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#Cargar librerias
library(gt)
library(dplyr)
#Cargar datos
setwd("C:/Users/Alexander/Downloads")
datos <- read.csv("weatherdataANTISANA.csv", header = TRUE, dec = ".", sep = ",")
# 1. Seleccionar dos variables
#Promedios
datos_prom <- aggregate(Precipitation ~ Solar, data = datos, mean)
y<-datos_prom$Precipitation
x<-datos_prom$Solar
#Causa y efecto: La radiación solar actúa como causa porque controla la energía disponible en la atmósfera, favoreciendo procesos como la evaporación y la convección. Como efecto, al aumentar la radiación solar se incrementa la probabilidad e intensidad de las precipitaciones
# 2. Tabla pares de valores (TVP)
TVP_pre_radi<-data.frame(x,y)
TVP_pre_radi %>%
gt() %>%
tab_header(
title = md("*Tabla Nro. 1*"),
subtitle = md("**Pares de valores de precipitacion y radiacion solar en el estudio del clima volcan Antisana en 2012 **")
) %>%
tab_source_note(
source_note = md("Autor: Grupo 3 ")
) %>%
tab_options(
table.border.top.color = "black",
table.border.bottom.color = "black",
table.border.top.style = "solid",
table.border.bottom.style = "solid",
column_labels.border.top.color = "black",
column_labels.border.bottom.color = "black",
column_labels.border.bottom.width = px(2),
row.striping.include_table_body = TRUE,
heading.border.bottom.color = "black",
heading.border.bottom.width = px(2),
table_body.hlines.color = "gray",
table_body.border.bottom.color = "black"
)
| Tabla Nro. 1 |
| **Pares de valores de precipitacion y radiacion solar en el estudio del clima volcan Antisana en 2012 ** |
| x |
y |
| 1.26 |
44.390 |
| 1.35 |
64.670 |
| 1.52 |
30.890 |
| 1.54 |
60.110 |
| 1.58 |
25.740 |
| 1.82 |
94.720 |
| 1.90 |
24.820 |
| 1.93 |
32.350 |
| 2.15 |
18.260 |
| 2.39 |
40.020 |
| 2.40 |
35.600 |
| 2.79 |
39.670 |
| 2.83 |
27.710 |
| 2.90 |
35.950 |
| 2.94 |
53.780 |
| 3.07 |
49.860 |
| 3.13 |
32.800 |
| 3.19 |
29.870 |
| 3.45 |
48.095 |
| 3.54 |
16.600 |
| 3.56 |
31.200 |
| 3.59 |
45.670 |
| 3.60 |
33.650 |
| 3.62 |
40.710 |
| 3.64 |
27.800 |
| 3.86 |
28.710 |
| 3.87 |
39.980 |
| 3.98 |
85.580 |
| 3.99 |
33.360 |
| 4.00 |
57.380 |
| 4.02 |
52.730 |
| 4.08 |
37.710 |
| 4.28 |
28.010 |
| 4.29 |
58.200 |
| 4.31 |
25.810 |
| 4.32 |
15.480 |
| 4.33 |
18.110 |
| 4.44 |
59.470 |
| 4.49 |
35.990 |
| 4.54 |
24.150 |
| 4.57 |
35.050 |
| 4.58 |
41.530 |
| 4.61 |
9.710 |
| 4.63 |
27.470 |
| 4.73 |
21.250 |
| 4.74 |
34.260 |
| 4.83 |
20.295 |
| 4.89 |
28.800 |
| 5.10 |
13.440 |
| 5.13 |
22.570 |
| 5.15 |
34.780 |
| 5.20 |
10.090 |
| 5.28 |
3.550 |
| 5.30 |
18.950 |
| 5.32 |
15.500 |
| 5.37 |
13.350 |
| 5.38 |
40.070 |
| 5.39 |
24.140 |
| 5.44 |
17.100 |
| 5.45 |
34.710 |
| 5.55 |
29.065 |
| 5.59 |
12.730 |
| 5.60 |
16.520 |
| 5.63 |
21.280 |
| 5.71 |
14.640 |
| 5.84 |
19.900 |
| 5.92 |
10.600 |
| 5.95 |
10.340 |
| 6.03 |
47.700 |
| 6.07 |
10.180 |
| 6.11 |
11.600 |
| 6.16 |
20.520 |
| 6.27 |
50.090 |
| 6.37 |
26.100 |
| 6.45 |
24.740 |
| 6.50 |
24.050 |
| 6.71 |
29.730 |
| 6.87 |
33.220 |
| 6.89 |
46.030 |
| 6.99 |
41.880 |
| 7.02 |
30.770 |
| 7.11 |
52.690 |
| 7.16 |
37.970 |
| 7.18 |
15.510 |
| 7.19 |
33.425 |
| 7.20 |
64.030 |
| 7.26 |
20.040 |
| 7.40 |
22.620 |
| 7.48 |
27.620 |
| 7.55 |
21.210 |
| 7.61 |
18.580 |
| 7.68 |
16.660 |
| 7.79 |
36.140 |
| 7.86 |
14.070 |
| 7.87 |
10.680 |
| 7.98 |
16.335 |
| 8.01 |
45.100 |
| 8.03 |
8.970 |
| 8.11 |
19.390 |
| 8.17 |
57.265 |
| 8.21 |
37.770 |
| 8.24 |
24.140 |
| 8.28 |
12.970 |
| 8.29 |
10.290 |
| 8.31 |
14.170 |
| 8.32 |
58.410 |
| 8.35 |
28.260 |
| 8.39 |
12.910 |
| 8.75 |
25.120 |
| 8.83 |
7.550 |
| 8.86 |
26.460 |
| 8.98 |
19.830 |
| 9.00 |
45.190 |
| 9.01 |
14.670 |
| 9.04 |
26.980 |
| 9.12 |
45.550 |
| 9.25 |
21.080 |
| 9.36 |
25.610 |
| 9.57 |
25.190 |
| 9.64 |
10.920 |
| 9.66 |
29.875 |
| 9.72 |
27.180 |
| 9.73 |
23.680 |
| 9.85 |
4.660 |
| 9.87 |
40.760 |
| 9.89 |
30.325 |
| 9.98 |
4.360 |
| 9.99 |
26.870 |
| 10.04 |
14.960 |
| 10.11 |
16.320 |
| 10.17 |
8.860 |
| 10.21 |
48.330 |
| 10.37 |
22.990 |
| 10.40 |
9.170 |
| 10.43 |
14.690 |
| 10.44 |
41.150 |
| 10.47 |
5.260 |
| 10.60 |
3.260 |
| 10.61 |
37.360 |
| 10.62 |
12.090 |
| 10.77 |
11.200 |
| 10.78 |
12.370 |
| 10.93 |
39.930 |
| 10.95 |
17.310 |
| 11.19 |
22.570 |
| 11.20 |
8.450 |
| 11.31 |
7.360 |
| 11.32 |
21.750 |
| 11.39 |
16.790 |
| 11.45 |
3.690 |
| 11.48 |
26.410 |
| 11.50 |
11.550 |
| 11.56 |
9.760 |
| 11.57 |
12.405 |
