The Silent Shift: Property Crime and Economic Change in Victoria
Kushagra Saluja (Student ID: S4141640) — 28-Oct-2025
Introduction
This dashboard explores the relationship between theft from
motor vehicles and local unemployment across
Victorian LGAs. Data are combined from CSA (crime) and ABS
(unemployment) and aggregated to the year level.
Slide 1: Total incidents (all years)
Total incidents (all years)
282,950
Slide 2: Victoria trend: crime vs
unemployment
Victoria trend: crime vs unemployment
Slide 3: LGAs with biggest single-year
unemployment jumps
LGAs with biggest single-year unemployment jumps
Slide 4: Change in crime vs change in
unemployment (LGA level)
Change in crime vs change in unemployment (LGA
level)
Slide 5: Conclusion and Next Steps
5. Story Summary and References
Insight: The correlation plot in the previous frame
suggests a moderate, but not universal, connection. While many LGAs saw
both metrics rise (top-right quadrant), many others showed little
change, proving that local socio-economic factors are more complex than
just a simple jobless rate.
Future Work: Further analysis should include other
factors like population density, average income, and police resource
allocation.
Assignment Details:
Student Name: Kushagra Saluja
Student Number: S4141640
Appendix / Data notes
Crime data: local CSA extract; Offence subgroup = B42 Steal from
a motor vehicle.
Economic data: ABS smoothed unemployment by LGA.
Cleaning: LGA names normalised aggressively to allow joins.
Limitations: inner join removes LGAs/years not present in both
datasets.