Descriptive Stats

Table 1: Descriptive Characteristics of Labour MPs by Leadership Preference, 1976 and 1980 Contests
Characteristic
1976
1980
Overall
N = 313
Callaghan
N = 148
Foot
N = 127
Unknown
N = 38
p-value1 Overall
N = 268
Healey
N = 119
Foot
N = 130
Unknown
N = 19
p-value1
A 51 (45, 59) 50 (45, 59) 50 (44, 58) 55 (49, 62) 0.079 53 (46, 59) 53 (46, 60) 52 (46, 58) 55 (42, 60) 0.6
S



0.2



0.5
    F 18 (5.8%) 6 (4.1%) 11 (8.7%) 1 (2.6%)
10 (3.7%) 3 (2.5%) 6 (4.6%) 1 (5.3%)
    M 295 (94%) 142 (96%) 116 (91%) 37 (97%)
258 (96%) 116 (97%) 124 (95%) 18 (95%)
frontbench 75 (24%) 46 (31%) 26 (20%) 3 (7.9%) 0.006 29 (11%) 18 (15%) 11 (8.5%) 0 (0%) 0.077
Union



0.6



>0.9
    None 193 (62%) 95 (64%) 77 (61%) 21 (55%)
160 (60%) 72 (61%) 76 (58%) 12 (63%)
    Union 120 (38%) 53 (36%) 50 (39%) 17 (45%)
108 (40%) 47 (39%) 54 (42%) 7 (37%)
Grp



<0.001



<0.001
    Tri 72 (23%) 5 (3.4%) 60 (47%) 7 (18%)
53 (20%) 3 (2.5%) 50 (38%) 0 (0%)
    Ind 143 (46%) 54 (36%) 62 (49%) 27 (71%)
129 (48%) 40 (34%) 70 (54%) 19 (100%)
    Man 98 (31%) 89 (60%) 5 (3.9%) 4 (11%)
86 (32%) 76 (64%) 10 (7.7%) 0 (0%)
Nuc



<0.001



<0.001
    Multi 176 (56%) 133 (90%) 9 (7.1%) 34 (89%)
145 (54%) 105 (88%) 25 (19%) 15 (79%)
    Uni 137 (44%) 15 (10%) 118 (93%) 4 (11%)
123 (46%) 14 (12%) 105 (81%) 4 (21%)
EEC



<0.001



<0.001
    Anti 162 (52%) 25 (17%) 118 (93%) 19 (50%)
131 (49%) 26 (22%) 101 (78%) 4 (21%)
    Pro 151 (48%) 123 (83%) 9 (7.1%) 19 (50%)
137 (51%) 93 (78%) 29 (22%) 15 (79%)
sdp 29 (9.3%) 29 (20%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) <0.001 29 (11%) 26 (22%) 3 (2.3%) 0 (0%) <0.001
co_op 6 (1.9%) 2 (1.4%) 2 (1.6%) 2 (5.3%) 0.3 8 (3.0%) 2 (1.7%) 4 (3.1%) 2 (11%) 0.2
1 Kruskal-Wallis rank sum test; Fisher’s exact test; Pearson’s Chi-squared test

Regression Model

Table 2: Logistic Regression Estimates for the 1976 and 1980 Labour Party Leadership Contests
19761980
Intercept0.00    1.86    
(1.54)   (1.59)   
Age0.01    -0.03    
(0.02)   (0.02)   
Male-0.33    -0.27    
(0.99)   (1.14)   
Frontbench-0.57    -0.89    
(0.49)   (0.66)   
Union member0.18    -0.03    
(0.44)   (0.37)   
Group Membership
 (Rel: Tribune)
              
- Independent-0.92    -1.02    
(0.59)   (0.65)   
- Manifesto Group-1.89 *  -2.63 ***
(0.78)   (0.77)   
Unilateral disarmament2.68 ***2.53 ***
(0.66)   (0.62)   
Pro-EEC-1.19    0.52    
(0.65)   (0.61)   
Joined SDP-1.31    -0.36    
(1.47)   (0.67)   
Labour (Co-op)-1.66    -0.25    
(1.25)   (1.11)   
N275       249       
AIC165.40    211.79    
BIC205.18    250.48    
Pseudo R20.77    0.62    
*** p < 0.001; ** p < 0.01; * p < 0.05.