Eligibility by Year

N = 1,4851
Year of Eligibility
    2012 81 (5.5%)
    2013 186 (13%)
    2014 118 (7.9%)
    2015 145 (9.8%)
    2016 166 (11%)
    2017 315 (21%)
    2018 274 (18%)
    2019 200 (13%)
1 n (%)

Patient Characteristics at Eligibility

Baseline Characteristics Overall
N = 1,485
1
Eligibility Timing
Pre-implementation
N = 641
1
Post-implementation
N = 844
1
Age (years) 76 (69, 82) 76 (70, 82) 75 (69, 82)
Age 75+ 776 (52%) 352 (55%) 424 (50%)
Male 894 (60%) 370 (58%) 524 (62%)
Race


    Aboriginal 45 (3.0%) 18 (2.8%) 27 (3.2%)
    Asian 92 (6.2%) 51 (8.0%) 41 (4.9%)
    Black 22 (1.5%) 9 (1.4%) 13 (1.5%)
    Caucasian 746 (50%) 354 (55%) 392 (46%)
    Indian subcontinent 52 (3.5%) 23 (3.6%) 29 (3.4%)
    Latin American 11 (0.7%) 7 (1.1%) 4 (0.5%)
    Mid-East/Arabian 10 (0.7%) 6 (0.9%) 4 (0.5%)
    Other/multiracial 14 (0.9%) 5 (0.8%) 9 (1.1%)
    Pacific islander 21 (1.4%) 7 (1.1%) 14 (1.7%)
    Unknown 472 (32%) 161 (25%) 311 (37%)
Weight (kg) 80 (68, 93) 78 (65, 91) 81 (70, 95)
    (Missing) 372 189 183
Height (in) 170 (160, 175) 170 (160, 175) 167 (159, 176)
    (Missing) 1,284 444 840
Smoker 24 (12%) 22 (11%) 2 (50%)
    (Missing) 1,285 445 840
Charlson Score 4 (2, 5) 4 (2, 5) 4 (2, 5)
    (Missing) 522 308 214
Modified Renal Charlson Score 1 (0, 2) 1 (0, 2) 1 (0, 2)
    (Missing) 522 308 214
eGFR 13 (11, 15) 13 (10, 15) 14 (11, 15)
Creatinine 302 (253, 367) 299 (250, 386) 303 (257, 356)
    (Missing) 49 47 2
Hemoglobin 107 (97, 119) 107 (97, 118) 108 (97, 120)
    (Missing) 48 46 2
Albumin 38 (34, 41) 39 (35, 41) 38 (34, 41)
    (Missing) 58 52 6
C-Reactive Protein 14 (7, 39) 24 (9, 48) 13 (6, 38)
    (Missing) 1,330 617 713
Calcium 2 (2, 2) 2 (2, 2) 2 (2, 2)
    (Missing) 48 46 2
Ferratin 149 (76, 279) 155 (84, 299) 144 (71, 271)
    (Missing) 71 57 14
Phosphate 1 (1, 2) - 1 (1, 2)
    (Missing) 909 641 268
Parathyroid Hormone 18 (12, 28) - 18 (12, 28)
    (Missing) 955 641 314
1 Median (Q1, Q3); n (%)

Clinical Evaluations at Eligibility

Baseline Clinical Evaluation Overall
N = 1,485
1
Eligibility Timing
Pre-implementation
N = 641
1
Post-implementation
N = 844
1
Full or Partial Evaluation at Baseline 995 (67%) 331 (52%) 664 (79%)
Pain Assessment Complete 2 (0.8%) 1 (0.9%) 1 (0.6%)
    (Missing) 1,219 535 684
Spiritual Concerns 5 (0.5%) 3 (0.9%) 2 (0.3%)
    (Missing) 490 310 180
Surprise Question (1 year) 781 (78%) 254 (77%) 527 (79%)
    (Missing) 490 310 180
Dementia 20 (2.0%) 8 (2.4%) 12 (1.8%)
    (Missing) 490 310 180
Vascular Disease 76 (7.6%) 29 (8.8%) 47 (7.1%)
    (Missing) 490 310 180
Karnofsky 95 (90, 100) 95 (90, 100) 95 (90, 100)
    (Missing) 490 310 180
Shower


    1 68 (7.0%) 22 (6.7%) 46 (7.1%)
    2 37 (3.8%) 9 (2.7%) 28 (4.3%)
    3 39 (4.0%) 11 (3.3%) 28 (4.3%)
    4 832 (85%) 288 (87%) 544 (84%)
    (Missing) 509 311 198
Dress


    1 37 (3.8%) 10 (3.0%) 27 (4.2%)
    2 32 (3.3%) 10 (3.0%) 22 (3.4%)
    3 32 (3.3%) 9 (2.7%) 23 (3.6%)
    4 875 (90%) 301 (91%) 574 (89%)
    (Missing) 509 311 198
Walk


    1 31 (3.2%) 8 (2.4%) 23 (3.6%)
    2 14 (1.4%) 4 (1.2%) 10 (1.5%)
    3 29 (3.0%) 13 (3.9%) 16 (2.5%)
    4 902 (92%) 305 (92%) 597 (92%)
    (Missing) 509 311 198
Bed


