Original data

transformed explanatory variables

## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = NewDam$V1 ~ ., data = NewDam)
## 
## Coefficients:
## (Intercept)     Capacity         Flow        Plant  
##     1.72496     -0.45164      0.08081      3.19320

##            Test stat Pr(>|t|)
## Capacity      13.589    0.000
## Flow           3.367    0.001
## Plant          0.606    0.545
## Tukey test    16.332    0.000

boxcox transformed response varable

## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = lamdam$`NewDam[, 1]^lambda` ~ ., data = lamdam)
## 
## Coefficients:
## (Intercept)     Capacity         Flow        Plant  
##   1.0465992   -0.0190557    0.0006924    0.1238616

##            Test stat Pr(>|t|)
## Capacity       0.478    0.633
## Flow          -2.959    0.003
## Plant         -2.875    0.005
## Tukey test    -0.038    0.970

Summary of models

summary(lmDam)
## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = NewDam$V1 ~ ., data = NewDam)
## 
## Residuals:
##      Min       1Q   Median       3Q      Max 
## -0.37967 -0.21092 -0.08312  0.09421  1.97238 
## 
## Coefficients:
##             Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
## (Intercept)  1.72496    0.54127   3.187  0.00169 ** 
## Capacity    -0.45164    0.03110 -14.521  < 2e-16 ***
## Flow         0.08081    0.02460   3.285  0.00122 ** 
## Plant        3.19320    0.53477   5.971 1.16e-08 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Residual standard error: 0.3417 on 187 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared:  0.7203, Adjusted R-squared:  0.7158 
## F-statistic: 160.5 on 3 and 187 DF,  p-value: < 2.2e-16
summary(lmlam)
## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = lamdam$`NewDam[, 1]^lambda` ~ ., data = lamdam)
## 
## Residuals:
##        Min         1Q     Median         3Q        Max 
## -0.0112737 -0.0015123 -0.0004833  0.0008607  0.0128868 
## 
## Coefficients:
##               Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
## (Intercept)  1.0465992  0.0055957 187.035   <2e-16 ***
## Capacity    -0.0190557  0.0003216 -59.261   <2e-16 ***
## Flow         0.0006924  0.0002543   2.722   0.0071 ** 
## Plant        0.1238616  0.0055286  22.404   <2e-16 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Residual standard error: 0.003532 on 187 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared:  0.9714, Adjusted R-squared:  0.9709 
## F-statistic:  2117 on 3 and 187 DF,  p-value: < 2.2e-16
## Warning: glm.fit: fitted probabilities numerically 0 or 1 occurred

## Warning: glm.fit: fitted probabilities numerically 0 or 1 occurred

## Warning: glm.fit: fitted probabilities numerically 0 or 1 occurred
## Warning: glm.fit: fitted probabilities numerically 0 or 1 occurred

##          Test stat Pr(>|t|)
## Capacity     0.396    0.529
## Flow         0.001    0.969
## Plant        0.342    0.559
## Warning: glm.fit: fitted probabilities numerically 0 or 1 occurred

##             Test stat Pr(>|t|)
## Bi$Capacity     0.936    0.333
## Bi$Plant        0.026    0.872
summary(BiMod)
## 
## Call:
## glm(formula = Bi$BiVar ~ ., family = binomial(), data = Bi)
## 
## Deviance Residuals: 
##      Min        1Q    Median        3Q       Max  
## -1.97685  -0.03553  -0.00027   0.00000   2.86536  
## 
## Coefficients:
##             Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)    
## (Intercept)  17.0160    10.8283   1.571 0.116081    
## Capacity    -10.5707     2.7609  -3.829 0.000129 ***
## Flow          0.4768     0.3658   1.303 0.192476    
## Plant        77.8692    19.1275   4.071 4.68e-05 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## (Dispersion parameter for binomial family taken to be 1)
## 
##     Null deviance: 203.730  on 190  degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance:  44.656  on 187  degrees of freedom
## AIC: 52.656
## 
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 10
summary(BiMod2)
## 
## Call:
## glm(formula = Bi$BiVar ~ Bi$Capacity + Bi$Plant, family = binomial(), 
##     data = Bi)
## 
## Deviance Residuals: 
##      Min        1Q    Median        3Q       Max  
## -1.88133  -0.03454  -0.00032   0.00000   2.96326  
## 
## Coefficients:
##             Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)    
## (Intercept)   17.570     10.757   1.633    0.102    
## Bi$Capacity  -10.434      2.575  -4.052 5.08e-05 ***
## Bi$Plant      78.101     18.130   4.308 1.65e-05 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## (Dispersion parameter for binomial family taken to be 1)
## 
##     Null deviance: 203.730  on 190  degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance:  46.446  on 188  degrees of freedom
## AIC: 52.446
## 
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 9
anova(BiMod2,BiMod)
## Analysis of Deviance Table
## 
## Model 1: Bi$BiVar ~ Bi$Capacity + Bi$Plant
## Model 2: Bi$BiVar ~ Capacity + Flow + Plant
##   Resid. Df Resid. Dev Df Deviance
## 1       188     46.446            
## 2       187     44.656  1   1.7893
as.data.frame(cbind(NewDam$V1,fitlam,fitted(BiMod),fitted(BiMod2)),row.names = (row.names(dam)))->BiFitted
names(BiFitted)<-c( "Observed","Fitted Values","Probability of Success Model 1", "Probabilty of success Model 2")
BiFitted
##                                                                    Observed
## Anchor Dam                                                             0.02
## Angostura Dam                                                          0.90
## Barretts Diversion Dam                                                 0.35
## Belle Fourche Dam                                                      0.49
## Bonny Dam                                                              0.15
## Bretch Diversion Canal                                                 0.12
## Bull Lake Dam                                                          0.41
## Carter Lake Dam No. 1                                                  0.56
## Choke Canyon Dam                                                       0.69
## Clark Canyon Dam                                                       1.52
## Corbett Diversion Dam                                                  0.59
## Deerfield Dam                                                          0.43
## Dickinson Dam                                                          0.07
## Dodson Diversion Dam                                                   0.40
## East Portal Diversion Dam                                              0.96
## Enders Dam                                                             0.22
## Fort Shaw Diversion Dam                                                0.26
## Foss Dam                                                               0.14
## Fresno Dam                                                             0.88
## Gibson Dam                                                             1.32
## Glen Elder Dam                                                         0.81
## Granby Dam                                                             1.16
## Gray Reef Dam                                                          1.58
## Greenfield Project Greenfield Main Canal Drop                          0.37
## Heart Butte Dam                                                        0.64
## Helena Valley Dam                                                      0.10
## Helena Valley Pumping Plant                                            1.38
## Horsetooth Dam                                                         0.34
## Huntley Diversion Dam                                                  1.86
## James Diversion Dam                                                    0.24
## Jamestown Dam                                                          0.25
## Johnson Project Greenfield Main Canal Drop                             0.21
## Kirwin Dam                                                             0.13
## Lake Alice No. 2 Dam                                                   0.04
## Lake Sherburne Dam                                                     0.24
## Medicine Creek Dam                                                     0.43
## Merritt Dam                                                            0.68
## Nelson Dikes DA                                                        0.07
## Norton Dam                                                             0.05
## Olympus Dam                                                            0.82
## Pactola Dam                                                            1.07
## Pathfinder Dam                                                         1.23
## Pishkun Dike - No. 4                                                   0.23
## Pueblo Dam                                                             2.34
## Red Willow Dam                                                         0.12
## Saint Mary Diversion Dam                                               0.33
## Shadehill Dam                                                          0.37
## Shadow Mountain Dam                                                    0.46
## St. Mary Canal - Drop 1                                                0.56
## St. Mary Canal - Drop 2                                                0.50
## St. Mary Canal - Drop 3                                                0.47
