1 Configuración y Carga de Datos

##### UNIVERSIDAD CENTRAL DEL ECUADOR #####
#### AUTOR: MARTIN SARMIENTO ####
### CARRERA: INGENIERÍA EN PETRÓLEOS #####


#### VARIABLE CAPACIDAD ####
## DATASET ##
# Cargar dataset
Datos <- read.csv("Dataset_Mundial_Final.csv", sep = ";", dec = ",", fileEncoding = "latin1")
# Estructura de los datos
str(Datos)
## 'data.frame':    58978 obs. of  29 variables:
##  $ ï..OBJECTID           : int  2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 ...
##  $ code                  : chr  "00001-AFG-P" "00002-AFG-P" "00003-AFG-P" "00004-AFG-P" ...
##  $ plant_name            : chr  "Badghis Solar Power Plant" "Balkh solar farm" "Behsood solar farm" "Dab Pal 4 solar farm" ...
##  $ country               : chr  "Afghanistan" "Afghanistan" "Afghanistan" "Afghanistan" ...
##  $ operational_status    : chr  "cancelled - inferred 4 y" "cancelled - inferred 4 y" "cancelled - inferred 4 y" "shelved - inferred 2 y" ...
##  $ longitude             : num  62.9 67.1 70.4 66.2 65.7 ...
##  $ latitude              : num  35.1 36.7 34.4 33.8 31.7 ...
##  $ elevation             : int  918 359 629 2288 1060 1060 1392 398 410 1012 ...
##  $ area                  : num  6.74 10.72 487.73 111.8 1929.96 ...
##  $ size                  : chr  "Small" "Small" "Small" "Small" ...
##  $ slope                 : num  7.38 0.49 1.1 6.16 1.23 ...
##  $ slope_type            : chr  "Moderado" "Plano o casi plano" "Plano o casi plano" "Moderado" ...
##  $ curvature             : num  -0.024 0 0 0.045 -0.005 -0.005 -0.015 0 0 -0.009 ...
##  $ curvature_type        : chr  "Superficies cóncavas / Valles" "Superficies planas o intermedias" "Superficies planas o intermedias" "Superficies convexas / Crestas" ...
##  $ aspect                : num  96.8 358.5 36.2 305.8 248.4 ...
##  $ aspect_type           : chr  "East" "North" "Northeast" "Northwest" ...
##  $ dist_to_road          : num  7037.1 92.7 112.1 1705.3 115.8 ...
##  $ ambient_temperature   : num  14.4 17.88 21.32 8.86 19.64 ...
##  $ ghi                   : num  5.82 5.58 5.8 6.75 6.62 ...
##  $ humidity              : num  47.7 42.3 36.4 37.3 24.2 ...
##  $ wind_speed            : num  0.039 0.954 0.234 0.943 0.37 ...
##  $ wind_direction        : num  187.5 207.4 255.6 160.3 97.7 ...
##  $ dt_wind               : chr  "South" "Southwest" "West" "South" ...
##  $ solar_aptitude        : num  0.72 0.635 0.685 0.659 0.819 0.819 0.818 0.642 0.63 0.374 ...
##  $ solar_aptitude_rounded: int  7 6 7 7 8 8 8 6 6 4 ...
##  $ solar_aptittude_class : chr  "Alta" "Alta" "Alta" "Alta" ...
##  $ capacity              : num  32 40 60 3000 100 100 36 50 25 100 ...
##  $ optimal_tilt          : num  30 31 31.1 33 31 ...
##  $ pv_potential          : num  4.61 4.41 4.57 5.42 5.17 ...
# Cargamos las librerias
library(dplyr)
## 
## Adjuntando el paquete: 'dplyr'
## The following objects are masked from 'package:stats':
## 
##     filter, lag
## The following objects are masked from 'package:base':
## 
##     intersect, setdiff, setequal, union
library(gt)
library(e1071)

2 Cálculo de Intervalos y Frecuencias

# Extraer variable
Variable <- na.omit(Datos$capacity)
N <- length(Variable)

# CÁLCULO LÍMITES DECIMALES 
min_dec <- min(Variable)
max_dec <- max(Variable)
k_dec <- floor(1 + 3.322 * log10(N))
rango_dec <- max_dec - min_dec
amplitud_dec <- rango_dec / k_dec

# Cortes exactos 
cortes_dec <- seq(min_dec, max_dec, length.out = k_dec + 1)
cortes_dec[length(cortes_dec)] <- max_dec + 0.0001

# Frecuencias
inter_dec <- cut(Variable, breaks = cortes_dec, include.lowest = TRUE, right = FALSE)
ni_dec <- as.vector(table(inter_dec))