    1 29 (3.0%) 6 (1.8%) 23 (3.6%)
    2 12 (1.2%) 6 (1.8%) 6 (0.9%)
    3 22 (2.3%) 8 (2.4%) 14 (2.2%)
    4 913 (94%) 310 (94%) 603 (93%)
    (Missing) 509 311 198
Pain 1 (0, 4) 2 (0, 4) 1 (0, 3)
    (Missing) 509 311 198
Tired 4 (1, 5) 4 (2, 6) 3 (1, 5)
    (Missing) 509 311 198
Nausea 0 (0, 0) 0 (0, 0) 0 (0, 0)
    (Missing) 509 311 198
Depression 0 (0, 2) 0 (0, 2) 0 (0, 2)
    (Missing) 509 311 198
Anxiety 0 (0, 2) 0 (0, 2) 0 (0, 2)
    (Missing) 509 311 198
Drowsy 1 (0, 4) 1 (0, 4) 1 (0, 4)
    (Missing) 509 311 198
Appetite 1 (0, 4) 3 (0, 5) 0 (0, 3)
    (Missing) 509 311 198
Well Being 3 (1, 5) 3 (1, 5) 3 (1, 5)
    (Missing) 509 311 198
Shortness Of Breath 1 (0, 3) 1 (0, 4) 1 (0, 3)
    (Missing) 509 311 198
Sleep 2 (0, 5) 3 (1, 5) 2 (0, 4)
    (Missing) 509 311 198
Itch 1 (0, 3) 3 (1, 5) 1 (0, 3)
    (Missing) 755 550 205
RLS 0 (0, 1) - 0 (0, 1)
    (Missing) 1,242 641 601
Quality of Health VAS 70 (50, 80) 60 (50, 70) 70 (50, 80)
    (Missing) 719 517 202
1 n (%); Median (Q1, Q3)

Follow-up and Outcomes

Outcomes Overall
N = 1,485
1
Eligibility Timing
Pre-implementation
N = 641
1
Post-implementation
N = 844
1
Follow-up Time (months) 32.8 (16.9, 58.3) 63.8 (49.4, 76.7) 19.2 (9.9, 29.3)
Crossover Status


    All pre-implementation 456 (31%) 456 (71%) 0 (0%)
    Pre- and post-implementation 185 (12%) 185 (29%) 0 (0%)
    All post-implementation 844 (57%) 0 (0%) 844 (100%)
Transplanted 18 (1.2%) 15 (2.3%) 3 (0.4%)
Initiated Dialysis 494 (33%) 306 (48%) 188 (22%)
Time to Dialysis (months) 9.4 (3.1, 18.9) 9.6 (3.0, 23.1) 9.0 (3.2, 14.6)
Died 641 (43%) 396 (62%) 245 (29%)
Any CKM Decision 403 (27%) 189 (29%) 214 (25%)
Time to CKM (months) 0.0 (0.0, 4.1) 0.0 (0.0, 9.1) 0.0 (0.0, 2.4)
New CKM (post-eligibility) Decision 182 (12%) 82 (13%) 100 (12%)
New CKM Post-implementation 136 (9.2%) 36 (5.6%) 100 (12%)
Death or eGFR <= 5 on CKM 273 (18%) 160 (25%) 113 (13%)
CKM to Dialysis 29 (2.0%) 16 (2.5%) 13 (1.5%)
Time from CKM to Dialysis (months) 8.3 (3.8, 16.0) 12.4 (6.8, 24.1) 6.6 (3.4, 9.4)
1 Median (Q1, Q3); n (%)

Follow-up and Outcomes by Event Timing

Outcomes Overall
N = 1,485
1
Event Timing
Pre-Implementation
N = 456
1
Post-Implementation
N = 1,029
1
Eligibility Timing


    Pre-implementation 641 (43%) 456 (100%) 185 (18%)
    Post-implementation 844 (57%) 0 (0%) 844 (82%)
Year of Eligibility


    2012 81 (5.5%) 74 (16%) 7 (0.7%)
    2013 186 (13%) 151 (33%) 35 (3.4%)
    2014 118 (7.9%) 90 (20%) 28 (2.7%)
    2015 145 (9.8%) 101 (22%) 44 (4.3%)
    2016 166 (11%) 40 (8.8%) 126 (12%)
    2017 315 (21%) 0 (0%) 315 (31%)
    2018 274 (18%) 0 (0%) 274 (27%)
    2019 200 (13%) 0 (0%) 200 (19%)
Follow-up Time (months) 32.8 (16.9, 58.3) 68.8 (54.6, 77.2) 23.6 (11.9, 33.2)
Transplanted 18 (1.2%) 14 (3.1%) 4 (0.4%)
Initiated Dialysis 494 (33%) 234 (51%) 260 (25%)
Time to Dialysis (months) 9.4 (3.1, 18.9) 7.4 (1.8, 14.5) 11.6 (4.3, 21.1)
Died 641 (43%) 325 (71%) 316 (31%)
Any CKM Decision 403 (27%) 153 (34%) 250 (24%)
Time to CKM (months) 0.0 (0.0, 4.1) 0.0 (0.0, 0.2) 0.2 (0.0, 6.8)
New CKM (post-eligibility) Decision 182 (12%) 46 (10%) 136 (13%)
1 n (%); Median (Q1, Q3)

