Fire Behavior Comparison
Alan Ivory
2025-07-31
Graph surface fire rate of spread by season and invasions status
fb %>%
ggplot(aes(x = Status, y = S_ROS, color = Season)) +
geom_point() +
geom_smooth(method = "lm", se = FALSE) +
labs(title = "Surface Fire Rate of Spread by Season and Invasion Status",
x = "Season",
y = "Rate of Spread (m/min)",
color = "Season")## `geom_smooth()` using formula = 'y ~ x'
Fuel Metrics
# Create plots for the surface fire rate of spread (Sur_ROS) and flame length (Sur_FL)
plot_ros <- ggplot(fb, aes(x = Status, y = S_ROS, color = Season)) +
geom_boxplot() +
labs(title = "Surface Fire Rate of Spread", x = "Invasion Status", y = "Rate of Spread (m/min)", color = "Season") +
theme_classic()
plot_fl <- ggplot(fb, aes(x = Status, y = S_FL, color = Season)) +
geom_boxplot() +
labs(title = "Flame Length", x = "Invasion Status", y = "Flame Length (m)", color = "Season") +
theme_classic()
# Print the plots
print(plot_ros)
print(plot_fl)
GLMM Surface Rate of Spread
Can’t use Gamma or Lognormal because of zero values in the data.
Rate of Spread Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: S_ROS ~ Status * Season * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Dead_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Live_Biomass + Status * Season * Dead_Biomass + Status * Season * Litter_Biomass
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 4374)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI
## Intercept 2.53 0.02 2.49
## StatusInvaded 0.91 0.04 0.82
## SeasonSpring 1.70 0.03 1.65
## SeasonWinter 0.64 0.03 0.58
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.70 0.02 -0.73
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.02 0.01 -0.00
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -1.28 0.02 -1.33
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.47 0.01 0.45
## Live_BiomassHigh -0.19 0.01 -0.22
## Live_BiomassLow 0.25 0.01 0.22
## Dead_BiomassHigh 0.15 0.01 0.12
## Dead_BiomassLow -0.04 0.01 -0.07
## Litter_BiomassHigh 0.28 0.01 0.26
## Litter_BiomassLow -0.59 0.02 -0.62
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring 0.60 0.05 0.51
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 1.02 0.05 0.92
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.16 0.04 0.09
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.35 0.03 0.28
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.86 0.02 -0.90
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.86 0.04 -0.93
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 1.26 0.02 1.22
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 1.87 0.03 1.82
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.08 0.06 -0.02
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.17 0.03 0.11
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.95 0.03 0.90
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -1.21 0.04 -1.28
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.07 0.02 0.03
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.41 0.03 0.34
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 0.17 0.05 0.08
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow -0.49 0.04 -0.56
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh -0.00 0.02 -0.04
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.02 0.02 -0.03
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 0.06 0.02 0.01
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -0.02 0.03 -0.07
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.77 0.04 0.69
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -0.48 0.04 -0.56
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.00 0.02 -0.04
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.02 0.03 -0.04
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow -0.06 0.02 -0.11
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow -0.02 0.02 -0.07
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.84 0.03 0.78
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow -0.40 0.06 -0.54
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.19 0.02 0.15
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.09 0.03 0.03
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow -0.10 0.02 -0.15
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 0.28 0.03 0.22
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.82 0.04 0.73
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.52 0.05 0.42
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3.64 0.05 3.55
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -1.18 0.05 -1.28
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.30 0.06 -0.43
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.38 0.07 0.25
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.50 0.04 -0.58
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.25 0.05 -0.35
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 0.31 0.05 0.21
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.34 0.05 0.24
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow -0.24 0.04 -0.33
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -0.28 0.05 -0.37
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.65 0.04 -0.74
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.15 0.05 -0.24
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 0.38 0.04 0.30
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.09 0.05 -0.00
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.13 0.04 0.05
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -0.58 0.04 -0.67
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 0.47 0.07 0.35
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow -0.13 0.07 -0.26
## u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS
## Intercept 2.56 1.00 2064
## StatusInvaded 0.99 1.00 1608
## SeasonSpring 1.75 1.00 2255
## SeasonWinter 0.70 1.00 2238
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.67 1.00 3099
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.05 1.00 3319
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -1.23 1.00 2843
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.50 1.00 3930
## Live_BiomassHigh -0.17 1.00 3189
## Live_BiomassLow 0.28 1.00 3552
## Dead_BiomassHigh 0.18 1.00 3134
## Dead_BiomassLow -0.02 1.00 3257
## Litter_BiomassHigh 0.31 1.00 3207
## Litter_BiomassLow -0.56 1.00 3072
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring 0.71 1.00 1697
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 1.13 1.00 1617
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.24 1.00 1850
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.42 1.00 2651
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.82 1.00 3020
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.79 1.00 3209
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 1.30 1.00 3720
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 1.93 1.00 3916
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.19 1.00 1413
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.24 1.00 2398
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 1.01 1.00 3028
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -1.14 1.00 3329
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.12 1.00 4262
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.47 1.00 3558
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 0.26 1.00 1858
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow -0.42 1.00 1938
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 0.04 1.00 3182
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.07 1.00 3551
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 0.10 1.00 3719
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 0.03 1.00 3569
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.84 1.00 2026
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -0.41 1.00 1945
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.04 1.00 3206
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.07 1.00 3863
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow -0.02 1.00 3603
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.03 1.00 3796
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.91 1.00 2232
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow -0.28 1.00 1345
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.23 1.00 3730
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.14 1.00 4047
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow -0.06 1.00 3390
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 0.33 1.00 3839
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.90 1.00 1903
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.63 1.00 2276
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3.74 1.00 3059
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -1.09 1.00 2935
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.19 1.00 1461
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.51 1.00 1657
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.42 1.00 2619
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.16 1.00 2681
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 0.41 1.00 1925
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.44 1.00 1970
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow -0.16 1.00 2134
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -0.18 1.00 2195
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.57 1.00 2243
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.05 1.00 2437
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 0.47 1.00 2061
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.18 1.00 2251
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.21 1.00 2457
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -0.49 1.00 2849
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 0.62 1.00 1421
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 0.02 1.00 1385
## Tail_ESS
## Intercept 2950
## StatusInvaded 1852
## SeasonSpring 3116
## SeasonWinter 2691
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3187
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3235
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3325
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3490
## Live_BiomassHigh 3378
## Live_BiomassLow 3280
## Dead_BiomassHigh 3415
## Dead_BiomassLow 3433
## Litter_BiomassHigh 3498
## Litter_BiomassLow 3151
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring 2142
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 2332
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2807
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2918
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3468
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2972
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3014
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3048
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 1716
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2999
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2938
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3246
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3499
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3211
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 2371
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 2828
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 3406
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 3292
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 3065
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 3137
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 2587
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow 2329
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 3168
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 3293
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 3091
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 3034
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 2694
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 1904
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 2989
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 2649
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 3327
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 3139
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2544
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2628
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3237
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3041
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 1939
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2469
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2898
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2830
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 2792
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 2685
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 2792
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 3028
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 2720
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 2781
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 2756
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 2530
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 3090
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 3014
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 1953
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 2207
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 0.15 0.00 0.14 0.16 1.00 3744 3334
## nu 1.24 0.05 1.15 1.34 1.00 3738 3285
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Surface Rate of Spread Table
