Why this story

Family violence is not evenly spread - it leaves deeper scars in some communities than others.
Behind every statistic lies a lived reality, yet headlines often focus only on statewide totals.

This project uses data from the Crime Statistics Agency (Victoria) to uncover the hidden geography of family violence.
By examining rates per 100,000 people across Local Government Areas (LGAs), we reveal where the risk is rising, where it is receding, and how regional inequality continues to shape safety in Victoria.

Data & method (clean & ready)

Year LGA Incidents Rate per 100,000
2025 East Gippsland 2,499 3,458
2025 Greater Shepparton 2,442 3,458
2025 Latrobe 3,022 3,458
2025 Horsham 716 3,458
2025 Mildura 2,187 3,458
2025 Wellington 1,508 3,215
2025 Swan Hill 643 3,061
2025 Central Goldfields 408 2,959
2025 Northern Grampians 344 2,926
2025 Benalla 413 2,802

Unit: Local Government Area (LGA) in Victoria.
Measure: Rate per 100,000 population (plus raw incident counts).
Time window in file: 2021–2025 (latest: 2025).
One extreme rate was capped at 3457.9 using the IQR rule (Q3 + 1.5×IQR) to keep visuals readable and avoid distortion from outliers.

Why this: a concise summary of data scope and cleaning decisions builds clarity and transparency before visual exploration.

Statewide context (average LGA rate)

Victoria’s average incident rate declined in 2022, suggesting a brief period of improvement or recovery after earlier highs.
From 2023 onward, however, the trend reversed sharply, with rates rising each year and peaking in 2025.
This trajectory indicates that while short-term interventions may have had initial impact, the resurgence highlights the need for sustained, long-term prevention strategies.

Why trend line: clearly shows reversal after a temporary decline, emphasizing the need for durable intervention measures.

Heatmap of rates (top 25 LGAs × year)

The heatmap shows that Mildura, Horsham, and East Gippsland consistently record the highest incident rates across all years, reflecting a persistent concentration of risk.
In contrast, LGAs such as Frankston and Colac-Otway maintain relatively lower rates, suggesting more stable or controlled local conditions.
Overall, this pattern highlights a clear geographic divide north-western and rural regions continue to face disproportionate burdens compared to metropolitan areas.

Why heatmap: exposes long-term regional inequalities by showing both persistence and spatial clustering of risk.

Highest-rate LGAs (latest year)

Key takeaways
- Mildura remains the highest-risk LGA, continuing its long-term position at the top of Victoria’s family-violence rate rankings.
- Several regional centres Latrobe, Horsham, and Greater Shepparton also record persistently high rates, all above 3,000 per 100,000 residents.
- The concentration of high-rate LGAs outside metro areas highlights regional inequality in safety and service access.

Why ranked bars: emphasizes magnitude and ranking clearly at a single point in time.

Incidents vs rate (hotspots)

Risk (y) and volume (x) separate large-incident LGAs are not always the highest-risk.
Regional colours reveal clusters; for example, several western LGAs combine both high rate and volume.
Outliers are worth flagging for context, such as differences in policing, reporting, or population size.
This scatter format effectively separates rate from volume while also encoding geography through colour.

Why bubble scatter: distinguishes volume (x) from risk (y), coloured by region to reveal geographic clusters.

Inequality snapshot (distribution + concentration)

The histogram shows most LGAs clustering between about 1,000–2,000 in rate per 100,000, indicating a typical statewide range.
The dashed line marks the median, so roughly half of LGAs fall below this threshold.
The orange cumulative-share curve (Lorenz-style) reveals inequality a small number of LGAs contribute a disproportionately large share of total incidents.
Using both views together highlights spread vs concentration: even if the average stabilizes, contribution remains uneven across LGAs.

Why panel: the histogram shows overall spread; the Lorenz-style cumulative curve shows concentration.

LGA rates over time

The animation reveals how LGA rates evolve dynamically across years, showing both rising and stabilizing patterns depending on the region. Western and Eastern police regions display consistently higher incident rates, suggesting persistent challenges in those areas. In contrast, North West Metro and Southern Metro LGAs remain relatively stable, reflecting stronger policy coverage or intervention outcomes. This animation captures temporal shifts effectively, allowing clear visual tracking of how local risks rise or fall over time

Why animation: highlights temporal movement across dozens of LGAs without overwhelming a static chart.

Reference: Crime Statistics Agency. (2025). Family incidents by Local Government Area – Year ending June 2025 [Data set]. Victorian Government. https://www.crimestatistics.vic.gov.au/crime-statistics/latest-victorian-crime-data/download-data