# CÁLCULOS MATEMÁTICOS 
hi_dec <- (ni_dec / N) * 100
Ni_asc_dec <- cumsum(ni_dec)
Hi_asc_dec <- cumsum(hi_dec)
Ni_desc_dec <- rev(cumsum(rev(ni_dec)))
Hi_desc_dec <- rev(cumsum(rev(hi_dec)))

# Dataframe Decimal
TDF_Decimal <- data.frame(
  Li = cortes_dec[1:k_dec],
  Ls = cortes_dec[2:(k_dec+1)],
  MC = (cortes_dec[1:k_dec] + cortes_dec[2:(k_dec+1)]) / 2,
  ni = ni_dec,
  hi = hi_dec,
  Ni_asc = Ni_asc_dec,
  Ni_desc = Ni_desc_dec,
  Hi_asc = Hi_asc_dec,
  Hi_desc = Hi_desc_dec)


# CÁLCULO LÍMITES ENTEROS 
min_int <- floor(min(Variable)) 
max_int <- ceiling(max(Variable))
k_int_sug <- floor(1 + 3.322 * log10(N))
Rango_int <- max_int - min_int
Amplitud_raw <- Rango_int / k_int_sug

Amplitud_int <- ceiling(Amplitud_raw / 10) * 10
if(Amplitud_int == 0) Amplitud_int <- 10

min_int <- 0

cortes_int <- seq(from = min_int, by = Amplitud_int, length.out = k_int_sug + 100) # 
cortes_int <- cortes_int[cortes_int <= (max(Variable) + Amplitud_int)]

if(max(cortes_int) < max(Variable)) {
  cortes_int <- c(cortes_int, max(cortes_int) + Amplitud_int)
}

K_real <- length(cortes_int) - 1
lim_inf_int <- cortes_int[1:K_real]
lim_sup_int <- cortes_int[2:(K_real+1)]

# Frecuencias
inter_int <- cut(Variable, breaks = cortes_int, include.lowest = TRUE, right = FALSE)
ni_int <- as.vector(table(inter_int))

# CÁLCULOS MATEMÁTICOS
hi_int <- (ni_int / N) * 100
Ni_asc_int <- cumsum(ni_int)
Hi_asc_int <- cumsum(hi_int)
Ni_desc_int <- rev(cumsum(rev(ni_int)))
Hi_desc_int <- rev(cumsum(rev(hi_int)))

# Dataframe Entero
TDF_Enteros <- data.frame(
  Li = lim_inf_int,
  Ls = lim_sup_int,
  MC = (lim_inf_int + lim_sup_int) / 2,
  ni = ni_int,
  hi = hi_int,
  Ni_asc = Ni_asc_int,
  Ni_desc = Ni_desc_int,
  Hi_asc = Hi_asc_int,
  Hi_desc = Hi_desc_int)

3 Tabla de Distribución de Frecuencias

3.1 Tabla con Límites Decimales

# Crear Dataframe
TDF_Dec_Final <- data.frame(
  Li      = as.character(round(TDF_Decimal$Li, 2)),
  Ls      = as.character(round(TDF_Decimal$Ls, 2)),
  MC      = as.character(round(TDF_Decimal$MC, 2)),
  ni      = as.character(TDF_Decimal$ni),
  hi      = as.character(round(TDF_Decimal$hi, 2)),
  Ni_asc  = as.character(TDF_Decimal$Ni_asc),
  Ni_desc = as.character(TDF_Decimal$Ni_desc),
  Hi_asc  = as.character(round(TDF_Decimal$Hi_asc, 2)),
  Hi_desc = as.character(round(TDF_Decimal$Hi_desc, 2))
)

# Calcular Totales
totales_dec <- c("TOTAL", "-", "-", sum(TDF_Decimal$ni), round(sum(TDF_Decimal$hi), 2), "-", "-", "-", "-")
TDF_Dec_Final <- rbind(TDF_Dec_Final, totales_dec)

