\[\begin{aligned} \mathrm{SCORE}_{9\mathrm{TH},\, i+4} - \mathrm{SCORE}_{5\mathrm{TH},\, i} \;=&\; \beta_0 + \sum_{c} \gamma_c \,\mathbb{1}(\mathrm{COHORT}_i = c) + \sum_{s} \lambda_s \,\mathbb{1}(\mathrm{STATE}_m = s) \\[4pt] &+ \beta_1 \,\mathrm{DROPOUT}_{m,i} + \beta_2 \,\mathrm{RACA\_PRETO}^{(9)}_{m,i+4} + \beta_3 \,\mathrm{NSE\_AVG}^{(9)}_{m,i+4} + \beta_4 \,\mathrm{SEXO\_M}^{(9)}_{m,i+4} \\[4pt] &+ \sum_{c} \delta_c \, \mathbb{1}(\mathrm{COHORT}_i = c) \times \mathrm{RACA\_PRETO}^{(9)}_{m,i+4} \\[4pt] &+ \sum_{c} \theta_c \, \mathbb{1}(\mathrm{COHORT}_i = c) \times \mathrm{NSE\_AVG}^{(9)}_{m,i+4} + \varepsilon_{m,i} \end{aligned}\]

where:

\[\begin{aligned} \mathrm{DROPOUT}_{m,i} = \frac{N^{(9)}_{m,i+4}}{N^{(5)}_{m,i}} \end{aligned}\]

`

Normalization (z-score)

##  normalized covariates (z-score with gloabl average/sd):**
##  GANHO_LEITURA, GANHO_MATEMATICA, NSE_AVG, avg_index_violence, kl_raca, kl_NSE, kl_raca_ses, ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2, afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 
## 
##  covariates kept in raw scale:**
##  SEXO_M, RACA_PRETO, DROP_OUT_RATE, proportion_estadual, NUM_SCHOOLS

Results

White students TOP SES

Reading - White TOP SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
COHORT2009-2013 -0.405*** -0.376*** -0.375*** -0.375*** -0.375*** -0.409***
(0.056) (0.056) (0.056) (0.056) (0.056) (0.055)
COHORT2011-2015 -0.213*** -0.175** -0.175** -0.174** -0.174** -0.239***
(0.058) (0.057) (0.057) (0.057) (0.057) (0.056)
COHORT2013-2017 -0.338*** -0.280*** -0.284*** -0.283*** -0.282*** -0.340***
(0.058) (0.057) (0.057) (0.057) (0.057) (0.056)
RACA_PRETO 1.458*** 0.830** 0.880** 0.795** 0.804** 0.897**
(0.284) (0.279) (0.282) (0.280) (0.280) (0.286)
NSE_AVG -0.059 -0.052 -0.054 -0.060 -0.057 -0.006
(0.032) (0.031) (0.031) (0.032) (0.032) (0.032)
SEXO_M -1.096*** -0.643*** -0.637*** -0.633*** -0.638*** -0.593***
(0.106) (0.105) (0.105) (0.105) (0.105) (0.104)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 -0.016 -0.017 -0.018 -0.017 -0.007
(0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.011)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 0.134*** 0.133*** 0.133*** 0.134*** 0.070***
(0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.016)
NUM_SCHOOLS 0.001* 0.001* 0.001* 0.001* 0.0004
(0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003)
proportion_estadual -0.174*** -0.170*** -0.168*** -0.171*** -0.153***
(0.022) (0.022) (0.022) (0.022) (0.023)
avg_index_violence -0.023** -0.022** -0.022** -0.023** -0.033***
(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008)
DROP_OUT_RATE 1.051*** 1.046*** 1.050*** 1.051*** 1.020***
(0.061) (0.061) (0.061) (0.061) (0.064)
kl_raca 0.010
(0.007)
kl_NSE 0.015*
(0.007)
kl_raca_ses 0.008 -0.002
(0.007) (0.007)
UfAC 0.040
(0.184)
UfAM 0.040
(0.142)
UfAP -0.113
(0.183)
UfBA -0.076
(0.096)
UfCE 0.485
(0.497)
UfDF -0.779*
(0.354)
UfES -0.381***
(0.056)
UfMA 0.105
(0.316)
UfMG -0.475***
(0.032)
UfMS 0.032
(0.050)
UfMT -0.180***
(0.044)
UfPA -0.132
(0.153)
UfPB -0.197
(0.168)
UfPE 0.393**
(0.149)
UfPI 1.507*
(0.702)
UfPR -0.371***
(0.035)
UfRJ -0.526***
(0.049)
UfRN 0.154
(0.130)
UfRO 0.113
(0.080)
UfRR 0.137
(0.174)
UfRS -0.341***
(0.035)
UfSC -0.353***
(0.037)
UfSE -0.413
(0.352)
UfSP -0.402***
(0.032)
UfTO 0.280***
(0.082)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO -1.146** -1.011** -1.019** -1.008** -1.009** -0.941**
(0.383) (0.373) (0.373) (0.373) (0.373) (0.365)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -1.560*** -1.307*** -1.313*** -1.289*** -1.297*** -1.137**
(0.365) (0.355) (0.355) (0.356) (0.356) (0.349)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO -1.483*** -1.200*** -1.193*** -1.171** -1.183** -0.988**
(0.369) (0.359) (0.360) (0.360) (0.360) (0.353)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG 0.080 0.081 0.080 0.082 0.082 0.107*
(0.044) (0.043) (0.043) (0.043) (0.043) (0.042)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.082 -0.098* -0.098* -0.097* -0.097* -0.052
(0.045) (0.044) (0.044) (0.044) (0.044) (0.043)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG -0.031 -0.046 -0.045 -0.045 -0.045 -0.006
(0.045) (0.044) (0.044) (0.044) (0.044) (0.043)
Constant 0.667*** 0.488*** 0.482*** 0.490*** 0.489*** 0.721***
(0.065) (0.069) (0.069) (0.069) (0.069) (0.071)
Observations 11,002 11,002 11,002 11,002 11,002 11,002
R2 0.078 0.127 0.127 0.127 0.127 0.166
Adjusted R2 0.077 0.125 0.125 0.125 0.125 0.163
Residual Std. Error 0.736 (df = 10989) 0.716 (df = 10983) 0.716 (df = 10982) 0.716 (df = 10982) 0.716 (df = 10982) 0.700 (df = 10957)
F Statistic 77.104*** (df = 12; 10989) 88.421*** (df = 18; 10983) 83.874*** (df = 19; 10982) 83.999*** (df = 19; 10982) 83.849*** (df = 19; 10982) 49.644*** (df = 44; 10957)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001


