\[\begin{aligned} \mathrm{SCORE}_{9\mathrm{TH},\, i+4} \;=&\; \beta_0 + \beta_1 \,\mathrm{SCORE}_{5\mathrm{TH},\, i} + \sum_{c} \gamma_c \,\mathbb{1}(\mathrm{COHORT}_i = c) + \sum_{s} \lambda_s \,\mathbb{1}(\mathrm{STATE}_m = s) \\[4pt] &+ \beta_2 \,\mathrm{DROPOUT}_{m,i} + \beta_3 \,\mathrm{RACA\_PRETO}^{(9)}_{m,i+4} + \beta_4 \,\mathrm{NSE\_AVG}^{(9)}_{m,i+4} + \beta_5 \,\mathrm{SEXO\_M}^{(9)}_{m,i+4} \\[4pt] &+ \sum_{c} \delta_c \, \mathbb{1}(\mathrm{COHORT}_i = c) \times \mathrm{RACA\_PRETO}^{(9)}_{m,i+4} \\[4pt] &+ \sum_{c} \theta_c \, \mathbb{1}(\mathrm{COHORT}_i = c) \times \mathrm{NSE\_AVG}^{(9)}_{m,i+4} + \varepsilon_{m,i} \end{aligned}\] \[\begin{aligned} \mathrm{DROPOUT}_{m,i} = \frac{N^{(9)}_{m,i+4}}{N^{(5)}_{m,i}} \end{aligned}\]

`

Normalization (z-score)

##  normalized covariates (z-score with gloabl average/sd):**
##  LEITURA_9TH_FINAL, LEITURA_5TH_INICIAL, MATEMATICA_9TH_FINAL, MATEMATICA_5TH_INICIAL, NSE_AVG, avg_index_violence, kl_raca, kl_NSE, kl_raca_ses, ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2, afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 
## 
##  covariates kept in raw scale:**
##  SEXO_M, RACA_PRETO, DROP_OUT_RATE, proportion_estadual, NUM_SCHOOLS

Results

White students TOP SES

Reading - White TOP SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
LEITURA_5TH_INICIAL 0.463*** 0.471*** 0.471*** 0.471*** 0.471*** 0.399***
(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.009)
COHORT2009-2013 -0.111** -0.056 -0.056 -0.056 -0.056 -0.028
(0.042) (0.043) (0.043) (0.043) (0.043) (0.041)
COHORT2011-2015 0.145*** 0.205*** 0.206*** 0.205*** 0.205*** 0.226***
(0.043) (0.044) (0.044) (0.044) (0.044) (0.042)
COHORT2013-2017 0.239*** 0.302*** 0.307*** 0.303*** 0.303*** 0.358***
(0.044) (0.044) (0.044) (0.044) (0.044) (0.043)
RACA_PRETO 0.869*** 0.609** 0.555** 0.624** 0.627** -0.201
(0.213) (0.213) (0.215) (0.213) (0.213) (0.216)
NSE_AVG 0.165*** 0.169*** 0.172*** 0.173*** 0.172*** 0.318***
(0.024) (0.024) (0.024) (0.024) (0.024) (0.025)
SEXO_M -1.169*** -0.930*** -0.936*** -0.934*** -0.933*** -0.899***
(0.080) (0.080) (0.080) (0.080) (0.080) (0.079)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 0.035*** 0.036*** 0.036*** 0.036*** -0.002
(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.034** -0.034** -0.034** -0.034** -0.014
(0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.012)
NUM_SCHOOLS -0.0004 -0.0003 -0.0003 -0.0003 -0.0003
(0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002)
proportion_estadual -0.070*** -0.074*** -0.073*** -0.072*** -0.078***
(0.017) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017)
avg_index_violence -0.045*** -0.045*** -0.045*** -0.045*** -0.041***
(0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.499*** 0.505*** 0.500*** 0.500*** 0.500***
(0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.048)
kl_raca -0.010
(0.005)
kl_NSE -0.006
(0.006)
kl_raca_ses -0.006 0.004
(0.005) (0.005)
UfAC 0.004
(0.139)
UfAM -0.295**
(0.107)
UfAP -0.853***
(0.138)
UfBA -0.294***
(0.072)
UfCE 0.587
(0.374)
UfDF -0.489
(0.266)
UfES -0.128**
(0.042)
UfMA -0.187
(0.237)
UfMG 0.008
(0.025)
UfMS -0.179***
(0.037)
UfMT -0.375***
(0.034)
UfPA -0.359**
(0.115)
UfPB -0.431***
(0.126)
UfPE -0.116
(0.112)
UfPI 0.014
(0.528)
UfPR -0.427***
(0.026)
UfRJ -0.320***
(0.037)
UfRN -0.256**
(0.098)
UfRO -0.112
(0.060)
UfRR -0.536***
(0.131)
UfRS -0.412***
(0.027)
UfSC -0.439***
(0.028)
UfSE -0.981***
(0.265)
UfSP -0.256***
(0.024)
UfTO 0.006
(0.062)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO -0.852** -0.777** -0.768** -0.779** -0.779** -0.764**
(0.287) (0.284) (0.284) (0.284) (0.284) (0.275)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -1.110*** -1.046*** -1.040*** -1.053*** -1.053*** -0.869***
(0.274) (0.271) (0.271) (0.271) (0.271) (0.262)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO -1.331*** -1.195*** -1.201*** -1.206*** -1.206*** -1.081***
(0.277) (0.274) (0.274) (0.274) (0.274) (0.265)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG 0.027 0.023 0.023 0.022 0.022 0.010
(0.033) (0.033) (0.033) (0.033) (0.033) (0.032)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.004 -0.016 -0.016 -0.016 -0.016 -0.017
(0.034) (0.033) (0.033) (0.033) (0.033) (0.032)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG 0.087* 0.068* 0.067* 0.068* 0.068* 0.064*
(0.034) (0.033) (0.033) (0.033) (0.033) (0.032)
Constant 0.726*** 0.561*** 0.567*** 0.560*** 0.560*** 0.775***
(0.048) (0.052) (0.052) (0.052) (0.052) (0.054)
Observations 11,002 11,002 11,002 11,002 11,002 11,002
R2 0.417 0.433 0.433 0.433 0.433 0.472
Adjusted R2 0.417 0.432 0.432 0.432 0.432 0.469
Residual Std. Error 0.552 (df = 10988) 0.545 (df = 10982) 0.545 (df = 10981) 0.545 (df = 10981) 0.545 (df = 10981) 0.527 (df = 10956)
F Statistic 605.697*** (df = 13; 10988) 441.141*** (df = 19; 10982) 419.374*** (df = 20; 10981) 419.150*** (df = 20; 10981) 419.148*** (df = 20; 10981) 217.301*** (df = 45; 10956)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001