## St. Mary Canal - Drop 4                                                0.82
## St. Mary Canal - Drop 5                                                0.75
## Sun River Diversion Dam                                                0.65
## Trenton Dam                                                            0.24
## Twin Buttes Dam                                                        2.61
## Twin Lakes Dam (USBR)                                                  1.24
## Vandalia Diversion Dam                                                 0.87
## Virginia Smith Dam                                                     0.88
## Webster Dam                                                            0.06
## Whalen Diversion Dam                                                   0.07
## Willow Creek Dam                                                       0.29
## Willwood Canal                                                         0.70
## Willwood Diversion Dam                                                 1.10
## Wind River Diversion Dam                                               0.51
## Woods Project Greenfield Main Canal Drop                               0.56
## Wyoming Canal - Station 1016                                           0.41
## Wyoming Canal - Station 1490                                           0.64
## Wyoming Canal - Station 1520                                           0.34
## Wyoming Canal - Station 1626                                           0.13
## Wyoming Canal - Station 1972                                           0.28
## Wyoming Canal - Station 997                                            0.49
## Yellowtail Afterbay Dam                                                3.05
## Bartlett Dam                                                           3.50
## Gila Gravity Main Canal Headworks                                      1.17
## Horseshoe Dam                                                          2.98
## Imperial Dam                                                           1.61
## Laguna Dam                                                             0.63
## Anderson-Rose Dam                                                      0.21
## Boca Dam                                                               1.68
## Bradbury Dam                                                           0.30
## Casitas Dam                                                            1.57
## Gerber Dam                                                             0.14
## John Franchi Dam                                                       0.90
## Lake Tahoe Dam                                                         0.65
## Malone Diversion Dam                                                   0.07
## Marble Bluff Dam                                                       0.83
## Prosser Creek Dam                                                      1.98
## Putah Creek Dam                                                        0.25
## Putah Diversion Dam                                                    1.16
## Rainbow Dam                                                            0.32
## Upper Slaven Dam                                                       0.21
## Agate Dam                                                              0.24
## Agency Valley                                                          0.33
## Arthur R. Bowman Dam                                                   1.90
## Bully Creek                                                            0.13
## Bumping Lake                                                           0.20
## Cle Elum Dam                                                           0.94
## Cold Springs Dam                                                       0.09
## Crane Prairie                                                          0.25
## Deadwood Dam                                                           0.20
## Easton Diversion Dam                                                   1.68
## Emigrant Dam                                                           0.99
## Fish Lake                                                              0.18
## Golden Gate Canal                                                      0.56
## Harper Dam                                                             0.31
## Haystack                                                               0.85
## Kachess Dam                                                            0.77
## Keechelus Dam                                                          0.87
## Little Wood River Dam                                                  0.29
## Lytle Creek                                                            0.19
## Mann Creek                                                             0.56
## Mason Dam                                                              0.72
## Maxwell Dam                                                            0.30
## McKay Dam                                                              0.88
## Ochoco Dam                                                             0.16
## Reservoir A                                                            0.12
## Ririe Dam                                                              0.94
## Scoggins Dam                                                           0.92
## Scootney Wasteway                                                      1.26
## Sunnyside Dam                                                          1.43
## Thief Valley Dam                                                       0.64
## Unity Dam                                                              0.14
## Warm Springs Dam                                                       0.66
## Wickiup Dam                                                            0.98
## Wild Horse - BIA                                                       0.27
## Angostura Diversion                                                    0.12
## Arthur V. Watkins Dam                                                  0.11
## Avalon Dam                                                             0.42
## Azeotea Creek and Willow Creek Conveyance Channel Station 1565+00      0.10
## Azeotea Creek and Willow Creek Conveyance Channel Station 1702+75      0.10
## Azeotea Creek and Willow Creek Conveyance Channel Station 1831+17      0.09
## Azotea Tunnel                                                          0.09
## Big Sandy Dam                                                          0.10
## Blanco Diversion Dam                                                   0.03
## Blanco Tunnel                                                          0.16
## Brantley Dam                                                           0.32
## Caballo Dam                                                            1.45
## Crawford Dam                                                           0.64
## Currant Creek Dam                                                      0.22
## Dolores Tunnel                                                         0.21
## East Canyon Dam                                                        0.44
## Fort Sumner Diversion Dam                                              0.17
## Fruitgrowers Dam                                                       0.06
## Grand Valley Diversion Dam                                             1.55
## Gunnison Diversion Dam                                                 1.28
## Gunnison Tunnel                                                        1.55
## Hammond Diversion Dam                                                  0.07
## Heron Dam                                                              1.06
## Huntington North Dam                                                   0.07
## Hyrum Dam                                                              0.40
## Inlet Canal                                                            0.34
## Joes Valley Dam                                                        0.85
## Lost Creek Dam                                                         0.20
## M&D Canal-Shavano Falls                                                1.88
## Meeks Cabin Dam                                                        0.40
## Montrose and Delta Canal                                               0.19
## Moon Lake Dam                                                          0.22
## Nambe Falls Dam                                                        0.24
## Outlet Canal                                                           0.52
## Paonia Dam                                                             0.79
## Platoro Dam                                                            0.38
## Red Fleet Dam                                                          0.59
## Ridgway Dam                                                            1.35
## Rifle Gap Dam                                                          0.92
## San Acacia Diversion Dam                                               0.04
## Scofield Dam                                                           0.45
## Selig Canal                                                            0.05
## Silver Jack Dam                                                        0.57
## Sixth Water Flow Control                                               3.02
