In your group, select one of the four problems below you want to work on together. Work together answering the provided questions and/or related questions you find interesting. Then, as a group, write a 1-2 (or more if you choose) page write-up presenting:

  • the problem or question you worked on,
  • a solution and the tools and reasoning you used to arrive at a solution, and
  • the significance of the result and how it can contribute toward better decision making.

Make sure you edit your write-up to ensure it is readable with no grammar or spelling errors.

Each group will also make a short video presentation of their work, so keep in mind, that your work will be made public to other students to view and study.

Possible Group Member Roles:

  • Communicator - responsible for communicating with all group members and scheduling times to meet and work together. May want to keep a record of communication to keep non-participating members accountable.
  • Delegator - assigns who works on what aspects of a problem and by when
  • Presentation Organizer - makes an outline of the presentation and ensures assigned pieces are added (by the deadline assigned by Delegator) and ready for presentation
  • Write-up Organizer - outlines write-up (may want to work closely with Presentation Organizer) and ensures assigned pieces are added (by the deadline assigned by Delegator), and submits final write-up
  • Editor - responsible for proofreading, editing, and giving constructive feedback to presentation and write-up.

ALL group members should participate in solving the problem!

0.1 How many???

Estimate each of the following, explaining the assumptions and conversions you use to arrive at your final estimate:

  • How many gallons of water do you drink in a year?
  • How many times do you blink in a day?
  • How much does the water in an Olympic pool weigh?
  • How many piano tuners are there in Chicago?

Then make up your own “How many?” question and answer it!

(If you are working by yourself, answer at least two of the above questions, then make up your own.)

0.2 Comparable or not comparable?

Consider the following four sets of statements. Choose three of most interest to your group, and explain what these numbers mean and whether the two values can be directly compared or not. Pay special attention to what the base quantities might be.

  1. “Guns have murdered more Americans here at home in recent years than have died on the battlefields of Iraq and Afghanistan. In support of the two wars, more than 6,500 American soldiers have lost their lives. During the same period, however, guns have been used to murder about 100,000 people on American soil”

    You are exactly right that the statistics in the first example are not comparable, because the context is different! There are far more people domestically than abroad in Iraq.

  2. In the 2012 presidential elections, one candidate argued that “the president’s plan will cut $716 billion from Medicare, leading to fewer services for seniors,” while the other candidate rebuts that “Our plan does not cut current spending and actually expands benefits for seniors, while implementing cost-saving measures.”

    This is not so clear, but it does appear the first candidate is claiming that cutting spending automatically means less services which is not necessarily the case.

  3. In 2012, “16.3% of Americans are without health insurance.” (http://www.cnn.com/2012/06/27/politics/btn-health-care/index.html) At the same time, “only 55.9% of adults receive employer-provided health insurance.” (http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0712/78134.html)

    You are exactly right on the third one. These are different populations of poeple - all Americans, vs. adults.

  4. In 2016, GOP lawmakers claimed that about “75 percent of the federal health care law’s taxes would be paid by those earning less than $120,000 a year,” citing the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) a statement that “76 percent of those who would pay the penalty [health care law’s taxes] for not having insurance in 2016 would earn under $120,000.” (http://factcheck.org/2012/07/twisting-health-care-taxes/) Are these the same, or is the GOP lawmakers’ claim inaccurate?

(If you are working by yourself, choose at least two of the above statements to analyze.)

0.3 Do guns save lives?

Search articles discussing the impact of gun ownership on public safety. Read ones that seem informative and trustworthy, taking note of any statistics that involve percentages until your group finds ten or more statistics describing the impact of gun ownership on public safety. Explain the significance of each statistic as well as what picture these statistics paint as a whole. Pay special attention to what the base quantities might be. Check the source of each statistic and then cite the original study the statistic came from. Below are some articles to start with, but feel free to use others as well.

0.4 Create your own income tax

Imagine the country is made up of 100 households. The federal government needs to collect $800,000 in income taxes to be able to function. The population consists of 6 groups:

  • Group A: 20 households that earn $12,000 each
  • Group B: 20 households that earn $29,000 each
  • Group C: 20 households that earn $50,000 each
  • Group D: 20 households that earn $79,000 each
  • Group E: 15 households that earn $129,000 each
  • Group F: 5 households that earn $295,000 each
households = c(20,20,20,20,15,5)
income = c(12,29,50,79,129,295)
total = sum(households*income)
total
## [1] 6810
800/total
## [1] 0.1174743
sum(households[-1]*(income[-1]-20))
## [1] 4970

This scenario is roughly proportional to the actual United States population and tax needs. You will determine new income tax rates for three proposals:

  1. Proposal 1 - Flax tax: Everyone is charged a flax tax - every income group is taxed the same percentage on all their income.
  2. Proposal 2 - Modified flat tax: Everyone pays taxes only on income above $20,000. For example, those in Group A pay no taxes; those in Group B pay taxes on $9,000 of their income; etc.
  3. Proposal 3 - Progressive Tax: Each tax group is charged increasingly higher tax rates, but you choose the rates!

