Assignment 3

Global Oil and GDP Insights (2024): Regional Patterns and Economic Drivers of Energy Demand

Nguyen Viet Long (s3926245)

29 October, 2025

Research Overview

📘 Overview

  • Analyzes global oil consumption and economic performance across six key regions: Asia-Pacific, North America, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and South & Central America.
  • Focuses on 2024 data to explore links between oil demand, GDP per capita (PPP), and GDP growth (%).
  • Highlights how industrialization and economic maturity influence regional energy use.
  • Identifies top oil-consuming economies and visualizes relationships between economic output and energy intensity.

🎯 Objectives

  • Analyze the relationship between oil consumption and GDP per capita across regions.
  • Identify leading oil consumers and their contribution to global demand.
  • Compare emerging versus advanced economies to uncover drivers of energy use.
  • Communicate insights through scatterplots, rankings, and regional comparisons.

👥 Target Audience

  • Students & researchers in economics, energy, and sustainability.
  • Policy analysts & agencies studying growth and energy use.
  • Industry & investors assessing global energy markets.
  • General audiences exploring global energy patterns.

Global Oil Consumption Overview (2024)

Source: The Energy Institute (2025)

📊 Key Highlights (2024)

  • 🌐 Global Total: 101,418 kb/d
  • 🏭 Non-OECD: 56,658 kb/d (55.9% of global consumption)
  • 💼 OECD: 44,760 kb/d (44.1% of global consumption)
  • 🔥 Top Consumers (Global Share): US (18.7%), China (16.1%), India (5.5%)
  • 💡 Insight: Emerging economies continue driving demand growth.

Global Oil Consumption Trend (2014–2024)

Source: The Energy Institute (2025)

📊 Key Insights (2014–2024)

  • 🌍 Global Growth: Oil consumption increased from 91,488 → 101,418 kb/d (+10.9%).
  • 🔥 Non-OECD Nations: Reached 56,658 kb/d (≈55.9% of global demand) — driving overall growth.
  • 🏭 OECD Economies: Stable at 44,760 kb/d (≈44.1% of total consumption).
  • 📅 Peak Growth Year: 2021 showed the fastest rebound post-pandemic slowdown.
  • 💡 Insight: Emerging economies continue to fuel global demand, while OECD consumption levels off.

Regional GDP Trend

Source: World Bank Open Data (2025)

🌍 Regional GDP Highlights (2014–2024)

  • 🌏 Asia-Pacific: Strong rise ($743 T → $932 T); 2021 rebound (+13.1 %) led by China & India.
  • 🌎 Europe: Steady growth ($1.43 T → $2.37 T); 2022 recovery (+13 %) driven by trade recovery.
  • 🌍 Africa: Gradual expansion ($303 T → $404 T); 2021 rebound (+9 %) from exports.
  • 🌎 North America: Growth ($248 T → $365 T) before 2024 slowdown; 2022 (+11 %) from fiscal stimulus.
  • 🌎 South & Central America: Robust rebound ($601 T → $898 T); 2022 surge (+15 %) among top recoveries.
  • 🌍️ Middle East: Flat overall (~$583 T); 2021 oil-price recovery (+16 %).

💡 Insight: Asia-Pacific and Europe lead global GDP growth, while Africa and the Middle East show steady expansion — mirroring rising energy demand.

Global Top 10 Countries (2024)

Source: The Energy Institute (2025)

🏆 Top 10 Oil Consumers (2024)

  • Top Consumers: The US (18.995 Mb/d, 18.7%) and China (16.374 Mb/d, 16.1%) are the largest global oil consumers in 2024, together accounting for over one-third of total consumption.
  • Brazil (2.575 Mb/d, 2.5%), Canada (2.333 Mb/d, 2.3%), and Germany (2.052 Mb/d, 2.0%) round out the lower ranks of the top 10, representing smaller but significant shares.
  • The US, China, and India collectively account for 40.3% of global oil consumption.

💡 Insight: Industrialized and rapidly growing economies dominate the top positions, while emerging economies like India and South Korea show strong growth potential in oil demand.

