Value-Added: Preliminary Insights from Prova Brasil
Results
White students top SES
Regression analysis - Reading
## [1] "Value added state left out (GO) = 0.816242876857416"List of states with their averages and value-added
| state | Average 5th grade scores | Average SES | Predicted 9th grade gain (state coefficient) | Value-added |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC | 0.2022107 | 0.3844519 | 0.0203259 | 0.8365687 |
| AM | -0.1111601 | 0.3019303 | -0.2648676 | 0.5513752 |
| AP | -0.7503097 | 0.4866705 | -0.8145137 | 0.0017292 |
| BA | -0.2866326 | 0.2218959 | -0.2800417 | 0.5362011 |
| CE | 0.9905992 | 0.2109913 | 0.5637172 | 1.3799601 |
| DF | 1.1172807 | 1.2988187 | -0.4860019 | 0.3302409 |
| ES | 0.9058595 | 0.5658130 | -0.1366297 | 0.6796131 |
| GO | 0.6265323 | 0.5497743 | 0.0000000 | 0.8162429 |
| MA | -0.2422163 | 0.1346222 | -0.1821317 | 0.6341111 |
| MG | 1.3438240 | 0.6508507 | -0.0059408 | 0.8103021 |
| MS | 0.4275138 | 0.7441992 | -0.1630486 | 0.6531943 |
| MT | 0.3266091 | 0.5172174 | -0.3511656 | 0.4650772 |
| PA | -0.2065071 | 0.2584261 | -0.3477280 | 0.4685149 |
| PB | 0.0940129 | 0.2347318 | -0.4234520 | 0.3927909 |
| PE | -0.0372949 | 0.4865293 | -0.1148646 | 0.7013782 |
| PI | -1.2050710 | 0.1842705 | 0.0615185 | 0.8777613 |
| PR | 0.8035517 | 0.8531389 | -0.4089414 | 0.4073015 |
| RJ | 0.7554335 | 0.8090525 | -0.3108511 | 0.5053918 |
| RN | -0.0700053 | 0.2320389 | -0.2874495 | 0.5287934 |
| RO | 0.2458552 | 0.3937825 | -0.0975005 | 0.7187424 |
| RR | -0.3964444 | 0.5450907 | -0.5282382 | 0.2880047 |
| RS | 0.8373548 | 1.3146422 | -0.4200834 | 0.3961595 |
| SC | 0.7916782 | 1.2226669 | -0.4210825 | 0.3951604 |
| SE | -0.8502560 | 0.1182638 | -0.9377364 | -0.1214936 |
| SP | 1.0652212 | 0.9521656 | -0.2526163 | 0.5636265 |
| TO | 0.1191165 | 0.3378308 | 0.0380607 | 0.8543036 |
Regression analysis - Math
## [1] "Value added state left out (GO) = 0.841727969757036"| state | Average 5th grade scores | Average SES | Predicted 9th grade gain (state coefficient) | Value-added |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC | -0.0208540 | 0.3844519 | 0.0251114 | 0.8668393 |
| AM | -0.0846490 | 0.3019303 | -0.5604160 | 0.2813120 |
| AP | -0.9516278 | 0.4866705 | -0.9426915 | -0.1009636 |
| BA | -0.3955186 | 0.2218959 | -0.1254212 | 0.7163068 |
| CE | 0.6646499 | 0.2109913 | 0.3531388 | 1.1948668 |
| DF | 0.9361302 | 1.2988187 | -0.3186563 | 0.5230716 |
| ES | 0.8435508 | 0.5658130 | 0.1684463 | 1.0101742 |
| GO | 0.4986991 | 0.5497743 | 0.0000000 | 0.8417280 |
| MA | -0.4675860 | 0.1346222 | -0.3109033 | 0.5308247 |
| MG | 1.3353339 | 0.6508507 | 0.1509112 | 0.9926392 |
| MS | 0.3210534 | 0.7441992 | -0.1532286 | 0.6884994 |
