FoMSIM Real Data Analysis
Estimated Mean Surface and Predictor Contributions
Anderson Weng
2026-04-22
Predictors used in this model
Predictor Set information
Predictor Set includes：
- T2M_MAX
- QV2M
- lon
- PRECTOT
- WS10M_RANGE
- GRS_LAND
- elevation
Contribution of each predictor, estimated mean surface and history index functions
Results for Year_2000
Model Performance (IMSE): 0.902874
Predictor Contributions Proportions
| Predictor | Contribution_Pct | Type | |
|---|---|---|---|
| T2M_MAX | T2M_MAX | 30.03% | Functional |
| QV2M | QV2M | 28.71% | Functional |
| lon | lon | 21.23% | Scalar |
| PRECTOT | PRECTOT | 14.81% | Functional |
| WS10M_RANGE | WS10M_RANGE | 4.34% | Functional |
| GRS_LAND | GRS_LAND | 0.48% | Scalar |
| elevation | elevation | 0.4% | Scalar |
Estimated Mean Surface
Estimated History Index Functions
Results for Year_2001
Model Performance (IMSE): 0.240929
Predictor Contributions Proportions
| Predictor | Contribution_Pct | Type | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QV2M | QV2M | 47.46% | Functional |
| T2M_MAX | T2M_MAX | 34.21% | Functional |
| PRECTOT | PRECTOT | 8.88% | Functional |
| WS10M_RANGE | WS10M_RANGE | 8.5% | Functional |
| elevation | elevation | 0.94% | Scalar |
| lon | lon | 0.02% | Scalar |
| GRS_LAND | GRS_LAND | 0% | Scalar |
Estimated Mean Surface
Estimated History Index Functions
Results for Year_2002
Model Performance (IMSE): 1.117563
Predictor Contributions Proportions
| Predictor | Contribution_Pct | Type | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QV2M | QV2M | 37.15% | Functional |
| T2M_MAX | T2M_MAX | 28.58% | Functional |
| elevation | elevation | 24.12% | Scalar |
| PRECTOT | PRECTOT | 8.34% | Functional |
| WS10M_RANGE | WS10M_RANGE | 1.73% | Functional |
| lon | lon | 0.08% | Scalar |
| GRS_LAND | GRS_LAND | 0% | Scalar |
Estimated Mean Surface
Estimated History Index Functions
Results for Year_2003
Model Performance (IMSE): 1.231113
Predictor Contributions Proportions
| Predictor | Contribution_Pct | Type | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QV2M | QV2M | 50.94% | Functional |
| T2M_MAX | T2M_MAX | 31.54% | Functional |
| elevation | elevation | 12.88% | Scalar |
| WS10M_RANGE | WS10M_RANGE | 2.33% | Functional |
| PRECTOT | PRECTOT | 1.54% | Functional |
| lon | lon | 0.76% | Scalar |
| GRS_LAND | GRS_LAND | 0% | Scalar |
Estimated Mean Surface
Estimated History Index Functions
Results for Year_2004
Model Performance (IMSE): 0.884343
Predictor Contributions Proportions
| Predictor | Contribution_Pct | Type | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QV2M | QV2M | 55.37% | Functional |
| elevation | elevation | 24.93% | Scalar |
| T2M_MAX | T2M_MAX | 11.81% | Functional |
| PRECTOT | PRECTOT | 4.18% | Functional |
| WS10M_RANGE | WS10M_RANGE | 3.59% | Functional |
| lon | lon | 0.13% | Scalar |
| GRS_LAND | GRS_LAND | 0% | Scalar |
Estimated Mean Surface
Estimated History Index Functions
Results for Year_2005
Model Performance (IMSE): 0.8922
Predictor Contributions Proportions
| Predictor | Contribution_Pct | Type | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QV2M | QV2M | 46.27% | Functional |
| T2M_MAX | T2M_MAX | 38.08% | Functional |
| lon | lon | 5.53% | Scalar |
| PRECTOT | PRECTOT | 3.93% | Functional |
| WS10M_RANGE | WS10M_RANGE | 3.6% | Functional |
| elevation | elevation | 2.6% | Scalar |
| GRS_LAND | GRS_LAND | 0% | Scalar |
Estimated Mean Surface
Estimated History Index Functions
Summary of model performance across years
| Year | IMSE | |
|---|---|---|
| Year_2000 | Year_2000 | 0.9028741 |
| Year_2001 | Year_2001 | 0.2409292 |
| Year_2002 | Year_2002 | 1.1175629 |
| Year_2003 | Year_2003 | 1.2311126 |
| Year_2004 | Year_2004 | 0.8843428 |
| Year_2005 | Year_2005 | 0.8922003 |
| Note: | ||
| The highlighted row indicates the year with the best fitting result (lowest IMSE). |