Math - White TOP SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
COHORT2009-2013 -0.823*** -0.809*** -0.808*** -0.808*** -0.809*** -0.841***
(0.060) (0.059) (0.059) (0.059) (0.059) (0.057)
COHORT2011-2015 -0.616*** -0.593*** -0.595*** -0.592*** -0.592*** -0.695***
(0.061) (0.060) (0.060) (0.060) (0.060) (0.058)
COHORT2013-2017 -0.693*** -0.643*** -0.655*** -0.648*** -0.645*** -0.776***
(0.061) (0.060) (0.060) (0.060) (0.060) (0.058)
RACA_PRETO 0.869** 0.130 0.286 0.065 0.092 -0.052
(0.301) (0.293) (0.296) (0.294) (0.294) (0.297)
NSE_AVG 0.015 0.019 0.011 0.003 0.012 0.030
(0.034) (0.033) (0.033) (0.033) (0.033) (0.033)
SEXO_M -0.704*** -0.151 -0.134 -0.132 -0.145 0.071
(0.113) (0.110) (0.110) (0.111) (0.111) (0.108)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 0.023* 0.021* 0.020 0.022* 0.012
(0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 0.196*** 0.194*** 0.195*** 0.196*** 0.070***
(0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.017)
NUM_SCHOOLS 0.001* 0.0004 0.0004 0.0005 0.0004
(0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003)
proportion_estadual -0.236*** -0.224*** -0.224*** -0.231*** -0.193***
(0.023) (0.023) (0.023) (0.023) (0.024)
avg_index_violence -0.017* -0.015 -0.016* -0.017* -0.016*
(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008)
DROP_OUT_RATE 1.139*** 1.122*** 1.136*** 1.139*** 0.849***
(0.064) (0.064) (0.064) (0.064) (0.066)
kl_raca 0.030***
(0.007)
kl_NSE 0.028***
(0.008)
kl_raca_ses 0.012 -0.008
(0.007) (0.007)
UfAC 0.110
(0.191)
UfAM -0.280
(0.147)
UfAP -0.071
(0.190)
UfBA 0.044
(0.100)
UfCE 0.301
(0.515)
UfDF -0.648
(0.367)
UfES -0.138*
(0.058)
UfMA 0.070
(0.327)
UfMG -0.445***
(0.033)
UfMS 0.041
(0.052)
UfMT -0.124**
(0.046)
UfPA -0.133
(0.159)
UfPB 0.160
(0.174)
UfPE 0.336*
(0.154)
UfPI 1.973**
(0.727)
UfPR -0.476***
(0.036)
UfRJ -0.417***
(0.051)
UfRN 0.263
(0.134)
UfRO 0.082
(0.083)
UfRR 0.260
(0.180)
UfRS -0.268***
(0.037)
UfSC -0.243***
(0.038)
UfSE -0.201
(0.365)
UfSP -0.635***
(0.033)
UfTO 0.358***
(0.085)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO 0.171 0.313 0.287 0.319 0.316 0.243
(0.407) (0.392) (0.391) (0.391) (0.391) (0.378)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -0.753 -0.504 -0.522 -0.470 -0.489 -0.308
(0.387) (0.373) (0.373) (0.373) (0.373) (0.361)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO -0.898* -0.635 -0.615 -0.582 -0.611 -0.266
(0.392) (0.378) (0.377) (0.378) (0.378) (0.366)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG 0.072 0.080 0.078 0.082 0.081 0.101*
(0.047) (0.045) (0.045) (0.045) (0.045) (0.044)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.132** -0.141** -0.141** -0.140** -0.141** -0.068
(0.048) (0.046) (0.046) (0.046) (0.046) (0.045)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG -0.069 -0.075 -0.072 -0.073 -0.073 0.005
(0.048) (0.046) (0.046) (0.046) (0.046) (0.045)
Constant 0.655*** 0.523*** 0.504*** 0.526*** 0.524*** 0.740***
(0.069) (0.072) (0.072) (0.072) (0.072) (0.074)
Observations 11,002 11,002 11,002 11,002 11,002 11,002
R2 0.160 0.223 0.224 0.224 0.223 0.278
Adjusted R2 0.159 0.221 0.222 0.222 0.221 0.275
Residual Std. Error 0.781 (df = 10989) 0.752 (df = 10983) 0.752 (df = 10982) 0.752 (df = 10982) 0.752 (df = 10982) 0.726 (df = 10957)
F Statistic 174.816*** (df = 12; 10989) 174.745*** (df = 18; 10983) 166.651*** (df = 19; 10982) 166.372*** (df = 19; 10982) 165.722*** (df = 19; 10982) 95.679*** (df = 44; 10957)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001

White students BOTTOM SES

Reading - White TBOTTOM SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
COHORT2009-2013 -0.364*** -0.379*** -0.379*** -0.379*** -0.379*** -0.414***
(0.061) (0.061) (0.061) (0.061) (0.061) (0.061)
COHORT2011-2015 -0.324*** -0.320*** -0.320*** -0.319*** -0.319*** -0.359***
(0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.064)
COHORT2013-2017 -0.389*** -0.359*** -0.358*** -0.359*** -0.359*** -0.410***
(0.065) (0.064) (0.064) (0.064) (0.064) (0.065)
RACA_PRETO -0.229 -0.395 -0.409 -0.395 -0.394 -0.278
(0.242) (0.237) (0.238) (0.237) (0.237) (0.248)
NSE_AVG 0.224*** 0.341*** 0.340*** 0.349*** 0.342*** 0.424***
(0.029) (0.030) (0.030) (0.030) (0.030) (0.031)
SEXO_M -1.307*** -0.663*** -0.661*** -0.667*** -0.668*** -0.787***
(0.132) (0.132) (0.132) (0.132) (0.132) (0.134)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 -0.022* -0.022* -0.022* -0.022* -0.034**
(0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.056*** -0.056*** -0.057*** -0.057*** -0.036**
(0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.011)
NUM_SCHOOLS 0.004** 0.004** 0.003** 0.004** 0.0004
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
proportion_estadual -0.332*** -0.333*** -0.330*** -0.331*** -0.177***
(0.029) (0.029) (0.029) (0.029) (0.042)
avg_index_violence -0.021 -0.021 -0.020 -0.020 -0.024*
(0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011)
DROP_OUT_RATE 1.070*** 1.070*** 1.069*** 1.070*** 1.114***
(0.061) (0.061) (0.061) (0.061) (0.066)
kl_raca -0.006
(0.010)
kl_NSE 0.018
(0.010)
kl_raca_ses 0.009 0.015
(0.010) (0.010)
UfAC -0.123
(0.125)
UfAL -0.058
(0.083)
UfAM -0.264**
(0.088)
UfAP -0.462**
(0.145)
UfBA -0.252***
(0.072)
UfCE 0.208**
(0.077)
UfES -0.420***
(0.115)
UfMA -0.050
(0.077)
UfMG -0.300***
(0.063)
UfMS -0.200
(0.212)
UfMT -0.324***
(0.092)
UfPA -0.333***
(0.079)
UfPB -0.270***
(0.071)
UfPE 0.026
(0.073)
UfPI -0.152*
(0.074)
UfPR -0.552***
(0.096)
UfRJ -0.629**
(0.232)
UfRN -0.040
(0.074)
UfRO -0.195
(0.104)
UfRR -0.201
(0.158)
UfRS -0.386**
(0.127)
UfSC -0.627**
(0.211)
UfSE -0.122
(0.084)
UfSP -0.475***
(0.109)
UfTO -0.179*
(0.072)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO -0.145 -0.074 -0.070 -0.073 -0.074 0.049
(0.343) (0.335) (0.335) (0.335) (0.335) (0.333)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -0.386 -0.329 -0.325 -0.332 -0.334 -0.215
(0.333) (0.325) (0.325) (0.325) (0.325) (0.324)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO 0.674* 0.719* 0.723* 0.715* 0.718* 0.866**
(0.332) (0.324) (0.324) (0.324) (0.324) (0.323)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG -0.186*** -0.188*** -0.187*** -0.188*** -0.188*** -0.196***
(0.045) (0.043) (0.043) (0.043) (0.043) (0.044)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.251*** -0.229*** -0.228*** -0.228*** -0.228*** -0.238***
(0.048) (0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.048)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG -0.385*** -0.358*** -0.358*** -0.358*** -0.357*** -0.387***
(0.049) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048)
Constant 1.100*** 0.740*** 0.739*** 0.749*** 0.744*** 0.975***
(0.075) (0.081) (0.081) (0.081) (0.081) (0.102)
Observations 11,002 11,002 11,002 11,002 11,002 10,949
R2 0.025 0.071 0.072 0.072 0.072 0.093
Adjusted R2 0.024 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.089
Residual Std. Error 0.956 (df = 10989) 0.934 (df = 10983) 0.934 (df = 10982) 0.934 (df = 10982) 0.934 (df = 10982) 0.926 (df = 10904)
F Statistic 23.962*** (df = 12; 10989) 46.966*** (df = 18; 10983) 44.510*** (df = 19; 10982) 44.676*** (df = 19; 10982) 44.538*** (df = 19; 10982) 25.331*** (df = 44; 10904)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001


