GM Draft Report Card (Reg. Season)
Grades are determined by summing the 'Value +/-' (VORP above expectation) for every pick made by the franchise through Week 14.
2025 Season Report
Introduction
Hi folks, I thought it would be fun to look at the season that was from different angles. Stuff that you can’t see just from clicking around Sleeper. Draft outcomes, waiver wire winners, schedule luck, and so on. If you find this interesting, I can do it each to see how the story of our dynasty league evolves.
Note that this is not a professional grade product, but I can spruce it up over time. If you notice straight up errors, let me know.
Most analyses are just for the regular season. The playoffs are tricky because of byes and such, but those data are included in some figures that I’ll note as we go.
Enjoy!
Draft Analysis
Let’s start where the league started: the draft.
The below table shows the total value of each team’s draft. Value is calculated by measuring how many points a player scored above a ‘replacement level’ free agent, adjusted for how scarce their specific position is in our starting lineups. It then compares that advantage to the typical production of a player taken at that specific draft pick to see if you outperformed the expected cost.
The worst picks will most likely be defined by bad-luck injuries.
Note that these ratings don’t account for if you added, dropped, or traded any of these players. It’s rating how good your draft choices were, not your subsequent roster management.
Positional Guru Report
Who drafted which positions the best? The below faceted charts and table break down how efficient we were in filling out each position in our rosters.
Positional Efficiency Leaderboard (Reg. Season)
This table ranks teams by 'Net Value +/-'. This is the total VORP (Value Over Replacement) added above expectation through Week 14.
Team Identity
Positional Reliance
Did your fantasy team prefer ground and pound? Or did you air it out? The below charts present the same data two ways. Note that we are now moving away from ‘who you drafted’ to ‘who actually suited up for you’.
Positional Reliance Matrix (Reg. Season)
Darker colors indicate a higher dependency on that position group through Week 14.
The “Backpack” Award
Who had the toughest carry jobs this season and post-season?
GM Activity
The Hustle Report
Note that these wins are just H2H, regular season.
Acquisition All-Stars
Coaching Efficiency
Manager Efficiency (Best Ball)
Who set the best lineups and who left points on the bench?
The “Coulda Woulda Shoulda” Report
This graph includes the playoffs, so it might be a bit noisy.
The “Bench Warmer” Hall of Fame
Who warmed the pine as a wasted contributor or backup to an even better player?
Luck & Context
Power Rankings & Schedule Luck
They say it’s better to be lucky than good.
The chart below shows our actual records (including median Ws and Ls) and an All-Play record. The All-Play record pits everyone H2H against each other every week. So you could go 9-0 in a given week if you had the highest score in the league. The Luck Index is the difference between your Record win percentage and your all-play win percentage.
Note that our league’s use of the median W/L buffers a lot of schedule luck, otherwise the Luck Index would have values even farther from zero.
League Context Matrix
Comparing actual results against underlying performance metrics.
The Schedule Luck Matrix
What would have happened if you played another team’s H2H schedule? The volatility of fantasy football means that your strong weeks and weak weeks can have ideal or disastrous timing.
Note that totals won’t always add up to 14 because we play every team once and five teams twice, so you tie against yourself once or twice when simulating a different schedule. I just omitted the ties to make the table cleaner.
For Fun
The Stress Test
In the figure below, the more games you had closer to zero, the more stressful your season was.
This figure includes playoffs.