| MT | 0.2388107 | 0.5172174 | -0.2949633 | 0.5467647 |
| PA | -0.3776002 | 0.2584261 | -0.4231293 | 0.4185987 |
| PB | -0.1414952 | 0.2347318 | -0.1842099 | 0.6575181 |
| PE | -0.0988634 | 0.4865293 | -0.1239196 | 0.7178084 |
| PI | -1.4280004 | 0.1842705 | 0.4569158 | 1.2986437 |
| PR | 0.8942559 | 0.8531389 | -0.4062490 | 0.4354789 |
| RJ | 0.6262878 | 0.8090525 | -0.1756963 | 0.6660316 |
| RN | -0.2893856 | 0.2320389 | -0.2199912 | 0.6217368 |
| RO | 0.2161385 | 0.3937825 | -0.0620179 | 0.7797100 |
| RR | -0.6449407 | 0.5450907 | -0.5276960 | 0.3140320 |
| RS | 0.7947666 | 1.3146422 | -0.3043115 | 0.5374165 |
| SC | 0.7493796 | 1.2226669 | -0.2929638 | 0.5487642 |
| SE | -0.7386320 | 0.1182638 | -0.6910275 | 0.1507005 |
| SP | 1.1236201 | 0.9521656 | -0.3624859 | 0.4792420 |
| TO | 0.0549915 | 0.3378308 | 0.1559533 | 0.9976812 |
White students bottom SES
Regression analysis - Reading
## [1] "Value added state left out (GO) = -0.229483864249375"List of states with their averages and value-added
| state | Average 5th grade scores | Average SES | Predicted 9th grade gain (state coefficient) | Value-added |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC | -0.3356601 | -0.6146304 | -0.3137035 | -0.5431874 |
| AL | -1.0241536 | -1.2918507 | -0.5462561 | -0.7757400 |
| AM | -0.3932606 | -0.5367913 | -0.5030204 | -0.7325043 |
| AP | -0.8289178 | -0.3899679 | -0.9858197 | -1.2153036 |
| BA | -0.6454734 | -0.9101747 | -0.5148848 | -0.7443686 |
| CE | -0.1472686 | -1.1325014 | 0.1685189 | -0.0609650 |
| ES | 0.4357341 | -0.1590035 | -0.2163772 | -0.4458611 |
| GO | 0.1147928 | -0.3132522 | 0.0000000 | -0.2294839 |
| MA | -1.0238415 | -1.2894399 | -0.5292307 | -0.7587145 |
| MG | 0.6158834 | -0.5822329 | 0.0784646 | -0.1510193 |
| MS | -0.2174583 | -0.3021138 | -0.2564068 | -0.4858906 |
| MT | -0.3056422 | -0.2326091 | -0.5733823 | -0.8028662 |
| PA | -0.6926395 | -0.7634557 | -0.6711385 | -0.9006224 |
| PB | -0.4801237 | -1.0118371 | -0.5262340 | -0.7557179 |
| PE | -0.5509375 | -0.9807181 | -0.2966930 | -0.5261768 |
| PI | -0.5941792 | -1.1953120 | -0.4026624 | -0.6321462 |
| PR | 0.0533688 | -0.2124664 | -0.5328919 | -0.7623758 |
| RJ | 0.7489043 | -0.2873847 | -0.0849563 | -0.3144402 |
| RN | -0.7126208 | -0.7444467 | -0.4729354 | -0.7024193 |
| RO | -0.1649877 | -0.3029333 | -0.3846535 | -0.6141374 |
| RR | -0.7932941 | -0.3790137 | -0.7173983 | -0.9468821 |
| RS | 0.0140258 | -0.2383568 | -0.3936609 | -0.6231448 |
| SC | -0.1030596 | -0.1104147 | -0.5824869 | -0.8119708 |
| SE | -0.7406115 | -0.9290649 | -0.5162469 | -0.7457308 |
| SP | 0.3797444 | -0.2265450 | -0.2374220 | -0.4669058 |
| TO | -0.2715913 | -0.6106258 | -0.3788859 | -0.6083698 |
