## [1] "1. Leitura dos dados"

## [1] "2. Exploração inicial"

## Rows: 15,395
## Columns: 34
## $ ano        <chr> "2016", "2016", "2016", "2016", "2016", "2016", "2016", "20…
## $ ponto      <chr> "CF1658277", "CF1658272", "CF1658273", "CF1658274", "CF1658…
## $ x          <dbl> -49.18157, -49.18953, -49.18786, -49.18619, -49.18453, -49.…
## $ y          <dbl> -21.27265, -21.27243, -21.27241, -21.27239, -21.27237, -21.…
## $ variedade  <chr> "CV6654", "CV6654", "CV6654", "CV6654", "CV6654", "CV6654",…
## $ solos      <chr> "LVal md", "LVPd md/arg", "LVPd md/arg", "LVPd md/arg", "LV…
## $ tch_real   <dbl> 63.54, 63.54, 63.54, 63.54, 63.54, 63.54, 63.54, 63.54, 63.…
## $ atr        <dbl> 148.07, 148.07, 148.07, 148.07, 148.07, 148.07, 148.07, 148…
## $ ph_cacl2_1 <dbl> 5.19, 5.18, 4.88, 4.96, 5.05, 5.15, 6.24, 4.50, 5.38, 5.50,…
## $ mo_1       <dbl> 16.2022, 17.0236, 15.6546, 13.7380, 15.6546, 14.0118, 11.82…
## $ p_resina_1 <dbl> 11.538500, 12.526100, 10.880100, 10.715500, 11.044700, 11.2…
## $ s_1        <dbl> 8.84769, 9.92472, 12.07878, 8.96736, 9.56571, 8.01000, 9.80…
## $ ca_1       <dbl> 21.601449, 19.862319, 14.789855, 16.601449, 18.195652, 19.4…
## $ mg_1       <dbl> 11.045207, 15.713952, 5.495713, 9.696804, 10.047545, 10.359…
## $ k_1        <dbl> 1.2805516, 0.9239182, 1.4992867, 1.5563481, 1.6229196, 0.84…
## $ al_1       <dbl> 1.19600, 0.92000, 1.38000, 0.55200, 0.82800, 1.19600, 0.644…
## $ h_al_1     <dbl> 22.96210, 22.01502, 30.19345, 22.72158, 22.01502, 19.40179,…
## $ sb_1       <dbl> 33.92721, 36.50019, 21.78485, 27.85460, 29.86612, 30.63469,…
## $ ctc_1      <dbl> 56.88931, 58.51521, 51.97831, 50.57618, 51.88114, 50.03647,…
## $ v_1        <dbl> 59.63723, 62.37726, 41.91144, 55.07455, 57.56642, 61.22471,…
## $ m_1        <dbl> 3.4051560, 2.4585659, 5.9573004, 1.9432103, 2.6975854, 3.75…
## $ ph_cacl2_2 <dbl> 4.90, 5.38, 5.29, 5.30, 5.16, 5.06, 5.50, 4.50, 4.79, 4.46,…
## $ mo_2       <dbl> 13.7380, 13.4642, 12.3690, 11.5476, 13.7380, 11.5476, 11.82…
## $ p_resina_2 <dbl> 12.032300, 11.703100, 11.703100, 13.513700, 11.867700, 11.8…
## $ s_2        <dbl> 12.43779, 16.86558, 11.00175, 8.12967, 12.19845, 13.27548, …
## $ ca_2       <dbl> 14.210145, 16.021739, 15.514493, 14.427536, 15.224638, 14.5…
## $ mg_2       <dbl> 7.085737, 9.735776, 6.563523, 8.262666, 7.327358, 7.475448,…
## $ k_2        <dbl> 0.8050404, 0.7194484, 0.9429387, 0.5863053, 0.7669995, 0.67…
## $ al_2       <dbl> 3.956000, 1.012000, 1.104000, 0.736000, 2.024000, 2.852000,…
## $ h_al_2     <dbl> 43.19156, 26.60941, 24.98024, 21.33044, 24.71858, 26.33069,…
## $ sb_2       <dbl> 22.100922, 26.476963, 23.020954, 23.276507, 23.318995, 22.7…
## $ ctc_2      <dbl> 65.29248, 53.08638, 48.00119, 44.60695, 48.03757, 49.05050,…
## $ v_2        <dbl> 33.84911, 49.87525, 47.95913, 52.18135, 48.54324, 46.31922,…
## $ m_2        <dbl> 15.182146, 3.681478, 4.576174, 3.065069, 7.986428, 11.15290…
## [1] "3. Testes de normalidade"
## [1] "4. Estatística descritiva"
Estatística descritiva das variáveis (2018)
estat_names tch_real atr ph_cacl2_1 mo_1 p_resina_1 s_1 ca_1 mg_1 k_1 al_1 h_al_1 sb_1 ctc_1 v_1 m_1