ROS Conditional Effects
## Warning: The `size` argument of `element_line()` is deprecated as of ggplot2 3.4.0.
## ℹ Please use the `linewidth` argument instead.
## This warning is displayed once every 8 hours.
## Call `lifecycle::last_lifecycle_warnings()` to see where this warning was
## generated.## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
GLMM Flame Length
Flame Length Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: S_FL ~ Status * Season * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Dead_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Live_Biomass + Status * Season * Dead_Biomass + Status * Season * Litter_Biomass
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 4374)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI
## Intercept 1.53 0.01 1.51
## StatusInvaded 0.18 0.02 0.13
## SeasonSpring 0.59 0.01 0.56
## SeasonWinter 0.18 0.02 0.15
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.02 0.01 0.01
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.20 0.01 -0.22
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.24 0.01 0.22
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.75 0.01 -0.77
## Live_BiomassLow 0.04 0.01 0.03
## Live_BiomassHigh -0.05 0.01 -0.07
## Dead_BiomassLow -0.03 0.01 -0.05
## Dead_BiomassHigh 0.08 0.01 0.07
## Litter_BiomassLow -0.31 0.01 -0.32
## Litter_BiomassHigh 0.18 0.01 0.17
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring 0.21 0.02 0.16
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 0.40 0.03 0.34
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.11 0.02 0.08
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.03 0.02 -0.01
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.33 0.01 0.32
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.64 0.01 0.62
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.26 0.01 -0.28
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.29 0.01 -0.32
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.02 0.01 -0.01
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.19 0.02 0.15
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.01 0.01 -0.02
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.17 0.01 0.15
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.64 0.01 0.61
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.32 0.02 -0.36
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow -0.08 0.02 -0.11
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 0.03 0.02 -0.00
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 0.00 0.01 -0.02
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 0.01 0.01 -0.01
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 0.03 0.01 0.01
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.03 0.01 0.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -0.25 0.02 -0.28
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.40 0.02 0.37
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow -0.04 0.01 -0.05
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow -0.02 0.01 -0.04
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.01 0.01 -0.01
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.04 0.01 0.01
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow -0.17 0.03 -0.23
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.43 0.01 0.40
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow -0.07 0.01 -0.09
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 0.04 0.01 0.02
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.12 0.01 0.10
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.13 0.01 0.11
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.59 0.02 0.55
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.50 0.02 -0.54
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.29 0.02 0.25
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.25 0.02 0.21
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.16 0.02 -0.20
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.14 0.02 -0.18
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.29 0.02 -0.34
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.05 0.03 -0.01
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow -0.12 0.02 -0.16
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -0.09 0.02 -0.13
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 0.13 0.02 0.09
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.10 0.02 0.06
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 0.22 0.02 0.18
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.06 0.02 0.01
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.37 0.02 -0.41
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.09 0.02 -0.13
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 0.26 0.03 0.21
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 0.01 0.03 -0.05
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh -0.01 0.02 -0.05
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -0.41 0.02 -0.44
## u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS
## Intercept 1.55 1.00 2385
## StatusInvaded 0.22 1.00 1706
## SeasonSpring 0.61 1.00 2496
## SeasonWinter 0.21 1.00 2399
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.03 1.00 3187
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.19 1.00 2581
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.25 1.00 3122
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.73 1.00 3311
## Live_BiomassLow 0.05 1.00 3323
## Live_BiomassHigh -0.04 1.00 3541
## Dead_BiomassLow -0.02 1.00 2849
## Dead_BiomassHigh 0.10 1.00 3030
## Litter_BiomassLow -0.29 1.00 2938
## Litter_BiomassHigh 0.20 1.00 3305
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring 0.26 1.00 1867
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 0.45 1.00 1831
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.14 1.00 2595
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.06 1.00 1900
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.35 1.00 3496
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.67 1.00 3404
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.24 1.00 2872
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.26 1.00 3216
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.04 1.00 2731
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.24 1.00 1807
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.01 1.00 3810
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.19 1.00 3772
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.66 1.00 3386
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.29 1.00 4203
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow -0.05 1.00 2127
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 0.07 1.00 2840
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 0.02 1.00 3185
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 0.03 1.00 3491
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 0.05 1.00 3632
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.05 1.00 3508
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -0.21 1.00 1291
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.44 1.00 1657
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow -0.02 1.00 3085
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.00 1.00 3195
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.03 1.00 3612
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.06 1.00 3391
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow -0.12 1.00 1376
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.46 1.00 2187
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow -0.05 1.00 3543
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 0.07 1.00 3373
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.14 1.00 3484
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.16 1.00 3258
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.64 1.00 3015
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.46 1.00 2768
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.33 1.00 2108
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.29 1.00 2240
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.13 1.00 2885
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.11 1.00 2804
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.25 1.00 2005
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.11 1.00 2583
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow -0.09 1.00 2470
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -0.05 1.00 2619
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 0.17 1.00 3008
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.15 1.00 2938
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 0.25 1.00 1608
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.10 1.00 1601
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.33 1.00 1916
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.04 1.00 1953
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 0.33 1.00 1495
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 0.08 1.00 1456
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.02 1.00 2436
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -0.37 1.00 2504
## Tail_ESS
## Intercept 2659
## StatusInvaded 2208
## SeasonSpring 2679
## SeasonWinter 2895
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3646
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2726
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3303
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3192
## Live_BiomassLow 2787
## Live_BiomassHigh 3424
## Dead_BiomassLow 3335
## Dead_BiomassHigh 3070
## Litter_BiomassLow 3273
## Litter_BiomassHigh 2921
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring 2415
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 2300
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2918
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2633
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3249
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3358
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3144
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3311
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2945
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 1897
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2870
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3517
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3215
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3044
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 2614
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 2360
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 2617
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 2971
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 3530
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 3344
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow 1971
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 2144
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 3326
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 3170
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 3205
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 3320
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 1628
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 2286
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 3256
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 3140
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 2738