| 11.63 |
12.570 |
| 11.64 |
15.570 |
| 11.69 |
7.410 |
| 11.76 |
24.870 |
| 11.81 |
29.200 |
| 11.84 |
11.600 |
| 11.88 |
8.020 |
| 11.89 |
36.470 |
| 11.93 |
8.620 |
| 11.98 |
25.920 |
| 12.10 |
41.500 |
| 12.11 |
27.920 |
| 12.13 |
28.690 |
| 12.25 |
35.440 |
| 12.35 |
3.280 |
| 12.42 |
6.740 |
| 12.47 |
48.240 |
| 12.84 |
20.200 |
| 12.87 |
24.620 |
| 12.93 |
3.350 |
| 12.95 |
13.660 |
| 13.04 |
18.250 |
| 13.12 |
10.920 |
| 13.15 |
21.300 |
| 13.20 |
11.190 |
| 13.21 |
13.900 |
| 13.22 |
14.000 |
| 13.24 |
14.090 |
| 13.27 |
0.760 |
| 13.32 |
5.150 |
| 13.34 |
39.140 |
| 13.35 |
22.970 |
| 13.48 |
14.190 |
| 13.49 |
13.600 |
| 13.57 |
2.200 |
| 13.61 |
17.230 |
| 13.62 |
14.470 |
| 13.65 |
7.830 |
| 13.70 |
18.740 |
| 14.04 |
5.840 |
| 14.08 |
0.420 |
| 14.41 |
29.230 |
| 14.52 |
19.940 |
| 14.53 |
13.390 |
| 14.59 |
2.660 |
| 14.65 |
14.490 |
| 14.67 |
26.980 |
| 14.82 |
9.390 |
| 14.83 |
13.820 |
| 14.84 |
8.490 |
| 15.18 |
7.330 |
| 15.19 |
16.710 |
| 15.23 |
0.840 |
| 15.49 |
14.350 |
| 15.54 |
19.720 |
| 15.82 |
7.550 |
| 15.98 |
8.490 |
| 16.16 |
21.675 |
| 16.21 |
14.250 |
| 16.27 |
10.300 |
| 16.29 |
16.510 |
| 16.36 |
9.700 |
| 16.45 |
2.460 |
| 16.46 |
7.070 |
| 16.59 |
12.600 |
| 16.90 |
17.090 |
| 16.92 |
7.280 |
| 16.94 |
21.540 |
| 17.01 |
8.610 |
| 17.05 |
5.730 |
| 17.42 |
12.590 |
| 17.65 |
7.100 |
| 17.68 |
5.640 |
| 18.42 |
0.950 |
| 18.58 |
6.190 |
| 18.76 |
10.520 |
| 18.80 |
20.020 |
| 19.09 |
12.160 |
| 19.28 |
6.680 |
| 19.30 |
16.580 |
| 19.89 |
15.440 |
| 20.32 |
12.610 |
| 20.40 |
12.500 |
| 20.45 |
8.530 |
| 20.53 |
12.510 |
| 20.54 |
0.280 |
| 20.77 |
14.320 |
| 20.83 |
16.240 |
| 20.91 |
0.090 |
| 20.93 |
7.400 |
| 20.94 |
0.010 |
| 21.01 |
7.930 |
| 21.02 |
9.490 |
| 21.11 |
5.720 |
| 21.17 |
5.600 |
| 21.33 |
4.830 |
| 21.36 |
11.360 |
| 21.44 |
0.460 |
| 21.47 |
2.510 |
| 21.60 |
5.720 |
| 21.70 |
2.270 |
| 21.71 |
2.910 |
| 21.77 |
15.330 |
| 22.03 |
8.210 |
| 22.19 |
2.350 |
| 22.30 |
6.000 |
| 22.40 |
7.230 |
| 22.65 |
0.660 |
| 22.81 |
8.280 |
| 22.85 |
16.180 |
| 23.15 |
9.440 |
| 23.24 |
0.380 |
| 23.31 |
7.890 |
| 23.32 |
12.860 |
| 23.37 |
1.110 |
| 23.43 |
5.830 |
| 23.48 |
8.470 |
| 23.49 |
2.380 |
| 23.54 |
0.020 |
| 23.67 |
0.010 |
| 23.69 |
2.130 |
| 23.87 |
1.935 |
| 23.88 |
0.550 |
| 24.15 |
11.680 |
| 24.22 |
0.080 |
| 24.38 |
1.860 |
| 24.41 |
5.520 |
| 24.51 |
4.250 |
| 24.58 |
13.060 |
| 24.63 |
10.060 |
| 24.65 |
10.410 |
| 24.67 |
0.010 |
| 24.72 |
2.010 |
| 24.74 |
8.600 |
| 24.77 |
4.130 |
| 24.96 |
5.380 |
| 25.09 |
8.130 |
| 25.11 |
9.140 |
| 25.20 |
8.480 |
| 25.28 |
8.555 |
| 25.32 |
0.110 |
| 25.50 |
7.510 |
| 25.65 |
11.660 |
| 25.67 |
0.010 |
| 25.68 |
1.330 |
| 25.71 |
0.170 |
| 25.88 |
1.190 |
| 25.95 |
0.110 |
| 25.97 |
0.230 |
| 26.02 |
1.580 |
| 26.14 |
0.010 |
| 26.15 |
0.180 |
| 26.23 |
0.360 |
| 26.28 |
0.180 |
| 26.30 |
0.710 |
| 26.31 |
4.060 |
| 26.40 |
6.540 |
| 26.45 |
0.050 |
| 26.46 |
0.010 |
| 26.68 |
0.440 |
| 26.70 |
0.040 |
| 26.72 |
0.010 |
| 26.87 |
0.230 |
| 27.00 |
0.010 |
| 27.03 |
0.010 |
| 27.04 |
0.030 |
| 27.15 |
0.060 |
| 27.21 |
0.010 |
| 27.33 |
0.060 |
| 27.35 |
0.280 |
| 27.49 |
0.010 |
| 27.57 |
0.010 |
| 27.74 |
1.790 |
| 27.79 |
0.670 |
| 27.82 |
1.020 |
| 27.88 |
2.750 |
| 28.21 |
3.130 |
| 28.30 |
0.140 |
| 28.31 |
0.010 |
| 28.43 |
0.010 |
| 28.45 |
1.050 |
| 28.51 |
0.010 |
| 28.54 |
0.010 |
| 28.57 |
1.040 |
| 28.66 |
0.050 |
| 28.67 |
0.010 |
| 28.99 |
0.010 |
| 29.04 |
6.380 |
| 29.10 |
0.040 |
| 29.26 |
1.530 |
| 29.49 |
0.010 |
| 29.54 |
1.940 |
| 29.99 |
0.010 |
| 30.05 |
0.030 |
| 30.27 |
0.010 |
| Autor: Grupo 3 |
# 3. Gráfica de dispersión
plot(x, y,
main = "Grafica No1:Diagrama de dispersion entre Precipitaciones y Radiacion solar\n
en el estudio clima en el volcan Antisana en 2012",
xlab = "Radiacion solar (J/m2)", # Nombre eje X
ylab = "Precipitacion (mm)", # Nombre eje Y
col = "brown2", # Color de los puntos
pch = 16, # Tipo de punto sólido
cex = 1.2, # Tamaño de los puntos
cex.main = 1, # Tamaño del título
cex.lab = 1, # Tamaño de los ejes
cex.axis = 0.9,
xlim = c(0, max(x)*1.05),
ylim = c(0, max(y)*1.05))

# 4. Conjetura
#La distribución de los puntos sugiere un modelo con curva, a medida que aumenta la radiación solar, la precipitación disminuye de forma cada vez más rápida, lo que sugiere un modelo exponencial decreciente para describir el comportamiento entre ambas variables.