Math - White TBOTTOM SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
COHORT2009-2013 -0.661*** -0.686*** -0.686*** -0.686*** -0.686*** -0.739***
(0.059) (0.059) (0.059) (0.058) (0.058) (0.059)
COHORT2011-2015 -0.683*** -0.695*** -0.695*** -0.693*** -0.691*** -0.758***
(0.061) (0.060) (0.060) (0.060) (0.060) (0.061)
COHORT2013-2017 -0.798*** -0.784*** -0.785*** -0.784*** -0.785*** -0.858***
(0.062) (0.062) (0.062) (0.062) (0.062) (0.063)
RACA_PRETO -0.450 -0.627** -0.607** -0.626** -0.623** -0.750**
(0.233) (0.228) (0.229) (0.228) (0.228) (0.238)
NSE_AVG 0.218*** 0.350*** 0.351*** 0.361*** 0.353*** 0.453***
(0.028) (0.028) (0.029) (0.029) (0.028) (0.030)
SEXO_M -0.462*** 0.133 0.130 0.127 0.120 0.049
(0.127) (0.127) (0.127) (0.127) (0.127) (0.128)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 -0.020* -0.020* -0.021* -0.021* -0.019
(0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.010)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.046*** -0.046*** -0.047*** -0.048*** -0.022*
(0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.011)
NUM_SCHOOLS 0.003* 0.003* 0.002 0.002 -0.0003
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
proportion_estadual -0.405*** -0.404*** -0.402*** -0.403*** -0.223***
(0.028) (0.028) (0.028) (0.028) (0.040)
avg_index_violence -0.020 -0.020 -0.019 -0.019 -0.023*
(0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.884*** 0.883*** 0.883*** 0.885*** 0.873***
(0.058) (0.058) (0.058) (0.058) (0.063)
kl_raca 0.008
(0.009)
kl_NSE 0.025**
(0.009)
kl_raca_ses 0.025* 0.033***
(0.010) (0.010)
UfAC -0.053
(0.120)
UfAL -0.036
(0.079)
UfAM -0.482***
(0.084)
UfAP -0.462***
(0.139)
UfBA -0.211**
(0.069)
UfCE 0.144
(0.074)
UfES -0.311**
(0.110)
UfMA -0.138
(0.074)
UfMG -0.349***
(0.060)
UfMS -0.145
(0.203)
UfMT -0.309***
(0.088)
UfPA -0.307***
(0.075)
UfPB -0.305***
(0.068)
UfPE 0.039
(0.070)
UfPI 0.010
(0.071)
UfPR -0.607***
(0.091)
UfRJ -0.538*
(0.223)
UfRN -0.018
(0.071)
UfRO -0.176
(0.100)
UfRR -0.062
(0.152)
UfRS -0.317**
(0.122)
UfSC -0.561**
(0.202)
UfSE -0.003
(0.081)
UfSP -0.726***
(0.105)
UfTO -0.045
(0.069)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO 0.185 0.265 0.260 0.266 0.264 0.435
(0.330) (0.322) (0.323) (0.322) (0.322) (0.319)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO 0.207 0.267 0.260 0.263 0.253 0.438
(0.320) (0.313) (0.313) (0.313) (0.313) (0.310)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO 0.687* 0.719* 0.714* 0.712* 0.715* 0.891**
(0.319) (0.312) (0.312) (0.312) (0.312) (0.310)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG -0.249*** -0.251*** -0.251*** -0.251*** -0.252*** -0.270***
(0.043) (0.042) (0.042) (0.042) (0.042) (0.042)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.402*** -0.378*** -0.378*** -0.378*** -0.376*** -0.401***
(0.046) (0.045) (0.045) (0.045) (0.045) (0.046)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG -0.527*** -0.496*** -0.496*** -0.496*** -0.495*** -0.539***
(0.047) (0.046) (0.046) (0.046) (0.046) (0.046)
Constant 0.906*** 0.676*** 0.677*** 0.688*** 0.687*** 0.933***
(0.072) (0.078) (0.078) (0.078) (0.078) (0.098)
Observations 11,002 11,002 11,002 11,002 11,002 10,949
R2 0.042 0.087 0.087 0.087 0.087 0.116
Adjusted R2 0.041 0.085 0.085 0.086 0.086 0.112
Residual Std. Error 0.920 (df = 10989) 0.898 (df = 10983) 0.898 (df = 10982) 0.898 (df = 10982) 0.898 (df = 10982) 0.887 (df = 10904)
F Statistic 40.178*** (df = 12; 10989) 58.089*** (df = 18; 10983) 55.074*** (df = 19; 10982) 55.411*** (df = 19; 10982) 55.395*** (df = 19; 10982) 32.498*** (df = 44; 10904)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001