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 2951
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3220
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2736
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2601
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2770
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2930
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3146
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2127
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2217
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 2969
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 2847
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 2832
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 3011
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 2239
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 2508
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 2466
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 2919
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 1762
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 1896
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 2918
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 2943
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 0.07 0.00 0.07 0.08 1.00 3855 3368
## nu 1.77 0.08 1.62 1.95 1.00 4053 3360
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Surface Flame Length Table
FL Conditional Effects
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
GLMM Surface Fireline Intensity
Fireline Intensity Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: S_Fin ~ Status * Season * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Dead_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Live_Biomass + Status * Season * Dead_Biomass + Status * Season * Litter_Biomass
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 4374)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI
## Intercept 682.37 9.10 664.47
## StatusInvaded 195.94 17.30 161.72
## SeasonSpring 670.26 13.74 644.17
## SeasonWinter 226.00 13.96 199.24
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3.09 7.23 -10.39
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -239.14 7.71 -254.05
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 231.27 6.19 219.05
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -466.91 12.47 -491.45
## Live_BiomassLow 51.02 7.04 37.01
## Live_BiomassHigh -37.65 6.66 -50.78
## Dead_BiomassLow -26.89 6.88 -40.11
## Dead_BiomassHigh 84.93 6.98 71.37
## Litter_BiomassLow -299.61 7.81 -315.04
## Litter_BiomassHigh 173.36 6.99 159.56
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring 350.97 22.83 306.65
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 500.57 23.25 455.52
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 149.15 13.44 123.05
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 29.91 14.26 1.94
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 479.65 11.38 456.86
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 709.99 13.45 683.82
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -348.61 13.12 -374.34
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -282.76 11.93 -306.87
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 89.68 13.26 63.45
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -25.93 17.74 -61.12
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 39.42 13.19 12.77
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 125.07 11.15 103.41
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 294.43 15.43 263.34
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -380.73 19.56 -418.90
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow -131.19 14.62 -160.02
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 102.60 18.37 66.13
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 21.66 11.24 0.54
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -1.86 11.01 -22.61
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 9.04 10.99 -12.67
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 7.83 11.17 -13.65
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -269.54 14.90 -299.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 455.46 13.26 429.48
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow -56.39 11.26 -78.04
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow -22.35 11.19 -44.98
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 43.37 11.39 20.96
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 64.14 11.51 41.49
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow -183.67 16.65 -216.70
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 510.28 12.98 484.98
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow -194.21 12.89 -220.06
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 9.98 11.87 -13.48
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 232.49 11.45 209.68
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 168.20 12.39 144.52
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 1537.90 37.84 1461.88
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -463.71 21.38 -505.12
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 341.40 19.93 301.07
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 167.08 19.74 129.44
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -236.00 19.47 -273.59
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -37.10 19.19 -75.22
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -88.64 23.29 -135.33
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -28.00 27.15 -80.48
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow -144.75 19.49 -182.34
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -72.03 20.27 -112.45
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 115.01 22.52 71.55
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 121.89 22.40 77.89
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 196.72 19.96 157.72
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow -13.51 19.93 -52.59
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh -380.08 18.71 -417.15
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 17.32 19.94 -22.11
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 246.19 21.16 205.53
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow -114.39 21.95 -158.34
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 433.26 21.91 389.99
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -336.75 19.56 -376.40
## u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS
## Intercept 700.05 1.00 2151
## StatusInvaded 229.64 1.00 1860
## SeasonSpring 697.35 1.00 2521
## SeasonWinter 253.66 1.00 2367
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 17.44 1.00 2831
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -223.71 1.00 2987
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 243.52 1.00 4138
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -442.63 1.00 2848
## Live_BiomassLow 64.76 1.00 3377
## Live_BiomassHigh -24.62 1.00 3695
## Dead_BiomassLow -13.20 1.00 3383
## Dead_BiomassHigh 98.37 1.00 2900
## Litter_BiomassLow -284.49 1.00 3489
## Litter_BiomassHigh 187.01 1.00 3132
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring 395.98 1.00 1965
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 546.39 1.00 2063
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 175.60 1.00 3129
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 58.13 1.00 2619
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 501.26 1.00 3798
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 736.51 1.00 3530
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -322.47 1.00 3886
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -259.51 1.00 3448
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 115.00 1.00 3195
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 9.17 1.00 2737
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 65.40 1.00 4096
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 147.48 1.00 3798
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 324.37 1.00 3092
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -342.45 1.00 3458
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow -102.90 1.00 2930
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 138.91 1.00 2729
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 44.43 1.00 3406
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 20.62 1.00 3734
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 29.93 1.00 3646
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 30.12 1.00 4041
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -239.66 1.00 2877
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 482.66 1.00 2886
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow -34.45 1.00 3337
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow -0.77 1.00 3597
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 65.26 1.00 2984
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 86.23 1.00 3351
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow -150.10 1.00 2761
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 535.75 1.00 3011
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow -168.37 1.00 4297
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 32.69 1.00 3669
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 254.53 1.00 3926
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 192.41 1.00 4083
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 1605.82 1.00 4645
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -421.41 1.00 3622
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 380.41 1.00 3267
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 205.34 1.00 2996
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -197.20 1.00 3331
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.26 1.00 3446
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -43.12 1.00 2910
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 25.87 1.00 3341
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow -106.62 1.00 3126
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -32.29 1.00 2961
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 158.32 1.00 2686
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 166.28 1.00 2820
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 236.60 1.00 2982
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 25.20 1.00 2985
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh -344.36 1.00 3033
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 55.31 1.00 3382
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 288.07 1.00 3100
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow -71.72 1.00 3104
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 476.16 1.00 4046
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -299.26 1.00 3479
## Tail_ESS
## Intercept 3078
## StatusInvaded 2352
## SeasonSpring 3191
## SeasonWinter 2668
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3394
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3000
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2783
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2729
## Live_BiomassLow 3466
## Live_BiomassHigh 3392
## Dead_BiomassLow 3020
## Dead_BiomassHigh 3128
## Litter_BiomassLow 3131
## Litter_BiomassHigh 3330
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring 2480
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 2827
