Predictors used in this model

Predictor Set information

Predictor Set includes：

  • GRS_LAND
  • T2M_MAX
  • lon
  • WS10M_RANGE
  • elevation

Contribution of each predictor, estimated mean surface and history index functions

Results for Year_2000

Model Performance (IMSE): 0.919266

Predictor Contributions Proportions

Relative Contribution Weights - Year_2000
Predictor Contribution_Pct Type
GRS_LAND GRS_LAND 49.21% Scalar
T2M_MAX T2M_MAX 32.12% Functional
lon lon 13.58% Scalar
WS10M_RANGE WS10M_RANGE 4.87% Functional
elevation elevation 0.22% Scalar

Estimated Mean Surface

Estimated History Index Functions

Results for Year_2001

Model Performance (IMSE): 0.247492

Predictor Contributions Proportions

Relative Contribution Weights - Year_2001
Predictor Contribution_Pct Type
T2M_MAX T2M_MAX 70.66% Functional
WS10M_RANGE WS10M_RANGE 16.3% Functional
lon lon 9.77% Scalar
elevation elevation 3.27% Scalar
GRS_LAND GRS_LAND 0.01% Scalar

Estimated Mean Surface

Estimated History Index Functions

Results for Year_2002

Model Performance (IMSE): 1.052213

Predictor Contributions Proportions

Relative Contribution Weights - Year_2002
Predictor Contribution_Pct Type
T2M_MAX T2M_MAX 51.92% Functional
elevation elevation 37.3% Scalar
WS10M_RANGE WS10M_RANGE 6.44% Functional
lon lon 4.25% Scalar
GRS_LAND GRS_LAND 0.09% Scalar

Estimated Mean Surface

Estimated History Index Functions

Results for Year_2003

Model Performance (IMSE): 1.032889

Predictor Contributions Proportions

Relative Contribution Weights - Year_2003
Predictor Contribution_Pct Type
T2M_MAX T2M_MAX 59.41% Functional
lon lon 31.02% Scalar
WS10M_RANGE WS10M_RANGE 7.93% Functional
elevation elevation 1.2% Scalar
GRS_LAND GRS_LAND 0.43% Scalar

Estimated Mean Surface

Estimated History Index Functions

Results for Year_2004

Model Performance (IMSE): 1.068575

Predictor Contributions Proportions

Relative Contribution Weights - Year_2004
Predictor Contribution_Pct Type
elevation elevation 63.18% Scalar
T2M_MAX T2M_MAX 16.79% Functional
lon lon 16.5% Scalar
WS10M_RANGE WS10M_RANGE 3.53% Functional
GRS_LAND GRS_LAND 0% Scalar

Estimated Mean Surface

Estimated History Index Functions

Results for Year_2005

Model Performance (IMSE): 0.822285

Predictor Contributions Proportions

Relative Contribution Weights - Year_2005
Predictor Contribution_Pct Type
T2M_MAX T2M_MAX 43.84% Functional
elevation elevation 23.56% Scalar
WS10M_RANGE WS10M_RANGE 22.34% Functional
lon lon 9.26% Scalar
GRS_LAND GRS_LAND 1% Scalar

Estimated Mean Surface

Estimated History Index Functions

Summary of model performance across years

IMSE Performance Summary: all_results_predset3.rds
Year IMSE
Year_2000 Year_2000 0.9192659
Year_2001 Year_2001 0.2474918
Year_2002 Year_2002 1.0522127
Year_2003 Year_2003 1.0328891
Year_2004 Year_2004 1.0685754
Year_2005 Year_2005 0.8222852
Note:
The highlighted row indicates the year with the best fitting result (lowest IMSE).