Min 32.530000 107.400000 3.9200000 4.240000 2.240000 0.570000 3.530000 0.7700000 0.060000 0.000000 6.650000 5.160000 16.920000 15.3100000 0.000000
Q1 64.230000 125.860000 5.0900000 8.640000 7.120000 3.880000 14.365000 5.6600000 1.030000 0.000000 13.140000 21.900000 38.917500 54.9275000 0.000000
Med 92.200000 136.960000 5.4400000 10.280000 9.260000 5.300000 18.280000 7.5900000 1.550000 0.200000 15.550000 28.075000 44.365000 64.3600000 0.610000
Média 90.443250 134.753691 5.4156196 10.821915 11.253798 6.635679 19.324278 7.8872416 1.916803 0.592307 16.588478 29.128219 45.716644 62.4027491 2.683758
Q3 114.580000 143.920000 5.7300000 12.480000 13.010000 7.562500 23.195000 9.6900000 2.460000 0.500000 19.002500 35.120000 51.272500 71.3625000 1.770000
Max 167.030000 153.730000 6.9400000 52.260000 81.250000 109.240000 93.510000 29.3500000 9.520000 21.000000 73.900000 115.020000 122.230000 94.1000000 65.740000
DP 29.700621 11.371274 0.4973979 3.243604 7.023221 5.172513 7.794419 3.0856194 1.232975 1.383771 5.080752 10.618822 10.301776 12.0849141 6.450736
CV 32.838958 8.438562 9.1845052 29.972548 62.407563 77.950028 40.334851 39.1216548 64.324542 233.624034 30.628197 36.455446 22.533972 19.3659963 240.362085
Skn 0.078104 -0.348753 -0.0418294 1.843277 3.178353 5.209192 1.530952 0.8732924 1.604038 6.189742 2.083737 1.077532 1.258516 -0.6806249 4.316907
Krt -0.917421 -0.766672 0.1680767 12.363751 16.743762 62.357645 6.898821 2.4166266 3.313847 58.605551 11.151201 3.742825 4.374259 0.3238930 21.948001
## [1] "5. Transformações"
Estatística descritiva após transformações (2018)
estat_names tch_real atr ph_cacl2_1 mo_1 p_resina_1 s_1 ca_1 mg_1 k_1 al_1 h_al_1 sb_1 ctc_1 v_1 m_1
Min 32.530000 107.400000 3.9200000 4.240000 1.1755733 -0.5621189 1.2612979 0.7700000 0.060000 0.000000 6.650000 1.6409366 2.8284964 15.3100000 0.0000000
Q1 64.230000 125.860000 5.0900000 8.640000 2.0943302 1.3558352 2.6647945 5.6600000 1.030000 0.000000 13.140000 3.0864866 3.6614440 54.9275000 0.0000000
Med 92.200000 136.960000 5.4400000 10.280000 2.3282528 1.6677050 2.9058076 7.5900000 1.550000 0.200000 15.550000 3.3348795 3.7924508 64.3600000 0.4762342
Média 90.443250 134.753691 5.4156196 10.821915 2.3956675 1.7119512 2.8835111 7.8872416 1.916803 0.592307 16.588478 3.3050750 3.7988601 62.4027491 0.7367674
Q3 114.580000 143.920000 5.7300000 12.480000 2.6397714 2.0232017 3.1439367 9.6900000 2.460000 0.500000 19.002500 3.5587708 3.9371545 71.3625000 1.0188473
Max 167.030000 153.730000 6.9400000 52.260000 4.4097634 4.6935473 4.5380684 29.3500000 9.520000 21.000000 73.900000 4.7451060 4.8059045 94.1000000 4.2008045
DP 29.700621 11.371274 0.4973979 3.243604 0.4414219 0.5703033 0.4027037 3.0856194 1.232975 1.383771 5.080752 0.3743410 0.2155888 12.0849141 0.8669186
CV 32.838958 8.438562 9.1845052 29.972548 18.4258398 33.3130547 13.9657406 39.1216548 64.324542 233.624034 30.628197 11.3262492 5.6750915 19.3659963 117.6651697
Skn 0.078104 -0.348753 -0.0418294 1.843277 0.7675986 0.4275091 -0.3859814 0.8732924 1.604038 6.189742 2.083737 -0.4722597 0.1644619 -0.6806249 1.5746253
Krt -0.917421 -0.766672 0.1680767 12.363751 1.0942523 1.0177710 0.9169996 2.4166266 3.313847 58.605551 11.151201 0.9395356 1.0372209 0.3238930 2.0533585