Math - White TOP SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
MATEMATICA_5TH_INICIAL 0.494*** 0.509*** 0.508*** 0.507*** 0.507*** 0.435***
(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.009)
COHORT2009-2013 -0.402*** -0.342*** -0.342*** -0.341*** -0.342*** -0.292***
(0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.045)
COHORT2011-2015 -0.222*** -0.153** -0.152** -0.152** -0.153** -0.151**
(0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.046)
COHORT2013-2017 -0.165*** -0.088 -0.085 -0.082 -0.082 -0.086
(0.049) (0.048) (0.049) (0.048) (0.048) (0.047)
RACA_PRETO -0.053 -0.337 -0.371 -0.288 -0.260 -1.330***
(0.238) (0.235) (0.237) (0.236) (0.236) (0.236)
NSE_AVG 0.232*** 0.240*** 0.242*** 0.253*** 0.255*** 0.374***
(0.027) (0.026) (0.027) (0.027) (0.027) (0.027)
SEXO_M -0.507*** -0.183* -0.187* -0.198* -0.197* 0.012
(0.089) (0.089) (0.089) (0.089) (0.089) (0.086)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 0.073*** 0.073*** 0.075*** 0.075*** 0.011
(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.009)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.015 -0.015 -0.015 -0.016 -0.021
(0.012) (0.012) (0.012) (0.012) (0.013)
NUM_SCHOOLS -0.001*** -0.001*** -0.001*** -0.001*** -0.001**
(0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002)
proportion_estadual -0.100*** -0.102*** -0.108*** -0.110*** -0.112***
(0.019) (0.019) (0.019) (0.019) (0.019)
avg_index_violence -0.056*** -0.057*** -0.057*** -0.057*** -0.043***
(0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.612*** 0.615*** 0.613*** 0.611*** 0.411***
(0.052) (0.052) (0.052) (0.052) (0.053)
kl_raca -0.006
(0.006)
kl_NSE -0.021***
(0.006)
kl_raca_ses -0.025*** -0.022***
(0.006) (0.006)
UfAC 0.019
(0.151)
UfAM -0.579***
(0.116)
UfAP -0.986***
(0.151)
UfBA -0.123
(0.079)
UfCE 0.379
(0.408)
UfDF -0.313
(0.291)
UfES 0.188***
(0.046)
UfMA -0.312
(0.259)
UfMG 0.178***
(0.027)
UfMS -0.168***
(0.041)
UfMT -0.312***
(0.037)
UfPA -0.433***
(0.126)
UfPB -0.191
(0.138)
UfPE -0.117
(0.122)
UfPI 0.414
(0.577)
UfPR -0.417***
(0.028)
UfRJ -0.174***
(0.041)
UfRN -0.219*
(0.107)
UfRO -0.072
(0.066)
UfRR -0.567***
(0.143)
UfRS -0.278***
(0.029)
UfSC -0.302***
(0.031)
UfSE -0.728*
(0.289)
UfSP -0.355***
(0.026)
UfTO 0.135*
(0.067)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO 0.047 0.136 0.141 0.131 0.129 -0.040
(0.320) (0.314) (0.314) (0.314) (0.314) (0.300)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -0.464 -0.420 -0.416 -0.446 -0.451 -0.325
(0.305) (0.299) (0.299) (0.299) (0.299) (0.286)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO -1.012** -0.881** -0.886** -0.923** -0.931** -0.743*
(0.309) (0.303) (0.303) (0.303) (0.303) (0.290)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG 0.011 0.010 0.011 0.008 0.008 -0.016
(0.037) (0.036) (0.036) (0.036) (0.036) (0.035)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.016 -0.028 -0.028 -0.029 -0.029 -0.013
(0.038) (0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.035)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG 0.085* 0.065 0.065 0.064 0.063 0.085*
(0.038) (0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.035)
Constant 0.669*** 0.485*** 0.489*** 0.483*** 0.482*** 0.606***
(0.054) (0.058) (0.058) (0.058) (0.058) (0.059)
Observations 11,002 11,002 11,002 11,002 11,002 11,002
R2 0.344 0.372 0.372 0.373 0.373 0.429
Adjusted R2 0.343 0.371 0.371 0.372 0.372 0.427
Residual Std. Error 0.616 (df = 10988) 0.603 (df = 10982) 0.603 (df = 10981) 0.602 (df = 10981) 0.602 (df = 10981) 0.575 (df = 10956)
F Statistic 443.269*** (df = 13; 10988) 342.636*** (df = 19; 10982) 325.570*** (df = 20; 10981) 326.400*** (df = 20; 10981) 326.938*** (df = 20; 10981) 183.187*** (df = 45; 10956)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001

White students BOTTOM SES

Reading - White TBOTTOM SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
LEITURA_5TH_INICIAL 0.502*** 0.477*** 0.475*** 0.476*** 0.476*** 0.370***
(0.009) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.011)
COHORT2009-2013 -0.183*** -0.095 -0.093 -0.095 -0.094 -0.068
(0.049) (0.049) (0.049) (0.049) (0.049) (0.048)
COHORT2011-2015 0.012 0.101* 0.102* 0.100* 0.099 0.184***
(0.051) (0.051) (0.051) (0.051) (0.051) (0.051)
COHORT2013-2017 0.214*** 0.305*** 0.310*** 0.306*** 0.306*** 0.408***
(0.052) (0.053) (0.053) (0.053) (0.053) (0.052)
RACA_PRETO -0.646*** -0.520** -0.572** -0.520** -0.522** -0.376
(0.193) (0.191) (0.192) (0.191) (0.191) (0.194)
NSE_AVG 0.443*** 0.386*** 0.384*** 0.383*** 0.385*** 0.448***
(0.023) (0.024) (0.024) (0.024) (0.024) (0.025)
SEXO_M -1.108*** -0.998*** -0.992*** -0.996*** -0.991*** -1.223***
(0.105) (0.106) (0.106) (0.106) (0.107) (0.105)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 -0.012 -0.012 -0.012 -0.012 -0.038***
(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.121*** -0.120*** -0.121*** -0.120*** -0.071***
(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.009)
NUM_SCHOOLS 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 -0.001
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
proportion_estadual -0.006 -0.009 -0.007 -0.007 -0.105**
(0.024) (0.024) (0.024) (0.024) (0.032)
avg_index_violence -0.047*** -0.049*** -0.047*** -0.048*** -0.040***
(0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.248*** 0.249*** 0.247*** 0.246*** 0.504***
(0.050) (0.050) (0.050) (0.050) (0.052)
kl_raca -0.022**
(0.008)
kl_NSE -0.009
(0.008)
kl_raca_ses -0.013 -0.0004
(0.008) (0.008)
UfAC -0.280**
(0.098)
UfAL -0.532***
(0.065)
UfAM -0.451***
(0.069)
UfAP -0.890***
(0.114)
UfBA -0.489***
(0.057)
UfCE 0.180**
(0.060)
UfES -0.164
(0.090)
UfMA -0.512***
(0.061)
UfMG 0.107*
(0.049)
UfMS -0.235
(0.165)
UfMT -0.518***
(0.072)
UfPA -0.625***
(0.062)
UfPB -0.513***
(0.055)
UfPE -0.292***
(0.057)
UfPI -0.369***
(0.058)
UfPR -0.543***
(0.075)
UfRJ -0.031
(0.182)
UfRN -0.431***
(0.058)
UfRO -0.353***
(0.082)
UfRR -0.694***
(0.124)
UfRS -0.336***
(0.099)
UfSC -0.477**
(0.165)
UfSE -0.521***
(0.066)
UfSP -0.217*
(0.085)
UfTO -0.374***
(0.056)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO -0.033 0.015 0.030 0.015 0.016 -0.104
(0.274) (0.270) (0.270) (0.270) (0.270) (0.260)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -0.442 -0.432 -0.414 -0.431 -0.425 -0.537*
(0.265) (0.262) (0.262) (0.262) (0.262) (0.253)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO -0.237 -0.256 -0.246 -0.255 -0.256 -0.410
(0.265) (0.262) (0.262) (0.262) (0.262) (0.253)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG -0.109** -0.092** -0.090** -0.092** -0.091** -0.084*
(0.036) (0.035) (0.035) (0.035) (0.035) (0.034)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.129*** -0.112** -0.111** -0.112** -0.113** -0.084*
(0.039) (0.038) (0.038) (0.038) (0.038) (0.037)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG -0.116** -0.093* -0.094* -0.093* -0.094* -0.089*
(0.039) (0.039) (0.039) (0.039) (0.039) (0.038)
Constant 0.857*** 0.664*** 0.661*** 0.660*** 0.658*** 1.003***
(0.060) (0.065) (0.065) (0.066) (0.066) (0.080)
Observations 11,002 11,002 11,002 11,002 11,002 10,949
R2 0.372 0.391 0.392 0.391 0.391 0.441
Adjusted R2 0.372 0.390 0.390 0.390 0.390 0.438
Residual Std. Error 0.763 (df = 10988) 0.752 (df = 10982) 0.752 (df = 10981) 0.752 (df = 10981) 0.752 (df = 10981) 0.723 (df = 10903)
F Statistic 501.608*** (df = 13; 10988) 371.321*** (df = 19; 10982) 353.399*** (df = 20; 10981) 352.829*** (df = 20; 10981) 352.935*** (df = 20; 10981) 190.832*** (df = 45; 10903)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001