# 5. Cálculo de parámetros modelo exponencial
y1<-log(y)
regresionexponencial<- lm(y1~x)
# Ver los coeficientes (a,b)
beta0<- regresionexponencial$coefficients[1]
beta1<- regresionexponencial$coefficients[2]
b<- beta1
b
## x
## -0.200551
a<-exp(beta0)
a
## (Intercept)
## 111.7808
# 6. Gráfica de dispersión modelo-realidad
plot(x, y,
main = " Grafica N.-2: Regresion lineal entre la precipitacion y radiacion solar
en el volcan Antisana en 2012 ",
xlab = "Radiacion solar (J/m2)", # Nombre eje X
ylab = "Precipitacion (mm)", # Nombre eje Y
col = "brown2", # Color de los puntos
pch = 16, # Tipo de punto sólido
cex = 1.2, # Tamaño de los puntos
cex.main = 1, # Tamaño del título
cex.lab = 1, # Tamaño de los ejes
cex.axis = 0.9,
xlim = c(0, max(x)*1.05),
ylim = c(0, max(y)*1.05))
curve(a*exp(b*x), from = 0,to=100,col="blue4",add = TRUE)

# 7. Test de bondad
#Test de Pearson, coeficiente de correlación (relacion inversa)
r<- cor(x,y1)*100
r
## [1] -74.26949
# 8. Coeficiente de determinación muestral
r2<- r^2/100
r2
## [1] 55.15957
# 9. Restricciones
#Dominio [x]: D= {R+^0}
#Dominio [y]: D= {R+^0}
# ¿Existe algún valor en dominio de x que sustituido en el modelo matemático genere un valor en y fuera de su dominio?
#No existen restricciones para el uso del modelo exponencial, ya que tanto la radiación solar como la precipitación toman valores no negativos y el modelo, genera siempre valores positivos de precipitación. Además, al ser un modelo exponencial decreciente, la precipitación disminuye con el aumento de la radiación solar sin salirse de su dominio físico.
# 10. Aplicaciones del modelo
# La precipitación esperada cuando la radiación solar es de 20 (J/m2)
Precipitacion_esperada<- 112 * exp(-0.200551 * 20)
Precipitacion_esperada
## [1] 2.02887
# 11. Conclusión
# Entre la radición solar en (J/m2) y precipitación en (mm) existe ralación tipo exponencial cuya ecuación o modelo es y= 112*e^-0.200551x donde x es la radiación solar, y es la precipitación, donde la precpitación depende en un 67.76% de la radiación solar y el 32.24% se debe a otros factores.
#Modelo logaritmico
# 1. Seleccionar dos variables
#y=a+bln(x)
datos_prom <- aggregate(Precipitation ~ Solar, data = datos, mean)
y<-datos_prom$Solar
x<-datos_prom$Precipitation
#Causa y efecto: La radiación solar es la causa porque regula la energía atmosférica, y la precipitación es el efecto, ya que varía en respuesta a los cambios en la radiación solar.
# 2. Tabla pares de valores (TVP)
TVP_radi_prec<-data.frame(x,y)
TVP_radi_prec %>%
gt() %>%
tab_header(
title = md("*Tabla Nro. 1*"),
subtitle = md("**Pares de valores de precipitacion y radiacion solar, estudio del clima volcan Antisana en 2012 **")
) %>%
tab_source_note(
source_note = md("Autor: Grupo 3")
) %>%
tab_options(
table.border.top.color = "black",
table.border.bottom.color = "black",
table.border.top.style = "solid",
table.border.bottom.style = "solid",
column_labels.border.top.color = "black",
column_labels.border.bottom.color = "black",
column_labels.border.bottom.width = px(2),
row.striping.include_table_body = TRUE,
heading.border.bottom.color = "black",
heading.border.bottom.width = px(2),
table_body.hlines.color = "gray",
table_body.border.bottom.color = "black"
)
| Tabla Nro. 1 |
| **Pares de valores de precipitacion y radiacion solar, estudio del clima volcan Antisana en 2012 ** |
| x |
y |
| 44.390 |
1.26 |
| 64.670 |
1.35 |
| 30.890 |
1.52 |
| 60.110 |
1.54 |
| 25.740 |
1.58 |
| 94.720 |
1.82 |
| 24.820 |
1.90 |
| 32.350 |
1.93 |
| 18.260 |
2.15 |
| 40.020 |
2.39 |
| 35.600 |
2.40 |
| 39.670 |
2.79 |
| 27.710 |
2.83 |
| 35.950 |
2.90 |
| 53.780 |
2.94 |
| 49.860 |
3.07 |
| 32.800 |
3.13 |
| 29.870 |
3.19 |
| 48.095 |
3.45 |
| 16.600 |
3.54 |
| 31.200 |
3.56 |
| 45.670 |
3.59 |
| 33.650 |
3.60 |
| 40.710 |
3.62 |
| 27.800 |
3.64 |
| 28.710 |
3.86 |
| 39.980 |
3.87 |
| 85.580 |
3.98 |
| 33.360 |
3.99 |
| 57.380 |
4.00 |
| 52.730 |
4.02 |
| 37.710 |
4.08 |
| 28.010 |
4.28 |
| 58.200 |
4.29 |
| 25.810 |
4.31 |
| 15.480 |
4.32 |
| 18.110 |
4.33 |
| 59.470 |
