GLMM Surface Rate of Spread
Rate of Spread Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: S_ROS ~ Status
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 1458)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 4000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 12000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept 2.48 0.04 2.39 2.56 1.00 15309 9132
## StatusInvaded 0.75 0.06 0.62 0.87 1.00 15523 9271
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 1.14 0.02 1.10 1.18 1.00 14385 8024
## nu 60.26 19.34 30.93 106.25 1.00 13281 8766
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).
## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Surface Rate of Spread Table
## Warning: Dropping 'draws_df' class as required metadata was removed.
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## <td colspan="9" class="gt_heading gt_title gt_font_normal gt_bottom_border" style>Posterior Estimates for Surface Rate of Spread</td>
## </tr>
##
## <tr class="gt_col_headings">
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_left" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a::stub"></th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Estimate">Estimate</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Est.-Error">Est. Error</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-HPDI-(Lower)">95% HPDI (Lower)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-HPDI-(Upper)">95% HPDI (Upper)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Probability->-0">Probability > 0</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Bulk-ESS">Bulk ESS</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Tail-ESS">Tail ESS</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="R-hat">R-hat</th>
## </tr>
## </thead>
## <tbody class="gt_table_body">
## <tr><th id="stub_1_1" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Intercept</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">2.48</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% HPDI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">2.40</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% HPDI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">2.56</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Bulk ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">15,255</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Tail ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">9,107</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 R-hat" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_2" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.75</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.06</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% HPDI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.63</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% HPDI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.87</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Bulk ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">15,436</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Tail ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">9,251</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 R-hat" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## </tbody>
##
##
## </table>
## </div>
ROS Conditional Effects
## Warning: Using `size` aesthetic for lines was deprecated in ggplot2 3.4.0.
## ℹ Please use `linewidth` instead.
## This warning is displayed once every 8 hours.
## Call `lifecycle::last_lifecycle_warnings()` to see where this warning was
## generated.
GLMM Flame Length
Flame Length Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: S_FL ~ Status
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 1458)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 4000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 12000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept 1.51 0.02 1.47 1.55 1.00 14780 8608
## StatusInvaded 0.16 0.03 0.10 0.22 1.00 15678 8945
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 0.55 0.01 0.53 0.57 1.00 14239 8157
## nu 61.02 19.47 30.92 107.03 1.00 13640 8044
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).
## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Surface Flame Length Table
## Warning: Dropping 'draws_df' class as required metadata was removed.
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## <tr class="gt_heading">
## <td colspan="9" class="gt_heading gt_title gt_font_normal gt_bottom_border" style>Posterior Estimates for Surface Flame Length</td>
## </tr>
##
## <tr class="gt_col_headings">
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_left" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a::stub"></th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Estimate">Estimate</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Est.-Error">Est. Error</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-HPDI-(Lower)">95% HPDI (Lower)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-HPDI-(Upper)">95% HPDI (Upper)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Probability->-0">Probability > 0</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Bulk-ESS">Bulk ESS</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Tail-ESS">Tail ESS</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="R-hat">R-hat</th>
## </tr>
## </thead>
## <tbody class="gt_table_body">
## <tr><th id="stub_1_1" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Intercept</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.51</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% HPDI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.47</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% HPDI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.55</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Bulk ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">14,730</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Tail ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">8,582</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 R-hat" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_2" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.16</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% HPDI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.10</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% HPDI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.22</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Bulk ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">15,596</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Tail ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">8,927</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 R-hat" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## </tbody>
##
##
## </table>
## </div>
Flame Length Conditional Effects
GLMM Surface Fireline Intensity
Fireline Intensity Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: S_Fin ~ Status
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 1458)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 4000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 12000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept 810.66 14.74 781.34 839.04 1.00 10042 7918
## StatusInvaded 0.33 0.99 -1.61 2.28 1.00 12342 7811
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 527.77 11.75 504.47 550.88 1.00 9752 8691
## nu 34.38 13.89 15.66 68.77 1.00 9170 8715
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).
## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Surface Fireline Intensity Table
## Warning: Dropping 'draws_df' class as required metadata was removed.
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## <thead>
## <tr class="gt_heading">
## <td colspan="9" class="gt_heading gt_title gt_font_normal gt_bottom_border" style>Posterior Estimates for Surface Fierline Intensity</td>
## </tr>
##
## <tr class="gt_col_headings">
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_left" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a::stub"></th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Estimate">Estimate</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Est.-Error">Est. Error</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-HPDI-(Lower)">95% HPDI (Lower)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-HPDI-(Upper)">95% HPDI (Upper)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Probability->-0">Probability > 0</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Bulk-ESS">Bulk ESS</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Tail-ESS">Tail ESS</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="R-hat">R-hat</th>
## </tr>
## </thead>
## <tbody class="gt_table_body">
## <tr><th id="stub_1_1" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Intercept</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">810.81</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">14.84</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% HPDI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">782.29</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% HPDI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">839.90</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Bulk ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">9,978</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Tail ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">7,859</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 R-hat" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.002</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_2" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">0.33</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">0.99</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% HPDI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−1.66</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% HPDI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">2.23</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.625</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Bulk ESS" class="gt_row gt_right">12,309</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Tail ESS" class="gt_row gt_right">7,772</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 R-hat" class="gt_row gt_right">1.000</td></tr>
## </tbody>
##
##
## </table>
## </div>
Fireline Intensity Conditional Effects
GLMM Crown Transition Ratio
Crown Transition Ratio Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: C_TR ~ Status
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 1458)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 4000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 12000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept 0.20 0.01 0.19 0.21 1.00 9141 7778
## StatusInvaded 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.05 1.00 7625 7590
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 0.15 0.01 0.14 0.17 1.00 4695 6619
## nu 2.35 0.19 2.01 2.77 1.00 4873 6967
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).
## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Transition Ratio Table
## Warning: Dropping 'draws_df' class as required metadata was removed.
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## <td colspan="9" class="gt_heading gt_title gt_font_normal gt_bottom_border" style>Posterior Estimates for Crown Transition Ratio</td>
## </tr>
##
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## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Estimate">Estimate</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Est.-Error">Est. Error</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-HPDI-(Lower)">95% HPDI (Lower)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-HPDI-(Upper)">95% HPDI (Upper)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Probability->-0">Probability > 0</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Bulk-ESS">Bulk ESS</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Tail-ESS">Tail ESS</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="R-hat">R-hat</th>
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## <tbody class="gt_table_body">
## <tr><th id="stub_1_1" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Intercept</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.20</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% HPDI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.19</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% HPDI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.21</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Bulk ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">9,100</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Tail ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">7,753</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 R-hat" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_2" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% HPDI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% HPDI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.996</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Bulk ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">7,538</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Tail ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">7,574</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 R-hat" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## </tbody>
##
##
## </table>
## </div>
Crown Transition Ratio Conditional Effects
GLMM Crown Fire Active Ratio
Crown Fire Active Ratio Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: C_AR ~ Status
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 1458)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 4000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 12000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept 0.09 0.00 0.08 0.09 1.00 13819 9487
## StatusInvaded -0.02 0.00 -0.02 -0.01 1.00 12032 8738
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 0.06 0.00 0.06 0.06 1.00 6839 7032
## nu 85.79 21.81 50.43 134.95 1.00 7048 7051
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).
## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Active Ratio Table
## Warning: Dropping 'draws_df' class as required metadata was removed.
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## <td colspan="9" class="gt_heading gt_title gt_font_normal gt_bottom_border" style>Posterior Estimates for Crown Active Ratio</td>
## </tr>
##
## <tr class="gt_col_headings">
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_left" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a::stub"></th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Estimate">Estimate</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Est.-Error">Est. Error</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-HPDI-(Lower)">95% HPDI (Lower)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-HPDI-(Upper)">95% HPDI (Upper)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Probability->-0">Probability > 0</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Bulk-ESS">Bulk ESS</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Tail-ESS">Tail ESS</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="R-hat">R-hat</th>
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## </thead>
## <tbody class="gt_table_body">
## <tr><th id="stub_1_1" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Intercept</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.09</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% HPDI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.08</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% HPDI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.09</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Bulk ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">13,810</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Tail ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">9,451</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 R-hat" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_2" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% HPDI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% HPDI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Bulk ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">12,083</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Tail ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">8,727</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 R-hat" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## </tbody>
##
##
## </table>
## </div>
Active Ratio Conditional Effects
GLMM Crown Fire Rate of Spread
Crown Fire Rate of Spread Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: C_ROS ~ Status
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 1458)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 4000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 12000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept 1.05 0.03 1.00 1.10 1.00 14210 8619
## StatusInvaded -0.24 0.04 -0.31 -0.16 1.00 13853 8470
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 0.71 0.01 0.69 0.74 1.00 13764 8502
## nu 85.49 22.77 49.35 137.31 1.00 14344 8932
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).
## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Crown Fire Rate of Spread Table
## Warning: Dropping 'draws_df' class as required metadata was removed.
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## <td colspan="9" class="gt_heading gt_title gt_font_normal gt_bottom_border" style>Posterior Estimates for Crown Rate of Spread</td>
## </tr>
##
## <tr class="gt_col_headings">
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## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Estimate">Estimate</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Est.-Error">Est. Error</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-HPDI-(Lower)">95% HPDI (Lower)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-HPDI-(Upper)">95% HPDI (Upper)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Probability->-0">Probability > 0</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Bulk-ESS">Bulk ESS</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Tail-ESS">Tail ESS</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="R-hat">R-hat</th>
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## </thead>
## <tbody class="gt_table_body">
## <tr><th id="stub_1_1" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Intercept</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% HPDI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% HPDI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.10</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Bulk ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">14,133</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Tail ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">8,586</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 R-hat" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_2" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.24</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% HPDI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.31</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% HPDI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.16</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Bulk ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">13,738</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Tail ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">8,438</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 R-hat" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## </tbody>
##
##
## </table>
## </div>
Crown Fire Rate of Spread Conditional Effects
GLMM Crown Fire Intensity
Crown Fire Intensity Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: C_Fin ~ Status
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 1458)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 4000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 12000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept 1006.83 22.44 963.38 1050.72 1.00 14738 9009
## StatusInvaded -0.12 0.99 -2.08 1.82 1.00 14977 8073
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 848.93 15.73 819.03 880.63 1.00 15700 8966
## nu 78.15 21.73 44.07 128.71 1.00 13494 8399
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).
## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Crown Fire Intensity Table
## Warning: Dropping 'draws_df' class as required metadata was removed.
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## <tr class="gt_heading">
## <td colspan="9" class="gt_heading gt_title gt_font_normal gt_bottom_border" style>Posterior Estimates for Crown Fireline Intensity</td>
## </tr>
##
## <tr class="gt_col_headings">
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_left" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a::stub"></th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Estimate">Estimate</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Est.-Error">Est. Error</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-HPDI-(Lower)">95% HPDI (Lower)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-HPDI-(Upper)">95% HPDI (Upper)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Probability->-0">Probability > 0</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Bulk-ESS">Bulk ESS</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Tail-ESS">Tail ESS</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="R-hat">R-hat</th>
## </tr>
## </thead>
## <tbody class="gt_table_body">
## <tr><th id="stub_1_1" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Intercept</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1,007.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">22.68</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% HPDI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">962.87</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% HPDI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1,050.19</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Bulk ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">14,635</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Tail ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">8,981</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 R-hat" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_2" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.12</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">1.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% HPDI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−2.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% HPDI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">1.83</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.452</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Bulk ESS" class="gt_row gt_right">14,936</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Tail ESS" class="gt_row gt_right">7,930</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 R-hat" class="gt_row gt_right">1.000</td></tr>
## </tbody>
##
##
## </table>
## </div>
Crown Fire Intensity Conditional Effects
GLMM Crown Fire Flame Length
Crown Fire Flame Length Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: C_FL ~ Status
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 1458)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 4000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 12000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept 2.50 0.07 2.37 2.63 1.00 14794 8286
## StatusInvaded -0.39 0.09 -0.58 -0.20 1.00 15060 8634
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 1.77 0.03 1.70 1.84 1.00 15034 7732
## nu 84.47 21.95 49.07 134.22 1.00 15248 9166
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).
## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Crown Flame Length Table
## Warning: Dropping 'draws_df' class as required metadata was removed.
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## padding-left: 5px;
## padding-right: 5px;
## border-bottom-style: solid;
## border-bottom-width: 2px;
## border-bottom-color: #D3D3D3;
## }
##
## #lunpuagnqj .gt_grand_summary_row {
## color: #333333;
## background-color: #FFFFFF;
## text-transform: inherit;
## padding-top: 8px;
## padding-bottom: 8px;
## padding-left: 5px;
## padding-right: 5px;
## }
##
## #lunpuagnqj .gt_first_grand_summary_row {
## padding-top: 8px;
## padding-bottom: 8px;
## padding-left: 5px;
## padding-right: 5px;
## border-top-style: double;
## border-top-width: 6px;
## border-top-color: #D3D3D3;
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##
## #lunpuagnqj .gt_last_grand_summary_row_top {
## padding-top: 8px;
## padding-bottom: 8px;
## padding-left: 5px;
## padding-right: 5px;
## border-bottom-style: double;
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##
## #lunpuagnqj .gt_striped {
## background-color: rgba(128, 128, 128, 0.05);
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## }
##
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## color: #333333;
## background-color: #FFFFFF;
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## border-bottom-width: 2px;
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## border-left-color: #D3D3D3;
## border-right-style: none;
## border-right-width: 2px;
## border-right-color: #D3D3D3;
## }
##
## #lunpuagnqj .gt_footnote {
## margin: 0px;
## font-size: 90%;
## padding-top: 4px;
## padding-bottom: 4px;
## padding-left: 5px;
## padding-right: 5px;
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##
## #lunpuagnqj .gt_sourcenotes {
## color: #333333;
## background-color: #FFFFFF;
## border-bottom-style: none;
## border-bottom-width: 2px;
## border-bottom-color: #D3D3D3;
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## border-left-color: #D3D3D3;
## border-right-style: none;
## border-right-width: 2px;
## border-right-color: #D3D3D3;
## }
##
## #lunpuagnqj .gt_sourcenote {
## font-size: 90%;
## padding-top: 4px;
## padding-bottom: 4px;
## padding-left: 5px;
## padding-right: 5px;
## }
##
## #lunpuagnqj .gt_left {
## text-align: left;
## }
##
## #lunpuagnqj .gt_center {
## text-align: center;
## }
##
## #lunpuagnqj .gt_right {
## text-align: right;
## font-variant-numeric: tabular-nums;
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##
## #lunpuagnqj .gt_font_normal {
## font-weight: normal;
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##
## #lunpuagnqj .gt_font_bold {
## font-weight: bold;
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##
## #lunpuagnqj .gt_font_italic {
## font-style: italic;
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##
## #lunpuagnqj .gt_super {
## font-size: 65%;
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## #lunpuagnqj .gt_footnote_marks {
## font-size: 75%;
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## #lunpuagnqj .gt_indent_5 {
## text-indent: 25px;
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##
## #lunpuagnqj .katex-display {
## display: inline-flex !important;
## margin-bottom: 0.75em !important;
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##
## #lunpuagnqj div.Reactable > div.rt-table > div.rt-thead > div.rt-tr.rt-tr-group-header > div.rt-th-group:after {
## height: 0px !important;
## }
## </style>
## <table class="gt_table" data-quarto-disable-processing="false" data-quarto-bootstrap="false">
## <thead>
## <tr class="gt_heading">
## <td colspan="9" class="gt_heading gt_title gt_font_normal gt_bottom_border" style>Posterior Estimates for Crown Flame Length</td>
## </tr>
##
## <tr class="gt_col_headings">
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_left" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a::stub"></th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Estimate">Estimate</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Est.-Error">Est. Error</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-HPDI-(Lower)">95% HPDI (Lower)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-HPDI-(Upper)">95% HPDI (Upper)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Probability->-0">Probability > 0</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Bulk-ESS">Bulk ESS</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Tail-ESS">Tail ESS</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="R-hat">R-hat</th>
## </tr>
## </thead>
## <tbody class="gt_table_body">
## <tr><th id="stub_1_1" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Intercept</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">2.50</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.07</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% HPDI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">2.37</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% HPDI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">2.63</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Bulk ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">14,746</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Tail ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">8,270</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 R-hat" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_2" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.39</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.09</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% HPDI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.57</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% HPDI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.20</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Bulk ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">14,996</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Tail ESS" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">8,621</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 R-hat" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## </tbody>
##
##
## </table>
## </div>
Crown Fire Flame Length Conditional Effects