Math - White TBOTTOM SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
MATEMATICA_5TH_INICIAL 0.557*** 0.517*** 0.516*** 0.516*** 0.516*** 0.405***
(0.009) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.011)
COHORT2009-2013 -0.489*** -0.377*** -0.375*** -0.377*** -0.377*** -0.351***
(0.050) (0.050) (0.050) (0.050) (0.050) (0.049)
COHORT2011-2015 -0.405*** -0.300*** -0.299*** -0.301*** -0.302*** -0.233***
(0.051) (0.052) (0.052) (0.052) (0.052) (0.051)
COHORT2013-2017 -0.288*** -0.178*** -0.174** -0.178*** -0.177*** -0.104*
(0.053) (0.053) (0.053) (0.053) (0.053) (0.052)
RACA_PRETO -1.149*** -0.997*** -1.041*** -0.998*** -1.000*** -1.159***
(0.197) (0.194) (0.195) (0.194) (0.194) (0.196)
NSE_AVG 0.480*** 0.423*** 0.421*** 0.418*** 0.422*** 0.490***
(0.024) (0.024) (0.024) (0.024) (0.024) (0.025)
SEXO_M -0.182 -0.119 -0.114 -0.117 -0.113 -0.232*
(0.107) (0.108) (0.108) (0.108) (0.108) (0.106)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 -0.004 -0.003 -0.003 -0.003 -0.017*
(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.134*** -0.133*** -0.133*** -0.133*** -0.072***
(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.009)
NUM_SCHOOLS -0.003** -0.002* -0.002* -0.002* -0.003**
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
proportion_estadual -0.024 -0.026 -0.025 -0.025 -0.149***
(0.025) (0.025) (0.025) (0.025) (0.033)
avg_index_violence -0.063*** -0.065*** -0.064*** -0.064*** -0.054***
(0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.107* 0.108* 0.107* 0.106* 0.378***
(0.051) (0.051) (0.051) (0.051) (0.052)
kl_raca -0.019*
(0.008)
kl_NSE -0.012
(0.008)
kl_raca_ses -0.011 0.003
(0.008) (0.008)
UfAC -0.340***
(0.099)
UfAL -0.520***
(0.066)
UfAM -0.671***
(0.069)
UfAP -1.011***
(0.115)
UfBA -0.446***
(0.057)
UfCE 0.082
(0.061)
UfES 0.019
(0.091)
UfMA -0.651***
(0.061)
UfMG 0.175***
(0.050)
UfMS -0.109
(0.167)
UfMT -0.486***
(0.073)
UfPA -0.688***
(0.062)
UfPB -0.558***
(0.056)
UfPE -0.266***
(0.058)
UfPI -0.244***
(0.058)
UfPR -0.560***
(0.075)
UfRJ 0.202
(0.183)
UfRN -0.452***
(0.058)
UfRO -0.258**
(0.082)
UfRR -0.587***
(0.125)
UfRS -0.286**
(0.100)
UfSC -0.399*
(0.166)
UfSE -0.410***
(0.067)
UfSP -0.367***
(0.086)
UfTO -0.295***
(0.057)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO 0.500 0.581* 0.594* 0.581* 0.582* 0.483
(0.278) (0.274) (0.274) (0.274) (0.274) (0.262)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO 0.380 0.408 0.423 0.410 0.415 0.343
(0.270) (0.266) (0.266) (0.266) (0.266) (0.255)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO 0.143 0.124 0.133 0.126 0.124 0.020
(0.269) (0.265) (0.265) (0.265) (0.265) (0.255)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG -0.172*** -0.149*** -0.148*** -0.149*** -0.148*** -0.137***
(0.036) (0.036) (0.036) (0.036) (0.036) (0.034)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.285*** -0.262*** -0.260*** -0.262*** -0.262*** -0.238***
(0.039) (0.039) (0.039) (0.039) (0.039) (0.038)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG -0.218*** -0.184*** -0.184*** -0.184*** -0.184*** -0.183***
(0.040) (0.040) (0.040) (0.040) (0.040) (0.038)
Constant 0.689*** 0.561*** 0.558*** 0.555*** 0.556*** 0.874***
(0.061) (0.066) (0.066) (0.067) (0.067) (0.081)
Observations 11,002 11,002 11,002 11,002 11,002 10,949
R2 0.363 0.385 0.385 0.385 0.385 0.441
Adjusted R2 0.362 0.384 0.384 0.384 0.384 0.439
Residual Std. Error 0.776 (df = 10988) 0.763 (df = 10982) 0.763 (df = 10981) 0.763 (df = 10981) 0.763 (df = 10981) 0.729 (df = 10903)
F Statistic 482.037*** (df = 13; 10988) 361.347*** (df = 19; 10982) 343.702*** (df = 20; 10981) 343.420*** (df = 20; 10981) 343.395*** (df = 20; 10981) 191.251*** (df = 45; 10903)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001