## Soldier Creek Dam                                                      1.39
## South Canal Tunnels                                                    0.84
## South Canal Sta 19+ 10 Site #1                                         1.32
## South Canal Sta. 181+10 Site #4                                        1.44
## South Canal Sta. 472+00 Site #5                                        1.05
## South Canal Sta.106+65 Site #3                                         1.26
## Southside Canal Sta 171+ 90 thru 200+ 67 (2 canal drops)               1.05
## Southside Canal Sta 349+ 05 thru 375+ 42 (3 canal drops)               0.93
## Spanish Fork Flow Control Structure                                    1.66
## Starvation Dam                                                         1.23
## Stateline Dam                                                          0.09
## Steinaker Dam                                                          0.71
## Stillwater Tunnel                                                      0.21
## Sumner Dam                                                             0.98
## Syar Tunnel                                                            0.99
## Taylor Park Dam                                                        1.12
## Upper Diamond Fork Flow Control Structure                              2.36
## Upper Stillwater Dam                                                   0.32
## Vega Dam                                                               0.51
## Weber-Provo Canal                                                      0.14
## Weber-Provo Diversion Canal                                            0.04
##                                                                    Fitted Values
## Anchor Dam                                                            0.01963796
## Angostura Dam                                                         0.93394261
## Barretts Diversion Dam                                                0.37734107
## Belle Fourche Dam                                                     0.52550821
## Bonny Dam                                                             0.15372668
## Bretch Diversion Canal                                                0.14737259
## Bull Lake Dam                                                         0.42461901
## Carter Lake Dam No. 1                                                 0.56851282
## Choke Canyon Dam                                                      0.74614268
## Clark Canyon Dam                                                      1.64009110
## Corbett Diversion Dam                                                 0.60306582
## Deerfield Dam                                                         0.45904348
## Dickinson Dam                                                         0.12214789
## Dodson Diversion Dam                                                  0.47698483
## East Portal Diversion Dam                                             1.15065518
## Enders Dam                                                            0.20270436
## Fort Shaw Diversion Dam                                               0.28293129
## Foss Dam                                                              0.13879059
## Fresno Dam                                                            1.00869551
## Gibson Dam                                                            1.48833717
## Glen Elder Dam                                                        0.81800200
## Granby Dam                                                            1.21671691
## Gray Reef Dam                                                         1.66518148
## Greenfield Project Greenfield Main Canal Drop                         0.42351155
## Heart Butte Dam                                                       0.69616727
## Helena Valley Dam                                                     0.14907867
## Helena Valley Pumping Plant                                           1.59618853
## Horsetooth Dam                                                        0.35339144
## Huntley Diversion Dam                                                 2.33268716
## James Diversion Dam                                                   0.25064958
## Jamestown Dam                                                         0.26955758
## Johnson Project Greenfield Main Canal Drop                            0.24006732
## Kirwin Dam                                                            0.11957450
## Lake Alice No. 2 Dam                                                  0.03725321
## Lake Sherburne Dam                                                    0.25194018
## Medicine Creek Dam                                                    0.43586161
## Merritt Dam                                                           0.64117632
## Nelson Dikes DA                                                       0.07283065
## Norton Dam                                                            0.09094074
## Olympus Dam                                                           0.94251320
## Pactola Dam                                                           1.10488838
## Pathfinder Dam                                                        1.17604410
## Pishkun Dike - No. 4                                                  0.25436195
## Pueblo Dam                                                            2.40208478
## Red Willow Dam                                                        0.18147782
## Saint Mary Diversion Dam                                              0.38979419
## Shadehill Dam                                                         0.34830790
## Shadow Mountain Dam                                                   0.50804418
## St. Mary Canal - Drop 1                                               0.59746018
## St. Mary Canal - Drop 2                                               0.53298320
## St. Mary Canal - Drop 3                                               0.50785492
## St. Mary Canal - Drop 4                                               0.88958929
## St. Mary Canal - Drop 5                                               0.80001617
## Sun River Diversion Dam                                               0.68461703
## Trenton Dam                                                           0.24453941
## Twin Buttes Dam                                                       2.91093794
## Twin Lakes Dam (USBR)                                                 1.30073889
## Vandalia Diversion Dam                                                1.01945631
## Virginia Smith Dam                                                    0.84418383
## Webster Dam                                                           0.05569489
## Whalen Diversion Dam                                                  0.08844446
## Willow Creek Dam                                                      0.19664976
## Willwood Canal                                                        0.67861704
## Willwood Diversion Dam                                                1.07976272
## Wind River Diversion Dam                                              0.53398683
## Woods Project Greenfield Main Canal Drop                              0.61813952
## Wyoming Canal - Station 1016                                          0.44988546
## Wyoming Canal - Station 1490                                          0.67645466
## Wyoming Canal - Station 1520                                          0.36333154
## Wyoming Canal - Station 1626                                          0.14100571
## Wyoming Canal - Station 1972                                          0.28035069
## Wyoming Canal - Station 997                                           0.53563993
## Yellowtail Afterbay Dam                                               3.59892288
## Bartlett Dam                                                          2.26464893
## Gila Gravity Main Canal Headworks                                     0.97689130
## Horseshoe Dam                                                         1.93809075
## Imperial Dam                                                          1.16961332
## Laguna Dam                                                            0.49817888
## Anderson-Rose Dam                                                     0.30852694
## Boca Dam                                                              0.92403963
## Bradbury Dam                                                          0.15378938
## Casitas Dam                                                           0.92511221
## Gerber Dam                                                            0.13628775
## John Franchi Dam                                                      0.50502982
## Lake Tahoe Dam                                                        0.35905401
## Malone Diversion Dam                                                  0.07652603
## Marble Bluff Dam                                                      0.81011506
## Prosser Creek Dam                                                     1.11530881
## Putah Creek Dam                                                       0.15273695
## Putah Diversion Dam                                                   0.68974172
## Rainbow Dam                                                           0.16984124
## Upper