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2702
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2969
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3051
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3210
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3185
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3029
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3108
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2704
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3089
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3192
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2974
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2954
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 2307
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 2623
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 3134
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 3521
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 3200
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 3390
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow 3068
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 3119
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 3479
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 3081
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 3154
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 2886
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 2611
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 3142
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 3035
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 3156
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 3433
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 3355
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3356
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3110
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3165
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3422
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2912
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3109
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2952
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3165
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 3371
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 3128
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 2696
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 2706
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 3171
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 3421
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 2840
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 3535
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 2870
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 3134
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 3229
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 3222
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 73.57 2.49 68.89 78.55 1.00 3989 2855
## nu 1.13 0.04 1.05 1.21 1.00 3739 2139
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Surface Fireline Intensity Table
FI Conditional Effects
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
GLMM Crown Transition Ratio
Crown Transition Ratio Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: C_TR ~ Status * Season * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Dead_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Live_Biomass + Status * Season * Dead_Biomass + Status * Season * Litter_Biomass + Status * Season * TreeBH
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 4374)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI
## Intercept 0.40 0.02 0.36
## StatusInvaded 0.08 0.03 0.02
## SeasonSpring 0.60 0.02 0.56
## SeasonWinter 0.16 0.03 0.11
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.01 0.00 -0.00
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.05 0.01 -0.06
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.05 0.00 0.04
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.13 0.01 -0.14
## Live_BiomassLow 0.01 0.00 0.00
## Live_BiomassHigh -0.01 0.00 -0.02
## Dead_BiomassLow -0.01 0.00 -0.02
## Dead_BiomassHigh 0.02 0.00 0.01
## Litter_BiomassLow -0.06 0.01 -0.07
## Litter_BiomassHigh 0.04 0.00 0.03
## TreeBH -0.03 0.00 -0.03
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring 0.63 0.04 0.55
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 0.46 0.04 0.37
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.03 0.01 0.01
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.00 0.01 -0.01
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.11 0.01 0.10
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.15 0.01 0.14
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.10 0.01 -0.12
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.07 0.01 -0.09
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.02 0.01 0.01
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.01 0.01 -0.00
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.04 0.01 0.02
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.05 0.01 0.04
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.09 0.01 0.07
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.11 0.01 -0.13
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow -0.02 0.01 -0.03
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh -0.01 0.01 -0.03
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 0.01 0.01 -0.01
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 0.00 0.01 -0.02
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 0.00 0.01 -0.01
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.00 0.01 -0.01
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -0.06 0.01 -0.08
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.11 0.01 0.09
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow -0.02 0.01 -0.03
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow -0.00 0.01 -0.02
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.01 0.01 -0.00
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.01 0.01 -0.00
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow -0.05 0.01 -0.07
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.12 0.01 0.11
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow -0.06 0.01 -0.07
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 0.01 0.01 -0.00
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.07 0.01 0.06
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.03 0.01 0.02
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH -0.00 0.00 -0.01
## SeasonSpring:TreeBH -0.05 0.00 -0.05
## SeasonWinter:TreeBH -0.01 0.00 -0.02
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.34 0.02 0.31
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.09 0.01 -0.11
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.07 0.01 0.04
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.04 0.01 0.01
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.06 0.01 -0.09
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.02 0.01 -0.05
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.09 0.01 -0.12
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.00 0.01 -0.03
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow -0.09 0.01 -0.11
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -0.03 0.01 -0.06
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 0.12 0.01 0.09
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.05 0.01 0.03
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 0.03 0.01 0.01
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow -0.00 0.01 -0.03
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.07 0.01 -0.10
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.00 0.01 -0.02
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow -0.00 0.01 -0.03
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow -0.03 0.01 -0.06
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.04 0.01 0.02
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -0.08 0.01 -0.10
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:TreeBH -0.05 0.00 -0.06
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:TreeBH -0.04 0.00 -0.05
## u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS
## Intercept 0.44 1.00 1727
## StatusInvaded 0.13 1.00 1399
## SeasonSpring 0.65 1.00 1685
## SeasonWinter 0.21 1.00 1811
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.02 1.00 2803
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.04 1.00 2608
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.06 1.00 2982
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.12 1.00 2274
## Live_BiomassLow 0.02 1.00 2698
## Live_BiomassHigh 0.00 1.00 2646
## Dead_BiomassLow 0.00 1.00 2593
## Dead_BiomassHigh 0.03 1.00 2666
## Litter_BiomassLow -0.05 1.00 2106
## Litter_BiomassHigh 0.05 1.00 2703
## TreeBH -0.02 1.00 1961
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring 0.70 1.00 1377
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 0.54 1.00 1575
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.04 1.00 2693
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.02 1.00 2378
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.13 1.00 3067
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.17 1.00 2736
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.08 1.00 2670
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.05 1.00 2760
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.04 1.00 2794
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.03 1.00 2021
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.05 1.00 3056
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.07 1.00 3306
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.11 1.00 2601
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.09 1.00 2525
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow -0.00 1.00 2643
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 0.01 1.00 2488
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 0.02 1.00 2722
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 0.02 1.00 2751
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 0.02 1.00 2875
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.02 1.00 2795
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -0.05 1.00 2451
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.13 1.00 2789
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow -0.00 1.00 2759
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.01 1.00 2852
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.03 1.00 2571
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.03 1.00 3194
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow -0.03 1.00 2169
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.14 1.00 2560
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow -0.04 1.00 2394
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 0.03 1.00 2434
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.09 1.00 3023
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.05 1.00 2953
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH 0.00 1.00 1624
## SeasonSpring:TreeBH -0.05 1.00 2049
## SeasonWinter:TreeBH -0.01 1.00 2073
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.37 1.00 3445
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.06 1.00 2703
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.09 1.00 2582