Black/Brown students TOP SES

Reading - Black/Brown TOP SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
LEITURA_5TH_INICIAL 0.377*** 0.395*** 0.396*** 0.395*** 0.395*** 0.300***
(0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.010)
COHORT2009-2013 -0.056 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.032
(0.048) (0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.045)
COHORT2011-2015 0.213*** 0.287*** 0.285*** 0.287*** 0.287*** 0.280***
(0.049) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.046)
COHORT2013-2017 0.356*** 0.433*** 0.426*** 0.432*** 0.433*** 0.454***
(0.049) (0.049) (0.049) (0.049) (0.049) (0.047)
RACA_PRETO 0.360 -0.044 0.033 -0.055 -0.045 -1.285***
(0.239) (0.237) (0.238) (0.237) (0.237) (0.237)
NSE_AVG 0.147*** 0.151*** 0.147*** 0.148*** 0.151*** 0.317***
(0.027) (0.027) (0.027) (0.027) (0.027) (0.027)
SEXO_M -1.677*** -1.319*** -1.310*** -1.316*** -1.319*** -1.206***
(0.089) (0.089) (0.089) (0.089) (0.089) (0.086)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 0.049*** 0.048*** 0.048*** 0.049*** -0.003
(0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.021 -0.022 -0.022 -0.021 -0.033*
(0.012) (0.012) (0.012) (0.012) (0.013)
NUM_SCHOOLS -0.0002 -0.0003 -0.0002 -0.0002 -0.0002
(0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002)
proportion_estadual -0.107*** -0.101*** -0.104*** -0.106*** -0.116***
(0.019) (0.019) (0.019) (0.019) (0.019)
avg_index_violence -0.057*** -0.056*** -0.057*** -0.057*** -0.051***
(0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.734*** 0.726*** 0.733*** 0.734*** 0.626***
(0.052) (0.052) (0.052) (0.052) (0.053)
kl_raca 0.015*
(0.006)
kl_NSE 0.005
(0.006)
kl_raca_ses 0.0004 0.008
(0.006) (0.006)
UfAC -0.065
(0.152)
UfAM -0.294*
(0.117)
UfAP -1.017***
(0.152)
UfBA -0.259***
(0.078)
UfCE 0.163
(0.410)
UfDF -0.579*
(0.292)
UfES -0.258***
(0.046)
UfMA -0.295
(0.260)
UfMG -0.104***
(0.027)
UfMS -0.327***
(0.041)
UfMT -0.506***
(0.037)
UfPA -0.477***
(0.127)
UfPB -0.581***
(0.135)
UfPE -0.311*
(0.123)
UfPI -0.452
(0.579)
UfPR -0.647***
(0.029)
UfRJ -0.405***
(0.041)
UfRN -0.313**
(0.107)
UfRO -0.204**
(0.066)
UfRR -0.943***
(0.144)
UfRS -0.604***
(0.030)
UfSC -0.603***
(0.031)
UfSE -0.516
(0.290)
UfSP -0.557***
(0.026)
UfTO -0.223***
(0.068)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO -0.766* -0.679* -0.693* -0.678* -0.679* -0.595*
(0.322) (0.315) (0.315) (0.315) (0.315) (0.301)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -1.205*** -1.108*** -1.116*** -1.102*** -1.107*** -0.784**
(0.307) (0.301) (0.301) (0.301) (0.301) (0.288)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO -1.261*** -1.083*** -1.074*** -1.074*** -1.083*** -0.758**
(0.310) (0.304) (0.304) (0.305) (0.305) (0.292)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG 0.026 0.023 0.022 0.024 0.023 0.012
(0.037) (0.036) (0.036) (0.036) (0.036) (0.035)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG 0.048 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.049
(0.038) (0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.036)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG 0.090* 0.069 0.070 0.069 0.069 0.086*
(0.038) (0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.036)
Constant 0.704*** 0.485*** 0.475*** 0.486*** 0.485*** 0.841***
(0.054) (0.058) (0.058) (0.058) (0.058) (0.059)
Observations 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995
R2 0.302 0.331 0.332 0.331 0.331 0.392
Adjusted R2 0.301 0.330 0.331 0.330 0.330 0.389
Residual Std. Error 0.618 (df = 10981) 0.605 (df = 10975) 0.605 (df = 10974) 0.605 (df = 10974) 0.605 (df = 10974) 0.578 (df = 10949)
F Statistic 365.646*** (df = 13; 10981) 286.330*** (df = 19; 10975) 272.463*** (df = 20; 10974) 272.038*** (df = 20; 10974) 271.989*** (df = 20; 10974) 156.578*** (df = 45; 10949)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001


Math - Black/Brown TOP SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
MATEMATICA_5TH_INICIAL 0.393*** 0.413*** 0.413*** 0.412*** 0.412*** 0.328***
(0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009)
COHORT2009-2013 -0.263*** -0.197*** -0.197*** -0.197*** -0.197*** -0.154***
(0.049) (0.049) (0.049) (0.049) (0.049) (0.046)
COHORT2011-2015 -0.040 0.039 0.038 0.039 0.038 0.028
(0.050) (0.050) (0.050) (0.050) (0.050) (0.047)
COHORT2013-2017 -0.009 0.077 0.073 0.079 0.080 0.062
(0.051) (0.050) (0.050) (0.050) (0.050) (0.048)
RACA_PRETO -0.349 -0.774** -0.740** -0.755** -0.734** -2.122***
(0.247) (0.243) (0.245) (0.243) (0.244) (0.241)
NSE_AVG 0.189*** 0.194*** 0.192*** 0.199*** 0.201*** 0.350***
(0.028) (0.027) (0.027) (0.027) (0.027) (0.027)
SEXO_M -0.805*** -0.411*** -0.407*** -0.417*** -0.418*** -0.187*
(0.092) (0.091) (0.091) (0.091) (0.091) (0.087)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 0.078*** 0.078*** 0.079*** 0.080*** 0.012
(0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.042*** -0.043*** -0.042*** -0.043*** -0.062***
(0.012) (0.012) (0.012) (0.012) (0.013)
NUM_SCHOOLS -0.001** -0.001** -0.001** -0.001** -0.001*
(0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002)
proportion_estadual -0.145*** -0.142*** -0.148*** -0.150*** -0.164***
(0.019) (0.019) (0.019) (0.019) (0.019)
avg_index_violence -0.062*** -0.061*** -0.062*** -0.062*** -0.050***
(0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.006)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.769*** 0.766*** 0.769*** 0.769*** 0.574***
(0.054) (0.054) (0.054) (0.054) (0.054)
kl_raca 0.006
(0.006)
kl_NSE -0.008
(0.006)
kl_raca_ses -0.013* -0.009
(0.006) (0.006)
UfAC -0.062
(0.155)
UfAM -0.531***
(0.119)
UfAP -1.115***
(0.154)
UfBA -0.140
(0.080)
UfCE -0.012
(0.416)
UfDF -0.409
(0.297)
UfES -0.055
(0.047)
UfMA -0.425
(0.265)
UfMG 0.038
(0.027)
UfMS -0.322***
(0.042)
UfMT -0.447***
(0.037)
UfPA -0.560***
(0.129)
UfPB -0.593***
(0.137)
UfPE -0.266*
(0.125)
UfPI -0.156
(0.588)
UfPR -0.602***
(0.029)
UfRJ -0.308***
(0.041)
UfRN -0.285**
(0.109)
UfRO -0.088
(0.067)
UfRR -0.837***
(0.146)
UfRS -0.503***
(0.030)
UfSC -0.498***
(0.031)
UfSE -0.063
(0.295)
UfSP -0.562***
(0.027)
UfTO -0.120
(0.069)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO -0.086 0.015 0.009 0.013 0.012 -0.051
(0.332) (0.323) (0.323) (0.323) (0.323) (0.306)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -0.657* -0.584 -0.587 -0.593 -0.599 -0.350
(0.317) (0.309) (0.309) (0.309) (0.309) (0.292)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO -0.882** -0.718* -0.713* -0.734* -0.744* -0.392
(0.321) (0.312) (0.312) (0.313) (0.313) (0.296)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG -0.002 -0.003 -0.003 -0.004 -0.004 -0.026
(0.038) (0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.035)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.016 -0.030 -0.030 -0.031 -0.031 -0.012
(0.039) (0.038) (0.038) (0.038) (0.038) (0.036)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG 0.013 -0.009 -0.008 -0.010 -0.010 0.016
(0.039) (0.038) (0.038) (0.038) (0.038) (0.036)
Constant 0.521*** 0.310*** 0.306*** 0.308*** 0.308*** 0.574***
(0.056) (0.060) (0.060) (0.060) (0.060) (0.060)
Observations 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995
R2 0.216 0.259 0.259 0.259 0.259 0.340
Adjusted R2 0.215 0.258 0.258 0.258 0.258 0.337
Residual Std. Error 0.639 (df = 10981) 0.621 (df = 10975) 0.621 (df = 10974) 0.621 (df = 10974) 0.621 (df = 10974) 0.587 (df = 10949)
F Statistic 232.551*** (df = 13; 10981) 201.977*** (df = 19; 10975) 191.937*** (df = 20; 10974) 191.975*** (df = 20; 10974) 192.187*** (df = 20; 10974) 125.361*** (df = 45; 10949)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001