Regression analysis - Math
## [1] "Value added state left out (GO) = -0.287548286808074"| state | Average 5th grade scores | Average SES | Predicted 9th grade gain (state coefficient) | Value-added |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC | -0.4942321 | -0.6146304 | -0.3793514 | -0.6668997 |
| AL | -1.0038525 | -1.2918507 | -0.5722709 | -0.8598192 |
| AM | -0.3989552 | -0.5367913 | -0.7509460 | -1.0384943 |
| AP | -0.8982539 | -0.3899679 | -1.1172912 | -1.4048394 |
| BA | -0.6535080 | -0.9101747 | -0.5049155 | -0.7924637 |
| CE | -0.2953903 | -1.1325014 | 0.0357331 | -0.2518152 |
| ES | 0.4562303 | -0.1590035 | -0.0581189 | -0.3456671 |
| GO | 0.0637735 | -0.3132522 | 0.0000000 | -0.2875483 |
| MA | -1.0622521 | -1.2894399 | -0.6996917 | -0.9872400 |
| MG | 0.6564402 | -0.5822329 | 0.1137386 | -0.1738097 |
| MS | -0.1251622 | -0.3021138 | -0.1643204 | -0.4518686 |
| MT | -0.2537164 | -0.2326091 | -0.5566302 | -0.8441785 |
| PA | -0.7947890 | -0.7634557 | -0.7643827 | -1.0519309 |
| PB | -0.4889299 | -1.0118371 | -0.6123528 | -0.8999011 |
| PE | -0.5602751 | -0.9807181 | -0.3034316 | -0.5909799 |
| PI | -0.6452161 | -1.1953120 | -0.3040588 | -0.5916071 |
| PR | 0.1268941 | -0.2124664 | -0.5795799 | -0.8671282 |
| RJ | 0.8672591 | -0.2873847 | 0.1252500 | -0.1622983 |
| RN | -0.7555815 | -0.7444467 | -0.5332663 | -0.8208146 |
| RO | -0.1037140 | -0.3029333 | -0.3199632 | -0.6075115 |
| RR | -0.7783618 | -0.3790137 | -0.6457350 | -0.9332832 |
| RS | -0.0973893 | -0.2383568 | -0.3402744 | -0.6278227 |
| SC | -0.1266158 | -0.1104147 | -0.5538768 | -0.8414251 |
| SE | -0.7489368 | -0.9290649 | -0.4466535 | -0.7342018 |
| SP | 0.4751446 | -0.2265450 | -0.4144412 | -0.7019895 |
| TO | -0.3414279 | -0.6106258 | -0.3198204 | -0.6073687 |
Black students top SES
Regression analysis - Reading
## [1] "Value added state left out (GO) = -0.0180491401027403"List of states with their averages and value-added
| state | Average 5th grade scores | Average SES | Predicted 9th grade gain (state coefficient) | Value-added |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC | 0.0105243 | 0.3314440 | 0.1163831 | 0.0983340 |
| AM | -0.3706828 | 0.2446370 | -0.4939078 | -0.5119570 |
| AP | -0.9345947 | 0.3843673 | -0.9874101 | -1.0054592 |
| BA | -0.4254939 | 0.1917336 | -0.4145225 | -0.4325717 |
| CE | 0.5873788 | 0.1533285 | 0.2204280 | 0.2023789 |
| DF | 0.6260477 | 1.2988187 | -0.5165120 | -0.5345612 |
| ES | 0.1186630 | 0.5342742 | -0.1689965 | -0.1870456 |
| GO | 0.0558734 | 0.5251885 | 0.0000000 | -0.0180491 |
| MA | -0.6964366 | 0.1076640 | -0.7242822 | -0.7423314 |
| MG | 0.4682297 | 0.6277456 | -0.0749784 | -0.0930276 |