## [1] "6. Seleção de ano/variável"
## Rows: 3,212
## Columns: 3
## $ x <dbl> -49.29039, -49.28943, -49.28908, -49.28771, -49.28756, -49.28607, -4…
## $ y <dbl> -20.90816, -20.90947, -20.90697, -20.90772, -20.90952, -20.90862, -2…
## $ z <dbl> 46.12, 46.12, 46.12, 46.07, 46.22, 46.15, 46.15, 46.55, 61.11, 61.25…
## [1] "7. Boxplot / histograma / normalidade"
##    Min. 1st Qu.  Median    Mean 3rd Qu.    Max. 
##   32.53   64.23   92.20   90.44  114.58  167.03

## 
##  Shapiro-Wilk normality test
## 
## data:  y_vals
## W = 0.97461, p-value < 2.2e-16
## 
##  Cramer-von Mises normality test
## 
## data:  y_vals
## W = 3.8693, p-value = 7.37e-10
## 
##  Lilliefors (Kolmogorov-Smirnov) normality test
## 
## data:  y_vals
## D = 0.077121, p-value < 2.2e-16
## 
##  Anderson-Darling normality test
## 
## data:  y_vals
## A = 25.269, p-value < 2.2e-16
## [1] "8. Colinearidade"
##            tch_real   atr ph_cacl2_1  mo_1 p_resina_1   s_1  ca_1  mg_1   k_1
## tch_real       1.00 -0.06       0.13  0.15       0.13  0.09  0.12  0.18  0.03
## atr           -0.06  1.00      -0.07 -0.16      -0.01 -0.09 -0.01 -0.01  0.06
## ph_cacl2_1     0.13 -0.07       1.00  0.12       0.26  0.00  0.59  0.57  0.32
## mo_1           0.15 -0.16       0.12  1.00       0.15  0.07  0.28  0.23  0.03
## p_resina_1     0.13 -0.01       0.26  0.15       1.00  0.06  0.29  0.17  0.21
## s_1            0.09 -0.09       0.00  0.07       0.06  1.00 -0.01  0.06  0.24
## ca_1           0.12 -0.01       0.59  0.28       0.29 -0.01  1.00  0.73  0.25
## mg_1           0.18 -0.01       0.57  0.23       0.17  0.06  0.73  1.00  0.30
## k_1            0.03  0.06       0.32  0.03       0.21  0.24  0.25  0.30  1.00
## al_1          -0.14  0.00      -0.52 -0.07      -0.09  0.09 -0.40 -0.30 -0.08
## h_al_1        -0.09 -0.01      -0.66  0.09      -0.15  0.03 -0.30 -0.29 -0.19
## sb_1           0.14  0.00       0.64  0.27       0.28  0.04  0.97  0.84  0.38
## ctc_1          0.09  0.01       0.30  0.33       0.23  0.06  0.84  0.73  0.31
## v_1            0.14  0.00       0.80  0.14       0.28  0.02  0.84  0.73  0.37
## m_1           -0.17  0.02      -0.66 -0.10      -0.18  0.06 -0.57 -0.45 -0.19
##             al_1 h_al_1  sb_1 ctc_1   v_1   m_1
## tch_real   -0.14  -0.09  0.14  0.09  0.14 -0.17
## atr         0.00  -0.01  0.00  0.01  0.00  0.02
## ph_cacl2_1 -0.52  -0.66  0.64  0.30  0.80 -0.66
## mo_1       -0.07   0.09  0.27  0.33  0.14 -0.10
## p_resina_1 -0.09  -0.15  0.28  0.23  0.28 -0.18
## s_1         0.09   0.03  0.04  0.06  0.02  0.06
## ca_1       -0.40  -0.30  0.97  0.84  0.84 -0.57
## mg_1       -0.30  -0.29  0.84  0.73  0.73 -0.45
## k_1        -0.08  -0.19  0.38  0.31  0.37 -0.19
## al_1        1.00   0.53 -0.40 -0.09 -0.53  0.80
## h_al_1      0.53   1.00 -0.33  0.18 -0.73  0.51
## sb_1       -0.40  -0.33  1.00  0.85  0.88 -0.59
## ctc_1      -0.09   0.18  0.85  1.00  0.51 -0.28
## v_1        -0.53  -0.73  0.88  0.51  1.00 -0.68
## m_1         0.80   0.51 -0.59 -0.28 -0.68  1.00

##      ca_1      mg_1    h_al_1      sb_1     ctc_1       v_1 
##  86.96072  11.57993  22.54230 231.35573  59.49064 124.33088
## [1] "9. Regressão múltipla e Stepwise"
## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = form_reg, data = df_aux)