Black/Brown students BOTTOM SES

Reading - Black/Brown BOTTOM SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
LEITURA_5TH_INICIAL 0.534*** 0.530*** 0.530*** 0.529*** 0.529*** 0.419***
(0.008) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009)
COHORT2009-2013 -0.148*** -0.083* -0.082* -0.083* -0.082* -0.064
(0.035) (0.035) (0.035) (0.035) (0.035) (0.033)
COHORT2011-2015 0.003 0.066 0.066 0.065 0.063 0.127***
(0.036) (0.036) (0.036) (0.036) (0.036) (0.035)
COHORT2013-2017 0.172*** 0.236*** 0.238*** 0.237*** 0.239*** 0.321***
(0.038) (0.038) (0.038) (0.038) (0.038) (0.037)
RACA_PRETO -0.786*** -0.711*** -0.730*** -0.712*** -0.716*** -0.754***
(0.137) (0.135) (0.135) (0.135) (0.135) (0.134)
NSE_AVG 0.328*** 0.312*** 0.311*** 0.305*** 0.309*** 0.368***
(0.017) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017)
SEXO_M -1.152*** -0.984*** -0.982*** -0.980*** -0.971*** -1.113***
(0.075) (0.075) (0.075) (0.075) (0.075) (0.072)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 -0.005 -0.005 -0.005 -0.004 -0.028***
(0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.092*** -0.091*** -0.091*** -0.090*** -0.048***
(0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
NUM_SCHOOLS 0.001 0.001 0.002* 0.002** 0.001
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
proportion_estadual -0.083*** -0.084*** -0.085*** -0.085*** -0.138***
(0.017) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017) (0.022)
avg_index_violence -0.050*** -0.051*** -0.051*** -0.052*** -0.048***
(0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.309*** 0.310*** 0.309*** 0.307*** 0.487***
(0.035) (0.035) (0.035) (0.035) (0.036)
kl_raca -0.008
(0.005)
kl_NSE -0.017**
(0.006)
kl_raca_ses -0.026*** -0.016**
(0.006) (0.006)
UfAC -0.079
(0.068)
UfAL -0.412***
(0.045)
UfAM -0.316***
(0.048)
UfAP -0.737***
(0.079)
UfBA -0.352***
(0.039)
UfCE 0.165***
(0.042)
UfES -0.200**
(0.062)
UfMA -0.448***
(0.042)
UfMG 0.062
(0.034)
UfMS -0.233*
(0.114)
UfMT -0.477***
(0.050)
UfPA -0.543***
(0.043)
UfPB -0.444***
(0.039)
UfPE -0.250***
(0.040)
UfPI -0.292***
(0.040)
UfPR -0.530***
(0.052)
UfRJ -0.190
(0.126)
UfRN -0.334***
(0.040)
UfRO -0.110
(0.057)
UfRR -0.588***
(0.084)
UfRS -0.352***
(0.069)
UfSC -0.640***
(0.112)
UfSE -0.372***
(0.046)
UfSP -0.386***
(0.059)
UfTO -0.290***
(0.039)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO -0.165 -0.086 -0.080 -0.087 -0.083 -0.126
(0.194) (0.191) (0.191) (0.191) (0.191) (0.180)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -0.038 0.002 0.009 0.004 0.015 -0.025
(0.188) (0.185) (0.185) (0.185) (0.185) (0.175)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO -0.019 0.006 0.010 0.009 0.007 -0.094
(0.188) (0.185) (0.185) (0.185) (0.185) (0.175)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG -0.111*** -0.100*** -0.100*** -0.100*** -0.099*** -0.092***
(0.025) (0.025) (0.025) (0.025) (0.025) (0.024)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.162*** -0.147*** -0.146*** -0.147*** -0.148*** -0.129***
(0.027) (0.027) (0.027) (0.027) (0.027) (0.026)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG -0.138*** -0.119*** -0.119*** -0.119*** -0.121*** -0.126***
(0.028) (0.028) (0.028) (0.028) (0.028) (0.026)
Constant 0.682*** 0.513*** 0.512*** 0.505*** 0.501*** 0.771***
(0.043) (0.046) (0.046) (0.046) (0.046) (0.055)
Observations 10,996 10,996 10,996 10,996 10,996 10,947
R2 0.464 0.485 0.485 0.485 0.486 0.547
Adjusted R2 0.464 0.484 0.484 0.485 0.485 0.545
Residual Std. Error 0.543 (df = 10982) 0.532 (df = 10976) 0.532 (df = 10975) 0.532 (df = 10975) 0.532 (df = 10975) 0.501 (df = 10901)
F Statistic 732.462*** (df = 13; 10982) 544.192*** (df = 19; 10976) 517.158*** (df = 20; 10975) 517.781*** (df = 20; 10975) 518.944*** (df = 20; 10975) 292.184*** (df = 45; 10901)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001