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.06 1.00 2362
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.03 1.00 2820
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 1.00 2831
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.07 1.00 2269
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.03 1.00 2200
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow -0.06 1.00 2848
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -0.01 1.00 2646
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 0.14 1.00 2881
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.08 1.00 2670
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 0.06 1.00 2631
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.02 1.00 2697
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.04 1.00 2579
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.02 1.00 2859
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 0.03 1.00 2416
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow -0.01 1.00 2613
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.07 1.00 2705
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -0.05 1.00 2726
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:TreeBH -0.05 1.00 1725
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:TreeBH -0.03 1.00 1798
## Tail_ESS
## Intercept 2428
## StatusInvaded 2079
## SeasonSpring 2282
## SeasonWinter 2565
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3025
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2706
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2818
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2588
## Live_BiomassLow 3312
## Live_BiomassHigh 3012
## Dead_BiomassLow 3069
## Dead_BiomassHigh 2732
## Litter_BiomassLow 2708
## Litter_BiomassHigh 2960
## TreeBH 2606
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring 1616
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 2370
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2918
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2636
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3086
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2914
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2505
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2737
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2960
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2829
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2972
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2993
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2851
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2600
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 2747
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 2734
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 3091
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 2934
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 2659
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 3018
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow 3000
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 3190
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 3099
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 3183
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 2586
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 3050
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 2690
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 2527
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 3190
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 2976
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 2917
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 2881
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH 2425
## SeasonSpring:TreeBH 2766
## SeasonWinter:TreeBH 2778
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2799
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2735
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2986
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2863
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2897
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3089
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2435
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2749
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 3347
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 3104
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 3130
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 2963
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 3034
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 2969
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 3213
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 3251
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 3005
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 3177
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 2936
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 2636
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:TreeBH 2182
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:TreeBH 2385
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 0.05 0.00 0.05 0.05 1.00 4564 2828
## nu 1.02 0.02 1.00 1.06 1.00 2673 1864
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Transition Ratio Table
Transition Ratio Conditional Effects
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
GLMM Crown Fire Active Ratio
Crown Fire Active Ratio Model Comparison
## Warning: Parts of the model have not converged (some Rhats are > 1.05). Be
## careful when analysing the results! We recommend running more iterations and/or
## setting stronger priors.## Warning: There were 195 divergent transitions after warmup. Increasing
## adapt_delta above 0.8 may help. See
## http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: C_AR ~ Status * Season * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Dead_Fuel_Moisture
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 4374)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI
## Intercept 0.09 0.02 0.05
## StatusInvaded -0.03 0.02 -0.04
## SeasonSpring 0.09 0.02 0.08
## SeasonWinter -0.09 0.02 -0.10
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.04 0.07 -0.00
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.03 0.02 -0.04
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.02 0.05 -0.06
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.09 0.02 -0.10
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring -0.00 0.02 -0.04
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 0.05 0.02 0.01
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.04 0.07 -0.16
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.02 0.02 -0.01
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.01 0.07 -0.11
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.04 0.07 -0.16
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.02 0.02 -0.05
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.03 0.02 -0.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.05 0.05 0.02
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.03 0.02 -0.01
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.01 0.05 -0.02
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.15 0.05 0.12
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.06 0.02 0.02
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.09 0.02 0.05
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.08 0.07 0.04
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.04 0.07 -0.00
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.02 0.02 0.01
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.02 0.02 -0.03
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.07 0.05 -0.15
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.10 0.05 -0.18
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.01 0.02 -0.02
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.05 0.02 -0.06
## u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS
## Intercept 0.10 1.60 7
## StatusInvaded 0.01 1.61 7
## SeasonSpring 0.13 1.60 7
## SeasonWinter -0.05 1.62 7
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.16 1.67 7
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.00 1.62 7
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.05 1.69 7
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.05 1.61 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring 0.01 1.63 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 0.06 1.61 7
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 1.68 7
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.03 1.62 7
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.05 1.68 7
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 1.68 7
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.01 1.60 7
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.04 1.63 7
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.13 1.69 7
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.04 1.62 7
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.09 1.71 7
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.23 1.68 7
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.07 1.62 7
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.10 1.62 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.20 1.68 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.16 1.67 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.05 1.60 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.01 1.60 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.04 1.70 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.07 1.66 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.03 1.62 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.01 1.63 7
## Tail_ESS
## Intercept 34
## StatusInvaded 31
## SeasonSpring 30
## SeasonWinter 30
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 12
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 31
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 12
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 29
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring 29
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 31
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 12
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 28
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 12
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 12
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 29
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 30
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 12
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 28
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 12
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 12
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 29
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 32
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 12
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 12
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 29
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 31
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 12
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 12
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 34
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 30
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.02 5 11
## nu 1.60 0.49 1.11 2.42 4.05 4 13
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Active Ratio Table