## 
## Residuals:
##     Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
## -78.597 -23.233   1.079  21.701  78.430 
## 
## Coefficients:
##              Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
## (Intercept) 158.52485   17.80900   8.901  < 2e-16 ***
## atr          -0.08018    0.04536  -1.768  0.07722 .  
## ph_cacl2_1   -4.77040    1.57636  -3.026  0.00250 ** 
## mo_1          1.07418    0.16831   6.382 2.00e-10 ***
## p_resina_1    7.22213    1.21476   5.945 3.06e-09 ***
## s_1           4.78875    0.92371   5.184 2.30e-07 ***
## mg_1          2.30283    0.28766   8.005 1.65e-15 ***
## k_1          -1.05848    0.46523  -2.275  0.02296 *  
## al_1         -0.60544    0.63114  -0.959  0.33749    
## ctc_1       -21.42965    3.82566  -5.602 2.30e-08 ***
## m_1          -3.98197    1.14458  -3.479  0.00051 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Residual standard error: 28.48 on 3201 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared:  0.08331,    Adjusted R-squared:  0.08044 
## F-statistic: 29.09 on 10 and 3201 DF,  p-value: < 2.2e-16

## 
##  studentized Breusch-Pagan test
## 
## data:  modelo_final
## BP = 160.48, df = 10, p-value < 2.2e-16
## 
##  Durbin-Watson test
## 
## data:  modelo_final
## DW = 1.4145, p-value < 2.2e-16
## alternative hypothesis: true autocorrelation is greater than 0
## Start:  AIC=21785.86
## tch_real ~ 1
## 
##              Df Sum of Sq     RSS   AIC
## + mg_1        1     90165 2742345 21684
## + m_1         1     78862 2753648 21697
## + mo_1        1     63906 2768603 21715
## + al_1        1     58315 2774194 21721
## + ph_cacl2_1  1     49139 2783370 21732
## + p_resina_1  1     48025 2784484 21733
## + s_1         1     24942 2807567 21760
## + ctc_1       1     20528 2811981 21765
## + atr         1     10848 2821662 21776
## + k_1         1      2045 2830465 21786
## <none>                    2832509 21786
## 
## Step:  AIC=21683.96
## tch_real ~ mg_1
## 
##              Df Sum of Sq     RSS   AIC
## + mo_1        1     35716 2706628 21644
## + p_resina_1  1     28742 2713602 21652
## + m_1         1     26984 2715361 21654
## + al_1        1     25360 2716985 21656
## + s_1         1     19623 2722722 21663
## + ctc_1       1     12554 2729791 21671
## + atr         1     10216 2732129 21674
## + ph_cacl2_1  1      3875 2738470 21681
## + k_1         1      2281 2740064 21683
## <none>                    2742345 21684
## 
## Step:  AIC=21643.85
## tch_real ~ mg_1 + mo_1
## 
##              Df Sum of Sq     RSS   AIC
## + m_1         1   27248.8 2679380 21613
## + ctc_1       1   26349.3 2680279 21614
## + al_1        1   25543.9 2681085 21615
## + p_resina_1  1   22236.0 2684393 21619
## + s_1         1   16833.8 2689795 21626
## + atr         1    5156.1 2701472 21640
## + ph_cacl2_1  1    4041.1 2702587 21641
## <none>                    2706628 21644
## + k_1         1    1599.8 2705029 21644
## 
## Step:  AIC=21613.35
## tch_real ~ mg_1 + mo_1 + m_1
## 
##              Df Sum of Sq     RSS   AIC
## + ctc_1       1   22402.1 2656978 21588
## + s_1         1   21245.9 2658134 21590
## + p_resina_1  1   17118.3 2662261 21595
## + atr         1    4715.9 2674664 21610
## + k_1         1    2662.8 2676717 21612
## + al_1        1    2440.7 2676939 21612
## <none>                    2679380 21613
## + ph_cacl2_1  1    1141.8 2678238 21614
## 
## Step:  AIC=21588.38
## tch_real ~ mg_1 + mo_1 + m_1 + ctc_1
## 
##              Df Sum of Sq     RSS   AIC
## + p_resina_1  1   23299.8 2633678 21562
## + s_1         1   21408.5 2635569 21564
## + ph_cacl2_1  1    4429.4 2652548 21585
## + atr         1    3455.0 2653523 21586
## <none>                    2656978 21588
## + k_1         