Black/Brown students TOP SES

Reading - Black/Brown TOP SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
COHORT2009-2013 -0.299*** -0.262*** -0.260*** -0.262*** -0.262*** -0.282***
(0.062) (0.061) (0.061) (0.061) (0.061) (0.060)
COHORT2011-2015 -0.090 -0.039 -0.042 -0.038 -0.038 -0.090
(0.063) (0.062) (0.062) (0.062) (0.062) (0.062)
COHORT2013-2017 -0.202** -0.129* -0.144* -0.133* -0.131* -0.189**
(0.064) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.062)
RACA_PRETO 1.051*** 0.293 0.477 0.245 0.255 0.178
(0.313) (0.307) (0.309) (0.307) (0.307) (0.316)
NSE_AVG 0.016 0.025 0.016 0.013 0.018 0.035
(0.035) (0.034) (0.034) (0.035) (0.035) (0.036)
SEXO_M -1.437*** -0.868*** -0.846*** -0.854*** -0.861*** -0.788***
(0.116) (0.115) (0.115) (0.115) (0.115) (0.115)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 0.004 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.010
(0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.012)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 0.109*** 0.107*** 0.109*** 0.109*** 0.025
(0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.018)
NUM_SCHOOLS 0.0003 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0001
(0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003)
proportion_estadual -0.208*** -0.193*** -0.199*** -0.203*** -0.164***
(0.024) (0.024) (0.024) (0.024) (0.026)
avg_index_violence -0.029*** -0.026** -0.028*** -0.029*** -0.033***
(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008)
DROP_OUT_RATE 1.320*** 1.299*** 1.318*** 1.320*** 1.205***
(0.067) (0.067) (0.067) (0.067) (0.070)
kl_raca 0.036***
(0.008)
kl_NSE 0.021*
(0.008)
kl_raca_ses 0.012 0.003
(0.008) (0.008)
UfAC -0.146
(0.204)
UfAM -0.123
(0.156)
UfAP -0.369
(0.202)
UfBA -0.044
(0.105)
UfCE -0.368
(0.548)
UfDF -0.837*
(0.391)
UfES -0.360***
(0.061)
UfMA -0.005
(0.348)
UfMG -0.456***
(0.035)
UfMS -0.068
(0.055)
UfMT -0.283***
(0.049)
UfPA -0.262
(0.169)
UfPB -0.281
(0.181)
UfPE 0.224
(0.164)
UfPI 0.190
(0.774)
UfPR -0.466***
(0.038)
UfRJ -0.423***
(0.055)
UfRN 0.189
(0.143)
UfRO -0.044
(0.088)
UfRR -0.419*
(0.192)
UfRS -0.322***
(0.039)
UfSC -0.287***
(0.041)
UfSE -0.209
(0.388)
UfSP -0.474***
(0.035)
UfTO -0.054
(0.091)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO -1.561*** -1.400*** -1.431*** -1.395*** -1.397*** -1.387***
(0.421) (0.408) (0.408) (0.408) (0.408) (0.403)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -2.061*** -1.778*** -1.796*** -1.755*** -1.764*** -1.616***
(0.401) (0.390) (0.389) (0.390) (0.390) (0.385)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO -1.471*** -1.146** -1.122** -1.106** -1.121** -0.914*
(0.406) (0.394) (0.394) (0.395) (0.395) (0.390)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG 0.047 0.049 0.046 0.051 0.050 0.065
(0.048) (0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.046)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.054 -0.075 -0.074 -0.074 -0.074 -0.038
(0.049) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.047)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG -0.046 -0.065 -0.062 -0.063 -0.063 -0.029
(0.050) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048)
Constant 0.614*** 0.361*** 0.339*** 0.364*** 0.363*** 0.632***
(0.071) (0.075) (0.075) (0.075) (0.075) (0.079)
Observations 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995
R2 0.051 0.109 0.111 0.110 0.109 0.137
Adjusted R2 0.050 0.108 0.109 0.108 0.108 0.133
Residual Std. Error 0.809 (df = 10982) 0.784 (df = 10976) 0.783 (df = 10975) 0.784 (df = 10975) 0.784 (df = 10975) 0.773 (df = 10950)
F Statistic 48.958*** (df = 12; 10982) 74.721*** (df = 18; 10976) 72.084*** (df = 19; 10975) 71.164*** (df = 19; 10975) 70.938*** (df = 19; 10975) 39.370*** (df = 44; 10950)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001


Math - Black/Brown TOP SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
COHORT2009-2013 -0.686*** -0.670*** -0.668*** -0.669*** -0.669*** -0.692***
(0.063) (0.062) (0.062) (0.062) (0.062) (0.060)
COHORT2011-2015 -0.453*** -0.420*** -0.423*** -0.419*** -0.419*** -0.502***
(0.065) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.062)
COHORT2013-2017 -0.543*** -0.484*** -0.501*** -0.490*** -0.488*** -0.598***
(0.065) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.062)
RACA_PRETO 0.928** 0.064 0.271 -0.004 0.006 -0.211
(0.320) (0.310) (0.312) (0.310) (0.311) (0.316)
NSE_AVG 0.050 0.055 0.044 0.037 0.044 0.039
(0.036) (0.035) (0.035) (0.035) (0.035) (0.036)
SEXO_M -0.975*** -0.324** -0.300** -0.304** -0.314** -0.136
(0.119) (0.116) (0.116) (0.116) (0.116) (0.115)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 0.039*** 0.036** 0.036** 0.037** 0.029*
(0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.012)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 0.163*** 0.161*** 0.162*** 0.163*** 0.034
(0.016) (0.016) (0.016) (0.016) (0.018)
NUM_SCHOOLS 0.0003 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002
(0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003)
proportion_estadual -0.272*** -0.256*** -0.260*** -0.264*** -0.216***
(0.024) (0.024) (0.025) (0.025) (0.026)
avg_index_violence -0.018* -0.016 -0.018* -0.018* -0.017*
(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008)
DROP_OUT_RATE 1.378*** 1.355*** 1.374*** 1.377*** 1.103***
(0.068) (0.068) (0.068) (0.068) (0.070)
kl_raca 0.040***
(0.008)
kl_NSE 0.029***
(0.008)
kl_raca_ses 0.019* 0.002
(0.008) (0.008)
UfAC -0.091
(0.203)
UfAM -0.316*
(0.156)
UfAP -0.346
(0.202)
UfBA 0.038
(0.105)
UfCE -0.397
(0.547)
UfDF -0.731
(0.390)
UfES -0.191**
(0.061)
UfMA -0.003
(0.348)
UfMG -0.441***
(0.035)
UfMS -0.072
(0.055)
UfMT -0.175***
(0.049)
UfPA -0.262
(0.169)
UfPB -0.256
(0.180)
UfPE 0.267
(0.164)
UfPI 0.554
(0.773)
UfPR -0.520***
(0.038)
UfRJ -0.379***
(0.055)
UfRN 0.156
(0.143)
UfRO 0.027
(0.088)
UfRR -0.195
(0.192)
UfRS -0.263***
(0.039)
UfSC -0.208***
(0.041)
UfSE 0.462
(0.388)
UfSP -0.625***
(0.035)
UfTO 0.104
(0.090)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO -0.600 -0.436 -0.470 -0.429 -0.431 -0.504
(0.430) (0.412) (0.412) (0.412) (0.412) (0.402)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -1.412*** -1.135** -1.155** -1.102** -1.112** -0.943*
(0.410) (0.394) (0.393) (0.394) (0.394) (0.384)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO -1.273** -0.972* -0.945* -0.915* -0.934* -0.604
(0.415) (0.399) (0.398) (0.399) (0.399) (0.389)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG 0.070 0.079 0.076 0.082 0.080 0.095*
(0.049) (0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.046)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.091 -0.105* -0.104* -0.103* -0.103* -0.043
(0.051) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.047)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG -0.120* -0.129** -0.126** -0.127** -0.127** -0.063
(0.051) (0.049) (0.049) (0.049) (0.049) (0.048)
Constant 0.583*** 0.391*** 0.366*** 0.395*** 0.393*** 0.646***
(0.072) (0.076) (0.076) (0.076) (0.076) (0.079)
Observations 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995
R2 0.120 0.192 0.194 0.193 0.192 0.236
Adjusted R2 0.119 0.191 0.193 0.191 0.191 0.233
Residual Std. Error 0.827 (df = 10982) 0.793 (df = 10976) 0.792 (df = 10975) 0.792 (df = 10975) 0.792 (df = 10975) 0.772 (df = 10950)
F Statistic 124.745*** (df = 12; 10982) 144.857*** (df = 18; 10976) 139.001*** (df = 19; 10975) 138.051*** (df = 19; 10975) 137.622*** (df = 19; 10975) 76.852*** (df = 44; 10950)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001