4.44 |
| 35.990 |
4.49 |
| 24.150 |
4.54 |
| 35.050 |
4.57 |
| 41.530 |
4.58 |
| 9.710 |
4.61 |
| 27.470 |
4.63 |
| 21.250 |
4.73 |
| 34.260 |
4.74 |
| 20.295 |
4.83 |
| 28.800 |
4.89 |
| 13.440 |
5.10 |
| 22.570 |
5.13 |
| 34.780 |
5.15 |
| 10.090 |
5.20 |
| 3.550 |
5.28 |
| 18.950 |
5.30 |
| 15.500 |
5.32 |
| 13.350 |
5.37 |
| 40.070 |
5.38 |
| 24.140 |
5.39 |
| 17.100 |
5.44 |
| 34.710 |
5.45 |
| 29.065 |
5.55 |
| 12.730 |
5.59 |
| 16.520 |
5.60 |
| 21.280 |
5.63 |
| 14.640 |
5.71 |
| 19.900 |
5.84 |
| 10.600 |
5.92 |
| 10.340 |
5.95 |
| 47.700 |
6.03 |
| 10.180 |
6.07 |
| 11.600 |
6.11 |
| 20.520 |
6.16 |
| 50.090 |
6.27 |
| 26.100 |
6.37 |
| 24.740 |
6.45 |
| 24.050 |
6.50 |
| 29.730 |
6.71 |
| 33.220 |
6.87 |
| 46.030 |
6.89 |
| 41.880 |
6.99 |
| 30.770 |
7.02 |
| 52.690 |
7.11 |
| 37.970 |
7.16 |
| 15.510 |
7.18 |
| 33.425 |
7.19 |
| 64.030 |
7.20 |
| 20.040 |
7.26 |
| 22.620 |
7.40 |
| 27.620 |
7.48 |
| 21.210 |
7.55 |
| 18.580 |
7.61 |
| 16.660 |
7.68 |
| 36.140 |
7.79 |
| 14.070 |
7.86 |
| 10.680 |
7.87 |
| 16.335 |
7.98 |
| 45.100 |
8.01 |
| 8.970 |
8.03 |
| 19.390 |
8.11 |
| 57.265 |
8.17 |
| 37.770 |
8.21 |
| 24.140 |
8.24 |
| 12.970 |
8.28 |
| 10.290 |
8.29 |
| 14.170 |
8.31 |
| 58.410 |
8.32 |
| 28.260 |
8.35 |
| 12.910 |
8.39 |
| 25.120 |
8.75 |
| 7.550 |
8.83 |
| 26.460 |
8.86 |
| 19.830 |
8.98 |
| 45.190 |
9.00 |
| 14.670 |
9.01 |
| 26.980 |
9.04 |
| 45.550 |
9.12 |
| 21.080 |
9.25 |
| 25.610 |
9.36 |
| 25.190 |
9.57 |
| 10.920 |
9.64 |
| 29.875 |
9.66 |
| 27.180 |
9.72 |
| 23.680 |
9.73 |
| 4.660 |
9.85 |
| 40.760 |
9.87 |
| 30.325 |
9.89 |
| 4.360 |
9.98 |
| 26.870 |
9.99 |
| 14.960 |
10.04 |
| 16.320 |
10.11 |
| 8.860 |
10.17 |
| 48.330 |
10.21 |
| 22.990 |
10.37 |
| 9.170 |
10.40 |
| 14.690 |
10.43 |
| 41.150 |
10.44 |
| 5.260 |
10.47 |
| 3.260 |
10.60 |
| 37.360 |
10.61 |
| 12.090 |
10.62 |
| 11.200 |
10.77 |
| 12.370 |
10.78 |
| 39.930 |
10.93 |
| 17.310 |
10.95 |
| 22.570 |
11.19 |
| 8.450 |
11.20 |
| 7.360 |
11.31 |
| 21.750 |
11.32 |
| 16.790 |
11.39 |
| 3.690 |
11.45 |
| 26.410 |
11.48 |
| 11.550 |
11.50 |
| 9.760 |
11.56 |
| 12.405 |
11.57 |
| 12.570 |
11.63 |
| 15.570 |
11.64 |
| 7.410 |
11.69 |
| 24.870 |
11.76 |
| 29.200 |
11.81 |
| 11.600 |
11.84 |
| 8.020 |
11.88 |
| 36.470 |
11.89 |
| 8.620 |
11.93 |
| 25.920 |
11.98 |
| 41.500 |
12.10 |
| 27.920 |
12.11 |
| 28.690 |
12.13 |
| 35.440 |
12.25 |
| 3.280 |
12.35 |
| 6.740 |
12.42 |
| 48.240 |
12.47 |
| 20.200 |
12.84 |
| 24.620 |
12.87 |
| 3.350 |
12.93 |
| 13.660 |
12.95 |
| 18.250 |
13.04 |
| 10.920 |
13.12 |
| 21.300 |
13.15 |
| 11.190 |
13.20 |
| 13.900 |
13.21 |
| 14.000 |
13.22 |
| 14.090 |
13.24 |
| 0.760 |
13.27 |
| 5.150 |
13.32 |
| 39.140 |
13.34 |
| 22.970 |
13.35 |
| 14.190 |
13.48 |
| 13.600 |
13.49 |
| 2.200 |
13.57 |
| 17.230 |
13.61 |
| 14.470 |
13.62 |
| 7.830 |
13.65 |
| 18.740 |
13.70 |
| 5.840 |
14.04 |
| 0.420 |
14.08 |
| 29.230 |
14.41 |
| 19.940 |
14.52 |
| 13.390 |
14.53 |
| 2.660 |
14.59 |
| 14.490 |
14.65 |
| 26.980 |
14.67 |
| 9.390 |
14.82 |
| 13.820 |
14.83 |
| 8.490 |
14.84 |
| 7.330 |
15.18 |
| 16.710 |
15.19 |
| 0.840 |
15.23 |
| 14.350 |
15.49 |
| 19.720 |
15.54 |
| 7.550 |
15.82 |
| 8.490 |
15.98 |
| 21.675 |
16.16 |
| 14.250 |
16.21 |
| 10.300 |
16.27 |
| 16.510 |
16.29 |
| 9.700 |
16.36 |
| 2.460 |
16.45 |
| 7.070 |
16.46 |
| 12.600 |
16.59 |
| 17.090 |
16.90 |
| 7.280 |
16.92 |
| 21.540 |
16.94 |
| 8.610 |
17.01 |
| 5.730 |
17.05 |
| 12.590 |
17.42 |
| 7.100 |
17.65 |
| 5.640 |
17.68 |
| 0.950 |
18.42 |
| 6.190 |
18.58 |
| 10.520 |
18.76 |
| 20.020 |
18.80 |
| 12.160 |
19.09 |
| 6.680 |
19.28 |
| 16.580 |
19.30 |
| 15.440 |
19.89 |
| 12.610 |
20.32 |
| 12.500 |
20.40 |
| 8.530 |
20.45 |
| 12.510 |
20.53 |
| 0.280 |
20.54 |
| 14.320 |
20.77 |
| 16.240 |
20.83 |
| 0.090 |
20.91 |
| 7.400 |
20.93 |
| 0.010 |
20.94 |
| 7.930 |
21.01 |
| 9.490 |
21.02 |
| 5.720 |
21.11 |
| 5.600 |
21.17 |
| 4.830 |
21.33 |
| 11.360 |
21.36 |
| 0.460 |
21.44 |
| 2.510 |
21.47 |
| 5.720 |
21.60 |
| 2.270 |
21.70 |
| 2.910 |
21.71 |
| 15.330 |
21.77 |
| 8.210 |
22.03 |