Math - Black/Brown BOTTOM SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
MATEMATICA_5TH_INICIAL 0.569*** 0.556*** 0.554*** 0.554*** 0.554*** 0.450***
(0.008) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009)
COHORT2009-2013 -0.392*** -0.317*** -0.316*** -0.317*** -0.316*** -0.291***
(0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.035)
COHORT2011-2015 -0.335*** -0.265*** -0.264*** -0.265*** -0.268*** -0.206***
(0.038) (0.038) (0.038) (0.038) (0.038) (0.037)
COHORT2013-2017 -0.299*** -0.222*** -0.218*** -0.221*** -0.219*** -0.154***
(0.039) (0.039) (0.039) (0.039) (0.039) (0.038)
RACA_PRETO -1.305*** -1.201*** -1.236*** -1.202*** -1.207*** -1.464***
(0.144) (0.142) (0.142) (0.141) (0.141) (0.140)
NSE_AVG 0.371*** 0.349*** 0.347*** 0.341*** 0.346*** 0.408***
(0.017) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018)
SEXO_M -0.239** -0.080 -0.076 -0.076 -0.065 -0.115
(0.079) (0.079) (0.079) (0.079) (0.079) (0.075)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 -0.004 -0.003 -0.003 -0.003 -0.016**
(0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.110*** -0.110*** -0.109*** -0.108*** -0.055***
(0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
NUM_SCHOOLS -0.002** -0.002* -0.001 -0.001 -0.001*
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
proportion_estadual -0.105*** -0.106*** -0.106*** -0.107*** -0.173***
(0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.023)
avg_index_violence -0.052*** -0.053*** -0.053*** -0.054*** -0.049***
(0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.006)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.263*** 0.263*** 0.262*** 0.260*** 0.466***
(0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.037)
kl_raca -0.015**
(0.006)
kl_NSE -0.018**
(0.006)
kl_raca_ses -0.028*** -0.015**
(0.006) (0.006)
UfAC -0.051
(0.071)
UfAL -0.340***
(0.047)
UfAM -0.463***
(0.050)
UfAP -0.798***
(0.082)
UfBA -0.276***
(0.041)
UfCE 0.138**
(0.044)
UfES -0.084
(0.065)
UfMA -0.546***
(0.044)
UfMG 0.140***
(0.036)
UfMS -0.156
(0.119)
UfMT -0.440***
(0.052)
UfPA -0.592***
(0.045)
UfPB -0.434***
(0.040)
UfPE -0.179***
(0.041)
UfPI -0.182***
(0.042)
UfPR -0.510***
(0.054)
UfRJ 0.147
(0.131)
UfRN -0.329***
(0.042)
UfRO -0.042
(0.059)
UfRR -0.521***
(0.087)
UfRS -0.230**
(0.072)
UfSC -0.411***
(0.116)
UfSE -0.213***
(0.048)
UfSP -0.513***
(0.062)
UfTO -0.214***
(0.041)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO 0.205 0.282 0.293 0.281 0.285 0.205
(0.204) (0.200) (0.200) (0.200) (0.200) (0.187)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO 0.540** 0.565** 0.577** 0.567** 0.579** 0.514**
(0.198) (0.194) (0.194) (0.194) (0.194) (0.182)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO 0.342 0.331 0.339 0.334 0.333 0.232
(0.198) (0.194) (0.194) (0.194) (0.194) (0.182)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG -0.163*** -0.148*** -0.147*** -0.147*** -0.146*** -0.135***
(0.027) (0.026) (0.026) (0.026) (0.026) (0.025)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.271*** -0.252*** -0.251*** -0.252*** -0.253*** -0.231***
(0.029) (0.028) (0.028) (0.028) (0.028) (0.027)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG -0.210*** -0.184*** -0.184*** -0.184*** -0.185*** -0.190***
(0.030) (0.029) (0.029) (0.029) (0.029) (0.028)
Constant 0.525*** 0.390*** 0.387*** 0.380*** 0.376*** 0.588***
(0.045) (0.049) (0.049) (0.049) (0.049) (0.058)
Observations 10,996 10,996 10,996 10,996 10,996 10,947
R2 0.424 0.449 0.450 0.450 0.451 0.523
Adjusted R2 0.423 0.448 0.449 0.449 0.450 0.521
Residual Std. Error 0.571 (df = 10982) 0.558 (df = 10976) 0.558 (df = 10975) 0.558 (df = 10975) 0.558 (df = 10975) 0.521 (df = 10901)
F Statistic 620.764*** (df = 13; 10982) 471.552*** (df = 19; 10976) 448.566*** (df = 20; 10975) 448.808*** (df = 20; 10975) 449.891*** (df = 20; 10975) 265.486*** (df = 45; 10901)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001

Black students TOP SES

Reading - Black TOP SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
LEITURA_5TH_INICIAL 0.377*** 0.395*** 0.396*** 0.395*** 0.395*** 0.300***
(0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.010)
COHORT2009-2013 -0.056 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.011 0.032
(0.048) (0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.045)
COHORT2011-2015 0.213*** 0.287*** 0.285*** 0.287*** 0.287*** 0.280***
(0.049) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.046)
COHORT2013-2017 0.356*** 0.433*** 0.426*** 0.432*** 0.433*** 0.454***
(0.049) (0.049) (0.049) (0.049) (0.049) (0.047)
RACA_PRETO 0.360 -0.044 0.033 -0.055 -0.045 -1.285***
(0.239) (0.237) (0.238) (0.237) (0.237) (0.237)
NSE_AVG 0.147*** 0.151*** 0.147*** 0.148*** 0.151*** 0.317***
(0.027) (0.027) (0.027) (0.027) (0.027) (0.027)
SEXO_M -1.677*** -1.319*** -1.310*** -1.316*** -1.319*** -1.206***
(0.089) (0.089) (0.089) (0.089) (0.089) (0.086)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 0.049*** 0.048*** 0.048*** 0.049*** -0.003
(0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.021 -0.022 -0.022 -0.021 -0.033*
(0.012) (0.012) (0.012) (0.012) (0.013)
NUM_SCHOOLS -0.0002 -0.0003 -0.0002 -0.0002 -0.0002
(0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002)
proportion_estadual -0.107*** -0.101*** -0.104*** -0.106*** -0.116***
(0.019) (0.019) (0.019) (0.019) (0.019)
avg_index_violence -0.057*** -0.056*** -0.057*** -0.057*** -0.051***
(0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) (0.006)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.734*** 0.726*** 0.733*** 0.734*** 0.626***
(0.052) (0.052) (0.052) (0.052) (0.053)
kl_raca 0.015*
(0.006)
kl_NSE 0.005
(0.006)
kl_raca_ses 0.0004 0.008
(0.006) (0.006)
UfAC -0.065
(0.152)
UfAM -0.294*
(0.117)
UfAP -1.017***
(0.152)
UfBA -0.259***
(0.078)
UfCE 0.163
(0.410)
UfDF -0.579*
(0.292)
UfES -0.258***
(0.046)
UfMA -0.295
(0.260)
UfMG -0.104***
(0.027)
UfMS -0.327***
(0.041)
UfMT -0.506***
(0.037)
UfPA -0.477***
(0.127)
UfPB -0.581***
(0.135)
UfPE -0.311*
(0.123)
UfPI -0.452
(0.579)
UfPR -0.647***
(0.029)
UfRJ -0.405***
(0.041)
UfRN -0.313**
(0.107)
UfRO -0.204**
(0.066)
UfRR -0.943***
(0.144)
UfRS -0.604***
(0.030)
UfSC -0.603***
(0.031)
UfSE -0.516
(0.290)
UfSP -0.557***
(0.026)
UfTO -0.223***
(0.068)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO -0.766* -0.679* -0.693* -0.678* -0.679* -0.595*
(0.322) (0.315) (0.315) (0.315) (0.315) (0.301)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -1.205*** -1.108*** -1.116*** -1.102*** -1.107*** -0.784**
(0.307) (0.301) (0.301) (0.301) (0.301) (0.288)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO -1.261*** -1.083*** -1.074*** -1.074*** -1.083*** -0.758**
(0.310) (0.304) (0.304) (0.305) (0.305) (0.292)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG 0.026 0.023 0.022 0.024 0.023 0.012
(0.037) (0.036) (0.036) (0.036) (0.036) (0.035)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG 0.048 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.033 0.049
(0.038) (0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.036)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG 0.090* 0.069 0.070 0.069 0.069 0.086*
(0.038) (0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.036)
Constant 0.704*** 0.485*** 0.475*** 0.486*** 0.485*** 0.841***
(0.054) (0.058) (0.058) (0.058) (0.058) (0.059)
Observations 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995
R2 0.302 0.331 0.332 0.331 0.331 0.392
Adjusted R2 0.301 0.330 0.331 0.330 0.330 0.389
Residual Std. Error 0.618 (df = 10981) 0.605 (df = 10975) 0.605 (df = 10974) 0.605 (df = 10974) 0.605 (df = 10974) 0.578 (df = 10949)
F Statistic 365.646*** (df = 13; 10981) 286.330*** (df = 19; 10975) 272.463*** (df = 20; 10974) 272.038*** (df = 20; 10974) 271.989*** (df = 20; 10974) 156.578*** (df = 45; 10949)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001


