Projected Demand

Demand Forecasts (2025-2027): Comparing Four Methodologies
State Year Demand (CAGR) Demand (3-Yr MA) Demand (ARIMA) Demand (Linear)
Gujarat 2025 162 146 160 157
Gujarat 2026 172 149 167 164
Gujarat 2027 183 150 174 171
Madhya Pradesh 2025 106 95 105 104
Madhya Pradesh 2026 113 97 110 109
Madhya Pradesh 2027 119 97 114 114

Graph

90% Peak Demand

Column

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

###2019

2018

2017

Peak Shifts

LDC

Column

Standard

Normalized

Column

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

Peak Projected Demand

Comparison of Demand Projections (MW): CAGR vs ARIMA (2025-2027)
State Year Month CAGR Projection ARIMA Projection
Gujarat 2025 Jan 21995 21010
Gujarat 2026 Jan 23719 21295
Gujarat 2027 Jan 25578 22237
Gujarat 2025 Feb 21356 20432
Gujarat 2026 Feb 22796 21374
Gujarat 2027 Feb 24333 22316
Gujarat 2025 Mar 20830 20510
Gujarat 2026 Mar 21760 21452
Gujarat 2027 Mar 22732 22394
Gujarat 2025 Apr 20531 20589
Gujarat 2026 Apr 21141 21531
Gujarat 2027 Apr 21768 22473
Gujarat 2025 May 26653 20667
Gujarat 2026 May 30432 21609
Gujarat 2027 May 34747 22551
Gujarat 2025 Jun 26426 20746
Gujarat 2026 Jun 30023 21688
Gujarat 2027 Jun 34110 22630
Gujarat 2025 Jul 18370 20824
Gujarat 2026 Jul 19123 21766
Gujarat 2027 Jul 19906 22708
Gujarat 2025 Aug 16709 20903
Gujarat 2026 Aug 16568 21845
Gujarat 2027 Aug 16427 22787
Gujarat 2025 Sep 21101 20981
Gujarat 2026 Sep 23531 21923
Gujarat 2027 Sep 26242 22865
Gujarat 2025 Oct 21059 21060
Gujarat 2026 Oct 22617 22002
Gujarat 2027 Oct 24290 22944
Gujarat 2025 Nov 21331 21138
Gujarat 2026 Nov 23255 22080
Gujarat 2027 Nov 25353 23022
Gujarat 2025 Dec 23447 21217
Gujarat 2026 Dec 25570 22159
Gujarat 2027 Dec 27885 23101