Active Ratio Conditional Effects
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
GLMM Crown Fire Rate of Spread
Crown Fire Rate of Spread Model Comparison
## Warning: Parts of the model have not converged (some Rhats are > 1.05). Be
## careful when analysing the results! We recommend running more iterations and/or
## setting stronger priors.## Warning: There were 108 divergent transitions after warmup. Increasing
## adapt_delta above 0.8 may help. See
## http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: C_ROS ~ Status * Season * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Dead_Fuel_Moisture
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 4374)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI
## Intercept 0.95 0.22 0.60
## StatusInvaded -0.25 0.22 -0.50
## SeasonSpring 1.32 0.25 1.00
## SeasonWinter -0.95 0.22 -1.20
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 0.00 -0.00
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.30 0.17 -0.40
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.85 0.22 0.60
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.85 0.26 -1.20
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring -0.12 0.25 -0.50
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 0.45 0.22 0.10
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.00 0.00 -0.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.20 0.17 -0.10
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.34 0.11 0.14
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.00 0.00 -0.00
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.51 0.17 -0.80
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.10 0.33 -0.40
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.05 0.22 -0.40
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.15 0.26 -0.10
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.49 0.46 -1.00
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 1.25 0.22 0.90
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.54 0.39 0.20
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.85 0.26 0.60
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.66 0.11 0.60
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 0.00 -0.00
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.41 0.17 0.30
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.00 0.33 -0.30
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.21 0.46 -0.96
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.55 0.22 -0.80
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.04 0.39 -0.66
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.35 0.26 -0.70
## u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS
## Intercept 1.20 2.41 5
## StatusInvaded 0.10 2.41 5
## SeasonSpring 1.70 2.41 5
## SeasonWinter -0.60 2.41 5
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 1.09 2405
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.00 1.57 7
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 1.20 2.41 5
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.60 2.10 5
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring 0.20 2.41 5
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 0.70 2.41 5
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 1.06 2422
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.30 1.57 7
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.40 1.59 7
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 1.06 2708
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.40 2.12 5
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.40 2.11 5
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.20 2.41 5
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.50 2.10 5
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.26 2.58 5
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 1.50 2.41 5
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 1.16 2.21 5
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 1.20 2.10 5
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.86 1.58 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 1.05 2769
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.70 2.12 5
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.50 2.35 5
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.30 2.58 5
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.20 2.41 5
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.30 2.21 5
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.10 2.10 5
## Tail_ESS
## Intercept 27
## StatusInvaded 29
## SeasonSpring 28
## SeasonWinter 29
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 224
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 30
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 28
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 35
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring 30
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 28
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 258
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 30
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 14
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 187
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 28
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 30
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 29
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 28
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 14
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 29
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 14
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 31
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 13
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 1298
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 29
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 32
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 14
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 28
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 14
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 27
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.67 5 11
## nu 1.16 0.09 1.00 1.24 3.37 4 15
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Crown Fire Rate of Spread Table
Crown ROS Conditional Effects
## Warning: Removed 1 row containing missing values or values outside the scale range
## (`geom_point()`).## Warning: Removed 1 row containing missing values or values outside the scale range
## (`geom_line()`).## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
GLMM Crown Fire Intensity
Crown Fire Intensity Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: C_Fin ~ Status * Season * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Dead_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Live_Biomass + Status * Season * Dead_Biomass + Status * Season * Litter_Biomass + Status * Season * TreeBH
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 4374)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI
## Intercept 318.59 10.19 298.28
## StatusInvaded -145.81 15.30 -175.50
## SeasonSpring 321.14 18.80 282.56
## SeasonWinter -320.55 12.17 -344.41
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.19 4.77 -9.20
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -480.06 7.75 -495.98
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 674.72 6.56 661.98
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -922.10 7.74 -937.17
## Live_BiomassLow -8.43 5.20 -18.55
## Live_BiomassHigh 7.76 5.21 -2.34
## Dead_BiomassLow -7.00 5.28 -17.18
## Dead_BiomassHigh 21.01 5.26 10.81
## Litter_BiomassLow -91.43 5.95 -102.68
## Litter_BiomassHigh 34.75 5.15 24.98
## TreeBH 130.33 1.08 128.23
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring 179.64 24.56 132.10
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 269.61 20.03 231.84
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 53.51 8.04 37.46
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 415.46 9.98 396.60
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 569.96 11.46 548.08
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.09 5.98 -11.77
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -380.63 15.18 -408.80
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 478.86 8.60 462.91
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 401.63 15.21 370.27
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 165.82 13.68 139.84
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -179.72 11.98 -204.48
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 1052.57 25.15 996.49
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 560.41 13.10 534.60
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 922.06 8.31 905.39
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 13.05 7.99 -2.59
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh -13.83 8.17 -30.06
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow -5.42 8.43 -21.88
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 8.40 6.25 -3.86
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 9.43 8.58 -7.51
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh -7.70 6.32 -20.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -27.03 8.08 -42.74
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 41.36 8.20 25.18
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow -19.43 8.34 -35.28
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 7.02 6.37 -5.56
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 17.79 8.45 1.70
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -20.70 6.24 -32.89
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 27.13 8.54 10.04
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 35.36 8.02 19.55
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow -60.85 9.90 -80.42
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 90.17 6.93 76.25
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 107.20 9.17 89.09
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -33.64 6.36 -46.22
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH -62.35 1.61 -65.53
## SeasonSpring:TreeBH 103.84 2.20 99.56
## SeasonWinter:TreeBH -130.04 1.25 -132.47
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 535.87 21.48 491.58
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -28.70 10.53 -49.16
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 256.26 16.91 221.77
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -440.47 11.77 -463.37
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -798.57 18.81 -835.26
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -349.29 32.57 -410.71
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -73.62 18.25 -109.92
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -422.42 14.76 -451.33
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow -20.17 11.50 -42.32
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -13.21 10.08 -33.25
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 25.36 11.66 3.07
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 15.46 10.17 -4.57
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 24.41 11.35 2.28
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 19.56 10.16 -0.50
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh -43.77 11.50 -65.84
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -29.71 10.22 -49.54
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 46.74 12.66 22.67