Slaven Dam                                                      0.20626239
## Agate Dam                                                             0.29524196
## Agency Valley                                                         0.33639293
## Arthur R. Bowman Dam                                                  1.90897480
## Bully Creek                                                           0.12452875
## Bumping Lake                                                          0.19187408
## Cle Elum Dam                                                          1.09365678
## Cold Springs Dam                                                      0.09305230
## Crane Prairie                                                         0.24108278
## Deadwood Dam                                                          0.17619288
## Easton Diversion Dam                                                  1.81737023
## Emigrant Dam                                                          1.06784893
## Fish Lake                                                             0.18711871
## Golden Gate Canal                                                     0.54992391
## Harper Dam                                                            0.29758994
## Haystack                                                              0.90308158
## Kachess Dam                                                           0.85623935
## Keechelus Dam                                                         0.95866306
## Little Wood River Dam                                                 0.26885464
## Lytle Creek                                                           0.21033613
## Mann Creek                                                            0.55281939
## Mason Dam                                                             0.74414785
## Maxwell Dam                                                           0.31599928
## McKay Dam                                                             0.93330080
## Ochoco Dam                                                            0.16512793
## Reservoir A                                                           0.12291212
## Ririe Dam                                                             0.94262105
## Scoggins Dam                                                          0.92860663
## Scootney Wasteway                                                     1.45963593
## Sunnyside Dam                                                         1.64919626
## Thief Valley Dam                                                      0.67203984
## Unity Dam                                                             0.13380665
## Warm Springs Dam                                                      0.72866094
## Wickiup Dam                                                           1.02884804
## Wild Horse - BIA                                                      0.25941188
## Angostura Diversion                                                   0.15513559
## Arthur V. Watkins Dam                                                 0.11559714
## Avalon Dam                                                            0.43989541
## Azeotea Creek and Willow Creek Conveyance Channel Station 1565+00     0.10257661
## Azeotea Creek and Willow Creek Conveyance Channel Station 1702+75     0.09505231
## Azeotea Creek and Willow Creek Conveyance Channel Station 1831+17     0.08564384
## Azotea Tunnel                                                         0.09110304
## Big Sandy Dam                                                         0.09027309
## Blanco Diversion Dam                                                  0.02857954
## Blanco Tunnel                                                         0.14276872
## Brantley Dam                                                          0.34017961
## Caballo Dam                                                           1.42003278
## Crawford Dam                                                          0.68989682
## Currant Creek Dam                                                     0.20926210
## Dolores Tunnel                                                        0.20927972
## East Canyon Dam                                                       0.39541289
## Fort Sumner Diversion Dam                                             0.16616468
## Fruitgrowers Dam                                                      0.05427507
## Grand Valley Diversion Dam                                            1.69695371
## Gunnison Diversion Dam                                                1.38627364
## Gunnison Tunnel                                                       1.64124045
## Hammond Diversion Dam                                                 0.06942056
## Heron Dam                                                             1.00863971
## Huntington North Dam                                                  0.09057167
## Hyrum Dam                                                             0.38292243
## Inlet Canal                                                           0.34079449
## Joes Valley Dam                                                       0.78593611
## Lost Creek Dam                                                        0.18245036
## M&D Canal-Shavano Falls                                               1.94324333
## Meeks Cabin Dam                                                       0.38968412
## Montrose and Delta Canal                                              0.20820964
## Moon Lake Dam                                                         0.20681323
## Nambe Falls Dam                                                       0.22908844
## Outlet Canal                                                          0.51566326
## Paonia Dam                                                            0.76602945
## Platoro Dam                                                           0.35321295
## Red Fleet Dam                                                         0.58002040
## Ridgway Dam                                                           1.33187252
## Rifle Gap Dam                                                         0.99621615
## San Acacia Diversion Dam                                              0.04232102
## Scofield Dam                                                          0.47921065
## Selig Canal                                                           0.05062024
## Silver Jack Dam                                                       0.56576106
## Sixth Water Flow Control                                              2.71741460
## Soldier Creek Dam                                                     1.46869293
## South Canal Tunnels                                                   0.89808120
## South Canal Sta 19+ 10 Site #1                                        1.38341479
## South Canal Sta. 181+10 Site #4                                       1.51490785
## South Canal Sta. 472+00 Site #5                                       1.10770361
## South Canal Sta.106+65 Site #3                                        1.32263826
## Southside Canal Sta 171+ 90 thru 200+ 67 (2 canal drops)              1.06300032
## Southside Canal Sta 349+ 05 thru 375+ 42 (3 canal drops)              0.94263863
## Spanish Fork Flow Control Structure                                   1.56471451
## Starvation Dam                                                        1.16732204
## Stateline Dam                                                         0.07971517
## Steinaker Dam                                                         0.74946731
## Stillwater Tunnel                                                     0.20086833
## Sumner Dam                                                            0.95612849
## Syar Tunnel                                                           0.91539477
## Taylor Park Dam                                                       1.07349326
## Upper Diamond Fork Flow Control Structure                             2.16905896
## Upper Stillwater Dam                                                  0.28964796
## Vega Dam                                                              0.52000070
## Weber-Provo Canal                                                     0.12148106
## Weber-Provo Diversion Canal                                           0.03427245
##                                                                    Probability of Success Model 1
## Anchor Dam                                                                           2.220446e-16
## Angostura Dam                                                                        1.737783e-01
## Barretts Diversion Dam                                                               2.035536e-05
## Belle Fourche Dam                                                                    2.787635e-04
## Bonny Dam                                                                            1.642626e-09
## Bretch Diversion Canal                                                               6.593329e-10
## Bull Lake Dam                                                                        2.652577e-05
## Carter Lake Dam No. 1                                                                6.248894e-04
## Choke Canyon Dam                                                                     3.891274e-02