Top 3 Countries by Region

Source: The Energy Institute (2025)

🌎 Regional Oil Consumption Highlights (2024)

  • In 2024, the top oil consumers in each region were: US (North America), Brazil (South & Central America), Germany (Europe), Russia (CIS), Saudi Arabia (Middle East), China (Asia-Pacific), and Egypt (Africa).
  • US (18.7%) and China (16.1%) remain the largest consumers both globally and regionally — together accounting for over one-third of total world demand.

💡 Insight:Global oil consumption remains highly concentrated in North America and Asia-Pacific, reflecting strong industrial and transport energy demand, while other regions display moderate but stable usage.

Asia-Pacific & North America/Europe (Oil Consumption vs GDP per capita (2024))

Source: The Energy Institute (2025), World Bank Open Data (2025)

🌏 Regional Oil & GDP Insights (2024)

  • • Top Countries by Region:
    Asia-Pacific: China (16.37 Mb/d, $27 105), India (5.62 Mb/d, $11 159), Japan (3.24 Mb/d, $51 685)
    North America & Europe: US (18.99 Mb/d, $85 810), Germany (2.05 Mb/d, $72 300), Canada (2.33 Mb/d, $65 463)
  • • Regional Patterns:
    Asia-Pacific shows rising oil use in emerging economies with moderate GDP
    North America & Europe have high GDP per capita but slower oil growth (oil use concentrated in the US, Canada, and Germany)
  • • Energy Intensity:
    Asia-Pacific displays wide variation — high in China, lower in smaller economies;
    North America has the highest per-country consumption, while Europe shows more evenly spread, mid-level consumption
  • 💡Global Impact:
    The US and China together account for over one-third of global oil demand, with India and South Korea driving future growth potential.

Growth Rate Analysis

Source: The Energy Institute (2025), World Bank Open Data (2025), Trading Economics (2023)

📈 Growth Rate Insights (2024)

  • • Top Oil Consumers
    US (18.99 Mb/d), China (16.37 Mb/d), India (5.62 Mb/d), Russia (3.85 Mb/d), and Saudi Arabia (3.96 Mb/d) lead 2024 global demand.
  • • GDP Growth Drivers
    China (+5.1%), India (+5.5%), and Russia (+4.6%) show both strong economic expansion and high oil consumption — linking growth to energy intensity.
  • • Exceptions
    Saudi Arabia maintains high oil use despite negative GDP growth (-2.8%), reflecting fiscal resilience and domestic energy reliance.
  • 💡Insight
    🌍 High oil consumption does not always correspond with faster GDP growth, suggesting differences in economic structure and energy efficiency.
    🌍 Emerging Asia-Pacific economies (e.g., China, India) show rising GDP alongside higher oil demand, reflecting industrial expansion and increasing energy intensity.
    🌍 Mature economies (North America, Middle East) maintain high, stable oil consumption even during periods of slow or negative GDP growth, indicating structural energy dependency.

Insights & References

🌍 Key Insights (2024)

  • Analyzing oil consumption alongside GDP reveals how economic activity drives energy demand, highlighting efficiency gaps between emerging and mature economies.
  • Oil demand in 2024 is highly concentrated — the US and China together account for over one-third of global consumption.
  • Asia-Pacific (led by China, India, and Japan) shows the fastest growth, reflecting rapid industrialization and rising energy needs.
  • North America and Europe maintain high but stable consumption levels.
  • Emerging economies show a strong correlation between GDP growth and energy demand, while some mature economies (e.g., Saudi Arabia, US) sustain high use despite slower growth — indicating resilient demand.

⚠️ Limitations

  • Data inconsistencies across sources may affect cross-country comparability.
  • Deeper understanding requires sectoral or subnational data (e.g., transport, industry, residential).

📚 References

The Energy Institute (2025). Statistical Review of World Energy 74th Edition 2025.
energyinst.org

World Population Review (2025). Oil Consumption by Country 2025.
worldpopulationreview.com

World Bank Open Data (2025). GDP, PPP (current international $).
data.worldbank.org

World Bank Open Data (2025). GDP growth (annual %).
data.worldbank.org

Trading Economics (2023). South Korea GDP per capita PPP.
tradingeconomics.com