1     856.0 2656122 21589
## + al_1        1     213.8 2656764 21590
## 
## Step:  AIC=21562.09
## tch_real ~ mg_1 + mo_1 + m_1 + ctc_1 + p_resina_1
## 
##              Df Sum of Sq     RSS   AIC
## + s_1         1   19078.2 2614600 21541
## + ph_cacl2_1  1    9586.3 2624092 21552
## + atr         1    3563.7 2630114 21560
## + k_1         1    2846.5 2630831 21561
## <none>                    2633678 21562
## + al_1        1     491.5 2633186 21564
## 
## Step:  AIC=21540.74
## tch_real ~ mg_1 + mo_1 + m_1 + ctc_1 + p_resina_1 + s_1
## 
##              Df Sum of Sq     RSS   AIC
## + ph_cacl2_1  1    9805.8 2604794 21531
## + k_1         1    8064.7 2606535 21533
## + atr         1    2383.6 2612216 21540
## <none>                    2614600 21541
## + al_1        1     978.6 2613621 21542
## 
## Step:  AIC=21530.67
## tch_real ~ mg_1 + mo_1 + m_1 + ctc_1 + p_resina_1 + s_1 + ph_cacl2_1
## 
##        Df Sum of Sq     RSS   AIC
## + k_1   1    5077.4 2599716 21526
## + atr   1    3089.2 2601705 21529
## <none>              2604794 21531
## + al_1  1     838.9 2603955 21532
## 
## Step:  AIC=21526.4
## tch_real ~ mg_1 + mo_1 + m_1 + ctc_1 + p_resina_1 + s_1 + ph_cacl2_1 + 
##     k_1
## 
##        Df Sum of Sq     RSS   AIC
## + atr   1   2425.80 2597291 21525
## <none>              2599716 21526
## + al_1  1    637.82 2599079 21528
## 
## Step:  AIC=21525.4
## tch_real ~ mg_1 + mo_1 + m_1 + ctc_1 + p_resina_1 + s_1 + ph_cacl2_1 + 
##     k_1 + atr
## 
##        Df Sum of Sq     RSS   AIC
## <none>              2597291 21525
## + al_1  1    746.44 2596544 21527
## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = tch_real ~ mg_1 + mo_1 + m_1 + ctc_1 + p_resina_1 + 
##     s_1 + ph_cacl2_1 + k_1 + atr, data = variaveis_validas)
## 
## Residuals:
##     Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
## -78.652 -23.088   1.137  21.630  78.258 
## 
## Coefficients:
##              Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
## (Intercept) 161.50446   17.53582   9.210  < 2e-16 ***
## mg_1          2.32729    0.28653   8.122 6.45e-16 ***
## mo_1          1.08482    0.16794   6.460 1.21e-10 ***
## m_1          -4.78253    0.78332  -6.105 1.15e-09 ***
## ctc_1       -22.22220    3.73534  -5.949 2.99e-09 ***
## p_resina_1    7.18113    1.21399   5.915 3.66e-09 ***
## s_1           4.74792    0.92272   5.146 2.83e-07 ***
## ph_cacl2_1   -4.78381    1.57628  -3.035  0.00243 ** 
## k_1          -1.08354    0.46449  -2.333  0.01972 *  
## atr          -0.07838    0.04532  -1.729  0.08385 .  
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Residual standard error: 28.48 on 3202 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared:  0.08304,    Adjusted R-squared:  0.08047 
## F-statistic: 32.22 on 9 and 3202 DF,  p-value: < 2.2e-16
## [1] "10. PCA e biplot"

##  [1] 5.973610947 1.983124694 1.243057890 1.218849537 0.952964515 0.885920970
##  [7] 0.744957698 0.647102216 0.617188177 0.286704076 0.263508407 0.152765994
## [13] 0.020290254 0.007046416 0.002908209
##  [1] 0.3982407298 0.1322083129 0.0828705260 0.0812566358 0.0635309676
##  [6] 0.0590613980 0.0496638466 0.0431401477 0.0411458785 0.0191136051
## [11] 0.0175672271 0.0101843996 0.0013526836 0.0004697611 0.0001938806
##  [1]  39.82407  53.04490  61.33196  69.45762  75.81072  81.71686  86.68324
##  [8]  90.99726  95.11184  97.02320  98.77993  99.79837  99.93364  99.98061
## [15] 100.00000

## [1] "11. Semivariograma e krigagem"

## [using ordinary kriging]
##   0% done  5% done 10% done 15% done 20% done 25% done 29% done 33% done 37% done 42% done 46% done 50% done 54% done 59% done 63% done 67% done 71% done 76% done 80% done 84% done 88% done 93% done 97% done100% done