Definitive ceasefire	Temporary ceasefire
(Intercept)	8.769***	0.114***
	(2.567)	(0.033)
Local mediation only	0.456*	2.192*
	(0.150)	(0.721)
International mediation only	0.312***	3.185***
	(0.094)	(0.959)
Local + International mediation	1.776	0.563
	(0.866)	(0.275)
Num.Obs.	1544	1544
BIC	1632.0	1630.0
F	11.791	11.681
RMSE	0.41	0.41
+ p < 0.1, * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001