# Generar GT
TDF_Dec_Final %>%
  gt() %>%
  tab_header(title = md("**Tabla N°1 de Distribución de Frecuencias de Capacidad (MW)**")) %>%
  tab_source_note(source_note = "Autor: Martin Sarmiento") %>%
  cols_label(
    Li = "Lim. Inf", 
    Ls = "Lim. Sup", 
    MC = "Marca Clase",
    ni = "Frec. Abs (ni)", 
    hi = "Frec. Rel (%)",
    Ni_asc = "Ni (Asc)", 
    Ni_desc = "Ni (Desc)",
    Hi_asc = "Hi Asc (%)", 
    Hi_desc = "Hi Desc (%)"
  ) %>%
  cols_align(align = "center", columns = everything()) %>%
  tab_options(heading.title.font.size = px(14), column_labels.background.color = "#F0F0F0")
Tabla N°1 de Distribución de Frecuencias de Capacidad (MW)
Lim. Inf Lim. Sup Marca Clase Frec. Abs (ni) Frec. Rel (%) Ni (Asc) Ni (Desc) Hi Asc (%) Hi Desc (%)
1 1563.44 782.22 58881 99.84 58881 58978 99.84 100
1563.44 3125.88 2344.66 66 0.11 58947 97 99.95 0.16
3125.88 4688.31 3907.09 11 0.02 58958 31 99.97 0.05
4688.31 6250.75 5469.53 5 0.01 58963 20 99.97 0.03
6250.75 7813.19 7031.97 8 0.01 58971 15 99.99 0.03
7813.19 9375.62 8594.41 2 0 58973 7 99.99 0.01
9375.62 10938.06 10156.84 2 0 58975 5 99.99 0.01
10938.06 12500.5 11719.28 2 0 58977 3 100 0.01
12500.5 14062.94 13281.72 0 0 58977 1 100 0
14062.94 15625.38 14844.16 0 0 58977 1 100 0
15625.38 17187.81 16406.59 0 0 58977 1 100 0
17187.81 18750.25 17969.03 0 0 58977 1 100 0
18750.25 20312.69 19531.47 0 0 58977 1 100 0
20312.69 21875.12 21093.91 0 0 58977 1 100 0
21875.12 23437.56 22656.34 0 0 58977 1 100 0
23437.56 25000 24218.78 1 0 58978 1 100 0
TOTAL - - 58978 100 - - - -
Autor: Martin Sarmiento

3.2 Tabla con Límites Enteros

# Crear Dataframe
TDF_Int_Final <- data.frame(
  Li      = as.character(TDF_Enteros$Li),
  Ls      = as.character(TDF_Enteros$Ls),
  MC      = as.character(TDF_Enteros$MC),
  ni      = as.character(TDF_Enteros$ni),
  hi      = as.character(round(TDF_Enteros$hi, 2)),
  Ni_asc  = as.character(TDF_Enteros$Ni_asc),
  Ni_desc = as.character(TDF_Enteros$Ni_desc),
  Hi_asc  = as.character(round(TDF_Enteros$Hi_asc, 2)),
  Hi_desc = as.character(round(TDF_Enteros$Hi_desc, 2))
)

# Calcular Totales
totales_int <- c("TOTAL", "-", "-", sum(TDF_Enteros$ni), round(sum(TDF_Enteros$hi), 2), "-", "-", "-", "-")
TDF_Int_Final <- rbind(TDF_Int_Final, totales_int)

# Generar GT
TDF_Int_Final %>%
  gt() %>%
  tab_header(title = md("**Tabla N°2 de Distribución de Frecuencias de Capacidad (MW)**")) %>%
  tab_source_note(source_note = "Autor: Martin Sarmiento") %>%
  cols_label(
    Li = "Lim. Inf", 
    Ls = "Lim. Sup", 
    MC = "Marca Clase",
    ni = "Frec. Abs (ni)", 
    hi = "Frec. Rel (%)",
    Ni_asc = "Ni (Asc)", 
    Ni_desc = "Ni (Desc)",
    Hi_asc = "Hi Asc (%)", 
    Hi_desc = "Hi Desc (%)"
  ) %>%
  cols_align(align = "center", columns = everything()) %>%
  tab_options(heading.title.font.size = px(14), column_labels.background.color = "#F0F0F0")
Tabla N°2 de Distribución de Frecuencias de Capacidad (MW)
Lim. Inf Lim. Sup Marca Clase Frec. Abs (ni) Frec. Rel (%) Ni (Asc) Ni (Desc) Hi Asc (%) Hi Desc (%)
0 1570 785 58881 99.84 58881 58978 99.84 100
1570 3140 2355 66 0.11 58947 97 99.95 0.16
3140 4710 3925 11 0.02 58958 31 99.97 0.05
4710 6280 5495 5 0.01 58963 20 99.97 0.03
6280 7850 7065 8 0.01 58971 15 99.99 0.03
7850 9420 8635 2 0 58973 7 99.99 0.01
9420 10990 10205 2 0 58975 5 99.99 0.01
10990 12560 11775 2 0 58977 3 100 0.01
12560 14130 13345 0 0 58977 1 100 0
14130 15700 14915 0 0 58977 1 100 0
15700 17270 16485 0 0 58977 1 100 0
17270 18840 18055 0 0 58977 1 100 0
18840 20410 19625 0 0 58977 1 100 0
20410 21980 21195 0 0 58977 1 100 0
21980 23550 22765 0 0 58977 1 100 0
23550 25120 24335 1 0 58978 1 100 0
TOTAL - - 58978 100 - - - -
Autor: Martin Sarmiento

