install.packages("lmtest")
## Installing package into '/cloud/lib/x86_64-pc-linux-gnu-library/4.4'
## (as 'lib' is unspecified)
library(MASS)
library(lmtest)
## Loading required package: zoo
##
## Attaching package: 'zoo'
## The following objects are masked from 'package:base':
##
## as.Date, as.Date.numeric
set.seed(42)
n <- 200
firm_size <- runif(n, 10, 500)
error <- rnorm(n, mean = 0, sd = 0.5)
rd_expenditure <- exp(1.5 + 0.6 * log(firm_size) + error)
df_firms <- data.frame(
Firm_ID = 1:n,
Total_Assets = firm_size,
RD_Expenditure = rd_expenditure
)
head(df_firms)
## Firm_ID Total_Assets RD_Expenditure
## 1 1 458.2550 322.76939
## 2 2 469.1670 302.76313
## 3 3 150.2084 54.90529
## 4 4 416.9193 421.56611
## 5 5 324.4553 103.12089
## 6 6 264.3570 134.17397
plot(df_firms$Total_Assets, df_firms$RD_Expenditure,
xlab = "Total Assets (mn)", ylab = "R&D Expenditure (mn)",
main = "Total Assets vs R&D Expenditure",
pch = 19, col = rgb(0, 0, 1, 0.4))
abline(lm(RD_Expenditure ~ Total_Assets, data = df_firms), col = "red", lwd = 2)
#2. Diagnose
model_raw <- lm(RD_Expenditure ~ Total_Assets, data = df_firms)
summary(model_raw)
##
## Call:
## lm(formula = RD_Expenditure ~ Total_Assets, data = df_firms)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -135.79 -42.06 -12.37 25.08 404.97
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 40.50788 11.25914 3.598 0.000405 ***
## Total_Assets 0.35091 0.03731 9.405 < 2e-16 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 75.31 on 198 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.3088, Adjusted R-squared: 0.3053
## F-statistic: 88.46 on 1 and 198 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16
par(mar = c(4, 4, 2, 1))
par(mfrow = c(2, 2))
plot(model_raw)
par(mfrow = c(1, 1))
shapiro.test(residuals(model_raw))
bptest(model_raw)
#3. Box-Cox Transform and refine
bc <- boxcox(model_raw, lambda = seq(-2, 2, 0.05))
lambda_opt <- bc$x[which.max(bc$y)]
cat("Optimal lambda:", lambda_opt, "\n")
## Optimal lambda: 0.1818182
df_firms$RD_transformed <- (df_firms$RD_Expenditure ^ lambda_opt - 1) / lambda_opt
model_bc <- lm(RD_transformed ~ Total_Assets, data = df_firms)
summary(model_bc)
##
## Call:
## lm(formula = RD_transformed ~ Total_Assets, data = df_firms)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -2.6671 -0.9255 -0.0303 0.7700 3.2087
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 5.4627033 0.1839737 29.69 <2e-16 ***
## Total_Assets 0.0075331 0.0006096 12.36 <2e-16 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 1.231 on 198 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.4354, Adjusted R-squared: 0.4325
## F-statistic: 152.7 on 1 and 198 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16
par(mfrow = c(2, 2))
plot(model_bc)
par(mfrow = c(1, 1))
shapiro.test(residuals(model_bc))
##
## Shapiro-Wilk normality test
##
## data: residuals(model_bc)
## W = 0.98986, p-value = 0.1707
bptest(model_bc)
##
## studentized Breusch-Pagan test
##
## data: model_bc
## BP = 0.0051706, df = 1, p-value = 0.9427