Black/Brown students BOTTOM SES

Reading - Black/Brown BOTTOM SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
COHORT2009-2013 -0.319*** -0.318*** -0.318*** -0.318*** -0.318*** -0.358***
(0.044) (0.043) (0.043) (0.043) (0.043) (0.043)
COHORT2011-2015 -0.284*** -0.268*** -0.268*** -0.269*** -0.271*** -0.322***
(0.046) (0.045) (0.045) (0.045) (0.045) (0.045)
COHORT2013-2017 -0.386*** -0.342*** -0.343*** -0.342*** -0.342*** -0.404***
(0.047) (0.046) (0.046) (0.046) (0.046) (0.046)
RACA_PRETO -0.510** -0.658*** -0.646*** -0.658*** -0.661*** -0.693***
(0.174) (0.168) (0.168) (0.168) (0.168) (0.174)
NSE_AVG 0.163*** 0.286*** 0.287*** 0.284*** 0.284*** 0.362***
(0.021) (0.021) (0.021) (0.021) (0.021) (0.022)
SEXO_M -1.429*** -0.840*** -0.842*** -0.839*** -0.831*** -0.877***
(0.095) (0.093) (0.093) (0.093) (0.093) (0.094)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 -0.012 -0.012 -0.011 -0.011 -0.020**
(0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.047*** -0.047*** -0.046*** -0.045*** -0.018*
(0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.008)
NUM_SCHOOLS 0.002* 0.002 0.002* 0.002** 0.0004
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
proportion_estadual -0.340*** -0.339*** -0.340*** -0.341*** -0.207***
(0.021) (0.021) (0.021) (0.021) (0.029)
avg_index_violence -0.038*** -0.037*** -0.038*** -0.039*** -0.042***
(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.934*** 0.933*** 0.934*** 0.933*** 0.935***
(0.043) (0.043) (0.043) (0.043) (0.046)
kl_raca 0.005
(0.007)
kl_NSE -0.005
(0.007)
kl_raca_ses -0.019** -0.013
(0.007) (0.007)
UfAC 0.057
(0.088)
UfAL 0.072
(0.058)
UfAM -0.195**
(0.062)
UfAP -0.244*
(0.102)
UfBA -0.114*
(0.051)
UfCE 0.215***
(0.054)
UfES -0.248**
(0.081)
UfMA -0.035
(0.054)
UfMG -0.178***
(0.044)
UfMS -0.198
(0.149)
UfMT -0.267***
(0.065)
UfPA -0.269***
(0.055)
UfPB -0.163**
(0.050)
UfPE 0.103*
(0.051)
UfPI -0.024
(0.052)
UfPR -0.429***
(0.067)
UfRJ -0.487**
(0.163)
UfRN 0.116*
(0.052)
UfRO 0.080
(0.073)
UfRR -0.272*
(0.109)
UfRS -0.258**
(0.090)
UfSC -0.642***
(0.145)
UfSE 0.007
(0.059)
UfSP -0.401***
(0.077)
UfTO -0.042
(0.051)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO -0.315 -0.207 -0.211 -0.207 -0.205 -0.080
(0.246) (0.237) (0.237) (0.237) (0.237) (0.234)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -0.055 0.024 0.020 0.025 0.034 0.171
(0.239) (0.230) (0.230) (0.230) (0.230) (0.227)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO 0.795*** 0.844*** 0.841*** 0.846*** 0.847*** 1.001***
(0.238) (0.229) (0.229) (0.229) (0.229) (0.227)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG -0.193*** -0.190*** -0.190*** -0.190*** -0.189*** -0.200***
(0.032) (0.031) (0.031) (0.031) (0.031) (0.031)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.278*** -0.253*** -0.253*** -0.253*** -0.254*** -0.271***
(0.035) (0.034) (0.034) (0.034) (0.034) (0.033)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG -0.378*** -0.348*** -0.348*** -0.348*** -0.349*** -0.386***
(0.035) (0.034) (0.034) (0.034) (0.034) (0.034)
Constant 0.984*** 0.684*** 0.685*** 0.682*** 0.676*** 0.798***
(0.054) (0.057) (0.057) (0.058) (0.058) (0.072)
Observations 10,996 10,996 10,996 10,996 10,996 10,947
R2 0.048 0.121 0.121 0.121 0.121 0.154
Adjusted R2 0.047 0.119 0.119 0.119 0.120 0.151
Residual Std. Error 0.688 (df = 10983) 0.661 (df = 10977) 0.662 (df = 10976) 0.662 (df = 10976) 0.661 (df = 10976) 0.651 (df = 10902)
F Statistic 45.774*** (df = 12; 10983) 83.690*** (df = 18; 10977) 79.311*** (df = 19; 10976) 79.309*** (df = 19; 10976) 79.684*** (df = 19; 10976) 45.223*** (df = 44; 10902)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001