CKM Decisions by Year

Follow-up and Outcomes in Patients with New CKM Decisions

New CKM Starts
Eligibility Timing
Pre-implementation
N = 82
1
Post-implementation
N = 100
1
Year of Eligibility

    2012 9 (11%) 0 (0%)
    2013 18 (22%) 0 (0%)
    2014 11 (13%) 0 (0%)
    2015 24 (29%) 0 (0%)
    2016 20 (24%) 10 (10%)
    2017 0 (0%) 47 (47%)
    2018 0 (0%) 39 (39%)
    2019 0 (0%) 4 (4.0%)
Age (years) 80.4 (74.8, 85.3) 80.6 (73.9, 84.2)
Age 75+ 61 (74%) 72 (72%)
Follow-up Time (months) 54.3 (45.7, 73.5) 23.2 (17.4, 30.8)
Time to New CKM Desicion (months) 12.2 (3.1, 27.9) 2.9 (0.5, 8.0)
CKM to Dialysis 9 (11%) 10 (10%)
Time from CKM to Dialysis (months) 12.2 (7.5, 16.0) 5.0 (2.8, 11.4)
1 n (%); Median (Q1, Q3)

Follow-up and Outcomes in Patients with New CKM Decisions by Event Timing

New CKM Starts
CKM Decision Timing
Pre-Implementation
N = 46
1
Post-Implementation
N = 136
1
Eligibility Timing

    Pre-implementation 46 (100%) 36 (26%)
    Post-implementation 0 (0%) 100 (74%)
Year of Eligibility

    2012 5 (11%) 4 (2.9%)
    2013 14 (30%) 4 (2.9%)
    2014 8 (17%) 3 (2.2%)
    2015 12 (26%) 12 (8.8%)
    2016 7 (15%) 23 (17%)
    2017 0 (0%) 47 (35%)
    2018 0 (0%) 39 (29%)
    2019 0 (0%) 4 (2.9%)
Age (years) 80.4 (75.5, 86.0) 80.5 (73.9, 84.5)
Age 75+ 35 (76%) 98 (72%)
Follow-up Time (months) 62.4 (47.4, 75.6) 28.8 (19.2, 39.5)
Time to New CKM Desicion (months) 4.9 (1.0, 14.6) 5.5 (1.2, 15.8)
CKM to Dialysis 7 (15%) 12 (8.8%)
Time from CKM to Dialysis (months) 8.3 (6.1, 16.0) 6.9 (3.1, 14.2)
1 n (%); Median (Q1, Q3)

Time to CKM Decision in Patients with New CKM Decisions

Cumulative Incidence of New CKM - Competing Risks Models

Note: patients who crossed over prior to decision still included in pre-implementation cohort

Cumulative Incidence Plot (Competing Risks = Death/Dialysis)

Cumulative Incidence Table (Competing Risks = Death/Dialysis)

12 Months 24 Months 36 Months 48 Months 60 Months 72 Months 84 Months p-value1
Eligibility Timing






0.008
Pre-implementation 7.7% (5.6%, 10%) 11% (8.2%, 13%) 13% (10%, 16%) 14% (11%, 17%) 15% (12%, 18%) 16% (13%, 19%) 19% (13%, 25%)
Post-implementation 13% (11%, 16%) 16% (13%, 19%) 17% (14%, 21%) 17% (14%, 21%) 17% (14%, 21%) 17% (14%, 21%) 17% (14%, 21%)
1 Gray’s Test

Cause-Specific Hazard of New CKM - Timy Varying Models

Note: patients who crossed over prior to decision are included in the post-implementation cohort at the time of crossover. Competing risk events are considered censored.

Cumulative Incidence Plot (Time Varying)

Cause Specific Hazard Table (Time Varying CoxPH Model)

Event N HR 95% CI p-value
Eligibility Timing



    Pre-implementation 46
    Post-implementation 136 1.84 1.31, 2.57 <0.001
Abbreviations: CI = Confidence Interval, HR = Hazard Ratio

Cause Specific Hazard Table (Time Varying CoxPH Model - Adjusted)

Confounder summary score using: ckm ~ male + white + Karnofsky + Shower + Dress + Walk + Bed + Pain + Tired + Nausea + Depression + Anxiety + Drowsy + Appetite + WellBeing + ShortnessOfBreath + Sleep + Itch + HealthQOL + Dementia + albumin + hgb + GFR + calcium + ferritin + age + weight + ESKD_Ch

Event N HR 95% CI p-value
Eligibility Timing



    Pre-implementation 46
    Post-implementation 136 1.94 1.37, 2.74 <0.001
Confounder Summary Score 182 1.04 1.03, 1.05 <0.001
Abbreviations: CI = Confidence Interval, HR = Hazard Ratio