| MS | -0.0989113 | 0.7384656 | -0.3069846 | -0.3250338 |
| MT | -0.2605842 | 0.4875180 | -0.6441892 | -0.6622384 |
| PA | -0.4543851 | 0.2119443 | -0.3438793 | -0.3619285 |
| PB | -0.5559110 | 0.2119632 | -0.7999684 | -0.8180176 |
| PE | -0.5400159 | 0.3679034 | -0.4766147 | -0.4946639 |
| PI | -0.2323266 | 0.0931729 | 0.6226692 | 0.6046201 |
| PR | -0.0449602 | 0.8287048 | -0.7087598 | -0.7268089 |
| RJ | 0.1636965 | 0.8041598 | -0.4536531 | -0.4717022 |
| RN | -0.6161607 | 0.1923995 | -0.5210009 | -0.5390500 |
| RO | -0.1977737 | 0.3667073 | -0.2746007 | -0.2926498 |
| RR | -0.6298832 | 0.4678585 | -0.8576558 | -0.8757049 |
| RS | -0.0834660 | 1.2603711 | -0.7888071 | -0.8068562 |
| SC | -0.1260907 | 1.1844595 | -0.8312200 | -0.8492691 |
| SE | -0.8078908 | 0.1009848 | -0.9868909 | -1.0049401 |
| SP | 0.0885452 | 0.9414186 | -0.6150656 | -0.6331147 |
| TO | -0.2787255 | 0.2876764 | -0.1500887 | -0.1681378 |
Regression analysis - Math
## [1] "Value added state left out (GO) = 0.0187518726369817"| state | Average 5th grade scores | Average SES | Predicted 9th grade gain (state coefficient) | Value-added |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC | -0.2004511 | 0.3314440 | 0.1135604 | 0.1323123 |
| AM | -0.3534495 | 0.2446370 | -0.5759366 | -0.5571847 |
| AP | -1.0008892 | 0.3843673 | -0.9719925 | -0.9532406 |
| BA | -0.5704536 | 0.1917336 | -0.3210333 | -0.3022814 |
| CE | 0.1853613 | 0.1533285 | 0.1371158 | 0.1558676 |
| DF | 0.5442489 | 1.2988187 | -0.3698321 | -0.3510802 |
| ES | 0.0707084 | 0.5342742 | -0.1337701 | -0.1150182 |
| GO | -0.0133153 | 0.5251885 | 0.0000000 | 0.0187519 |
| MA | -0.8515725 | 0.1076640 | -0.4207200 | -0.4019682 |
| MG | 0.4678182 | 0.6277456 | 0.0222326 | 0.0409844 |
| MS | -0.1080836 | 0.7384656 | -0.2944286 | -0.2756768 |
| MT | -0.3335927 | 0.4875180 | -0.5658244 | -0.5470725 |
| PA | -0.5771378 | 0.2119443 | -0.5126180 | -0.4938661 |
| PB | -0.5598678 | 0.2119632 | -0.6633576 | -0.6446057 |
| PE | -0.5307357 | 0.3679034 | -0.2558180 | -0.2370662 |
| PI | -0.2650610 | 0.0931729 | 0.1640035 | 0.1827553 |
| PR | 0.0952878 | 0.8287048 | -0.6062321 | -0.5874803 |
| RJ | 0.0428729 | 0.8041598 | -0.4293339 | -0.4105821 |
| RN | -0.6098708 | 0.1923995 | -0.4962477 | -0.4774958 |
| RO | -0.1567081 | 0.3667073 | -0.0371269 | -0.0183750 |
| RR | -0.7644208 | 0.4678585 | -0.6870721 | -0.6683202 |
| RS | -0.1070312 | 1.2603711 | -0.7504742 | -0.7317223 |
| SC | -0.1354142 | 1.1844595 | -0.7123290 | -0.6935772 |
| SE | -0.7256321 | 0.1009848 | -0.1595580 | -0.1408061 |
| SP | 0.2135788 | 0.9414186 | -0.5964622 | -0.5777103 |
| TO | -0.3249978 | 0.2876764 | -0.2051676 | -0.1864158 |
Black students bottom SES