Math - Black/Brown BOTTOM SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
COHORT2009-2013 -0.613*** -0.632*** -0.633*** -0.632*** -0.632*** -0.683***
(0.045) (0.044) (0.044) (0.044) (0.044) (0.044)
COHORT2011-2015 -0.636*** -0.642*** -0.642*** -0.642*** -0.644*** -0.708***
(0.046) (0.045) (0.045) (0.045) (0.045) (0.045)
COHORT2013-2017 -0.846*** -0.821*** -0.822*** -0.821*** -0.821*** -0.894***
(0.047) (0.046) (0.046) (0.046) (0.046) (0.046)
RACA_PRETO -0.799*** -0.968*** -0.952*** -0.967*** -0.970*** -1.183***
(0.177) (0.170) (0.171) (0.170) (0.170) (0.176)
NSE_AVG 0.183*** 0.320*** 0.321*** 0.322*** 0.319*** 0.417***
(0.021) (0.021) (0.021) (0.022) (0.021) (0.022)
SEXO_M -0.420*** 0.186 0.184 0.185 0.191* 0.196*
(0.096) (0.095) (0.095) (0.095) (0.095) (0.095)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 -0.016* -0.016* -0.016* -0.015* -0.013
(0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.044*** -0.044*** -0.044*** -0.043*** -0.013
(0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.008)
NUM_SCHOOLS 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 -0.0004
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
proportion_estadual -0.409*** -0.408*** -0.408*** -0.410*** -0.230***
(0.021) (0.021) (0.021) (0.021) (0.029)
avg_index_violence -0.025** -0.025** -0.025** -0.026** -0.030***
(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.891*** 0.890*** 0.891*** 0.891*** 0.861***
(0.043) (0.044) (0.043) (0.043) (0.046)
kl_raca 0.007
(0.007)
kl_NSE 0.004
(0.007)
kl_raca_ses -0.011 -0.002
(0.007) (0.007)
UfAC 0.185*
(0.089)
UfAL 0.162**
(0.059)
UfAM -0.352***
(0.062)
UfAP -0.232*
(0.103)
UfBA -0.034
(0.051)
UfCE 0.232***
(0.055)
UfES -0.209*
(0.082)
UfMA -0.073
(0.055)
UfMG -0.208***
(0.045)
UfMS -0.176
(0.150)
UfMT -0.223***
(0.066)
UfPA -0.244***
(0.056)
UfPB -0.128*
(0.050)
UfPE 0.154**
(0.052)
UfPI 0.117*
(0.053)
UfPR -0.447***
(0.068)
UfRJ -0.235
(0.165)
UfRN 0.147**
(0.052)
UfRO 0.077
(0.074)
UfRR -0.107
(0.110)
UfRS -0.114
(0.090)
UfSC -0.413**
(0.147)
UfSE 0.152*
(0.060)
UfSP -0.633***
(0.078)
UfTO 0.062
(0.051)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO 0.034 0.134 0.129 0.134 0.135 0.288
(0.251) (0.241) (0.241) (0.241) (0.241) (0.236)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO 0.461 0.527* 0.521* 0.526* 0.533* 0.695**
(0.243) (0.233) (0.233) (0.233) (0.233) (0.229)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO 1.015*** 1.036*** 1.032*** 1.035*** 1.038*** 1.198***
(0.242) (0.233) (0.233) (0.233) (0.233) (0.229)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG -0.270*** -0.267*** -0.268*** -0.267*** -0.267*** -0.282***
(0.033) (0.031) (0.031) (0.031) (0.031) (0.031)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.403*** -0.377*** -0.377*** -0.377*** -0.378*** -0.402***
(0.035) (0.034) (0.034) (0.034) (0.034) (0.034)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG -0.497*** -0.464*** -0.464*** -0.464*** -0.465*** -0.510***
(0.036) (0.035) (0.035) (0.035) (0.035) (0.034)
Constant 0.783*** 0.552*** 0.553*** 0.554*** 0.547*** 0.637***
(0.055) (0.058) (0.058) (0.058) (0.058) (0.073)
Observations 10,996 10,996 10,996 10,996 10,996 10,947
R2 0.067 0.142 0.142 0.142 0.142 0.186
Adjusted R2 0.066 0.141 0.141 0.141 0.141 0.183
Residual Std. Error 0.700 (df = 10983) 0.672 (df = 10977) 0.672 (df = 10976) 0.672 (df = 10976) 0.672 (df = 10976) 0.656 (df = 10902)
F Statistic 65.492*** (df = 12; 10983) 101.131*** (df = 18; 10977) 95.856*** (df = 19; 10976) 95.823*** (df = 19; 10976) 95.932*** (df = 19; 10976) 56.723*** (df = 44; 10902)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001

Black students TOP SES

Reading - Black TOP SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
COHORT2009-2013 -0.299*** -0.262*** -0.260*** -0.262*** -0.262*** -0.282***
(0.062) (0.061) (0.061) (0.061) (0.061) (0.060)
COHORT2011-2015 -0.090 -0.039 -0.042 -0.038 -0.038 -0.090
(0.063) (0.062) (0.062) (0.062) (0.062) (0.062)
COHORT2013-2017 -0.202** -0.129* -0.144* -0.133* -0.131* -0.189**
(0.064) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.062)
RACA_PRETO 1.051*** 0.293 0.477 0.245 0.255 0.178
(0.313) (0.307) (0.309) (0.307) (0.307) (0.316)
NSE_AVG 0.016 0.025 0.016 0.013 0.018 0.035
(0.035) (0.034) (0.034) (0.035) (0.035) (0.036)
SEXO_M -1.437*** -0.868*** -0.846*** -0.854*** -0.861*** -0.788***
(0.116) (0.115) (0.115) (0.115) (0.115) (0.115)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 0.004 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.010
(0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.012)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 0.109*** 0.107*** 0.109*** 0.109*** 0.025
(0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.015) (0.018)
NUM_SCHOOLS 0.0003 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0001
(0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003)
proportion_estadual -0.208*** -0.193*** -0.199*** -0.203*** -0.164***
(0.024) (0.024) (0.024) (0.024) (0.026)
avg_index_violence -0.029*** -0.026** -0.028*** -0.029*** -0.033***
(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008)
DROP_OUT_RATE 1.320*** 1.299*** 1.318*** 1.320*** 1.205***
(0.067) (0.067) (0.067) (0.067) (0.070)
kl_raca 0.036***
(0.008)
kl_NSE 0.021*
(0.008)
kl_raca_ses 0.012 0.003
(0.008) (0.008)
UfAC -0.146
(0.204)
UfAM -0.123
(0.156)
UfAP -0.369
(0.202)
UfBA -0.044
(0.105)
UfCE -0.368
(0.548)
UfDF -0.837*
(0.391)
UfES -0.360***
(0.061)
UfMA -0.005
(0.348)
UfMG -0.456***
(0.035)
UfMS -0.068
(0.055)
UfMT -0.283***
(0.049)
UfPA -0.262
(0.169)
UfPB -0.281
(0.181)
UfPE 0.224
(0.164)
UfPI 0.190
(0.774)
UfPR -0.466***
(0.038)
UfRJ -0.423***
(0.055)
UfRN 0.189
(0.143)
UfRO -0.044
(0.088)
UfRR -0.419*
(0.192)
UfRS -0.322***
(0.039)
UfSC -0.287***
(0.041)
UfSE -0.209
(0.388)
UfSP -0.474***
(0.035)
UfTO -0.054
(0.091)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO -1.561*** -1.400*** -1.431*** -1.395*** -1.397*** -1.387***
(0.421) (0.408) (0.408) (0.408) (0.408) (0.403)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -2.061*** -1.778*** -1.796*** -1.755*** -1.764*** -1.616***
(0.401) (0.390) (0.389) (0.390) (0.390) (0.385)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO -1.471*** -1.146** -1.122** -1.106** -1.121** -0.914*
(0.406) (0.394) (0.394) (0.395) (0.395) (0.390)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG 0.047 0.049 0.046 0.051 0.050 0.065
(0.048) (0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.046)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.054 -0.075 -0.074 -0.074 -0.074 -0.038
(0.049) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.047)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG -0.046 -0.065 -0.062 -0.063 -0.063 -0.029
(0.050) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048)
Constant 0.614*** 0.361*** 0.339*** 0.364*** 0.363*** 0.632***
(0.071) (0.075) (0.075) (0.075) (0.075) (0.079)
Observations 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995
R2 0.051 0.109 0.111 0.110 0.109 0.137
Adjusted R2 0.050 0.108 0.109 0.108 0.108 0.133
Residual Std. Error 0.809 (df = 10982) 0.784 (df = 10976) 0.783 (df = 10975) 0.784 (df = 10975) 0.784 (df = 10975) 0.773 (df = 10950)
F Statistic 48.958*** (df = 12; 10982) 74.721*** (df = 18; 10976) 72.084*** (df = 19; 10975) 71.164*** (df = 19; 10975) 70.938*** (df = 19; 10975) 39.370*** (df = 44; 10950)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001