## Clark Canyon Dam                                                                     9.944858e-01
## Corbett Diversion Dam                                                                3.092305e-03
## Deerfield Dam                                                                        1.421088e-04
## Dickinson Dam                                                                        7.375230e-11
## Dodson Diversion Dam                                                                 1.674164e-04
## East Portal Diversion Dam                                                            8.582901e-01
## Enders Dam                                                                           9.750271e-09
## Fort Shaw Diversion Dam                                                              1.238822e-06
## Foss Dam                                                                             3.721852e-10
## Fresno Dam                                                                           3.952679e-01
## Gibson Dam                                                                           9.794326e-01
## Glen Elder Dam                                                                       5.389749e-02
## Granby Dam                                                                           8.915327e-01
## Gray Reef Dam                                                                        9.976493e-01
## Greenfield Project Greenfield Main Canal Drop                                        3.815055e-05
## Heart Butte Dam                                                                      1.011567e-02
## Helena Valley Dam                                                                    1.348545e-10
## Helena Valley Pumping Plant                                                          9.895544e-01
## Horsetooth Dam                                                                       2.990870e-06
## Huntley Diversion Dam                                                                9.999634e-01
## James Diversion Dam                                                                  2.086192e-07
## Jamestown Dam                                                                        2.218962e-07
## Johnson Project Greenfield Main Canal Drop                                           5.238826e-08
## Kirwin Dam                                                                           3.037338e-11
## Lake Alice No. 2 Dam                                                                 2.220446e-16
## Lake Sherburne Dam                                                                   5.523781e-08
## Medicine Creek Dam                                                                   5.200884e-05
## Merritt Dam                                                                          6.452754e-03
## Nelson Dikes DA                                                                      1.522243e-13
## Norton Dam                                                                           2.848736e-12
## Olympus Dam                                                                          3.191215e-01
## Pactola Dam                                                                          6.592103e-01
## Pathfinder Dam                                                                       8.944027e-01
## Pishkun Dike - No. 4                                                                 9.961265e-08
## Pueblo Dam                                                                           9.999241e-01
## Red Willow Dam                                                                       1.067491e-08
## Saint Mary Diversion Dam                                                             2.199206e-05
## Shadehill Dam                                                                        6.925816e-06
## Shadow Mountain Dam                                                                  6.689204e-04
## St. Mary Canal - Drop 1                                                              2.209471e-03
## St. Mary Canal - Drop 2                                                              6.369377e-04
## St. Mary Canal - Drop 3                                                              3.765684e-04
## St. Mary Canal - Drop 4                                                              1.243422e-01
## St. Mary Canal - Drop 5                                                              5.136659e-02
## Sun River Diversion Dam                                                              1.133838e-02
## Trenton Dam                                                                          6.904463e-08
## Twin Buttes Dam                                                                      9.999924e-01
## Twin Lakes Dam (USBR)                                                                9.513625e-01
## Vandalia Diversion Dam                                                               5.582450e-01
## Virginia Smith Dam                                                                   1.521436e-01
## Webster Dam                                                                          2.220446e-16
## Whalen Diversion Dam                                                                 1.843147e-12
## Willow Creek Dam                                                                     8.096318e-09
## Willwood Canal                                                                       1.025531e-02
## Willwood Diversion Dam                                                               7.266491e-01
## Wind River Diversion Dam                                                             6.392467e-04
## Woods Project Greenfield Main Canal Drop                                             2.576149e-03
## Wyoming Canal - Station 1016                                                         1.065307e-04
## Wyoming Canal - Station 1490                                                         8.826239e-03
## Wyoming Canal - Station 1520                                                         1.031159e-05
## Wyoming Canal - Station 1626                                                         3.270776e-10
## Wyoming Canal - Station 1972                                                         6.231207e-07
## Wyoming Canal - Station 997                                                          7.100113e-04
## Yellowtail Afterbay Dam                                                              9.999997e-01
## Bartlett Dam                                                                         9.998669e-01
## Gila Gravity Main Canal Headworks                                                    5.687047e-01
## Horseshoe Dam                                                                        9.991944e-01
## Imperial Dam                                                                         8.480225e-01
## Laguna Dam                                                                           3.427935e-04
## Anderson-Rose Dam                                                                    1.566875e-06
## Boca Dam                                                                             1.773728e-01
## Bradbury Dam                                                                         6.820227e-10
## Casitas Dam                                                                          1.480176e-01
## Gerber Dam                                                                           1.679206e-10
## John Franchi Dam                                                                     3.516760e-04
## Lake Tahoe Dam                                                                       6.383936e-06
## Malone Diversion Dam                                                                 4.235563e-13
## Marble Bluff Dam                                                                     7.803429e-02
## Prosser Creek Dam                                                                    6.779356e-01
## Putah Creek Dam                                                                      1.426502e-09
## Putah Diversion Dam                                                                  1.648759e-02
## Rainbow Dam                                                                          3.962906e-09
## Upper Slaven Dam                                                                     2.650055e-08
## Agate Dam                                                                            5.659134e-07
## Agency Valley                                                                        3.158615e-06
## Arthur R. Bowman Dam                                                                 9.992321e-01
## Bully Creek                                                                          7.110839e-11
## Bumping Lake                                                                         1.075750e-08
## Cle Elum Dam                                                                         4.256781e-01
## Cold Springs Dam                                                                     1.496284e-12
## Crane Prairie                                                                        2.133355e-07
## Deadwood Dam                                                                         3.891165e-09
## Easton Diversion Dam                                                                 9.991111e-01