Regression analysis - Reading
## [1] "Value added state left out (GO) = -0.569593975710323"List of states with their averages and value-added
| state | Average 5th grade scores | Average SES | Predicted 9th grade gain (state coefficient) | Value-added |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC | -0.4243227 | -0.6479553 | -0.0522542 | -0.6218482 |
| AL | -1.2339369 | -1.2970948 | -0.5885881 | -1.1581821 |
| AM | -0.6212495 | -0.5597909 | -0.4574124 | -1.0270063 |
| AP | -1.0517807 | -0.4647962 | -0.7346899 | -1.3042839 |
| BA | -0.7977689 | -0.9205402 | -0.4002466 | -0.9698406 |
| CE | -0.5926289 | -1.1474336 | 0.0954271 | -0.4741669 |
| ES | -0.3120532 | -0.2016232 | -0.1266274 | -0.6962214 |
| GO | -0.3434635 | -0.4168719 | 0.0000000 | -0.5695940 |
| MA | -1.2011036 | -1.2978485 | -0.4858210 | -1.0554149 |
| MG | -0.0415444 | -0.6201116 | 0.1353724 | -0.4342216 |
| MS | -0.7222130 | -0.3179315 | -0.1323494 | -0.7019434 |
| MT | -0.6519531 | -0.3110968 | -0.6028209 | -1.1724149 |
| PA | -0.8491771 | -0.7765116 | -0.4872512 | -1.0568452 |
| PB | -0.8540615 | -1.0369978 | -0.5506305 | -1.1202245 |
| PE | -0.9127658 | -0.9946504 | -0.3894153 | -0.9590093 |
| PI | -0.8612423 | -1.2317311 | -0.3444811 | -0.9140751 |
| PR | -0.4735530 | -0.3036487 | -0.5543025 | -1.1238965 |
| RJ | -0.1354199 | -0.3298549 | -0.2519875 | -0.8215814 |
| RN | -1.0985052 | -0.7841526 | -0.5076869 | -1.0772809 |
| RO | -0.5149233 | -0.3329469 | -0.1778751 | -0.7474691 |
| RR | -0.9781329 | -0.4638572 | -0.4652377 | -1.0348317 |
| RS | -0.4938367 | -0.3293730 | -0.3777853 | -0.9473793 |
| SC | -0.7284083 | -0.1803171 | -0.5903232 | -1.1599171 |
| SE | -0.8792394 | -0.9345410 | -0.4752442 | -1.0448382 |
| SP | -0.3205511 | -0.2926889 | -0.4097550 | -0.9793489 |
| TO | -0.7174278 | -0.6468465 | -0.2681526 | -0.8377466 |
Regression analysis - Math
## [1] "Value added state left out (GO) = -0.544781779822431"| state | Average 5th grade scores | Average SES | Predicted 9th grade gain (state coefficient) | Value-added |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC | -0.6083462 | -0.6479553 | -0.0519608 | -0.5967426 |
| AL | -1.1922816 | -1.2970948 | -0.4705862 | -1.0153680 |
| AM | -0.5397728 | -0.5597909 | -0.5608838 | -1.1056656 |
| AP | -1.0902857 | -0.4647962 | -0.7702533 | -1.3150351 |
| BA | -0.7981528 | -0.9205402 | -0.3356751 | -0.8804569 |
| CE | -0.6543651 | -1.1474336 | 0.0833171 | -0.4614647 |
| ES | -0.2313948 | -0.2016232 | -0.0952557 | -0.6400375 |
| GO | -0.3692724 | -0.4168719 | 0.0000000 | -0.5447818 |
| MA | -1.1876395 | -1.2978485 | -0.6091822 | -1.1539640 |
| MG | 0.0029013 | -0.6201116 | 0.1622012 | -0.3825806 |
| MS | -0.6759663 | -0.3179315 | -0.1159459 | -0.6607276 |
