Executive Summary
This report analyzes the 2025 fantasy baseball season to identify
which team construction styles actually worked in the league.
The core findings are straightforward.
- Team-level fantasy point totals derived from the scripts matched the
official ESPN season totals exactly.
- Batting shape alone did not explain team success.
- The three strongest teams by wins shared a broadly starter-oriented
pitching structure.
- Combined clustering suggests one primary winning archetype and two
weaker alternatives.
- Style mattered, but execution within a style mattered just as
much.
Data and Validation
The report uses two foundations:
- validated team-level scoring data derived from weekly matchups
- official ESPN season totals for batting, pitching, PF, PA, and
related summary fields
The most important quality check is validation: the scripted team
fantasy point totals matched the official ESPN season totals exactly.
That means the team-level analyses in this report are grounded in the
league’s actual scoring record rather than inferred estimates.
Validated Team Fantasy Point Totals
|
team
|
validated_team_points
|
|
Pop’s BB Team
|
5961
|
|
Andrew’s Awesome Team
|
5579
|
|
Working the Count
|
5423
|
|
Baltimore Rockies
|
5169
|
|
Can of Corn
|
5125
|
|
Home Run Hutch Brothers
|
5056
|
|
Uncle Rich’s O’s
|
4979
|
|
John’s Juggernaut Team
|
4915
|
|
The Woodhound Frogs
|
4535
|
|
Holliday Season
|
4420
|
Batting Profiles
What the batting clusters measure
Batting clustering was built from six offensive variables:
- Runs
- Total Bases
- RBI
- Walks
- Strikeouts
- Stolen Bases
The batting clusters describe offensive shape, not
total team quality. A team can cluster with strong offenses while still
falling short overall if its pitching and total fantasy-point conversion
lag behind.

Batting takeaway
The batting heat map reveals distinct offensive shapes, but batting
alone did not explain team success. Andrew’s fit the strongest offensive
cluster and also won big. Pop’s and Working, however, reached the top
tier with more moderate batting profiles, which points back to pitching
structure and total team construction as the larger differentiators.
Pitching Profiles
Why pitching required more care
Pitching analysis is more nuanced than batting because the league
appears to support at least three recognizable staff shapes:
- starter-volume staffs, built around innings,
strikeouts, and wins
- bullpen/leverage staffs, built around saves and
holds
- hybrid staffs, without a strong commitment to
either extreme
The heat map below should be read as a shape map, not a
ranking of “best pitching staffs.”

Reading note. In the pitching discussion, higher
values are favorable for IP, K_Pitch,
W, SV, HD, and
P_KBB, while lower values are favorable for H,
ER, BB_Pitch, L, and
WHIP.
Pitching takeaway
The top three teams by wins all came from the broadly
starter-oriented pitching family. Pop’s, Andrew’s, and Working
emphasized innings, strikeouts, and wins rather than saves and holds.
Alternative bullpen/prevention approaches existed, but they did not
produce the same average outcomes in 2025.
Combined Team Archetypes
Combined clustering is the most useful section of the report because
it blends batting and pitching style into full team-construction
archetypes.
Cluster assignments
Combined Cluster Results
|
team
|
PF
|
PA
|
PF_PA_dif
|
Wins
|
Losses
|
MOVES
|
cluster_label
|
|
Home Run Hutch Brothers
|
5056
|
5426
|
-370
|
9
|
13
|
173
|
Leverage / lower-volume
|
|
John’s Juggernaut Team
|
4915
|
5147
|
-232
|
8
|
13
|
0
|
Leverage / lower-volume
|
|
The Woodhound Frogs
|
4535
|
4767
|
-232
|
9
|
13
|
1
|
Leverage / lower-volume
|
|
Baltimore Rockies
|
5169
|
5390
|
-221
|
7
|
15
|
125
|
Offense-forward alternative
|
|
Can of Corn
|
5125
|
5023
|
102
|
11
|
11
|
23
|
Offense-forward alternative
|
|
Pop’s BB Team
|
5961
|
5138
|
823
|
17
|
5
|
107
|
Primary winning archetype
|
|
Andrew’s Awesome Team
|
5579
|
5042
|
537
|
17
|
5
|
57
|
Primary winning archetype
|
|
Working the Count
|
5423
|
5009
|
414
|
15
|
7
|
140
|
Primary winning archetype
|
|
Uncle Rich’s O’s
|
4979
|
5128
|
-149
|
10
|
12
|
111
|
Primary winning archetype
|
|
Holliday Season
|
4420
|
5092
|
-672
|
6
|
15
|
33
|
Primary winning archetype
|
Combined heat map

Cluster outcome profiles
Combined Cluster Profiles
|
Cluster
|
avg_PF
|
avg_PA
|
avg_diff
|
avg_Wins
|
avg_Losses
|
avg_MOVES
|
|
Leverage / lower-volume
|
4835.3
|
5113.3
|
-278.0
|
8.7
|
13.0
|
58.0
|
|
Primary winning archetype
|
5272.4
|
5081.8
|
190.6
|
13.0
|
8.8
|
89.6
|
|
Offense-forward alternative
|
5147.0
|
5206.5
|
-59.5
|
9.0
|
13.0
|
74.0
|
What the combined clusters mean
Cluster 1: Leverage / lower-volume cluster
Teams:
- Home Run Hutch
- John’s
- Woodhound
This was the weakest outcome cluster overall. It combined lower
fantasy-point production with a clearly negative average scoring margin
and sub-.500 records.
Cluster 2: Primary winning archetype
Teams:
- Pop’s
- Andrew’s
- Working
- Uncle Rich’s
- Holliday
This was the strongest cluster by far. It produced the highest
average fantasy points, the only positive average scoring margin, and
the highest average win total. This cluster contained the league’s
top-performing teams and appears to capture the league’s primary
successful build family in 2025.
Cluster 3: Offense-forward alternative cluster
Teams:
This was a smaller alternative path. It was respectable and
competitive in spots, but less consistently successful than Cluster
2.
Main combined takeaway
Combined clustering suggests that the 2025 league had one
primary winning archetype and two weaker alternatives. At the
same time, style alone did not guarantee success. The winning cluster
also contained weaker teams, which means execution within an archetype
mattered as much as the archetype itself.
What Separated Winners from Non-Winners
The best teams did not simply belong to the right cluster. They also
executed better within that cluster.
The strongest combined cluster contained both elite teams and weaker
teams. That means the league rewarded a broad construction family, but
within that family the best managers still separated themselves through
stronger production, better conversion of style into fantasy points, and
likely better in-season management.
Moves may have played a role as well. The strongest cluster also had
the highest average move total, which suggests that active management
may have reinforced the league’s most successful archetype rather than
replacing it.
Conclusions
Several conclusions stand out from the 2025 season.
- Team-level scoring analysis is fully validated.
- Batting profile alone did not explain success.
- The strongest teams shared a broadly starter-oriented pitching
structure.
- One combined team archetype clearly outperformed the others.
- Style mattered, but execution within a style mattered just as
much.
The clearest lesson from 2025 is that the league appears to have
rewarded one broad construction family more than any other —
particularly teams that paired solid overall production with
starter-oriented pitching. But the report also shows that there was no
automatic formula. The best teams did not merely belong to the right
archetype; they executed that archetype better than the rest of the
league.
Appendix
Correlation matrix

Batting dendrogram

Pitching dendrogram

Combined dendrogram
Notes
- Cluster analysis here is descriptive and exploratory.
- The sample is one season and ten teams.
- Final-roster player analysis was informative, but the core report is
grounded in validated team-level scoring and official season
totals.