| 2.350 |
22.19 |
| 6.000 |
22.30 |
| 7.230 |
22.40 |
| 0.660 |
22.65 |
| 8.280 |
22.81 |
| 16.180 |
22.85 |
| 9.440 |
23.15 |
| 0.380 |
23.24 |
| 7.890 |
23.31 |
| 12.860 |
23.32 |
| 1.110 |
23.37 |
| 5.830 |
23.43 |
| 8.470 |
23.48 |
| 2.380 |
23.49 |
| 0.020 |
23.54 |
| 0.010 |
23.67 |
| 2.130 |
23.69 |
| 1.935 |
23.87 |
| 0.550 |
23.88 |
| 11.680 |
24.15 |
| 0.080 |
24.22 |
| 1.860 |
24.38 |
| 5.520 |
24.41 |
| 4.250 |
24.51 |
| 13.060 |
24.58 |
| 10.060 |
24.63 |
| 10.410 |
24.65 |
| 0.010 |
24.67 |
| 2.010 |
24.72 |
| 8.600 |
24.74 |
| 4.130 |
24.77 |
| 5.380 |
24.96 |
| 8.130 |
25.09 |
| 9.140 |
25.11 |
| 8.480 |
25.20 |
| 8.555 |
25.28 |
| 0.110 |
25.32 |
| 7.510 |
25.50 |
| 11.660 |
25.65 |
| 0.010 |
25.67 |
| 1.330 |
25.68 |
| 0.170 |
25.71 |
| 1.190 |
25.88 |
| 0.110 |
25.95 |
| 0.230 |
25.97 |
| 1.580 |
26.02 |
| 0.010 |
26.14 |
| 0.180 |
26.15 |
| 0.360 |
26.23 |
| 0.180 |
26.28 |
| 0.710 |
26.30 |
| 4.060 |
26.31 |
| 6.540 |
26.40 |
| 0.050 |
26.45 |
| 0.010 |
26.46 |
| 0.440 |
26.68 |
| 0.040 |
26.70 |
| 0.010 |
26.72 |
| 0.230 |
26.87 |
| 0.010 |
27.00 |
| 0.010 |
27.03 |
| 0.030 |
27.04 |
| 0.060 |
27.15 |
| 0.010 |
27.21 |
| 0.060 |
27.33 |
| 0.280 |
27.35 |
| 0.010 |
27.49 |
| 0.010 |
27.57 |
| 1.790 |
27.74 |
| 0.670 |
27.79 |
| 1.020 |
27.82 |
| 2.750 |
27.88 |
| 3.130 |
28.21 |
| 0.140 |
28.30 |
| 0.010 |
28.31 |
| 0.010 |
28.43 |
| 1.050 |
28.45 |
| 0.010 |
28.51 |
| 0.010 |
28.54 |
| 1.040 |
28.57 |
| 0.050 |
28.66 |
| 0.010 |
28.67 |
| 0.010 |
28.99 |
| 6.380 |
29.04 |
| 0.040 |
29.10 |
| 1.530 |
29.26 |
| 0.010 |
29.49 |
| 1.940 |
29.54 |
| 0.010 |
29.99 |
| 0.030 |
30.05 |
| 0.010 |
30.27 |
| Autor: Grupo 3 |
# 3. Gráfica de dispersión
plot(x, y,
main = "Grafica No1:Diagrama de dispersion entre Precipitacion y Radiacion solar
en el estudio clima en el volcan Antisana en 2012",
xlab = "Precipitacion (mm)", # Nombre eje X
ylab = "Radiacion solar (J/m2)", # Nombre eje Y
col = "cyan", # Color de los puntos
pch = 16, # Tipo de punto sólido
cex = 1.2, # Tamaño de los puntos
cex.main = 1, # Tamaño del título
cex.lab = 1, # Tamaño de los ejes
cex.axis = 0.9,
xlim = c(0, max(x)*1.05),
ylim = c(0, max(y)*1.05))

# 4. Conjetura
#La distribución de los puntos evidencia una curva decreciente, los datos sugiere un modelo logarítmico debido a que la precipitación muestra un descenso abrupto inicial que se estabiliza gradualmente conforme aumenta la radiación solar, formando una curva asintótica.
# 5. Cálculo de parámetros modelo logaritmico
x1<- log(x)
regresionlogaritmica<- lm(y~x1)
# Ver los coeficientes (a,b)
a<- regresionlogaritmica$coefficients[1]
a
## (Intercept)
## 19.4988
b<-regresionlogaritmica$coefficients[2]
b
## x1
## -2.750401
# 6. Gráfica de dispersión modelo-realidad
plot(x, y,
main = " Grafica No2: Regresion lineal entre la Precipitacion y Radiacion solar
en el volcan Antisana en 2012 ",
xlab = "Precipitacion (mm)", # Nombre eje X
ylab = "Radiacion solar (J/m2)", # Nombre eje Y
col = "cyan", # Color de los puntos
pch = 16, # Tipo de punto sólido
cex = 1.2, # Tamaño de los puntos
cex.main = 1, # Tamaño del título
cex.lab = 1, # Tamaño de los ejes
cex.axis = 0.9,
xlim = c(0, max(x)*1.05),
ylim = c(0, max(y)*1.05))
curve(a + b * log(x),
n = 500, # curva suave
add = TRUE,
col = "orange4",
lwd = 2)

# 7. Test de bondad
#Test de Pearson, coeficiente de correlación
r<- cor(x1,y)*100
r
## [1] -74.26949
# 8. Coeficiente de determinación muestral
r2<- r^2/100
r2
## [1] 55.15957
# 9. Restricciones
#Dominio [x]: D= {R+^0}
#Dominio [y]: D= {R+^0}
# ¿Existe algún valor en dominio de x que sustituido en el modelo matemático genere un valor en y fuera de su dominio?
# El modelo es válido únicamente para valores de radiación en el intervalo 0 < x <= 1201,2. Las restricciones principales son que (x) no puede ser 0 porque el logaritmo natural de cero no existe (indeterminado), y (x) no puede ser mayor a 1201.2 porque el modelo empezaría a predecir valores de precipitación negativos (y < 0), lo cual es físicamente imposible en este contexto meteorológico.