| MT | -0.5951420 | -0.3110968 | -0.5994062 | -1.1441880 |
| PA | -0.8969187 | -0.7765116 | -0.5700395 | -1.1148213 |
| PB | -0.8436564 | -1.0369978 | -0.4866493 | -1.0314311 |
| PE | -0.8466260 | -0.9946504 | -0.3121759 | -0.8569577 |
| PI | -0.8572991 | -1.2317311 | -0.2261900 | -0.7709717 |
| PR | -0.4135365 | -0.3036487 | -0.4476752 | -0.9924570 |
| RJ | -0.2033967 | -0.3298549 | 0.0035830 | -0.5411988 |
| RN | -1.0889946 | -0.7841526 | -0.5089830 | -1.0537648 |
| RO | -0.3901219 | -0.3329469 | -0.0761789 | -0.6209607 |
| RR | -0.8859627 | -0.4638572 | -0.5400741 | -1.0848558 |
| RS | -0.5980497 | -0.3293730 | -0.3219571 | -0.8667389 |
| SC | -0.1873427 | -0.1803171 | -0.7140933 | -1.2588751 |
| SE | -0.8233666 | -0.9345410 | -0.2907967 | -0.8355784 |
| SP | -0.1721155 | -0.2926889 | -0.4269294 | -0.9717112 |
| TO | -0.7278517 | -0.6468465 | -0.2142837 | -0.7590655 |
Black + Brown students top SES
Regression analysis - Reading
## [1] "Value added state left out (GO) = 0.363951848196648"List of states with their averages and value-added
| state | Average 5th grade scores | Average SES | Predicted 9th grade gain (state coefficient) | Value-added |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC | 0.3305428 | 0.3844519 | -0.0494847 | 0.3144671 |
| AM | 0.1084716 | 0.2930148 | -0.2995482 | 0.0644037 |
| AP | -0.5757749 | 0.4866705 | -0.9997611 | -0.6358093 |
| BA | -0.2015648 | 0.2126305 | -0.2663752 | 0.0975767 |
| CE | 1.2920899 | 0.2109913 | 0.1252913 | 0.4892432 |
| DF | 0.9446383 | 1.2988187 | -0.5744536 | -0.2105018 |
| ES | 0.5860704 | 0.5635888 | -0.2702887 | 0.0936632 |
| GO | 0.5488686 | 0.5471234 | 0.0000000 | 0.3639518 |
| MA | -0.1852188 | 0.1346222 | -0.3019433 | 0.0620086 |
| MG | 0.9868126 | 0.6456450 | -0.1119526 | 0.2519993 |
| MS | 0.3059620 | 0.7441992 | -0.3079083 | 0.0560435 |
| MT | 0.2120789 | 0.5101635 | -0.5035433 | -0.1395914 |
| PA | -0.1461265 | 0.2501077 | -0.4768012 | -0.1128493 |
| PB | 0.0095105 | 0.2260166 | -0.5809188 | -0.2169670 |
| PE | -0.1297941 | 0.4505022 | -0.2984828 | 0.0654691 |
| PI | -0.2430827 | 0.1250066 | -0.1059393 | 0.2580125 |
| PR | 0.5139905 | 0.8509213 | -0.6194122 | -0.2554603 |
| RJ | 0.4271670 | 0.8090525 | -0.4028414 | -0.0388896 |
| RN | -0.2418685 | 0.2219036 | -0.3362549 | 0.0276969 |
| RO | 0.2640643 | 0.3937825 | -0.1987206 | 0.1652312 |
| RR | -0.2437546 | 0.5173623 | -0.9315500 | -0.5675982 |
| RS | 0.4313278 | 1.3152931 | -0.6053962 | -0.2414443 |
| SC | 0.4227514 | 1.2242705 | -0.5691461 | -0.2051943 |
| SE | -0.4506752 | 0.1009848 | -0.4158468 | -0.0518950 |
| SP | 0.6123606 | 0.9513243 | -0.5424458 | -0.1784939 |
| TO | 0.2029094 | 0.3414503 | -0.2195284 | 0.1444234 |