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow -38.24 10.68 -59.29
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 44.35 12.20 19.24
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -24.80 10.33 -44.88
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:TreeBH 16.74 2.75 11.25
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:TreeBH 79.06 2.10 74.96
## u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS
## Intercept 338.02 1.00 2152
## StatusInvaded -116.37 1.00 1956
## SeasonSpring 356.29 1.00 2449
## SeasonWinter -296.51 1.00 2280
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 9.84 1.00 3289
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -465.51 1.00 2177
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 687.87 1.00 2941
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -906.80 1.00 2454
## Live_BiomassLow 1.81 1.00 2232
## Live_BiomassHigh 18.02 1.00 2327
## Dead_BiomassLow 3.70 1.00 2533
## Dead_BiomassHigh 31.45 1.00 2644
## Litter_BiomassLow -79.31 1.00 2669
## Litter_BiomassHigh 45.09 1.00 2857
## TreeBH 132.48 1.00 2576
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring 229.08 1.00 2117
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 308.18 1.00 2139
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 69.24 1.00 3358
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 435.67 1.00 2267
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 592.78 1.00 3574
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 11.78 1.00 3232
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -348.93 1.00 2680
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 496.44 1.00 2220
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 430.30 1.00 3988
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 192.67 1.00 2963
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -157.35 1.00 3104
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 1095.95 1.00 4214
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 585.85 1.00 3029
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 938.58 1.00 2704
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 28.49 1.00 2437
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 2.29 1.00 2656
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 11.05 1.00 2781
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 20.64 1.00 2496
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 26.13 1.00 2871
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 4.91 1.00 2741
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -11.24 1.00 2832
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 57.04 1.00 2568
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow -2.67 1.00 2646
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 19.59 1.00 2682
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 34.37 1.00 2972
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -8.35 1.00 2814
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 43.36 1.00 2696
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 50.98 1.00 2829
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow -41.28 1.00 2949
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 103.46 1.00 2879
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 125.30 1.00 2973
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -21.28 1.00 3130
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH -59.24 1.00 2316
## SeasonSpring:TreeBH 108.23 1.00 2717
## SeasonWinter:TreeBH -127.59 1.00 2580
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 576.13 1.00 4533
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -8.37 1.00 3220
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 287.80 1.00 2630
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -417.89 1.00 2356
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -759.72 1.00 3285
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -281.72 1.00 3965
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -38.40 1.00 2994
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -393.53 1.00 3179
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 3.21 1.00 2522
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 6.28 1.00 2764
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 48.75 1.00 2815
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 35.47 1.00 2785
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 46.92 1.00 2711
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 39.65 1.00 3121
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh -21.63 1.00 2863
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -9.77 1.00 2808
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 71.69 1.00 3006
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow -16.97 1.00 3052
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 67.94 1.00 3046
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -5.47 1.00 2922
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:TreeBH 22.29 1.00 2389
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:TreeBH 83.12 1.00 2486
## Tail_ESS
## Intercept 3090
## StatusInvaded 2689
## SeasonSpring 2951
## SeasonWinter 2880
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3056
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2645
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2886
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2701
## Live_BiomassLow 2848
## Live_BiomassHigh 2948
## Dead_BiomassLow 3066
## Dead_BiomassHigh 3103
## Litter_BiomassLow 3157
## Litter_BiomassHigh 3089
## TreeBH 3299
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring 2254
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 2938
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2788
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2681
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3052
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2838
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2845
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2596
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3363
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3214
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3009
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2751
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3071
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2534
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 2911
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 3194
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 2933
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 3051
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 3115
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 2673
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow 3020
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 3061
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 2944
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 2764
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 2833
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 3135
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 3430
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 2861
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 3265
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 3087
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 3230
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 2901
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH 3100
## SeasonSpring:TreeBH 3135
## SeasonWinter:TreeBH 2898
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3358
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3253
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2792
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2920
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2990
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3266
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3085
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2943
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 2652
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 3116
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 2974
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 3001
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 2873
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 3387
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 2960
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 3117
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 3286
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 2944
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 3064
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 3298
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:TreeBH 2525
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:TreeBH 2915
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 44.41 1.21 42.03 46.82 1.00 6237 3205
## nu 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.01 1.00 3945 1956
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Crown Fire Intensity Table
Crown Fire Intensity Conditional Effects
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
GLMM Crown Fire Flame Length
Crown Fire Flame Length Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: C_FL ~ Status * Season * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Dead_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Live_Biomass + Status * Season * Dead_Biomass + Status * Season * Litter_Biomass + Status * Season * TreeBH
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 4374)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI
## Intercept 1.47 0.02 1.44
## StatusInvaded -0.51 0.03 -0.56
## SeasonSpring 0.92 0.03 0.86
## SeasonWinter -1.48 0.02 -1.52
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 0.01 -0.02
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.80 0.01 -0.83
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 1.07 0.01 1.05
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -2.49 0.01 -2.52
## Live_BiomassLow -0.01 0.01 -0.03
## Live_BiomassHigh 0.01 0.01 -0.01
## Dead_BiomassLow -0.01 0.01 -0.03
## Dead_BiomassHigh 0.03 0.01 0.02
## Litter_BiomassLow -0.16 0.01 -0.18
## Litter_BiomassHigh 0.05 0.01 0.03
## TreeBH 0.22 0.00 0.22
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring 0.42 0.04 0.34
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 1.12 0.04 1.05
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.11 0.01 0.08
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.66 0.02 0.62
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.80 0.02 0.76
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 0.01 -0.02
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.38 0.02 -0.42
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.80 0.01 0.78
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.71 0.02 0.68
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.28 0.03 0.23
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.47 0.01 -0.50
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2.78 0.04 2.69
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 1.96 0.02 1.92
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2.49 0.01 2.47
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 0.02 0.01 -0.01
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh -0.02 0.01 -0.04
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow -0.00 0.01 -0.03