# 10. Aplicaciones del modelo
# La radiación esperada cuando la precipitación es de 55 (mm)
Radiación_esperada<- 19.4988-2.750401*log(55)
Radiación_esperada
## [1] 8.477027
# 11. Conclusión
# Entre radiación solar (J/m2) y precipitación (mm) existe una relación tipo logaritmica cuya ecuación o modelo es 19.4988 - 2.750401 * log(x), siendo y= Radiación molar y x= Precipitación, donde la radiación solar depende en un 74.26% de las precipitaciones y el 25.74% se debe a otros factores. El modelo presenta restricciones y funciona con precipitaciones > 0 mm de agua y para valores menores o iguales a 1201.2 mm de agua
# Regresión Multiple
#Carga de paquetes
library(scatterplot3d)
#Cargar los datos y seleccionar variables
y <- datos$Precipitation
x1 <- datos$Relative.Humidity
x2 <-datos$Solar
# 2. Tabla de tripleta de valores (TTP)
TTP<-data.frame(x1,x2,y)
TTP %>%
gt() %>%
tab_header(
title = md("*Tabla Nro. 1*"),
subtitle = md("**Tripleta de valores de la Humedad, radicion solar y Precipitación en un estudio del clima volcán Antisana en 2012 **")
) %>%
tab_source_note(
source_note = md("Autor: Grupo 3")
) %>%
tab_options(
table.border.top.color = "black",
table.border.bottom.color = "black",
table.border.top.style = "solid",
table.border.bottom.style = "solid",
column_labels.border.top.color = "black",
column_labels.border.bottom.color = "black",
column_labels.border.bottom.width = px(2),
row.striping.include_table_body = TRUE,
heading.border.bottom.color = "black",
heading.border.bottom.width = px(2),
table_body.hlines.color = "gray",
table_body.border.bottom.color = "black"
)
| Tabla Nro. 1 |
| **Tripleta de valores de la Humedad, radicion solar y Precipitación en un estudio del clima volcán Antisana en 2012 ** |
| x1 |
x2 |
y |
| 0.93 |
15.98 |
8.49 |
| 0.96 |
12.25 |
35.44 |
| 0.98 |
4.58 |
41.53 |
| 0.99 |
4.32 |
15.48 |
| 0.98 |
3.86 |
28.71 |
| 0.97 |
9.57 |
25.19 |
| 0.98 |
10.93 |
39.93 |
| 0.99 |
2.40 |
35.60 |
| 0.99 |
5.32 |
15.50 |
| 0.98 |
7.19 |
45.68 |
| 0.98 |
6.71 |
29.73 |
| 0.96 |
10.77 |
11.20 |
| 0.96 |
9.66 |
16.77 |
| 0.98 |
5.37 |
13.35 |
| 0.99 |
4.02 |
52.73 |
| 0.97 |
9.64 |
10.92 |
| 0.98 |
8.11 |
19.39 |
| 0.99 |
3.19 |
29.87 |
| 0.99 |
3.64 |
27.80 |
| 0.98 |
5.60 |
16.52 |
| 0.97 |
8.75 |
25.12 |
| 0.99 |
4.57 |
35.05 |
| 0.99 |
1.52 |
30.89 |
| 0.99 |
1.93 |
32.35 |
| 0.97 |
10.43 |
14.69 |
| 0.99 |
3.60 |
33.65 |
| 0.98 |
6.45 |
24.74 |
| 0.99 |
1.35 |
64.67 |
| 0.98 |
5.55 |
17.45 |
| 0.99 |
6.50 |
24.05 |
| 0.98 |
6.87 |
33.22 |
| 0.98 |
8.17 |
50.27 |
| 0.99 |
1.58 |
25.74 |
| 0.98 |
5.28 |
3.55 |
| 0.97 |
10.11 |
16.32 |
| 0.98 |
8.24 |
24.14 |
| 0.99 |
1.90 |
24.82 |
| 0.97 |
6.07 |
10.18 |
| 0.98 |
7.16 |
37.97 |
| 0.97 |
7.87 |
10.68 |
| 0.96 |
11.57 |
20.89 |
| 0.99 |
2.15 |
18.26 |
| 0.97 |
8.31 |
14.17 |
| 0.98 |
6.11 |
11.60 |
| 0.97 |
8.86 |
26.46 |
| 0.98 |
5.92 |
10.60 |
| 0.97 |
5.95 |
10.34 |
| 0.98 |
5.10 |
13.44 |
| 0.98 |
4.00 |
57.38 |
| 0.97 |
8.01 |
45.10 |
| 0.99 |
4.08 |
37.71 |
| 0.99 |
3.59 |
42.52 |
| 0.99 |
2.83 |
27.71 |
| 0.99 |
2.90 |
35.95 |
| 0.99 |
3.07 |
49.86 |
| 0.99 |
1.82 |
94.72 |
| 0.99 |
1.54 |
60.11 |
| 0.98 |
4.28 |
28.01 |
| 0.99 |
6.99 |
41.88 |
| 0.98 |
6.89 |
46.03 |
| 0.97 |
9.89 |
43.64 |
| 0.95 |
11.45 |
3.69 |
| 0.94 |
8.35 |
28.26 |
| 0.95 |
5.44 |
17.10 |
| 0.98 |
4.63 |
27.47 |
| 0.96 |
9.72 |
27.18 |
| 0.95 |
11.63 |
12.57 |
| 0.92 |
16.16 |
18.83 |
| 0.90 |
20.53 |
12.51 |
| 0.90 |
13.70 |
18.74 |
| 0.90 |
17.42 |
12.59 |
| 0.90 |
16.27 |
10.30 |
| 0.92 |
18.80 |
20.02 |
| 0.94 |
14.41 |
29.23 |
| 0.94 |
14.52 |
19.94 |
| 0.94 |
13.32 |
5.15 |
| 0.97 |
8.32 |
58.41 |
| 0.99 |
3.98 |
85.58 |
| 0.99 |
4.49 |
35.99 |
| 0.99 |
2.39 |
40.02 |
| 0.99 |
7.02 |
30.77 |
| 0.99 |
4.29 |
58.20 |
| 0.99 |
7.79 |
36.14 |
| 0.99 |
4.83 |
16.34 |
| 0.99 |
5.59 |
12.73 |
| 0.98 |
8.29 |
10.29 |
| 0.98 |
4.73 |
21.25 |
| 0.98 |
4.83 |
24.25 |
| 0.96 |
11.93 |
11.50 |
| 0.92 |
14.83 |
13.82 |
| 0.93 |
12.42 |
6.74 |
| 0.94 |
13.34 |
39.14 |
| 0.94 |
13.22 |
14.00 |
| 0.94 |
11.89 |
36.47 |
| 0.99 |
4.44 |
59.47 |
| 0.99 |
3.45 |
57.83 |
| 0.98 |
5.38 |
40.07 |
| 0.98 |
7.20 |
64.03 |
| 0.98 |
4.74 |
34.26 |
| 0.95 |
8.03 |
8.97 |
| 0.95 |
10.47 |
1.36 |
| 0.90 |
16.45 |
2.46 |
| 0.91 |
10.60 |
3.26 |
| 0.96 |
11.69 |
7.41 |
| 0.95 |
10.17 |
8.86 |
| 0.92 |
11.57 |
3.92 |
| 0.99 |
4.33 |
18.11 |
| 0.99 |
5.45 |
34.71 |
| 0.99 |
3.56 |
31.20 |
| 0.97 |
7.98 |
29.70 |
| 0.97 |
9.87 |
40.76 |
| 0.98 |
10.95 |
17.31 |
| 0.98 |
7.18 |
15.51 |
| 0.95 |
11.98 |
