Beyond the Red Wave: 2025 Election

Vinutha Srinath

2025-10-29

Slide 1 — Beyond the Red Wave: How Labor Won the 2025 Election

Data: Australian Electoral Commission (AEC), official 2025 results Objective: Determine how the distribution of seats changed nationally and state-by-state, and what that says about political power.
Method: Visualise party representation, state differences, and changes since 2022 using R + ggplot2.
Tools: R Markdown, Reveal.js, tidyverse, ggplot2.
Story focus: Who won the majority, and by how much?
Which states contributed most to the result?
How did seat counts shift vs 2022?

Slide 2 — Seats by party

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Slide 3 — Seats by State and Party

Slide 4 — Change since 2022 (national)

Slide 5 — Insights & Key Takeaways

Balanced Majority: Several states, not just one, contributed to Labor’s seat gains. Coalition Fragmentation: In important electorates, the Nationals, LNP, and Liberals divided their support. State Trends: QLD and WA remained competitive, while NSW and VIC increased labor. Independent Momentum: In metropolitan regions, “Teal” and local candidates maintained their influence. Voter sentiment:is shifting, with less party allegiance and a shift toward issue-based voting. Interpretation: The 2025 results demonstrate Labor’s widespread national power as well as Australia’s increasing trend toward local representation.

Slide 6 — References

Australian Electoral Commission (2025). Federal election 2025: House of Representatives final results. Retrieved from https://results.aec.gov.au/31496/Website/HouseDefault-31496.htm

Australian Electoral Commission (2025, June 16). Party representation data file (Event 31496). Retrieved from https://results.aec.gov.au/31496/Website/Downloads/HousePartyRepresentationLeadingDownload-31496.csv

Wickham, H., Chang, W., Henry, L., Pedersen, T. L., Takahashi, K., Wilke, C., et al. (2023). ggplot2: Create Elegant Data Visualisations Using the Grammar of Graphics (R package version 3.4.4). CRAN. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=ggplot2

RStudio Team (2023). RStudio: Integrated Development Environment for R. Posit Software, PBC. https://posit.co/