4 Análisis Gráfico

4.1 Histogramas de Cantidad

par(mar = c(8, 7, 5, 2)) 
barplot(TDF_Enteros$ni, 
        names.arg = TDF_Enteros$MC,
        main = "",
        xlab = "", 
        ylab = "",
        col = "#EED5D2",
        ylim = c(0, max(TDF_Enteros$ni) * 1.2),
        space = 0, 
        las = 2, 
        cex.names = 0.7)
mtext("Cantidad", side = 2, line = 4.5, cex = 1, font = 1)
mtext("Capacidad (MW)", side = 1, line = 4)

mtext("Gráfica N°1: Distribución de Cantidad de Plantas Solares por Capacidad", 
      side = 3, 
      line = 2, 
      adj = 0.5, 
      cex = 0.9, 
      font = 2)

par(mar = c(8, 7, 5, 2))
barplot(TDF_Enteros$ni, 
        main="",
        xlab = "",
        ylab = "",
        names.arg = TDF_Enteros$MC,
        col = "#EED5D2",
        space = 0,
        cex.names = 0.7,
        las = 2,
        ylim = c(0, 58978)) 
mtext("Cantidad", side = 2, line = 4.5, cex = 1, font = 1)
mtext("Capacidad (MW)", side = 1, line = 4)

mtext("Gráfica N°2: Distribución de Cantidad de Plantas Solares por Capacidad", 
      side = 3, 
      line = 2, 
      adj = 0.5, 
      cex = 0.9, 
      font = 2)

4.2 Histogramas Porcentuales

par(mar = c(8, 5, 5, 2))
bp3 <- barplot(TDF_Enteros$hi, 
        main = "", 
        xlab = "", 
        ylab = "Porcentaje (%)", 
        col = "#EED5D2", 
        space = 0, 
        names.arg = TDF_Enteros$MC, 
        cex.names = 0.7, 
        las = 2, 
        ylim = c(0, max(TDF_Enteros$hi) * 1.2))
mtext("Capacidad (MW)", side = 1, line = 4)

mtext("Gráfica N°3: Distribución Porcentual de las Plantas Solares por Capacidad", 
      side = 3, 
      line = 2, 
      adj = 0.5, 
      cex = 0.9, 
      font = 2)

text(x = bp3, 
     y = TDF_Enteros$hi, 
     labels = paste0(round(TDF_Enteros$hi, 2), "%"), 
     pos = 3, cex = 0.6, col = "black")

par(mar = c(8, 5, 5, 2))
bp4 <- barplot(TDF_Enteros$hi, 
        main = "", 
        xlab = "", 
        ylab = "Porcentaje (%)", 
        col = "#EED5D2", 
        space = 0, 
        names.arg = TDF_Enteros$MC, 
        las = 2, 
        cex.names = 0.7, 
        ylim = c(0, 110)) 
mtext("Capacidad (MW)", side = 1, line = 4)

mtext("Gráfica N°4: Distribución Porcentual de las Plantas Solares por Capacidad", 
      side = 3, 
      line = 2, 
      adj = 0.5, 
      cex = 0.9, 
      font = 2)

text(x = bp4, 
     y = TDF_Enteros$hi, 
     labels = paste0(round(TDF_Enteros$hi, 2), "%"), 
     pos = 3, cex = 0.6, col = "black")

4.3 Diagrama de Cajas (Boxplot)

par(mar = c(5, 5, 4, 2))
boxplot(Variable, 
        horizontal = TRUE,
        col = "#EED5D2",
        xlab = "Capacidad (MW)",
        cex.main = 0.9,
        main = "Gráfica N°5: Distribución de la Capacidad en las Plantas Solares")

4.4 Ojivas

par(mar = c(5, 5, 7, 10), xpd = TRUE)

# Coordenadas
x_asc <- TDF_Enteros$Ls
x_desc <- TDF_Enteros$Li
y_asc <- TDF_Enteros$Ni_asc
y_desc <- TDF_Enteros$Ni_desc

# 1. Dibujar la Ascendente 
plot(x_asc, y_asc,
     type = "b", 
     main = "",
     xlab = "Capacidad (MW)",
     ylab = "Frecuencia acumulada",
     col = "black",
     pch = 19, 
     xlim = c(min(TDF_Enteros$Li), max(x_asc)), 
     ylim = c(0, sum(TDF_Enteros$ni)),
     bty = "l"
)