25.92 |
| 0.99 |
8.21 |
37.77 |
| 0.93 |
16.90 |
17.09 |
| 0.98 |
3.87 |
39.98 |
| 0.98 |
9.73 |
23.68 |
| 0.98 |
5.13 |
22.57 |
| 0.99 |
3.54 |
16.60 |
| 0.98 |
7.40 |
22.62 |
| 0.97 |
7.61 |
18.58 |
| 0.92 |
13.65 |
7.83 |
| 0.87 |
21.70 |
2.27 |
| 0.89 |
16.46 |
7.07 |
| 0.92 |
14.53 |
13.39 |
| 0.94 |
11.31 |
7.36 |
| 0.92 |
12.95 |
13.66 |
| 0.90 |
13.57 |
2.20 |
| 0.91 |
12.13 |
28.69 |
| 0.92 |
15.54 |
19.72 |
| 0.96 |
11.48 |
26.41 |
| 0.98 |
6.16 |
20.52 |
| 0.98 |
5.63 |
21.28 |
| 0.93 |
14.65 |
14.49 |
| 0.94 |
10.78 |
12.37 |
| 0.94 |
13.21 |
13.90 |
| 0.93 |
16.16 |
24.52 |
| 0.97 |
11.76 |
24.87 |
| 0.99 |
4.89 |
28.80 |
| 0.97 |
4.61 |
9.71 |
| 0.96 |
7.98 |
2.97 |
| 0.93 |
13.62 |
14.47 |
| 0.91 |
18.58 |
6.19 |
| 0.88 |
25.28 |
3.46 |
| 0.87 |
24.96 |
5.38 |
| 0.88 |
25.11 |
9.14 |
| 0.83 |
26.70 |
0.04 |
| 0.85 |
21.17 |
5.60 |
| 0.84 |
21.44 |
0.46 |
| 0.81 |
24.41 |
5.52 |
| 0.78 |
26.23 |
0.36 |
| 0.81 |
23.67 |
0.01 |
| 0.85 |
16.36 |
9.70 |
| 0.90 |
15.49 |
14.35 |
| 0.88 |
21.36 |
11.36 |
| 0.92 |
19.28 |
6.68 |
| 0.85 |
25.20 |
8.48 |
| 0.82 |
25.88 |
1.19 |
| 0.85 |
22.03 |
8.21 |
| 0.84 |
24.51 |
6.08 |
| 0.77 |
25.95 |
0.11 |
| 0.80 |
24.77 |
4.13 |
| 0.86 |
22.40 |
7.23 |
| 0.83 |
24.38 |
1.86 |
| 0.84 |
14.84 |
8.49 |
| 0.84 |
21.01 |
7.93 |
| 0.89 |
16.21 |
14.25 |
| 0.88 |
21.77 |
15.33 |
| 0.90 |
20.93 |
7.40 |
| 0.89 |
17.68 |
5.64 |
| 0.87 |
20.32 |
12.61 |
| 0.90 |
19.89 |
4.48 |
| 0.79 |
26.28 |
0.18 |
| 0.75 |
20.91 |
0.09 |
| 0.81 |
15.23 |
0.84 |
| 0.85 |
23.15 |
9.44 |
| 0.79 |
23.24 |
0.38 |
| 0.72 |
25.32 |
0.11 |
| 0.77 |
24.51 |
2.42 |
| 0.88 |
12.93 |
3.35 |
| 0.85 |
23.49 |
2.38 |
| 0.76 |
20.54 |
0.28 |
| 0.73 |
26.46 |
0.01 |
| 0.76 |
23.87 |
0.58 |
| 0.81 |
22.65 |
0.66 |
| 0.87 |
14.82 |
9.39 |
| 0.86 |
22.19 |
2.35 |
| 0.81 |
21.11 |
5.72 |
| 0.73 |
26.14 |
0.01 |
| 0.77 |
25.97 |
0.23 |
| 0.78 |
23.48 |
8.47 |
| 0.86 |
23.31 |
7.89 |
| 0.84 |
24.58 |
13.06 |
| 0.78 |
24.72 |
2.01 |
| 0.81 |
22.81 |
8.28 |
| 0.80 |
24.74 |
8.60 |
| 0.77 |
26.30 |
0.71 |
| 0.71 |
26.68 |
0.44 |
| 0.66 |
25.67 |
0.01 |
| 0.67 |
27.03 |
0.01 |
| 0.72 |
21.33 |
4.83 |
| 0.71 |
21.60 |
5.72 |
| 0.68 |
27.15 |
0.06 |
| 0.63 |
27.00 |
0.01 |
| 0.69 |
26.87 |
0.23 |
| 0.64 |
27.49 |
0.01 |
| 0.63 |
27.57 |
0.01 |
| 0.68 |
25.71 |
0.17 |
| 0.70 |
26.45 |
0.05 |
| 0.73 |
21.47 |
2.51 |
| 0.74 |
26.02 |
1.58 |
| 0.74 |
23.87 |
3.29 |
| 0.68 |
25.68 |
1.33 |
| 0.71 |
25.50 |
7.51 |
| 0.78 |
21.02 |
9.49 |
| 0.84 |
24.63 |
10.06 |
| 0.72 |
27.04 |
0.03 |
| 0.56 |
27.21 |
0.01 |
| 0.62 |
27.82 |
1.02 |
| 0.62 |
28.31 |
0.01 |
| 0.58 |
28.43 |
0.01 |
| 0.71 |
23.69 |
2.13 |
| 0.79 |
23.32 |
12.86 |
| 0.89 |
13.49 |
13.60 |
| 0.89 |
20.40 |
12.50 |
| 0.86 |
14.08 |
0.42 |
| 0.84 |
18.42 |
0.95 |
| 0.82 |
21.71 |
2.91 |
| 0.91 |
12.10 |
41.50 |
| 0.86 |
22.30 |
6.00 |
| 0.75 |
28.54 |
0.01 |
| 0.72 |
28.45 |
1.05 |
| 0.68 |
28.67 |
0.01 |
| 0.74 |
28.30 |
0.14 |
| 0.73 |
28.57 |
1.04 |
| 0.72 |
28.66 |
0.05 |
| 0.67 |
28.51 |
0.01 |
| 0.65 |
26.72 |
0.01 |
| 0.68 |
24.67 |
0.01 |
| 0.67 |
28.99 |
0.01 |
| 0.72 |
20.94 |
0.01 |
| 0.66 |
27.35 |
0.28 |
| 0.63 |
26.15 |
0.18 |
| 0.62 |
29.49 |
0.01 |
| 0.63 |
23.54 |
0.02 |
| 0.66 |
24.22 |
0.08 |
| 0.64 |
27.74 |
1.79 |
| 0.65 |
23.88 |
0.55 |
| 0.63 |
29.54 |
1.94 |
| 0.74 |
25.65 |
11.66 |
| 0.75 |
26.40 |
6.54 |
| 0.64 |
29.99 |
0.01 |
| 0.64 |
29.10 |
0.04 |
| 0.66 |
30.05 |
0.03 |
| 0.69 |
27.33 |
0.06 |
| 0.64 |
30.27 |
0.01 |
| 0.70 |
27.88 |
2.75 |
| 0.69 |
29.26 |
1.53 |
| 0.69 |
26.31 |
4.06 |
| 0.78 |
25.28 |
13.65 |
| 0.90 |
16.94 |
21.54 |
| 0.87 |
25.09 |
8.13 |
| 0.90 |
18.76 |
10.52 |
| 0.92 |
17.01 |
8.61 |
| 0.88 |
24.15 |
11.68 |
| 0.86 |
19.89 |
26.40 |
| 0.93 |
12.87 |
24.62 |
| 0.92 |
20.83 |
16.24 |
| 0.77 |
27.79 |
0.67 |
| 0.87 |
13.61 |
17.23 |
| 0.89 |
16.59 |
12.60 |
| 0.82 |
28.21 |
3.13 |
| 0.78 |
29.04 |
6.38 |
| 0.85 |
20.77 |
14.32 |
| 0.87 |
22.85 |
16.18 |
| 0.89 |
24.65 |
10.41 |
| 0.88 |
16.29 |
16.51 |
| 0.99 |
1.26 |
44.39 |
| 0.97 |
7.55 |
21.21 |
| 0.96 |
12.11 |
27.92 |
| 0.98 |
5.30 |
18.95 |
| 0.97 |
9.01 |
14.67 |
| 0.98 |
12.84 |
20.20 |
| 0.98 |
13.35 |
22.97 |
| 0.98 |
9.25 |
21.08 |
| 0.99 |
6.27 |
50.09 |
| 0.96 |
11.19 |
22.57 |
| 0.97 |
13.04 |
18.25 |
| 0.99 |
3.62 |
40.71 |
| 0.99 |
3.59 |
48.82 |
| 0.98 |
8.39 |
12.91 |
| 0.98 |
10.04 |
14.96 |
| 0.90 |
15.18 |
7.33 |
| 0.97 |
10.40 |
9.17 |
| 0.94 |
17.05 |
5.73 |
| 0.93 |
19.09 |
12.16 |
| 0.97 |
11.32 |
21.75 |
| 0.97 |
7.11 |
52.69 |
| 0.96 |