Math - Black TOP SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
MATEMATICA_5TH_INICIAL 0.393*** 0.413*** 0.413*** 0.412*** 0.412*** 0.328***
(0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009)
COHORT2009-2013 -0.263*** -0.197*** -0.197*** -0.197*** -0.197*** -0.154***
(0.049) (0.049) (0.049) (0.049) (0.049) (0.046)
COHORT2011-2015 -0.040 0.039 0.038 0.039 0.038 0.028
(0.050) (0.050) (0.050) (0.050) (0.050) (0.047)
COHORT2013-2017 -0.009 0.077 0.073 0.079 0.080 0.062
(0.051) (0.050) (0.050) (0.050) (0.050) (0.048)
RACA_PRETO -0.349 -0.774** -0.740** -0.755** -0.734** -2.122***
(0.247) (0.243) (0.245) (0.243) (0.244) (0.241)
NSE_AVG 0.189*** 0.194*** 0.192*** 0.199*** 0.201*** 0.350***
(0.028) (0.027) (0.027) (0.027) (0.027) (0.027)
SEXO_M -0.805*** -0.411*** -0.407*** -0.417*** -0.418*** -0.187*
(0.092) (0.091) (0.091) (0.091) (0.091) (0.087)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 0.078*** 0.078*** 0.079*** 0.080*** 0.012
(0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.042*** -0.043*** -0.042*** -0.043*** -0.062***
(0.012) (0.012) (0.012) (0.012) (0.013)
NUM_SCHOOLS -0.001** -0.001** -0.001** -0.001** -0.001*
(0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002)
proportion_estadual -0.145*** -0.142*** -0.148*** -0.150*** -0.164***
(0.019) (0.019) (0.019) (0.019) (0.019)
avg_index_violence -0.062*** -0.061*** -0.062*** -0.062*** -0.050***
(0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.006)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.769*** 0.766*** 0.769*** 0.769*** 0.574***
(0.054) (0.054) (0.054) (0.054) (0.054)
kl_raca 0.006
(0.006)
kl_NSE -0.008
(0.006)
kl_raca_ses -0.013* -0.009
(0.006) (0.006)
UfAC -0.062
(0.155)
UfAM -0.531***
(0.119)
UfAP -1.115***
(0.154)
UfBA -0.140
(0.080)
UfCE -0.012
(0.416)
UfDF -0.409
(0.297)
UfES -0.055
(0.047)
UfMA -0.425
(0.265)
UfMG 0.038
(0.027)
UfMS -0.322***
(0.042)
UfMT -0.447***
(0.037)
UfPA -0.560***
(0.129)
UfPB -0.593***
(0.137)
UfPE -0.266*
(0.125)
UfPI -0.156
(0.588)
UfPR -0.602***
(0.029)
UfRJ -0.308***
(0.041)
UfRN -0.285**
(0.109)
UfRO -0.088
(0.067)
UfRR -0.837***
(0.146)
UfRS -0.503***
(0.030)
UfSC -0.498***
(0.031)
UfSE -0.063
(0.295)
UfSP -0.562***
(0.027)
UfTO -0.120
(0.069)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO -0.086 0.015 0.009 0.013 0.012 -0.051
(0.332) (0.323) (0.323) (0.323) (0.323) (0.306)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -0.657* -0.584 -0.587 -0.593 -0.599 -0.350
(0.317) (0.309) (0.309) (0.309) (0.309) (0.292)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO -0.882** -0.718* -0.713* -0.734* -0.744* -0.392
(0.321) (0.312) (0.312) (0.313) (0.313) (0.296)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG -0.002 -0.003 -0.003 -0.004 -0.004 -0.026
(0.038) (0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.037) (0.035)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.016 -0.030 -0.030 -0.031 -0.031 -0.012
(0.039) (0.038) (0.038) (0.038) (0.038) (0.036)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG 0.013 -0.009 -0.008 -0.010 -0.010 0.016
(0.039) (0.038) (0.038) (0.038) (0.038) (0.036)
Constant 0.521*** 0.310*** 0.306*** 0.308*** 0.308*** 0.574***
(0.056) (0.060) (0.060) (0.060) (0.060) (0.060)
Observations 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995 10,995
R2 0.216 0.259 0.259 0.259 0.259 0.340
Adjusted R2 0.215 0.258 0.258 0.258 0.258 0.337
Residual Std. Error 0.639 (df = 10981) 0.621 (df = 10975) 0.621 (df = 10974) 0.621 (df = 10974) 0.621 (df = 10974) 0.587 (df = 10949)
F Statistic 232.551*** (df = 13; 10981) 201.977*** (df = 19; 10975) 191.937*** (df = 20; 10974) 191.975*** (df = 20; 10974) 192.187*** (df = 20; 10974) 125.361*** (df = 45; 10949)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001

Black students BOTTOM SES

Reading - Black BOTTOM SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
LEITURA_5TH_INICIAL 0.304*** 0.283*** 0.282*** 0.282*** 0.282*** 0.216***
(0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011)
COHORT2009-2013 -0.120* -0.021 -0.020 -0.021 -0.020 -0.022
(0.061) (0.061) (0.061) (0.061) (0.061) (0.061)
COHORT2011-2015 0.093 0.192** 0.192** 0.190** 0.187** 0.222***
(0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063)
COHORT2013-2017 0.334*** 0.423*** 0.426*** 0.422*** 0.423*** 0.431***
(0.064) (0.065) (0.065) (0.065) (0.065) (0.065)
RACA_PRETO -0.214 -0.102 -0.128 -0.108 -0.116 -0.216
(0.233) (0.231) (0.231) (0.231) (0.231) (0.238)
NSE_AVG 0.384*** 0.317*** 0.314*** 0.308*** 0.314*** 0.354***
(0.028) (0.029) (0.029) (0.029) (0.029) (0.030)
SEXO_M -1.251*** -1.194*** -1.187*** -1.188*** -1.178*** -1.370***
(0.127) (0.129) (0.129) (0.129) (0.129) (0.129)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 -0.017 -0.017 -0.017 -0.016 -0.043***
(0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.108*** -0.107*** -0.107*** -0.106*** -0.067***
(0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.011)
NUM_SCHOOLS 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.002* 0.001
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
proportion_estadual 0.044 0.042 0.042 0.041 -0.115**
(0.029) (0.029) (0.029) (0.029) (0.040)
avg_index_violence -0.066*** -0.067*** -0.067*** -0.067*** -0.059***
(0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.182** 0.183** 0.183** 0.182** 0.462***
(0.060) (0.060) (0.060) (0.060) (0.063)
kl_raca -0.019*
(0.010)
kl_NSE -0.021*
(0.010)
kl_raca_ses -0.031** -0.021*
(0.010) (0.010)
UfAC -0.052
(0.120)
UfAL -0.589***
(0.080)
UfAM -0.458***
(0.085)
UfAP -0.735***
(0.140)
UfBA -0.401***
(0.071)
UfCE 0.096
(0.075)
UfES -0.127
(0.116)
UfMA -0.486***
(0.075)
UfMG 0.135*
(0.062)
UfMS -0.132
(0.200)
UfMT -0.603***
(0.092)
UfPA -0.488***
(0.076)
UfPB -0.551***
(0.069)
UfPE -0.390***
(0.071)
UfPI -0.345***
(0.072)
UfPR -0.555***
(0.091)
UfRJ -0.252
(0.232)
UfRN -0.508***
(0.072)
UfRO -0.178
(0.102)
UfRR -0.466**
(0.151)
UfRS -0.378**
(0.118)
UfSC -0.591**
(0.191)
UfSE -0.476***
(0.082)
UfSP -0.410***
(0.105)
UfTO -0.268***
(0.071)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO -0.320 -0.181 -0.169 -0.180 -0.181 -0.256
(0.330) (0.327) (0.327) (0.327) (0.327) (0.319)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO -0.336 -0.258 -0.245 -0.253 -0.242 -0.265
(0.320) (0.317) (0.317) (0.317) (0.317) (0.310)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO -0.267 -0.201 -0.194 -0.193 -0.190 -0.144
(0.319) (0.316) (0.316) (0.316) (0.316) (0.310)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG -0.103* -0.088* -0.087* -0.087* -0.086* -0.092*
(0.043) (0.043) (0.043) (0.043) (0.043) (0.042)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.167*** -0.154*** -0.152** -0.154*** -0.156*** -0.143**
(0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.046)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG 0.011 0.021 0.020 0.020 0.018 -0.011
(0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.048) (0.047)
Constant 0.471*** 0.265*** 0.258** 0.254** 0.251** 0.605***
(0.073) (0.080) (0.080) (0.080) (0.080) (0.100)
Observations 10,777 10,777 10,777 10,777 10,777 10,723
R2 0.165 0.182 0.182 0.182 0.183 0.230
Adjusted R2 0.164 0.180 0.181 0.181 0.181 0.227
Residual Std. Error 0.901 (df = 10763) 0.892 (df = 10757) 0.892 (df = 10756) 0.892 (df = 10756) 0.891 (df = 10756) 0.868 (df = 10677)
F Statistic 163.090*** (df = 13; 10763) 125.891*** (df = 19; 10757) 119.829*** (df = 20; 10756) 119.876*** (df = 20; 10756) 120.173*** (df = 20; 10756) 70.807*** (df = 45; 10677)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001


