## ORDINARY NONPARAMETRIC BOOTSTRAP
## 
## 
## Call:
## boot(data = data, statistic = boot_imp, R = 1000)
## 
## 
## Bootstrap Statistics :
##     original       bias    std. error
## t1* 3.653794  0.053055397   1.1350004
## t2* 1.412127 -0.005093136   0.1064137
# Plot bootstrap
plot(boot_result_imp)

# Confidence Interval
boot.ci(
  boot_result_imp,
  type = "perc",
  index = 2
)
## BOOTSTRAP CONFIDENCE INTERVAL CALCULATIONS
## Based on 1000 bootstrap replicates
## 
## CALL : 
## boot.ci(boot.out = boot_result_imp, type = "perc", index = 2)
## 
## Intervals : 
## Level     Percentile     
## 95%   ( 1.188,  1.603 )  
## Calculations and Intervals on Original Scale

4. Multiple Imputation (MICE)

imp <- mice(
  data[, c("x", "y")],
  m = 5,
  method = "pmm",
  seed = 123
)
## 
##  iter imp variable
##   1   1  x
##   1   2  x
##   1   3  x
##   1   4  x
##   1   5  x
##   2   1  x
##   2   2  x
##   2   3  x
##   2   4  x
##   2   5  x
##   3   1  x
##   3   2  x
##   3   3  x
##   3   4  x
##   3   5  x
##   4   1  x
##   4   2  x
##   4   3  x
##   4   4  x
##   4   5  x
##   5   1  x
##   5   2  x
##   5   3  x
##   5   4  x
##   5   5  x
# Model regresi pada hasil imputasi
model_mice <- with(
  imp,
  lm(y ~ x)
)

# Ringkasan hasil
summary(
  pool(model_mice)
)
##          term estimate std.error statistic       df      p.value
## 1 (Intercept) 3.619991 1.1112706  3.257524 78.99385 1.657655e-03
## 2           x 1.408248 0.1068028 13.185496 78.10532 1.472407e-21

5. Perbandingan Hasil

# Model data lengkap
model_clean <- lm(
  y ~ x,
  data = clean_data
)

clean_summary <- tidy(
  model_clean,
  conf.int = TRUE
)

# Model mean imputation
boot_summary <- tidy(
  model_imp,
  conf.int = TRUE
)

# Confidence interval bootstrap
boot_ci <- boot.ci(
  boot_result_imp,
  type = "perc",
  index = 2
)

# Model MICE
mice_summary <- summary(
  pool(model_mice),
  conf.int = TRUE
)

# Tabel hasil
results_table <- data.frame(
  
  Metode = c(
    "Data Lengkap",
    "Mean Imputation + Bootstrap",
    "MICE"
  ),
  
  Intercept = c(
    clean_summary$estimate[1],
    boot_summary$estimate[1],
    mice_summary$estimate[1]
  ),
  
  Slope = c(
    clean_summary$estimate[2],
    boot_summary$estimate[2],
    mice_summary$estimate[2]
  )
)

# Menampilkan hasil
print(results_table)
##                        Metode Intercept    Slope
## 1                Data Lengkap  3.581084 1.412127
## 2 Mean Imputation + Bootstrap  3.653794 1.412127
## 3                        MICE  3.619991 1.408248

6. Visualisasi Perbandingan

results <- data.frame(
  
  Method = c(
    "Data Lengkap",
    "Mean Imp + Bootstrap",
    "MICE"
  ),
  
  Slope = c(
    clean_summary$estimate[2],
    boot_summary$estimate[2],
    mice_summary$estimate[2]
  )
)

ggplot(
  results,
  aes(x = Method, y = Slope)
) +
  geom_point(size = 3) +
  labs(
    title = "Perbandingan Estimasi Slope",
    y = "Koefisien Slope"
  ) +
  theme_minimal()