Predictors used in this model

Predictor Set information

Predictor Set includes：

  • PRECTOT
  • T2M_MAX
  • WS10M_RANGE
  • lon
  • elevation
  • GRS_LAND

Contribution of each predictor, estimated mean surface and history index functions

Results for Year_2000

Model Performance (IMSE): 0.960654

Predictor Contributions Proportions

Relative Contribution Weights - Year_2000
Predictor Contribution_Pct Type
PRECTOT PRECTOT 54.15% Functional
T2M_MAX T2M_MAX 30.29% Functional
WS10M_RANGE WS10M_RANGE 12.83% Functional
lon lon 1.73% Scalar
elevation elevation 0.7% Scalar
GRS_LAND GRS_LAND 0.3% Scalar

Estimated Mean Surface

Estimated History Index Functions

Results for Year_2001

Model Performance (IMSE): 0.244417

Predictor Contributions Proportions

Relative Contribution Weights - Year_2001
Predictor Contribution_Pct Type
PRECTOT PRECTOT 40.38% Functional
T2M_MAX T2M_MAX 22.99% Functional
lon lon 18.59% Scalar
WS10M_RANGE WS10M_RANGE 17.96% Functional
elevation elevation 0.08% Scalar
GRS_LAND GRS_LAND 0% Scalar

Estimated Mean Surface

Estimated History Index Functions

Results for Year_2002

Model Performance (IMSE): 1.254349

Predictor Contributions Proportions

Relative Contribution Weights - Year_2002
Predictor Contribution_Pct Type
lon lon 47.36% Scalar
PRECTOT PRECTOT 23.17% Functional
elevation elevation 17.02% Scalar
T2M_MAX T2M_MAX 10.53% Functional
WS10M_RANGE WS10M_RANGE 1.79% Functional
GRS_LAND GRS_LAND 0.13% Scalar

Estimated Mean Surface

Estimated History Index Functions

Results for Year_2003

Model Performance (IMSE): 1.010459

Predictor Contributions Proportions

Relative Contribution Weights - Year_2003
Predictor Contribution_Pct Type
elevation elevation 30.48% Scalar
T2M_MAX T2M_MAX 28.05% Functional
PRECTOT PRECTOT 27.97% Functional
lon lon 6.91% Scalar
WS10M_RANGE WS10M_RANGE 6.57% Functional
GRS_LAND GRS_LAND 0.03% Scalar

Estimated Mean Surface

Estimated History Index Functions

Results for Year_2004

Model Performance (IMSE): 0.902981

Predictor Contributions Proportions

Relative Contribution Weights - Year_2004
Predictor Contribution_Pct Type
elevation elevation 50.9% Scalar
T2M_MAX T2M_MAX 21.8% Functional
lon lon 12.48% Scalar
PRECTOT PRECTOT 12.1% Functional
WS10M_RANGE WS10M_RANGE 2.72% Functional
GRS_LAND GRS_LAND 0% Scalar

Estimated Mean Surface

Estimated History Index Functions

Results for Year_2005

Model Performance (IMSE): 0.90717

Predictor Contributions Proportions

Relative Contribution Weights - Year_2005
Predictor Contribution_Pct Type
PRECTOT PRECTOT 34.2% Functional
lon lon 27.28% Scalar
T2M_MAX T2M_MAX 25.12% Functional
WS10M_RANGE WS10M_RANGE 10.87% Functional
elevation elevation 2.36% Scalar
GRS_LAND GRS_LAND 0.17% Scalar

Estimated Mean Surface

Estimated History Index Functions

Summary of model performance across years

IMSE Performance Summary: all_results_predset1.rds
Year IMSE
Year_2000 Year_2000 0.9606543
Year_2001 Year_2001 0.2444172
Year_2002 Year_2002 1.2543495
Year_2003 Year_2003 1.0104594
Year_2004 Year_2004 0.9029810
Year_2005 Year_2005 0.9071705
Note:
The highlighted row indicates the year with the best fitting result (lowest IMSE).