For Proposals 1 and 2, determine the tax rate needed to collect $800,000 (plus or minus $100). For Proposal 3, choose your own progressive tax rate system so that they add up to close to $800,000. In this case, you may decide to charge each household group the same rate on all their income, or in tax brackets as prescribed by the US tax system.

Discuss the advantages and disadvantages of each proposal, and present an argument for the advantages of your plan.

0.5 Calculating Taxes

Calculate what your 2024 federal income tax would be for the following possible situations:

  • Scenario 1: You earn $60,000 in standard wage income (W-2 income), have no dependents, and take the standard deduction.
# scenario 1- $5216 
income = (60000-14600)
11600*0.1+(income-11600)*0.12
## [1] 5216
  • Scenario 2: You earn $20,000 in standard wage income, $40,000 in qualified dividends, have no dependents, and take the standard deduction.
# scenario 2 - $540
(20000-14600)*0.1
## [1] 540
  • Scenario 3: You earn $60,000 in small business income, have no dependents, and take the standard deduction.
# scenario 3 -  $6946.20
(60000-14600)*0.153
## [1] 6946.2
  • Scenario 4: You are:

    • Married with 2 children, filing jointly
    • Have a combined wage income of $60,000
    • From having 2 children, you get the Earned Income Tax Credit of $5,920.
# scenario 4 - (-2688)

income = (60000-29200)
23200*0.1+(income-23200)*0.12
## [1] 3232
23200*0.1+(income-23200)*0.12-5920
## [1] -2688

Use the 2020 tax tables, as well as any of the hints below.

2020 Standard Tax Deductions
Filing status 2019 tax year
Single $12,200
Married, filing jointly $24,400
Head of household $18,350
2020 Tax tables - Single
Income Range Income Tax Rate Long-Term Capital Gains Rate
$0 to $9,875 10% 0
$9,876 to $40,125 12% 0%; 15% at $40,001
$40,126 to $85,525 22% 0.15
$85,526 to $163,300 24% 0.15
$163,301 to $207,350 32% 0.15
$207,351 to $518,400 35% 15%; 20% at $441,451
$518,401+ 37% 0.2
2020 Tax tables - Married, Filing Jointly
Income Range Income Tax Rate Long-Term Capital Gains Rate
$0 to $19,750 10% 0
$19,751 to $80,250 12% 0%; 15% at $80,001
$80,251 to $171,050 22% 0.15
$171,051 to $326,600 24% 0.15
$326,601 to $414,700 32% 0.15
$414,701 to $622,050 35% 15%; 20% at $496,601
$622,051+ 37% 0.2

Hints:

  • Scenario 2: Qualified dividends are earnings on certain investments such as stocks that are taxed under a special tax called long-term capital gains tax. Refer to the long-term capital gains tax in the above table (More explanation of long-term capital gains tax here here.)
  • Scenario 3: Small business owners earning more than $400 must pay self-employment tax at a rate of 15.3% of taxable income. Small business owners use the same deduction as those receiving wage income. (More details on self-employment tax here.)
  • Scenario 4: You may qualify for the Earned Income Tax Credit!
  • Consider how you can use R Studio, Excel, or Google Sheets to make computing and presenting your results easier.

From these four scenarios, what are your impressions of how the income tax system treats these different forms of income and expenses? How does this inform how you will do taxes in the future?

0.6 Wealth Tax

Economic disparity in the United States has been continually increasing in the United States over the last 50 years. In other words, the rich are getting richer, the poor are getting poorer. One proposed way of addressing income inequality is through a wealth tax. (Currently, our tax system only taxes income, not wealth, or money that people already have.)

Read at least five articles discussing the proposed benefits or potential problems with implementing a wealth tax in the United States. Describe your findings, discussing specific plans and at least five statistics cited in these articles that involve percentages. Describe the significance of each statistic as well as what picture these statistics paint as a whole. Pay special attention to what the base quantities of comparative statistics might be. Be sure to check the source of each statistic and cite what study it came from. Below are some articles to start with, but feel free to use others as well.

Finally, based on your findings, explain what (if any) modifications to our current tax system your group thinks is best and why.