Data up to..

Wednesday, April 22, 2026

Timezone

UTC

This interactive line chart compares monthly inflation to the gold, silver, and copper metal commodity futures returns. It displays how the metal markets behave during periods of rising or falling inflation. The Month to Month Inflation is displayed in its percentage form. ## Row {height=“45%”}

This interactive chart compare movements in the Federal Funds Rate to returns the in metal commodity futures, displaying each commodity futures relationship with the federal funds rate as an economic indicator.

This interactive chart compares changes in unemployment to returns in the metal commodity futures. They illustrate how these commodity markets behave during shifts in labor‑market conditions. Note that the change in the unemployment rate is displayed in decimal form rather than percentage form. ## Row {height=“45%”}

This summary table compares gold, silver, and copper by their average prices, associated economic indicators, and return volatility. It provides a quick snapshot of how each metal future behaves and its potential link to broader economic conditions. The output is descriptive, helping with comparison, but does not prove or depict any actual relationships. ## Row {height=“25%”}

Summary Statistics: Metals & Economic Indicators
Commodity Futures_Average Economic_Indicator_Average Standard_Deviation
Gold 1294.587163 0.0021241 1.116704
Silver 18.725052 1.9280135 2.072606
Copper 2.879105 5.6712544 1.710917

This heatmap displays the correlation between key economic indicators and commodity futures. It shows how the each of the metal future prices relate to inflation, interest rates, and unemployment. Highlighting how the metals markets co‑move with major macroeconomic variables. ## Row {height=“50%”}

Data up to..

Wednesday, April 22, 2026

Timezone

UTC

This interactive line chart compares monthly inflation to the energy commodity futures returns natural gas, crude oil, and gasoline. It displays how the energy markets behave during periods of rising or falling inflation. The Month to Month Inflation is displayed in its percentage form. ## Row {height=“45%”}

This interactive chart compares movements in the Federal Funds Rate to returns in the energy commodity futures, displaying each commodity futures relationship with the federal funds rate as an economic indicator. ## Row {height=“45%”}

This interactive chart compares changes in unemployment to returns in the energy commodity futures. It illustrates how these commodity markets behave during shifts in labor‑market conditions. Note that the change in the unemployment rate is displayed in decimal form rather than percentage form. ## Row {height=“45%”}

This summary table compares natural gas, crude oil, and gasoline futures by their average prices, associated economic indicators, and return volatility. It provides a quick snapshot of how each energy future behaves and its potential link to broader economic conditions. The output is descriptive, helping with comparison, but does not prove or depict any actual relationships. ## Row {height=“25%”}## Row {height=“25%”}

Summary Statistics: Energy & Economic Indicators
Commodity Futures_Average Economic_Indicator_Average Standard_Deviation
Crude Oil 64.026108 0.0021234 25.4277258
Natural Gas 4.329285 1.9294190 2.2357646
Gasoline 1.891891 5.6707697 0.7551368

This heatmap displays the correlation between key economic indicators and the chosen energy commodity futures. The first chart shows how the chosen energy future prices relate to inflation, interest rates, and unemployment. It depicts the energy markets movement correlation with major macroeconomic variables. ## Row {height=“50%”}

These two graphs quantify the monthly average logarithmic standard deviation of our futures stocks, mapping them from 2001-2025. This highlights the variability in return prices relative to similar futures.

These two graphs display the average biweekly return compared to each year’s average return price or our futures to identify seasonal variability. Holiday markers are included to highlight periods where cultural or seasonal events may drive demand shifts.

This page examines how conflict conditions escalate by comparing shock versus non-shock periods and the relationship between severity and impact.

This chart compares conflict intensity during shock and non‑shock periods. Shock periods represent unusually high‑intensity events that exceed the established threshold, while non‑shock periods reflect baseline conditions.

This chart examines the relationship between impact and severity across conflict events. Severity reflects the intensity level of each event, while impact captures the broader effect or scale of the conflict.

Focus

News Tone vs Futures Market Impact

Data Sources

Kaggle Analyst Ratings | Yahoo Finance via tidyquant

Time Period

2008 – 2020

Financial news sentiment was scored daily using the Bing lexicon applied to headline text. Days where positive words outweighed negative words by more than 10% were labeled Positive, the reverse Negative, and all others Neutral.

Note: Sentiment data covers 2008–2020. Futures returns outside this window are excluded from sentiment comparisons. The sentiment score is a general financial news signal and is not commodity-specific.

This dashboard was created using Quarto in RStudio, and the R Language and Environment.

The dataset used to create this dashboard was downloaded from Yahoo Finance, Kaggle, and Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

The Holidays dataset used to create this dashboard was downloaded from Microsoft Azure Databases

Software Citations

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