Regression analysis - Math
## [1] "Value added state left out (GO) = 0.377933932890595"| state | Average 5th grade scores | Average SES | Predicted 9th grade gain (state coefficient) | Value-added |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC | 0.0844324 | 0.3844519 | -0.0710758 | 0.3068582 |
| AM | 0.0137145 | 0.2930148 | -0.5402154 | -0.1622814 |
| AP | -0.7063253 | 0.4866705 | -1.1091936 | -0.7312597 |
| BA | -0.3367820 | 0.2126305 | -0.1543031 | 0.2236309 |
| CE | 0.9430878 | 0.2109913 | -0.0422695 | 0.3356644 |
| DF | 0.8184880 | 1.2988187 | -0.4134335 | -0.0354996 |
| ES | 0.5110524 | 0.5635888 | -0.0700234 | 0.3079106 |
| GO | 0.4293759 | 0.5471234 | 0.0000000 | 0.3779339 |
| MA | -0.4005624 | 0.1346222 | -0.4279530 | -0.0500190 |
| MG | 0.9941080 | 0.6456450 | 0.0297167 | 0.4076506 |
| MS | 0.2196475 | 0.7441992 | -0.3122521 | 0.0656818 |
| MT | 0.0968253 | 0.5101635 | -0.4499898 | -0.0720559 |
| PA | -0.3158076 | 0.2501077 | -0.5867928 | -0.2088588 |
| PB | -0.1044008 | 0.2260166 | -0.5985828 | -0.2206488 |
| PE | -0.2040489 | 0.4505022 | -0.2596231 | 0.1183108 |
| PI | -0.3479662 | 0.1250066 | -0.0016834 | 0.3762505 |
| PR | 0.6082963 | 0.8509213 | -0.5833673 | -0.2054333 |
| RJ | 0.3270964 | 0.8090525 | -0.3151255 | 0.0628084 |
| RN | -0.2381046 | 0.2219036 | -0.2874770 | 0.0904569 |
| RO | 0.2256035 | 0.3937825 | -0.0868911 | 0.2910428 |
| RR | -0.4284664 | 0.5173623 | -0.8463519 | -0.4684180 |
| RS | 0.3919495 | 1.3152931 | -0.5240343 | -0.1461003 |
| SC | 0.3739840 | 1.2242705 | -0.4824952 | -0.1045612 |
| SE | -0.5143748 | 0.1009848 | -0.0728738 | 0.3050601 |
| SP | 0.7306062 | 0.9513243 | -0.5556168 | -0.1776828 |
| TO | 0.0581907 | 0.3414503 | -0.1182626 | 0.2596713 |
Black + Brown students bottom SES
Regression analysis - Reading
## [1] "Value added state left out (GO) = -0.330549507823116"List of states with their averages and value-added
| state | Average 5th grade scores | Average SES | Predicted 9th grade gain (state coefficient) | Value-added |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC | -0.2257611 | -0.6146304 | -0.0790942 | -0.4096437 |
| AL | -0.9683512 | -1.2918507 | -0.4079684 | -0.7385179 |
| AM | -0.2319434 | -0.5395626 | -0.3345457 | -0.6650952 |
| AP | -0.8265433 | -0.3904196 | -0.7531204 | -1.0836699 |
| BA | -0.5669983 | -0.9125231 | -0.3614411 | -0.6919906 |
| CE | -0.0982811 | -1.1344760 | 0.1713620 | -0.1591875 |
| ES | 0.1883641 | -0.1615995 | -0.2138642 | -0.5444137 |
| GO | 0.1111568 | -0.3220476 | 0.0000000 | -0.3305495 |
| MA | -0.8946968 | -1.2901614 | -0.4489357 | -0.7794852 |
| MG | 0.4402828 | -0.5927659 | 0.0552185 | -0.2753310 |