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 0.01 0.01 -0.01
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 0.02 0.01 -0.01
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh -0.01 0.01 -0.03
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -0.08 0.01 -0.11
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.08 0.02 0.05
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow -0.02 0.01 -0.05
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.01 0.01 -0.01
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.02 0.01 -0.01
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.03 0.01 -0.06
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 0.01 0.02 -0.01
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.10 0.01 0.07
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow -0.04 0.02 -0.07
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 0.16 0.01 0.13
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.15 0.01 0.12
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -0.05 0.01 -0.07
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH -0.08 0.00 -0.08
## SeasonSpring:TreeBH 0.09 0.00 0.08
## SeasonWinter:TreeBH -0.22 0.00 -0.23
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.58 0.03 0.53
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.03 0.02 -0.07
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.28 0.02 0.23
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.74 0.02 -0.78
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -1.17 0.02 -1.21
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -1.40 0.06 -1.50
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.12 0.03 -0.18
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -1.37 0.03 -1.43
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow -0.03 0.02 -0.07
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -0.02 0.02 -0.06
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 0.04 0.02 -0.00
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.02 0.02 -0.02
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 0.07 0.02 0.04
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.05 0.02 0.01
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.08 0.02 -0.12
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.04 0.02 -0.08
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 0.07 0.02 0.03
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow -0.06 0.02 -0.09
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.02 0.02 -0.02
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -0.06 0.02 -0.10
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:TreeBH 0.03 0.00 0.02
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:TreeBH 0.13 0.00 0.13
## u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS
## Intercept 1.51 1.00 2231
## StatusInvaded -0.45 1.00 2107
## SeasonSpring 0.99 1.00 2336
## SeasonWinter -1.44 1.00 2506
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.02 1.00 3206
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.78 1.00 2388
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 1.09 1.00 3249
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -2.47 1.00 2693
## Live_BiomassLow 0.00 1.00 2520
## Live_BiomassHigh 0.02 1.00 2266
## Dead_BiomassLow 0.01 1.00 2161
## Dead_BiomassHigh 0.05 1.00 2120
## Litter_BiomassLow -0.14 1.00 2369
## Litter_BiomassHigh 0.07 1.00 2681
## TreeBH 0.23 1.00 2911
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring 0.50 1.00 2136
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 1.20 1.00 2262
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.14 1.00 2980
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.69 1.00 2425
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.84 1.00 2484
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.02 1.00 3191
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.35 1.00 2436
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.83 1.00 2489
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.74 1.00 3237
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.33 1.00 2734
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.44 1.00 3173
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2.85 1.00 3878
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2.01 1.00 2401
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2.52 1.00 2769
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 0.05 1.00 2550
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 0.01 1.00 2088
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 0.02 1.00 2821
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 0.03 1.00 2589
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 0.04 1.00 2606
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.01 1.00 2456
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -0.05 1.00 2120
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.11 1.00 2080
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 0.00 1.00 2563
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.03 1.00 2301
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.05 1.00 2555
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.01 1.00 2225
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 0.05 1.00 2239
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.13 1.00 2444
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow -0.01 1.00 2664
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 0.18 1.00 2491
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.18 1.00 3168
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -0.03 1.00 2822
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH -0.07 1.00 2546
## SeasonSpring:TreeBH 0.10 1.00 2571
## SeasonWinter:TreeBH -0.22 1.00 3335
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.63 1.00 2831
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.01 1.00 3240
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.32 1.00 2437
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.71 1.00 2560
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -1.12 1.00 3151
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -1.28 1.00 3917
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.05 1.00 2497
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -1.31 1.00 2955
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 0.00 1.00 2438
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 0.01 1.00 2626
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 0.07 1.00 2329
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.05 1.00 2313
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 0.11 1.00 2233
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.09 1.00 2240
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.04 1.00 2303
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.00 1.00 2438
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 0.11 1.00 2465
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow -0.02 1.00 2345
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.06 1.00 2825
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -0.03 1.00 2886
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:TreeBH 0.04 1.00 2366
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:TreeBH 0.14 1.00 2781
## Tail_ESS
## Intercept 3105
## StatusInvaded 2593
## SeasonSpring 3062
## SeasonWinter 3087
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3185
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3103
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3411
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2838
## Live_BiomassLow 3148
## Live_BiomassHigh 2875
## Dead_BiomassLow 2749
## Dead_BiomassHigh 2572
## Litter_BiomassLow 2782
## Litter_BiomassHigh 2867
## TreeBH 3357
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring 2626
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 2673
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3230
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2895
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3163
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3155
## SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3056
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3204
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3211
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2899
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3272
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2853
## SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3038
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2863
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 3122
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 2596
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 2990
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 2881
## SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 3101
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 2893
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow 2382
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 2361
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 3000
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 3028
## SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 2995
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 2648
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 2867
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 2941
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 2932
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 2966
## SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 2850
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 3222
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH 2937
## SeasonSpring:TreeBH 2714
## SeasonWinter:TreeBH 3384
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3185
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3306
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2629
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3058
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3246
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3030
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2770
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3018
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassLow 3138
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 3306
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Live_BiomassHigh 2976
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 2616
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassLow 2429
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 2544
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Dead_BiomassHigh 2771
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 2760
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassLow 2982
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 2831
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:Litter_BiomassHigh 2904
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 3240
## StatusInvaded:SeasonSpring:TreeBH 2414
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:TreeBH 2916
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 0.07 0.00 0.07 0.07 1.00 6956 2809
## nu 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.01 1.00 4471 2000
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Crown Flame Length Table
Crown Fire Flame Length Conditional Effects
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?