## Emigrant Dam                                                                         4.855293e-01
## Fish Lake                                                                            3.066838e-09
## Golden Gate Canal                                                                    9.726575e-04
## Harper Dam                                                                           1.104340e-06
## Haystack                                                                             1.931094e-01
## Kachess Dam                                                                          7.412012e-02
## Keechelus Dam                                                                        1.948110e-01
## Little Wood River Dam                                                                2.777785e-07
## Lytle Creek                                                                          5.753769e-08
## Mann Creek                                                                           8.931970e-04
## Mason Dam                                                                            1.817075e-02
## Maxwell Dam                                                                          3.587303e-06
## McKay Dam                                                                            1.608927e-01
## Ochoco Dam                                                                           1.299231e-09
## Reservoir A                                                                          6.599547e-11
## Ririe Dam                                                                            2.102047e-01
## Scoggins Dam                                                                         1.923756e-01
## Scootney Wasteway                                                                    9.862173e-01
## Sunnyside Dam                                                                        9.982478e-01
## Thief Valley Dam                                                                     9.968263e-03
## Unity Dam                                                                            2.214046e-10
## Warm Springs Dam                                                                     1.050583e-02
## Wickiup Dam                                                                          4.863978e-01
## Wild Horse - BIA                                                                     1.474695e-07
## Angostura Diversion                                                                  5.880247e-10
## Arthur V. Watkins Dam                                                                3.767302e-11
## Avalon Dam                                                                           8.678762e-05
## Azeotea Creek and Willow Creek Conveyance Channel Station 1565+00                    8.979129e-12
## Azeotea Creek and Willow Creek Conveyance Channel Station 1702+75                    3.878591e-12
## Azeotea Creek and Willow Creek Conveyance Channel Station 1831+17                    1.296226e-12
## Azotea Tunnel                                                                        1.788060e-12
## Big Sandy Dam                                                                        2.133092e-12
## Blanco Diversion Dam                                                                 2.220446e-16
## Blanco Tunnel                                                                        2.550825e-10
## Brantley Dam                                                                         3.530420e-06
## Caballo Dam                                                                          9.759163e-01
## Crawford Dam                                                                         8.739784e-03
## Currant Creek Dam                                                                    4.831640e-08
## Dolores Tunnel                                                                       2.910128e-08
## East Canyon Dam                                                                      1.970282e-05
## Fort Sumner Diversion Dam                                                            2.805300e-09
## Fruitgrowers Dam                                                                     2.220446e-16
## Grand Valley Diversion Dam                                                           9.985391e-01
## Gunnison Diversion Dam                                                               9.823346e-01
## Gunnison Tunnel                                                                      9.956626e-01
## Hammond Diversion Dam                                                                2.086086e-13
## Heron Dam                                                                            3.186024e-01
## Huntington North Dam                                                                 1.496911e-12
## Hyrum Dam                                                                            1.649742e-05
## Inlet Canal                                                                          3.798401e-06
## Joes Valley Dam                                                                      3.903930e-02
## Lost Creek Dam                                                                       3.595511e-09
## M&D Canal-Shavano Falls                                                              9.993165e-01
## Meeks Cabin Dam                                                                      1.288094e-05
## Montrose and Delta Canal                                                             3.528356e-08
## Moon Lake Dam                                                                        1.071613e-08
## Nambe Falls Dam                                                                      5.584147e-08
## Outlet Canal                                                                         2.605611e-04
## Paonia Dam                                                                           2.629546e-02
## Platoro Dam                                                                          7.522580e-06
## Red Fleet Dam                                                                        1.453220e-03
## Ridgway Dam                                                                          9.387645e-01
## Rifle Gap Dam                                                                        4.185748e-01
## San Acacia Diversion Dam                                                             2.220446e-16
## Scofield Dam                                                                         1.418029e-04
## Selig Canal                                                                          2.220446e-16
## Silver Jack Dam                                                                      1.051232e-03
## Sixth Water Flow Control                                                             9.999797e-01
## Soldier Creek Dam                                                                    9.870845e-01
## South Canal Tunnels                                                                  2.266423e-01
## South Canal Sta 19+ 10 Site #1                                                       9.719915e-01
## South Canal Sta. 181+10 Site #4                                                      9.896032e-01
## South Canal Sta. 472+00 Site #5                                                      7.473823e-01
## South Canal Sta.106+65 Site #3                                                       9.547086e-01
## Southside Canal Sta 171+ 90 thru 200+ 67 (2 canal drops)                             4.436971e-01
## Southside Canal Sta 349+ 05 thru 375+ 42 (3 canal drops)                             1.748393e-01
## Spanish Fork Flow Control Structure                                                  9.800271e-01
## Starvation Dam                                                                       7.876220e-01
## Stateline Dam                                                                        4.293769e-13
## Steinaker Dam                                                                        1.658898e-02
## Stillwater Tunnel                                                                    1.105501e-08
## Sumner Dam                                                                           3.364213e-01
## Syar Tunnel                                                                          2.105844e-01
## Taylor Park Dam                                                                      6.382542e-01
## Upper Diamond Fork Flow Control Structure                                            9.997292e-01
## Upper Stillwater Dam                                                                 5.396722e-07
## Vega Dam                                                                             2.913475e-04
## Weber-Provo Canal                                                                    7.600893e-11
## Weber-Provo Diversion Canal                                                          2.220446e-16
##                                                                    Probabilty of success Model 2
## Anchor Dam                                                                          2.220446e-16
## Angostura Dam                                                                       2.265390e-01
## Barretts Diversion Dam                                                              3.537094e-05
## Belle