Math - Black BOTTOM SES
Dependent variable:
base_formula
Model 1 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 2 Model 3
MATEMATICA_5TH_INICIAL 0.352*** 0.321*** 0.319*** 0.320*** 0.319*** 0.255***
(0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011)
COHORT2009-2013 -0.300*** -0.188** -0.185** -0.187** -0.187** -0.190**
(0.060) (0.060) (0.060) (0.060) (0.060) (0.059)
COHORT2011-2015 -0.162** -0.053 -0.052 -0.054 -0.056 -0.032
(0.061) (0.061) (0.061) (0.061) (0.061) (0.061)
COHORT2013-2017 -0.150* -0.046 -0.040 -0.047 -0.046 -0.044
(0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063) (0.063)
RACA_PRETO -0.999*** -0.845*** -0.896*** -0.851*** -0.857*** -1.114***
(0.228) (0.225) (0.226) (0.225) (0.225) (0.231)
NSE_AVG 0.433*** 0.351*** 0.345*** 0.342*** 0.348*** 0.405***
(0.028) (0.028) (0.028) (0.029) (0.028) (0.029)
SEXO_M -0.387** -0.359** -0.346** -0.353** -0.346** -0.432***
(0.125) (0.126) (0.126) (0.126) (0.126) (0.125)
ied_ef_anos_finais_1_2 -0.012 -0.011 -0.011 -0.011 -0.024*
(0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.010)
afd_ef_anos_finais_grupo_5 -0.130*** -0.128*** -0.129*** -0.128*** -0.074***
(0.009) (0.009) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010)
NUM_SCHOOLS -0.002 -0.001 -0.001 -0.001 -0.001
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
proportion_estadual 0.062* 0.058* 0.060* 0.060* -0.093*
(0.028) (0.028) (0.028) (0.028) (0.039)
avg_index_violence -0.069*** -0.072*** -0.071*** -0.071*** -0.061***
(0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.010)
DROP_OUT_RATE 0.137* 0.138* 0.138* 0.136* 0.429***
(0.059) (0.059) (0.059) (0.059) (0.062)
kl_raca -0.037***
(0.009)
kl_NSE -0.022*
(0.009)
kl_raca_ses -0.026** -0.012
(0.010) (0.010)
UfAC -0.052
(0.117)
UfAL -0.470***
(0.078)
UfAM -0.561***
(0.083)
UfAP -0.770***
(0.136)
UfBA -0.336***
(0.069)
UfCE 0.083
(0.073)
UfES -0.095
(0.113)
UfMA -0.609***
(0.073)
UfMG 0.162**
(0.061)
UfMS -0.116
(0.194)
UfMT -0.599***
(0.089)
UfPA -0.570***
(0.074)
UfPB -0.487***
(0.067)
UfPE -0.312***
(0.069)
UfPI -0.226**
(0.070)
UfPR -0.448***
(0.089)
UfRJ 0.004
(0.226)
UfRN -0.509***
(0.070)
UfRO -0.076
(0.099)
UfRR -0.540***
(0.147)
UfRS -0.322**
(0.114)
UfSC -0.714***
(0.186)
UfSE -0.291***
(0.079)
UfSP -0.427***
(0.102)
UfTO -0.214**
(0.069)
COHORT2009-2013:RACA_PRETO 0.058 0.199 0.223 0.200 0.199 0.090
(0.323) (0.319) (0.319) (0.319) (0.319) (0.311)
COHORT2011-2015:RACA_PRETO 0.017 0.089 0.116 0.095 0.104 0.066
(0.313) (0.309) (0.309) (0.309) (0.309) (0.302)
COHORT2013-2017:RACA_PRETO -0.038 0.005 0.017 0.012 0.014 0.020
(0.312) (0.308) (0.308) (0.308) (0.308) (0.301)
COHORT2009-2013:NSE_AVG -0.125** -0.106* -0.103* -0.105* -0.104* -0.110**
(0.043) (0.042) (0.042) (0.042) (0.042) (0.041)
COHORT2011-2015:NSE_AVG -0.275*** -0.259*** -0.256*** -0.259*** -0.261*** -0.250***
(0.046) (0.045) (0.045) (0.045) (0.045) (0.045)
COHORT2013-2017:NSE_AVG -0.121* -0.105* -0.107* -0.106* -0.107* -0.133**
(0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.047) (0.046)
Constant 0.412*** 0.218** 0.204** 0.207** 0.206** 0.502***
(0.072) (0.078) (0.078) (0.078) (0.078) (0.098)
Observations 10,777 10,777 10,777 10,777 10,777 10,723
R2 0.165 0.189 0.190 0.189 0.190 0.241
Adjusted R2 0.164 0.188 0.189 0.188 0.188 0.238
Residual Std. Error 0.883 (df = 10763) 0.870 (df = 10757) 0.869 (df = 10756) 0.870 (df = 10756) 0.870 (df = 10756) 0.845 (df = 10677)
F Statistic 163.204*** (df = 13; 10763) 132.001*** (df = 19; 10757) 126.377*** (df = 20; 10756) 125.716*** (df = 20; 10756) 125.839*** (df = 20; 10756) 75.295*** (df = 45; 10677)
Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001