13.48 |
14.19 |
| 0.92 |
14.67 |
26.98 |
| 0.92 |
20.45 |
8.53 |
| 0.96 |
13.20 |
11.19 |
| 0.98 |
10.21 |
48.33 |
| 0.99 |
5.55 |
40.68 |
| 0.97 |
11.93 |
5.74 |
| 0.96 |
13.24 |
14.09 |
| 0.97 |
13.15 |
21.30 |
| 0.99 |
5.84 |
19.90 |
| 0.97 |
9.66 |
42.98 |
| 0.98 |
3.99 |
33.36 |
| 0.99 |
5.15 |
34.78 |
| 0.95 |
13.12 |
10.92 |
| 0.99 |
7.19 |
21.17 |
| 0.99 |
2.79 |
39.67 |
| 0.98 |
8.17 |
64.26 |
| 0.98 |
7.26 |
20.04 |
| 0.97 |
9.12 |
45.55 |
| 0.99 |
10.44 |
41.15 |
| 0.97 |
11.50 |
11.55 |
| 0.93 |
23.43 |
5.83 |
| 0.91 |
16.92 |
7.28 |
| 0.94 |
15.19 |
16.71 |
| 0.99 |
4.54 |
24.15 |
| 0.99 |
3.13 |
32.80 |
| 0.99 |
2.94 |
53.78 |
| 0.99 |
8.98 |
19.83 |
| 0.98 |
9.89 |
17.01 |
| 0.99 |
3.45 |
38.36 |
| 0.98 |
9.99 |
26.87 |
| 0.98 |
4.31 |
25.81 |
| 0.97 |
9.00 |
45.19 |
| 0.98 |
10.37 |
22.99 |
| 0.96 |
10.61 |
37.36 |
| 0.97 |
5.39 |
24.14 |
| 0.96 |
11.20 |
8.45 |
| 0.96 |
8.83 |
7.55 |
| 0.90 |
23.37 |
1.11 |
| 0.94 |
11.88 |
8.02 |
| 0.97 |
8.28 |
12.97 |
| 0.91 |
14.59 |
2.66 |
| 0.92 |
11.84 |
11.60 |
| 0.96 |
11.56 |
9.76 |
| 0.91 |
13.27 |
0.76 |
| 0.88 |
19.30 |
16.58 |
| 0.98 |
9.04 |
26.98 |
| 0.98 |
7.86 |
14.07 |
| 0.95 |
12.35 |
3.28 |
| 0.91 |
17.65 |
7.10 |
| 0.93 |
15.82 |
7.55 |
| 0.95 |
9.98 |
4.36 |
| 0.96 |
10.62 |
12.09 |
| 0.96 |
11.39 |
16.79 |
| 0.97 |
6.37 |
26.10 |
| 0.98 |
9.36 |
25.61 |
| 0.98 |
6.03 |
47.70 |
| 0.98 |
5.20 |
10.09 |
| 0.95 |
12.47 |
48.24 |
| 0.98 |
7.48 |
27.62 |
| 0.97 |
11.81 |
29.20 |
| 0.98 |
7.68 |
16.66 |
| 0.96 |
10.47 |
9.16 |
| 0.95 |
9.85 |
4.66 |
| 0.93 |
14.04 |
5.84 |
| 0.94 |
11.64 |
15.57 |
| 0.97 |
5.71 |
14.64 |
| Autor: Grupo 3 |
# 3. Gráfica de dispersión
regresion<- scatterplot3d(x1,x2,y, main = "Gráfica No1: Diagrama de disperción entre la Humedad, radicion solar y Precipitación en el estudio del clima en el volcán Antisana en 2012",
xlab = "Humendad (%)",ylab = "Radiación solar (J/m2)",zlab = "Precipitación (mm)",
color = "cyan4",pch = 7 ,angle = 225)

# 4. Conjetura
#La distribución de los puntos sugiere un comportamiento tipo plano inclinado, ya que la precipitación depende simultáneamente de la radiación solar y de la humedad relativa. Se observa una tendencia creciente de la precipitación conforme aumenta la humedad, mientras que valores elevados de radiación solar se asocian con menores niveles de precipitación, evidenciando una relación inversa entre estas variables. Este patrón indica la influencia conjunta de la humedad y la radiación solar en la variabilidad de la precipitación.
# 5. Ajuste del modelo
regresionmultiple<- lm(y~x1+x2)
regresionmultiple
##
## Call:
## lm(formula = y ~ x1 + x2)
##
## Coefficients:
## (Intercept) x1 x2
## 29.416 6.899 -1.281
#Coeficientes
a<-regresionmultiple$coefficients[2]
a
## x1
## 6.899352
b<-regresionmultiple$coefficients[3]
b
## x2
## -1.280549
c<- regresionmultiple$coefficients[1]
c
## (Intercept)
## 29.41579
# 6. Gráfica de dispersión modelo-realidad
regresion<- scatterplot3d(x1,x2,y,angle = 225, main = "Gráfica No2: Regresión lineal entre la humedad, radiación solar y
máxima temperatura en el estudio del clima en el volcán Antisana en 2012",
xlab = "Humendad (%)",ylab = "Radiación solar (J/m2)",zlab = "Precipitacion (mm))",
color = "cyan4",pch = 7)
regresion$plane3d(regresionmultiple)

# 7. Test de bondad
#Test de Pearson, coeficiente de correlación
r<- cor(y,x1+x2)*100
r
## [1] -70.31012
# 8. Coeficiente de determinación muestral
r2<- r^2/100
r2
## [1] 49.43513
# 9. Restricciones
#Dominio [x1]: D= {0,1}
#Dominio [y]: D= {R+^0}
#Dominio [x2]: D= {R+^0}
# ¿Existe algún valor en dominio de x1,x2 que sustituido en el modelo matemático genere un valor en y fuera de su dominio?
#Restriccion: No existen valores negativos para la variable Precipitacion.
# 10. Aplicaciones del modelo
# Que Precipitacion espero cuando tenemos un radiación solar de 14(J/m2) y una humedad de 0.8 (%)
Temperatura_esperada<- 29.41579-1.280549*14+6.899352*0.8
Temperatura_esperada
## [1] 17.00759
# 11. Conclusión
# Entre humedad (%), Radiación solar (J/m2) y Precipitacion (mm) existe la relación tipo lineal cuya ecuación es y= 29.41579-1.280549x2+6.899352x1 siendo y= Precipitacion (mm), x2= radiación solar (J/m2) y x1= humedad (%),donde no existe restricciones y podemos afirmar que la temperaatura mínima esta influenciada en un 70.31% de la radiación solar y la humedad, el 29.69% se debe a otros factores. Por ejemplo cuando la radiación vale 14 (J/m2) y la humedad de 0.8 (%) obtenemos una Precipitación de 17.007 (mm).