Fourche Dam                                                                   3.480153e-04
## Bonny Dam                                                                           6.842836e-09
## Bretch Diversion Canal                                                              1.630026e-09
## Bull Lake Dam                                                                       2.556205e-05
## Carter Lake Dam No. 1                                                               9.934332e-04
## Choke Canyon Dam                                                                    8.430132e-02
## Clark Canyon Dam                                                                    9.920157e-01
## Corbett Diversion Dam                                                               1.774588e-03
## Deerfield Dam                                                                       4.052239e-04
## Dickinson Dam                                                                       3.320898e-10
## Dodson Diversion Dam                                                                2.884416e-04
## East Portal Diversion Dam                                                           8.296176e-01
## Enders Dam                                                                          2.009000e-08
## Fort Shaw Diversion Dam                                                             1.424511e-06
## Foss Dam                                                                            1.175812e-09
## Fresno Dam                                                                          3.018081e-01
## Gibson Dam                                                                          9.586411e-01
## Glen Elder Dam                                                                      6.031310e-02
## Granby Dam                                                                          9.473481e-01
## Gray Reef Dam                                                                       9.935385e-01
## Greenfield Project Greenfield Main Canal Drop                                       6.179932e-05
## Heart Butte Dam                                                                     1.760229e-02
## Helena Valley Dam                                                                   1.624212e-10
## Helena Valley Pumping Plant                                                         9.885620e-01
## Horsetooth Dam                                                                      6.240802e-06
## Huntley Diversion Dam                                                               9.997268e-01
## James Diversion Dam                                                                 1.678553e-07
## Jamestown Dam                                                                       4.701725e-07
## Johnson Project Greenfield Main Canal Drop                                          1.032279e-07
## Kirwin Dam                                                                          7.729574e-11
## Lake Alice No. 2 Dam                                                                2.220446e-16
## Lake Sherburne Dam                                                                  5.204641e-08
## Medicine Creek Dam                                                                  1.015237e-04
## Merritt Dam                                                                         8.002551e-03
## Nelson Dikes DA                                                                     3.813458e-13
## Norton Dam                                                                          1.461246e-11
## Olympus Dam                                                                         4.178007e-01
## Pactola Dam                                                                         7.803218e-01
## Pathfinder Dam                                                                      9.376637e-01
## Pishkun Dike - No. 4                                                                8.319656e-08
## Pueblo Dam                                                                          9.998213e-01
## Red Willow Dam                                                                      4.811931e-08
## Saint Mary Diversion Dam                                                            1.728311e-05
## Shadehill Dam                                                                       1.377445e-05
## Shadow Mountain Dam                                                                 1.542864e-03
## St. Mary Canal - Drop 1                                                             1.624876e-03
## St. Mary Canal - Drop 2                                                             4.758078e-04
## St. Mary Canal - Drop 3                                                             2.832038e-04
## St. Mary Canal - Drop 4                                                             8.778623e-02
## St. Mary Canal - Drop 5                                                             3.678316e-02
## Sun River Diversion Dam                                                             7.064659e-03
## Trenton Dam                                                                         1.442942e-07
## Twin Buttes Dam                                                                     9.999556e-01
## Twin Lakes Dam (USBR)                                                               9.457668e-01
## Vandalia Diversion Dam                                                              6.226036e-01
## Virginia Smith Dam                                                                  1.533209e-01
## Webster Dam                                                                         2.220446e-16
## Whalen Diversion Dam                                                                5.789240e-12
## Willow Creek Dam                                                                    1.906829e-08
## Willwood Canal                                                                      1.030941e-02
## Willwood Diversion Dam                                                              6.902021e-01
## Wind River Diversion Dam                                                            6.134123e-04
## Woods Project Greenfield Main Canal Drop                                            2.860642e-03
## Wyoming Canal - Station 1016                                                        1.174549e-04
## Wyoming Canal - Station 1490                                                        1.017708e-02
## Wyoming Canal - Station 1520                                                        1.299260e-05
## Wyoming Canal - Station 1626                                                        4.572168e-10
## Wyoming Canal - Station 1972                                                        8.590102e-07
## Wyoming Canal - Station 997                                                         7.638316e-04
## Yellowtail Afterbay Dam                                                             9.999985e-01
## Bartlett Dam                                                                        9.998165e-01
## Gila Gravity Main Canal Headworks                                                   3.546418e-01
## Horseshoe Dam                                                                       9.977353e-01
## Imperial Dam                                                                        6.696317e-01
## Laguna Dam                                                                          4.310792e-04
## Anderson-Rose Dam                                                                   3.709720e-06
## Boca Dam                                                                            2.005875e-01
## Bradbury Dam                                                                        2.435776e-09
## Casitas Dam                                                                         1.744111e-01
## Gerber Dam                                                                          2.983645e-10
## John Franchi Dam                                                                    2.752783e-04
## Lake Tahoe Dam                                                                      4.048148e-06
## Malone Diversion Dam                                                                8.770786e-13
## Marble Bluff Dam                                                                    6.188420e-02
## Prosser Creek Dam                                                                   7.590504e-01
## Putah Creek Dam                                                                     3.881760e-09
## Putah Diversion Dam                                                                 1.239500e-02
## Rainbow Dam                                                                         7.742907e-09
## Upper Slaven Dam                                                                    3.053814e-08
## Agate Dam                                                                           1.471810e-06
## Agency Valley                                                                       3.636180e-06
## Arthur R. Bowman Dam                                                                9.991939e-01
## Bully Creek                                                                         1.704487e-10
## Bumping Lake                                                                        1.310076e-08
## Cle