Math - Black TOP SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
COHORT2009-2013 -0.686*** -0.670*** -0.668*** -0.669*** -0.669*** -0.692***
(0.063) (0.062) (0.062) (0.062) (0.062) (0.060)
COHORT2011-2015 -0.453*** -0.420*** -0.423*** -0.419*** -0.419*** -0.502***
(0.065) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.062)
COHORT2013-2017 -0.543*** -0.484*** -0.501*** -0.490*** -0.488*** -0.598***
(0.065) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.062)
RACA_PRETO 0.928** 0.064 0.271 -0.004 0.006 -0.211
(0.320) (0.310) (0.312) (0.310) (0.311) (0.316)
NSE_AVG 0.050 0.055 0.044 0.037 0.044 0.039
(0.036) (0.035) (0.035) (0.035) (0.035) (0.036)
SEXO_M -0.975*** -0.324** -0.300** -0.304** -0.314** -0.136
(0.119) (0.116) (0.116) (0.116) (0.116) (0.115)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 0.039*** 0.036** 0.036** 0.037** 0.029*
(0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.012)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 0.163*** 0.161*** 0.162*** 0.163*** 0.034
(0.016) (0.016) (0.016) (0.016) (0.018)
NUM_SCHOOLS 0.0003 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002
(0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0003)
proportion_estadual -0.272*** -0.256*** -0.260*** -0.264*** -0.216***
(0.024) (0.024) (0.025) (0.025) (0.026)
avg_index_violence -0.018* -0.016 -0.018* -0.018* -0.017*
(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008)
DROP_OUT_RATE 1.378*** 1.355*** 1.374*** 1.377*** 1.103***
(0.068) (0.068) (0.068) (0.068) (0.070)
kl_raca 0.040***
(0.008)
kl_NSE 0.029***
(0.008)
kl_raca_ses 0.019* 0.002
(0.008) (0.008)
UfAC -0.091
(0.203)
UfAM -0.316*
(0.156)
UfAP -0.346
(0.202)
UfBA 0.038
(0.105)
UfCE -0.397
(0.547)
UfDF -0.731
(0.390)
UfES -0.191**
(0.061)
UfMA -0.003
(0.348)
UfMG -0.441***
(0.035)
UfMS -0.072
(0.055)
UfMT -0.175***
(0.049)
UfPA -0.262
(0.169)
UfPB -0.256
(0.180)
UfPE 0.267
(0.164)
UfPI 0.554
(0.773)
UfPR -0.520***
(0.038)
UfRJ -0.379***
(0.055)
UfRN 0.156
(0.143)
UfRO 0.027
(0.088)
UfRR -0.195
(0.192)
UfRS -0.263***
(0.039)
UfSC -0.208***
(0.041)
UfSE 0.462
(0.388)
UfSP -0.625***
(0.035)
UfTO 0.104
(0.090)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO -0.600 -0.436 -0.470 -0.429 -0.431 -0.504
(0.430) (0.412) (0.412) (0.412) (0.412) (0.402)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -1.412*** -1.135** -1.155** -1.102** -1.112** -0.943*
(0.410) (0.394) (0.393) (0.394) (0.394) (0.384)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO -1.273** -0.972* -0.945* -0.915* -0.934* -0.604
(0.415) (0.399) (0.398) (0.399) (0.399) (0.389)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG 0.070 0.079 0.076 0.082 0.080 0.095*
(0.049) (0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.046)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.091 -0.105* -0.104* -0.103* -0.103* -0.043
(0.051) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.047)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG -0.120* -0.129** -0.126** -0.127** -0.127** -0.063
(0.051) (0.049) (0.049) (0.049) (0.049) (0.048)
Constant 0.583*** 0.391*** 0.366*** 0.395*** 0.393*** 0.646***
(0.072) (0.076) (0.076) (0.076) (0.076) (0.079)
Observations 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995
R2 0.120 0.192 0.194 0.193 0.192 0.236
Adjusted R2 0.119 0.191 0.193 0.191 0.191 0.233
Residual Std. Error 0.827 (df = 10982) 0.793 (df = 10976) 0.792 (df = 10975) 0.792 (df = 10975) 0.792 (df = 10975) 0.772 (df = 10950)
F Statistic 124.745*** (df = 12; 10982) 144.857*** (df = 18; 10976) 139.001*** (df = 19; 10975) 138.051*** (df = 19; 10975) 137.622*** (df = 19; 10975) 76.852*** (df = 44; 10950)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001