# 2. Agregar la Descendente 
lines(x_desc, y_desc, col = "#CDB7B5", type = "b", pch = 19)

grid()
mtext("Gráfica N°6: Ojivas Ascendentes y Descendentes de la\nDistribución de la Capacidad en las Plantas Solares", 
      side = 3, 
      line = 3, 
      adj = 0.5, 
      cex = 0.9, 
      font = 2)

legend("right", 
       legend = c("Ascendente", "Descendente"), 
       col = c("black", "#CDB7B5"), 
       lty = 1, 
       pch = 1, 
       cex = 0.6, 
       inset = c(0.05, 0.05),
       bty = "n")

5 Indicadores Estadísticos

## INDICADORES DE TENDENCIA CENTRAL
# Media aritmética
media <- round(mean(Variable), 2)

# Mediana
mediana <- round(median(Variable), 2)

# Moda
max_frecuencia <- max(TDF_Enteros$ni)
moda_vals <- TDF_Enteros$MC[TDF_Enteros$ni == max_frecuencia]
moda_txt <- paste(round(moda_vals, 2), collapse = ", ")

## INDICADORES DE DISPERSIÓN
# Varianza
varianza <- var(Variable)

# Desviación Estándar
sd_val <- sd(Variable)

# Coeficiente de Variación
cv <- round((sd_val / abs(media)) * 100, 2)

## INDICADORES DE FORMA
# Coeficiente de Asimetría
asimetria <- skewness(Variable, type = 2)

# Curtosis
curtosis <- kurtosis(Variable)

# Outliers
Q1 <- quantile(Variable, 0.25)
Q3 <- quantile(Variable, 0.75)
IQR_val <- Q3 - Q1
lim_inf <- Q1 - 1.5 * IQR_val
lim_sup <- Q3 + 1.5 * IQR_val

outliers_data <- Variable[Variable < lim_inf | Variable > lim_sup]
num_outliers <- length(outliers_data)

if(num_outliers > 0){
  rango_outliers <- paste0(num_outliers, " [", round(min(outliers_data), 2), "; ", round(max(outliers_data), 2), "]")
} else {
  rango_outliers <- "0 [Sin Outliers]"
}

tabla_indicadores <- data.frame(
 "Variable" = c("Capacidad (MW)"),
 "Rango_MinMax" = paste0("[", round(min(Variable), 2), "; ", round(max(Variable), 2), "]"),
 "X" = c(media),
 "Me" = c(mediana),
 "Mo" = c(moda_txt),
 "V" = c(varianza),
 "Sd" = c(sd_val),
 "Cv" = c(cv),
 "As" = c(asimetria),
 "K" = c(curtosis),
 "Outliers" = rango_outliers)

# Generar Tabla GT
tabla_conclusiones_gt <- tabla_indicadores %>%
 gt() %>%
 tab_header(title = md("**Tabla N°3 de Conclusiones de Capacidad de las Plantas Solares**")) %>%
 tab_source_note(source_note = "Autor: Martin Sarmiento") %>%
 cols_label(
  Variable = "Variable",
  Rango_MinMax = "Rango",
  X = "Media (X)",
  Me = "Mediana (Me)",
 Mo = "Moda (Mo)",
  V = "Varianza (V)",
  Sd = "Desv. Est. (Sd)",
  Cv = "C.V. (%)",
  As = "Asimetría (As)",
  K = "Curtosis (K)",
  Outliers = "Outliers [Intervalo]"
 ) %>%
 tab_options(
  heading.title.font.size = px(16),
  column_labels.background.color = "#F0F0F0"
 )

tabla_conclusiones_gt
Tabla N°3 de Conclusiones de Capacidad de las Plantas Solares
Variable Rango Media (X) Mediana (Me) Moda (Mo) Varianza (V) Desv. Est. (Sd) C.V. (%) Asimetría (As) Curtosis (K) Outliers [Intervalo]
Capacidad (MW) [1; 25000] 39.17 4.6 785 46202.11 214.9468 548.75 46.58015 3867.768 8383 [57.5; 25000]
Autor: Martin Sarmiento

6 Conclusiones

La variable “Capacidad” fluctúa entre 1 y 25000 MW y sus valores se encuentran alrededor de 39.17 MW, con una desviación estándar de 214.9468, siendo una variable muy heterogénea, cuyos valores se concentran en la parte media baja de la variable con la agregación de valores atípicos de 8383 outliers; por todo lo anterior, el comportamiento de la variable es muy perjudicial.