Network SIA Model
Mitchell Blount
December 7, 2015
Load add-on packages - deSolve - contains lsoda function - differential equation solver.
library (deSolve)## Warning: package 'deSolve' was built under R version 3.1.3##
## Attaching package: 'deSolve'
##
## The following object is masked from 'package:graphics':
##
## matplotlibrary (EpiModel)## Warning: package 'EpiModel' was built under R version 3.1.3## Loading required package: networkDynamic## Warning: package 'networkDynamic' was built under R version 3.1.3## Loading required package: network## Warning: package 'network' was built under R version 3.1.3## network: Classes for Relational Data
## Version 1.13.0 created on 2015-08-31.
## copyright (c) 2005, Carter T. Butts, University of California-Irvine
## Mark S. Handcock, University of California -- Los Angeles
## David R. Hunter, Penn State University
## Martina Morris, University of Washington
## Skye Bender-deMoll, University of Washington
## For citation information, type citation("network").
## Type help("network-package") to get started.
##
##
## networkDynamic: version 0.8.1, created on 2015-10-06
## Copyright (c) 2015, Carter T. Butts, University of California -- Irvine
## Ayn Leslie-Cook, University of Washington
## Pavel N. Krivitsky, University of Wollongong
## Skye Bender-deMoll, University of Washington
## with contributions from
## Zack Almquist, University of California -- Irvine
## David R. Hunter, Penn State University
## Li Wang
## Kirk Li, University of Washington
## Steven M. Goodreau, University of Washington
## Jeffrey Horner
## Martina Morris, University of Washington
## Based on "statnet" project software (statnet.org).
## For license and citation information see statnet.org/attribution
## or type citation("networkDynamic").
##
## Loading required package: tergm## Warning: package 'tergm' was built under R version 3.1.3## Loading required package: statnet.common## Warning: package 'statnet.common' was built under R version 3.1.3## Loading required package: ergm## Warning: package 'ergm' was built under R version 3.1.3##
## ergm: version 3.5.1, created on 2015-10-18
## Copyright (c) 2015, Mark S. Handcock, University of California -- Los Angeles
## David R. Hunter, Penn State University
## Carter T. Butts, University of California -- Irvine
## Steven M. Goodreau, University of Washington
## Pavel N. Krivitsky, University of Wollongong
## Martina Morris, University of Washington
## with contributions from
## Li Wang
## Kirk Li, University of Washington
## Skye Bender-deMoll, University of Washington
## Based on "statnet" project software (statnet.org).
## For license and citation information see statnet.org/attribution
## or type citation("ergm").
##
## NOTE: If you use custom ERGM terms based on 'ergm.userterms'
## version prior to 3.1, you will need to perform a one-time update
## of the package boilerplate files (the files that you did not write
## or modify) from 'ergm.userterms' 3.1 or later. See
## help('eut-upgrade') for instructions.
##
##
## tergm: version 3.3.1, created on 2015-10-25
## Copyright (c) 2015, Pavel N. Krivitsky, University of Wollongong
## Mark S. Handcock, University of California -- Los Angeles
## with contributions from
## David R. Hunter, Penn State University
## Steven M. Goodreau, University of Washington
## Martina Morris, University of Washington
## Nicole Bohme Carnegie, New York University
## Carter T. Butts, University of California -- Irvine
## Ayn Leslie-Cook, University of Washington
## Skye Bender-deMoll
## Li Wang
## Kirk Li, University of Washington
## Based on "statnet" project software (statnet.org).
## For license and citation information see statnet.org/attribution
## or type citation("tergm").Set Network Structure
nw <- network.initialize(n = 150, directed = FALSE)
nw <- set.vertex.attribute(nw, "race", rep(0:1, each = 75))Formulate Partnership Formation
formation <- ~edges + nodefactor("race") + nodematch("race") + concurrentCalculate the target statistics
target.stats <- c(30, 30, 23, 25)coef.diss <- dissolution_coefs(dissolution = ~offset(edges), duration = 15)
coef.diss## Dissolution Coefficients
## =======================
## Dissolution Model: ~offset(edges)
## Target Statistics: 15
## Crude Coefficient: 2.639057
## Mortality/Exit Rate: 0
## Adjusted Coefficient: 2.639057Fit Model
function (nw, formation, target.stats, coef.diss, constraints,
coef.form = NULL, edapprox = TRUE, output = "fit", set.control.ergm,
set.control.stergm, nonconv.error = FALSE, verbose = FALSE)
NULL ## function (nw, formation, target.stats, coef.diss, constraints,
## coef.form = NULL, edapprox = TRUE, output = "fit", set.control.ergm,
## set.control.stergm, nonconv.error = FALSE, verbose = FALSE)
## NULLest1 <- netest(nw, formation, target.stats, coef.diss, edapprox = TRUE)## Starting maximum likelihood estimation via MCMLE:
## Iteration 1 of at most 20:
## The log-likelihood improved by 5.999
## Iteration 2 of at most 20:
## The log-likelihood improved by 4.37
## Iteration 3 of at most 20:
## The log-likelihood improved by 0.7782
## Step length converged once. Increasing MCMC sample size.
## Iteration 4 of at most 20:
## The log-likelihood improved by 0.02989
## Step length converged twice. Stopping.
##
## This model was fit using MCMC. To examine model diagnostics and check for degeneracy, use the mcmc.diagnostics() function.Simulate Model Fit Dynamics
dx <- netdx(est1, nsims = 5, nsteps = 120,
nwstats.formula = ~edges + nodefactor("race", base = 0) +
nodematch("race") + concurrent)##
## Network Diagnostics
## -----------------------
## - Simulating 5 networks
## |*****|
## - Calculating formation statistics
## - Calculating duration statistics
## |*****|
## - Calculating dissolution statistics
## |*****|
## Print output
dx## EpiModel Network Diagnostics
## =======================
## Diagnostic Method: Dynamic
## Simulations: 5
## Time Steps per Sim: 120
##
## Formation Diagnostics
## -----------------------
## Target Sim Mean Pct Diff Sim SD
## edges 30 32.340 0.078 10.669
## nodefactor.race.0 NA 32.588 NA 14.515
## nodefactor.race.1 30 32.092 0.070 10.462
## nodematch.race 23 24.055 0.046 9.280
## concurrent 25 25.488 0.020 9.589
##
## Dissolution Diagnostics
## -----------------------
## Target Sim Mean Pct Diff Sim SD
## Edge Duration 15.000 12.688 -0.154 12.227
## Pct Edges Diss 0.067 0.069 0.033 0.046The simualted mean of edges, 33.455, is higher than the target mean of 30. This trend is consistent with the nodes of each race and the number of concurrent being higher than the target. We expect about a 7% of edge dissolve each day. There is a simmualted mean dissolution of edges of about 8% per day.
Plot Diagnostics
par(mar = c(3,3,1,1), mgp = c(2,1,0))
plot(dx)
par(mfrow = c(1, 2))
plot(dx, type = "duration")
plot(dx, type = "dissolution")
Epidemic Simulation
param <- param.net(inf.prob = 0.4, act.rate = 4, rec.rate = 0.125)init <- init.net(i.num = 15)control <- control.net(type = "SIA", nsteps = 120, nsims = 5, epi.by = "race")Simulate Model
sim1 <- netsim(est1, param, init, control)##
## * Starting Network Simulation
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 2/120
## Incidence: 4
## Prevalence: 19
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 3/120
## Incidence: 5
## Prevalence: 24
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 4/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 26
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 5/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 26
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 6/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 26
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 7/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 26
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 8/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 26
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 9/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 28
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 10/120
## Incidence: 4
## Prevalence: 32
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 11/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 35
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 12/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 38
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 13/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 41
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 14/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 42
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 15/120
## Incidence: 4
## Prevalence: 46
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 16/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 49
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 17/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 50
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 18/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 51
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 19/120
## Incidence: 5
## Prevalence: 56
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 20/120
## Incidence: 4
## Prevalence: 60
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 21/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 62
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 22/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 65
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 23/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 65
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 24/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 66
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 25/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 67
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 26/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 70
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 27/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 72
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 28/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 74
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 29/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 75
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 30/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 76
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 31/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 76
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 32/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 76
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 33/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 78
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 34/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 78
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 35/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 78
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 36/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 79
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 37/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 79
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 38/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 79
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 39/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 79
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 40/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 79
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 41/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 81
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 42/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 82
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 43/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 82
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 44/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 82
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 45/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 82
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 46/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 84
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 47/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 84
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 48/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 85
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 49/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 50/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 87
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 51/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 88
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 52/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 90
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 53/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 90
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 54/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 90
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 55/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 90
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 56/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 90
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 57/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 90
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 58/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 90
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 59/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 90
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 60/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 90
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 61/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 90
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 62/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 90
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 63/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 90
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 64/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 90
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 65/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 90
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 66/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 90
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 67/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 90
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 68/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 90
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 69/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 90
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 70/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 91
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 71/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 91
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 72/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 91
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 73/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 91
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 74/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 93
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 75/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 95
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 76/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 96
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 77/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 96
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 78/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 97
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 79/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 97
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 80/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 97
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 81/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 98
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 82/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 98
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 83/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 99
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 84/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 99
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 85/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 99
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 86/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 99
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 87/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 100
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 88/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 100
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 89/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 101
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 90/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 91/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 92/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 93/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 94/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 102
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 95/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 102
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 96/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 102
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 97/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 102
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 98/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 103
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 99/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 103
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 100/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 103
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 101/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 103
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 102/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 103
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 103/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 103
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 104/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 104
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 105/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 104
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 106/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 104
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 107/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 104
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 108/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 104
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 109/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 105
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 110/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 106
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 111/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 107
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 112/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 107
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 113/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 107
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 114/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 107
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 115/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 108
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 116/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 109
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 117/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 109
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 118/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 110
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 119/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 110
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 120/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 110
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 2/120
## Incidence: 5
## Prevalence: 20
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 3/120
## Incidence: 5
## Prevalence: 25
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 4/120
## Incidence: 4
## Prevalence: 29
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 5/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 30
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 6/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 31
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 7/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 31
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 8/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 31
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 9/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 31
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 10/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 31
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 11/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 32
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 12/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 33
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 13/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 34
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 14/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 35
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 15/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 38
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 16/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 40
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 17/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 43
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 18/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 44
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 19/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 44
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 20/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 45
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 21/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 47
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 22/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 49
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 23/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 52
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 24/120
## Incidence: 4
## Prevalence: 56
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 25/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 57
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 26/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 57
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 27/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 59
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 28/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 60
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 29/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 60
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 30/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 60
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 31/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 63
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 32/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 65
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 33/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 65
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 34/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 66
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 35/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 67
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 36/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 67
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 37/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 67
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 38/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 67
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 39/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 67
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 40/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 67
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 41/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 67
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 42/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 67
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 43/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 67
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 44/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 68
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 45/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 70
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 46/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 70
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 47/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 71
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 48/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 71