Elum Dam                                                                        2.364893e-01
## Cold Springs Dam                                                                    4.044757e-12
## Crane Prairie                                                                       2.733398e-07
## Deadwood Dam                                                                        7.068863e-09
## Easton Diversion Dam                                                                9.989629e-01
## Emigrant Dam                                                                        6.227334e-01
## Fish Lake                                                                           7.213663e-09
## Golden Gate Canal                                                                   1.225989e-03
## Harper Dam                                                                          2.155284e-06
## Haystack                                                                            2.086282e-01
## Kachess Dam                                                                         6.248626e-02
## Keechelus Dam                                                                       1.482041e-01
## Little Wood River Dam                                                               3.604309e-07
## Lytle Creek                                                                         7.734620e-08
## Mann Creek                                                                          1.710550e-03
## Mason Dam                                                                           2.233359e-02
## Maxwell Dam                                                                         3.306833e-06
## McKay Dam                                                                           1.876599e-01
## Ochoco Dam                                                                          3.911780e-09
## Reservoir A                                                                         2.348088e-10
## Ririe Dam                                                                           2.776366e-01
## Scoggins Dam                                                                        2.369957e-01
## Scootney Wasteway                                                                   9.395367e-01
## Sunnyside Dam                                                                       9.906107e-01
## Thief Valley Dam                                                                    1.373505e-02
## Unity Dam                                                                           4.266556e-10
## Warm Springs Dam                                                                    8.848838e-03
## Wickiup Dam                                                                         2.873719e-01
## Wild Horse - BIA                                                                    3.085118e-07
## Angostura Diversion                                                                 8.136143e-10
## Arthur V. Watkins Dam                                                               1.211078e-10
## Avalon Dam                                                                          1.070101e-04
## Azeotea Creek and Willow Creek Conveyance Channel Station 1565+00                   2.036471e-11
## Azeotea Creek and Willow Creek Conveyance Channel Station 1702+75                   8.848340e-12
## Azeotea Creek and Willow Creek Conveyance Channel Station 1831+17                   2.999284e-12
## Azotea Tunnel                                                                       3.941643e-12
## Big Sandy Dam                                                                       4.360628e-12
## Blanco Diversion Dam                                                                2.220446e-16
## Blanco Tunnel                                                                       6.585964e-10
## Brantley Dam                                                                        4.260142e-06
## Caballo Dam                                                                         9.422614e-01
## Crawford Dam                                                                        1.942910e-02
## Currant Creek Dam                                                                   1.652846e-07
## Dolores Tunnel                                                                      9.356041e-08
## East Canyon Dam                                                                     3.595384e-05
## Fort Sumner Diversion Dam                                                           5.742517e-09
## Fruitgrowers Dam                                                                    2.220446e-16
## Grand Valley Diversion Dam                                                          9.946629e-01
## Gunnison Diversion Dam                                                              9.572327e-01
## Gunnison Tunnel                                                                     9.913282e-01
## Hammond Diversion Dam                                                               5.044976e-13
## Heron Dam                                                                           3.613149e-01
## Huntington North Dam                                                                5.966398e-12
## Hyrum Dam                                                                           2.906477e-05
## Inlet Canal                                                                         1.023193e-05
## Joes Valley Dam                                                                     5.141792e-02
## Lost Creek Dam                                                                      9.091695e-09
## M&D Canal-Shavano Falls                                                             9.993053e-01
## Meeks Cabin Dam                                                                     1.673457e-05
## Montrose and Delta Canal                                                            3.221687e-08
## Moon Lake Dam                                                                       1.618212e-08
## Nambe Falls Dam                                                                     1.705804e-07
## Outlet Canal                                                                        5.796497e-04
## Paonia Dam                                                                          3.382117e-02
## Platoro Dam                                                                         1.360371e-05
## Red Fleet Dam                                                                       2.845103e-03
## Ridgway Dam                                                                         9.366039e-01
## Rifle Gap Dam                                                                       5.883990e-01
## San Acacia Diversion Dam                                                            2.220446e-16
## Scofield Dam                                                                        2.169820e-04
## Selig Canal                                                                         2.220446e-16
## Silver Jack Dam                                                                     1.661681e-03
## Sixth Water Flow Control                                                            9.999748e-01
## Soldier Creek Dam                                                                   9.943812e-01
## South Canal Tunnels                                                                 1.457858e-01
## South Canal Sta 19+ 10 Site #1                                                      9.504443e-01
## South Canal Sta. 181+10 Site #4                                                     9.811046e-01
## South Canal Sta. 472+00 Site #5                                                     6.279658e-01
## South Canal Sta.106+65 Site #3                                                      9.214146e-01
## Southside Canal Sta 171+ 90 thru 200+ 67 (2 canal drops)                            5.468447e-01
## Southside Canal Sta 349+ 05 thru 375+ 42 (3 canal drops)                            2.459211e-01
## Spanish Fork Flow Control Structure                                                 9.832414e-01
## Starvation Dam                                                                      7.749178e-01
## Stateline Dam                                                                       1.089159e-12
## Steinaker Dam                                                                       2.741820e-02
## Stillwater Tunnel                                                                   2.052694e-08
## Sumner Dam                                                                          4.404124e-01
## Syar Tunnel                                                                         2.373585e-01
## Taylor Park Dam                                                                     6.461626e-01
## Upper Diamond Fork Flow Control Structure                                           9.996723e-01
## Upper Stillwater Dam                                                                1.148257e-06
## Vega Dam                                                                            4.770988e-04
## Weber-Provo Canal                                                                   2.187991e-10
## Weber-Provo Diversion Canal                                                         2.220446e-16

fin.