Black students BOTTOM SES

Reading - Black BOTTOM SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
COHORT2009-2013 -0.324*** -0.312*** -0.312*** -0.312*** -0.312*** -0.349***
(0.077) (0.078) (0.078) (0.078) (0.078) (0.079)
COHORT2011-2015 -0.280*** -0.254** -0.254** -0.254** -0.257** -0.306***
(0.080) (0.080) (0.080) (0.080) (0.080) (0.082)
COHORT2013-2017 -0.215** -0.169* -0.169* -0.169* -0.169* -0.237**
(0.081) (0.082) (0.082) (0.082) (0.082) (0.083)
RACA_PRETO -0.144 -0.294 -0.290 -0.294 -0.302 -0.410
(0.297) (0.294) (0.295) (0.294) (0.294) (0.310)
NSE_AVG 0.174*** 0.262*** 0.263*** 0.263*** 0.261*** 0.337***
(0.036) (0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.039)
SEXO_M -1.474*** -0.942*** -0.944*** -0.943*** -0.934*** -1.056***
(0.162) (0.165) (0.165) (0.165) (0.165) (0.168)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 -0.005 -0.006 -0.005 -0.005 -0.014
(0.012) (0.012) (0.012) (0.012) (0.013)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.065*** -0.065*** -0.065*** -0.064*** -0.042**
(0.012) (0.012) (0.012) (0.012) (0.014)
NUM_SCHOOLS 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003* 0.001
(0.001) (0.001) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002)
proportion_estadual -0.297*** -0.297*** -0.297*** -0.299*** -0.227***
(0.036) (0.036) (0.036) (0.036) (0.052)
avg_index_violence -0.043** -0.043** -0.043** -0.044** -0.045**
(0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.889*** 0.889*** 0.889*** 0.889*** 0.964***
(0.076) (0.076) (0.076) (0.076) (0.083)
kl_raca 0.003
(0.012)
kl_NSE 0.001
(0.012)
kl_raca_ses -0.016 -0.010
(0.013) (0.013)
UfAC -0.076
(0.157)
UfAL -0.062
(0.104)
UfAM -0.383***
(0.111)
UfAP -0.295
(0.183)
UfBA -0.156
(0.092)
UfCE 0.208*
(0.098)
UfES -0.147
(0.151)
UfMA -0.002
(0.097)
UfMG -0.115
(0.081)
UfMS 0.064
(0.260)
UfMT -0.310**
(0.120)
UfPA -0.237*
(0.099)
UfPB -0.239**
(0.090)
UfPE 0.004
(0.093)
UfPI -0.086
(0.094)
UfPR -0.369**
(0.119)
UfRJ -0.456
(0.303)
UfRN 0.006
(0.094)
UfRO -0.001
(0.133)
UfRR -0.067
(0.197)
UfRS -0.476**
(0.153)
UfSC -0.305
(0.249)
UfSE -0.098
(0.106)
UfSP -0.471***
(0.137)
UfTO 0.080
(0.092)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO -0.627 -0.501 -0.503 -0.501 -0.501 -0.381
(0.421) (0.417) (0.417) (0.417) (0.417) (0.417)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -0.496 -0.386 -0.388 -0.386 -0.377 -0.235
(0.408) (0.404) (0.404) (0.404) (0.404) (0.405)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO 0.045 0.157 0.156 0.157 0.163 0.350
(0.407) (0.403) (0.403) (0.403) (0.403) (0.404)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG -0.176** -0.174** -0.174** -0.174** -0.173** -0.182***
(0.055) (0.055) (0.055) (0.055) (0.055) (0.055)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.322*** -0.296*** -0.296*** -0.296*** -0.297*** -0.312***
(0.060) (0.059) (0.059) (0.059) (0.059) (0.060)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG -0.240*** -0.204*** -0.203*** -0.204*** -0.205*** -0.246***
(0.061) (0.061) (0.061) (0.061) (0.061) (0.061)
Constant 1.141*** 0.832*** 0.833*** 0.833*** 0.825*** 1.019***
(0.092) (0.101) (0.101) (0.101) (0.101) (0.131)
Observations 10,777 10,777 10,777 10,777 10,777 10,723
R2 0.018 0.041 0.041 0.041 0.041 0.054
Adjusted R2 0.017 0.039 0.039 0.039 0.039 0.050
Residual Std. Error 1.150 (df = 10764) 1.136 (df = 10758) 1.136 (df = 10757) 1.136 (df = 10757) 1.136 (df = 10757) 1.133 (df = 10678)
F Statistic 16.432*** (df = 12; 10764) 25.537*** (df = 18; 10758) 24.196*** (df = 19; 10757) 24.191*** (df = 19; 10757) 24.280*** (df = 19; 10757) 13.772*** (df = 44; 10678)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001


Math - Black BOTTOM SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
COHORT2009-2013 -0.469*** -0.462*** -0.462*** -0.462*** -0.462*** -0.505***
(0.072) (0.072) (0.072) (0.072) (0.072) (0.073)
COHORT2011-2015 -0.429*** -0.408*** -0.408*** -0.406*** -0.406*** -0.466***
(0.074) (0.074) (0.074) (0.074) (0.074) (0.076)
COHORT2013-2017 -0.632*** -0.589*** -0.589*** -0.588*** -0.589*** -0.660***
(0.075) (0.076) (0.076) (0.076) (0.076) (0.077)
RACA_PRETO -0.652* -0.802** -0.798** -0.797** -0.798** -0.956***
(0.275) (0.273) (0.273) (0.273) (0.273) (0.287)
NSE_AVG 0.198*** 0.286*** 0.286*** 0.292*** 0.286*** 0.394***
(0.033) (0.034) (0.034) (0.035) (0.034) (0.036)
SEXO_M -0.527*** -0.008 -0.009 -0.012 -0.013 -0.054
(0.151) (0.153) (0.153) (0.153) (0.153) (0.155)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 -0.011 -0.011 -0.011 -0.011 -0.005
(0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.012)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.063*** -0.063*** -0.064*** -0.064*** -0.031*
(0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.013)
NUM_SCHOOLS 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 -0.001
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
proportion_estadual -0.311*** -0.311*** -0.310*** -0.311*** -0.184***
(0.034) (0.034) (0.034) (0.034) (0.048)
avg_index_violence -0.040** -0.039** -0.039** -0.039** -0.041**
(0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013) (0.013)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.833*** 0.833*** 0.832*** 0.833*** 0.880***
(0.071) (0.071) (0.071) (0.071) (0.076)
kl_raca 0.003
(0.011)
kl_NSE 0.016
(0.011)
kl_raca_ses 0.009 0.023
(0.012) (0.012)
UfAC 0.066
(0.145)
UfAL 0.058
(0.096)
UfAM -0.561***
(0.103)
UfAP -0.277
(0.169)
UfBA -0.122
(0.085)
UfCE 0.218*
(0.091)
UfES -0.216
(0.139)
UfMA -0.126
(0.090)
UfMG -0.206**
(0.075)
UfMS -0.004
(0.241)
UfMT -0.387***
(0.111)
UfPA -0.289**
(0.092)
UfPB -0.142
(0.083)
UfPE 0.033
(0.086)
UfPI 0.034
(0.087)
UfPR -0.205
(0.110)
UfRJ -0.142
(0.280)
UfRN 0.009
(0.086)
UfRO -0.049
(0.123)
UfRR -0.174
(0.182)
UfRS -0.376**
(0.142)
UfSC -0.654**
(0.230)
UfSE 0.054
(0.098)
UfSP -0.633***
(0.126)
UfTO 0.121
(0.085)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO -0.328 -0.208 -0.210 -0.209 -0.208 -0.107
(0.391) (0.387) (0.387) (0.387) (0.387) (0.385)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -0.336 -0.238 -0.240 -0.242 -0.243 -0.113
(0.379) (0.375) (0.375) (0.375) (0.375) (0.374)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO 0.183 0.277 0.276 0.271 0.274 0.409
(0.378) (0.373) (0.373) (0.373) (0.373) (0.373)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG -0.179*** -0.176*** -0.177*** -0.177*** -0.177*** -0.188***
(0.051) (0.051) (0.051) (0.051) (0.051) (0.051)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.393*** -0.365*** -0.366*** -0.365*** -0.365*** -0.384***
(0.056) (0.055) (0.055) (0.055) (0.055) (0.056)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG -0.438*** -0.401*** -0.401*** -0.401*** -0.400*** -0.444***
(0.057) (0.056) (0.056) (0.056) (0.056) (0.057)
Constant 0.984*** 0.715*** 0.716*** 0.722*** 0.719*** 0.882***
(0.086) (0.094) (0.094) (0.094) (0.094) (0.121)
Observations 10,777 10,777 10,777 10,777 10,777 10,723
R2 0.025 0.050 0.050 0.051 0.050 0.069
Adjusted R2 0.024 0.049 0.049 0.049 0.049 0.066
Residual Std. Error 1.067 (df = 10764) 1.054 (df = 10758) 1.054 (df = 10757) 1.054 (df = 10757) 1.054 (df = 10757) 1.047 (df = 10678)
F Statistic 23.330*** (df = 12; 10764) 31.693*** (df = 18; 10758) 30.027*** (df = 19; 10757) 30.129*** (df = 19; 10757) 30.059*** (df = 19; 10757) 18.122*** (df = 44; 10678)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001