Storms and other severe weather events can cause both public health and economic problems for communities and municipalities. Many severe events can result in fatalities, injuries, and property damage, and preventing such outcomes to the extent possible is a key concern.
This project involves exploring the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) storm database. This database tracks characteristics of major storms and weather events in the United States, including when and where they occur, as well as estimates of any fatalities, injuries, and property damage.
Two observations are found:
First, we download the data and filter down to only the columns needed with some data transformation.
knitr::opts_chunk$set(echo = TRUE,warning = FALSE, message = FALSE, cache= TRUE)
##Loading libraries and preprocessing the data
library(ggplot2)
library(dplyr)
##
## Attaching package: 'dplyr'
## The following objects are masked from 'package:stats':
##
## filter, lag
## The following objects are masked from 'package:base':
##
## intersect, setdiff, setequal, union
library(tidyverse)
## ── Attaching core tidyverse packages ──────────────────────── tidyverse 2.0.0 ──
## ✔ forcats 1.0.1 ✔ stringr 1.6.0
## ✔ lubridate 1.9.4 ✔ tibble 3.3.0
## ✔ purrr 1.2.0 ✔ tidyr 1.3.1
## ✔ readr 2.1.6
## ── Conflicts ────────────────────────────────────────── tidyverse_conflicts() ──
## ✖ dplyr::filter() masks stats::filter()
## ✖ dplyr::lag() masks stats::lag()
## ℹ Use the conflicted package (<http://conflicted.r-lib.org/>) to force all conflicts to become errors
#Download the file
url <- "https://d396qusza40orc.cloudfront.net/repdata%2Fdata%2FStormData.csv.bz2"
download.file(url,destfile="NOAA.bz2", method="curl")
stormdata <- read.csv("NOAA.bz2")
#Check dimensions, names and first few lines
dim(stormdata)
## [1] 902297 37
names(stormdata)
## [1] "STATE__" "BGN_DATE" "BGN_TIME" "TIME_ZONE" "COUNTY"
## [6] "COUNTYNAME" "STATE" "EVTYPE" "BGN_RANGE" "BGN_AZI"
## [11] "BGN_LOCATI" "END_DATE" "END_TIME" "COUNTY_END" "COUNTYENDN"
## [16] "END_RANGE" "END_AZI" "END_LOCATI" "LENGTH" "WIDTH"
## [21] "F" "MAG" "FATALITIES" "INJURIES" "PROPDMG"
## [26] "PROPDMGEXP" "CROPDMG" "CROPDMGEXP" "WFO" "STATEOFFIC"
## [31] "ZONENAMES" "LATITUDE" "LONGITUDE" "LATITUDE_E" "LONGITUDE_"
## [36] "REMARKS" "REFNUM"
head(stormdata)
## STATE__ BGN_DATE BGN_TIME TIME_ZONE COUNTY COUNTYNAME STATE EVTYPE
## 1 1 4/18/1950 0:00:00 0130 CST 97 MOBILE AL TORNADO
## 2 1 4/18/1950 0:00:00 0145 CST 3 BALDWIN AL TORNADO
## 3 1 2/20/1951 0:00:00 1600 CST 57 FAYETTE AL TORNADO
## 4 1 6/8/1951 0:00:00 0900 CST 89 MADISON AL TORNADO
## 5 1 11/15/1951 0:00:00 1500 CST 43 CULLMAN AL TORNADO
## 6 1 11/15/1951 0:00:00 2000 CST 77 LAUDERDALE AL TORNADO
## BGN_RANGE BGN_AZI BGN_LOCATI END_DATE END_TIME COUNTY_END COUNTYENDN
## 1 0 0 NA
## 2 0 0 NA
## 3 0 0 NA
## 4 0 0 NA
## 5 0 0 NA
## 6 0 0 NA
## END_RANGE END_AZI END_LOCATI LENGTH WIDTH F MAG FATALITIES INJURIES PROPDMG
## 1 0 14.0 100 3 0 0 15 25.0
## 2 0 2.0 150 2 0 0 0 2.5
## 3 0 0.1 123 2 0 0 2 25.0
## 4 0 0.0 100 2 0 0 2 2.5
## 5 0 0.0 150 2 0 0 2 2.5
## 6 0 1.5 177 2 0 0 6 2.5
## PROPDMGEXP CROPDMG CROPDMGEXP WFO STATEOFFIC ZONENAMES LATITUDE LONGITUDE
## 1 K 0 3040 8812
## 2 K 0 3042 8755
## 3 K 0 3340 8742
## 4 K 0 3458 8626
## 5 K 0 3412 8642
## 6 K 0 3450 8748
## LATITUDE_E LONGITUDE_ REMARKS REFNUM
## 1 3051 8806 1
## 2 0 0 2
## 3 0 0 3
## 4 0 0 4
## 5 0 0 5
## 6 0 0 6
#Subset of relevant data and convert exponents to uppercase
datasubset <- stormdata %>% select(EVTYPE,FATALITIES,INJURIES,PROPDMG,PROPDMGEXP,CROPDMG,CROPDMGEXP) %>% mutate (
PROPDMGEXP = toupper(PROPDMGEXP),
CROPDMGEXP = toupper(CROPDMGEXP),
# Directly calculate the multiplier using case_match
prop_val = case_match(PROPDMGEXP,
"H" ~ 100,
"K" ~ 1000,
"M" ~ 1000000,
"B" ~ 1000000000,
.default = 1
),
crop_val = case_match(CROPDMGEXP,
"H" ~ 100,
"K" ~ 1000,
"M" ~ 1000000,
"B" ~ 1000000000,
.default = 1
),
# Final Economic Calculation
TOTAL_ECON = (PROPDMG * prop_val) + (CROPDMG * crop_val),
TOTAL_HEALTH = FATALITIES + INJURIES
)
#2A. Qn1) Impact on Population Health For Question 1, we sum fatalities and injuries to see which weather events are the most dangerous.Based on the chart below, it appears that tornado has the highest impact on population health.
datasubset %>%
group_by(EVTYPE) %>%
summarise(total = sum(TOTAL_HEALTH)) %>%
slice_max(total, n = 10) %>% #slice to get the top 10 categories
ggplot(aes(x = reorder(EVTYPE, total), y = total)) +
geom_col(fill = "darkred") +
coord_flip() +
labs(title = "Highest Health Impact", x = "", y = "Fatalities and Injuries")
#2B. Q2) Impact On Economy and Actual Damage Costs For Question 2, we sum the property and crop damage to find the most “expensive” events.Based on the chart below, it appears that flood has the highest economic impact.
datasubset %>%
group_by(EVTYPE) %>%
summarise(total = sum(TOTAL_ECON)) %>%
slice_max(total, n = 10) %>% #slice to get the top 10 categories
ggplot(aes(x = reorder(EVTYPE, total), y = total)) +
geom_col(fill = "steelblue") +
coord_flip() +
labs(title = "Highest Economic Impact", x = "", y = "Costs of Damage in USD")