| MS | -0.1378601 | -0.3021138 | -0.2151978 | -0.5457473 |
| MT | -0.3036093 | -0.2415547 | -0.4774262 | -0.8079757 |
| PA | -0.5893162 | -0.7641902 | -0.5607521 | -0.8913016 |
| PB | -0.5021032 | -1.0135366 | -0.4406573 | -0.7712068 |
| PE | -0.5628388 | -0.9836675 | -0.2388165 | -0.5693660 |
| PI | -0.5806496 | -1.1925294 | -0.2957325 | -0.6262820 |
| PR | -0.1065328 | -0.2201992 | -0.5118711 | -0.8424206 |
| RJ | 0.3966784 | -0.2873847 | -0.2132926 | -0.5438421 |
| RN | -0.7551683 | -0.7469815 | -0.3463186 | -0.6768681 |
| RO | -0.1442836 | -0.3029333 | -0.1154684 | -0.4460179 |
| RR | -0.5610539 | -0.4113329 | -0.6254294 | -0.9559789 |
| RS | -0.2019129 | -0.2437429 | -0.3918644 | -0.7224140 |
| SC | -0.2053401 | -0.1199547 | -0.6940314 | -1.0245809 |
| SE | -0.6678974 | -0.9371519 | -0.3632236 | -0.6937731 |
| SP | 0.0436698 | -0.2325963 | -0.3845222 | -0.7150717 |
| TO | -0.3170372 | -0.6161421 | -0.2732325 | -0.6037820 |
Regression analysis - Math
## [1] "Value added state left out (GO) = -0.365890699969876"| state | Average 5th grade scores | Average SES | Predicted 9th grade gain (state coefficient) | Value-added |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC | -0.3935294 | -0.6146304 | -0.0520646 | -0.4179553 |
| AL | -0.9460127 | -1.2918507 | -0.3502961 | -0.7161868 |
| AM | -0.2396193 | -0.5395626 | -0.4951086 | -0.8609993 |
| AP | -0.8623488 | -0.3904196 | -0.8249245 | -1.1908152 |
| BA | -0.5821545 | -0.9125231 | -0.2935287 | -0.6594194 |
| CE | -0.2423021 | -1.1344760 | 0.1339234 | -0.2319673 |
| ES | 0.2268303 | -0.1615995 | -0.1074579 | -0.4733486 |
| GO | 0.0384044 | -0.3220476 | 0.0000000 | -0.3658907 |
| MA | -0.9344628 | -1.2901614 | -0.5584430 | -0.9243337 |
| MG | 0.4842652 | -0.5927659 | 0.1191040 | -0.2467867 |
| MS | -0.1079636 | -0.3021138 | -0.1737511 | -0.5396418 |
| MT | -0.3133945 | -0.2415547 | -0.4550812 | -0.8209719 |
| PA | -0.6687349 | -0.7641902 | -0.6177119 | -0.9836026 |
| PB | -0.4978699 | -1.0135366 | -0.4409876 | -0.8068783 |
| PE | -0.5343751 | -0.9836675 | -0.1786595 | -0.5445502 |
| PI | -0.6149486 | -1.1925294 | -0.1948582 | -0.5607489 |
| PR | -0.0415728 | -0.2201992 | -0.5112083 | -0.8770990 |
| RJ | 0.4646046 | -0.2873847 | 0.1153910 | -0.2504997 |
| RN | -0.7614481 | -0.7469815 | -0.3551731 | -0.7210638 |
| RO | -0.1045052 | -0.3029333 | -0.0579410 | -0.4238317 |
| RR | -0.6618363 | -0.4113329 | -0.5650365 | -0.9309272 |
| RS | -0.3892431 | -0.2437429 | -0.2504393 | -0.6163300 |
| SC | -0.2483060 | -0.1199547 | -0.4673104 | -0.8332011 |
| SE | -0.6358401 | -0.9371519 | -0.2148018 | -0.5806925 |
| SP | 0.1743940 | -0.2325963 | -0.5287872 | -0.8946779 |
| TO | -0.3716525 | -0.6161421 | -0.2147578 | -0.5806485 |
