Monthly Oceanographic Kachemak Bay Report, December 2025

Authors
Affiliations

Martin Renner

CSS, under contract to NOAA/NCCOS Kasitsna Bay Lab

Kris Holderied

NOAA/NCCOS Kasitsna Bay Lab

Paul Cziko

NOAA/NCCOS Kasitsna Bay Lab

Summary

After a month of unseasonably cold, dry weather with northeasterly winds and ice in shallow waters, little sign of vertical ocean stratification remained. Differences remained between a colder and fresher inner, and a warmer, saltier outer bay. Throughout the water column, temperatures were below the long-term mean, in parts by over 1.2 standard deviations (SD). All but deep waters in the inner bay were 0-1 SD fresher than normal.

Conditions

Weather in the month leading up to this survey was unusually cold (Figure 1) and dry, with winds generally blowing from the northeast. Beluga Lake was frozen but there was virtually no snow on the ground at sea-level. Mud Bay was filled with ice and Homer Harbor was impassable for small vessels due to the amount of ice. Hans, Martin, and Paul conducted the KBL monthly survey on 22 December. Due to the short available daylight, only the AlongBay transect was completed. A complete set of up-to-date graphs can be found on the Google Drive: section plots and time sections.

Figure 1: Recent temperature and precipitation at Homer Airport, compared to their seasonal means.

Physical oceanography

Temperature

Recorded water temperatures during this survey ranged from a minimum of 3.7 °C at station AlongBay-13 (1 m depth), in the inner bay off Bear Cove, to a maximum of 5.6 °C at AlongBay-1 (66 m depth) in the outer bay, off Seldovia. There was little indication of vertical stratification, however horizontal differences were evident with warmer waters in the outer bay and coldest waters in the inner bay (Figure 2). A thin surface layer of slightly colder surface water was seen at the head of the bay, an area coinciding with impressive ice fog in the early morning. A local spot of colder water was found off Homer Spit (at about 30 km along-track, Figure 2). Presumably, colder (and fresher) water from Mud Bay, matching the characteristics of waters from the inner-bay, extended out to this area.

Figure 2: Longitudinal AlongBay Transect from Kachemak Bay entrance (left) to Bear Cove (right), showing main parameters from the present survey (left column) and their respective anomaly, i.e. the difference between the present measurements and the long-term monthly mean (2012-current) at the respective place and depth.

On a larger scale, satellite data showed a similar trend for sea surface temperatures, as observed here for Kachemak Bay, for Cook Inlet: warmer waters from the Gulf of Alaska, gradually cooled, as they moved into the increasingly shallow waters of upper Cook Inlet (Figure 3).

Figure 3: Sea surface temperature in the Gulf of Alaska, based on satellite remote sensing

Everywhere in the bay, and at all depths, water temperatures were below the long-term mean (top-right of Figure 2). While much of the North Pacific was still in a warm-water anomaly, the Gulf of Alaska had also moved into a negative temperature anomaly, in line with temperatures throughout Kachemak Bay (global SST anomaly). The warm-water anomaly that was a feature in Kachemak Bay waters since the beginning of the year, appeared to have come to an end, at least for now (Figure 4, Figure 5).

Figure 4: Water temperature at the Homer Harbor SWMP station, operated by the KBNERR, at approximately 7 m depth (This is the deeper of two sensors, but is still located in the surface layer).
Figure 5: Bottom-water temperature at mid-bay CTD station T9-6 compared to the seasonal long-term mean.
Figure 6: Oceanography Station AlongBay-8, near Glacier Spit; Temperature of the deepest 10 m over a bottom depth of 79 m.
Figure 7: Long-term temperature and salinity profiles at mid-bay (T9-6).

Salinity

Salinity values ranged from 29.7 PSU at AlongBay-7 (1m depth) in the outer bay to 31.3 at AlongBay-1 (69m depth) in the outer bay. The outer bay was a little bit more saline than the inner bay. Differences between deep and surface waters were minute, indicating an almost fully mixed water column (Figure 2). Compared to the long-term mean, surface, and especially outer bay waters, were by up to 1 SD saltier.

Similarly to the heat wave years of 2014-16, the bay experienced anomalously warm waters for the first 2/3 of 2025. Since this fall, salinity reverted to being saltier than normal (Figure 8)

Figure 8: Variability of deep-water salinity at T9-6 compared to the seasonal long-term mean.

Turbidity

The inner bay was more turbid than the outer bay (Figure 2). In contrast to last month, when deep waters were considerably more turbid than surface waters, there was no such contrast this month.

Biological conditions

Phytoplankton

Chlorophyll concentrations were close to zero throughout Kachemak Bay, showing no areas of concentrated activity (Figure 2).

Figure 9: Trends and seasonal anomaly of Chlorophyll concentrations at T9-6 (mean from surface to 85 m depth)

Wildlife

One late humpback whale was feeding off Bear Cove near the head of the bay.

Mailing list

Please email Martin at martin.renner@noaa.gov if you would like to be added to or removed from this mailing list.