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 49/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 71
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 50/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 72
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 51/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 73
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 52/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 73
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 53/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 73
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 54/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 73
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 55/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 75
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 56/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 76
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 57/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 76
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 58/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 78
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 59/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 79
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 60/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 81
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 61/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 83
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 62/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 83
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 63/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 83
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 64/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 85
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 65/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 66/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 67/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 68/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 69/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 70/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 87
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 71/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 88
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 72/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 88
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 73/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 88
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 74/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 88
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 75/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 88
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 76/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 88
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 77/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 89
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 78/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 89
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 79/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 89
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 80/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 89
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 81/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 89
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 82/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 90
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 83/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 92
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 84/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 93
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 85/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 93
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 86/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 93
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 87/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 93
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 88/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 93
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 89/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 93
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 90/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 93
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 91/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 93
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 92/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 93
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 93/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 93
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 94/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 94
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 95/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 94
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 96/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 94
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 97/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 94
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 98/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 94
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 99/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 94
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 100/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 94
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 101/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 94
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 102/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 94
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 103/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 94
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 104/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 94
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 105/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 94
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 106/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 94
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 107/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 94
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 108/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 94
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 109/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 94
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 110/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 94
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 111/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 94
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 112/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 95
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 113/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 95
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 114/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 95
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 115/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 95
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 116/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 95
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 117/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 95
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 118/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 95
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 119/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 95
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 120/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 96
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 2/120
## Incidence: 6
## Prevalence: 21
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 3/120
## Incidence: 5
## Prevalence: 26
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 4/120
## Incidence: 5
## Prevalence: 31
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 5/120
## Incidence: 5
## Prevalence: 36
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 6/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 39
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 7/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 40
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 8/120
## Incidence: 4
## Prevalence: 44
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 9/120
## Incidence: 4
## Prevalence: 48
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 10/120
## Incidence: 5
## Prevalence: 53
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 11/120
## Incidence: 4
## Prevalence: 57
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 12/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 58
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 13/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 58
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 14/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 58
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 15/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 58
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 16/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 58
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 17/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 58
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 18/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 58
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 19/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 59
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 20/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 60
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 21/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 62
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 22/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 62
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 23/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 63
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 24/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 63
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 25/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 66
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 26/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 67
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 27/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 67
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 28/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 68
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 29/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 69
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 30/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 69
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 31/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 70
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 32/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 71
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 33/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 71
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 34/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 71
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 35/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 73
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 36/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 74
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 37/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 75
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 38/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 78
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 39/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 80
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 40/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 81
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 41/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 82
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 42/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 84
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 43/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 86
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 44/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 86
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 45/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 86
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 46/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 87
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 47/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 90
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 48/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 91
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 49/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 91
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 50/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 91
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 51/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 91
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 52/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 91
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 53/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 91
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 54/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 91
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 55/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 92
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 56/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 92
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 57/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 92
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 58/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 92
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 59/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 92
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 60/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 94
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 61/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 96
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 62/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 98
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 63/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 99
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 64/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 99
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 65/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 99
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 66/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 100
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 67/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 101
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 68/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 69/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 70/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 102
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 71/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 102
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 72/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 102
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 73/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 102
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 74/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 102
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 75/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 102
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 76/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 102
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 77/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 102
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 78/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 103
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 79/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 104
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 80/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 105
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 81/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 105
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 82/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 105
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 83/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 105
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 84/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 105
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 85/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 107
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 86/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 107
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 87/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 107
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 88/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 107
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 89/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 107
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 90/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 108
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 91/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 109
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 92/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 110
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 93/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 110
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 94/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 110
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 95/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 111
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 96/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 111
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 97/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 113
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 98/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 113
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 99/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 114
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 100/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 114
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 101/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 114
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 102/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 114
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 103/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 114
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 104/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 114
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 105/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 114
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 106/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 114
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 107/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 115
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 108/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 115
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 109/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 115
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 110/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 115
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 111/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 115
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 112/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 116
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 113/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 116
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 114/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 116
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 115/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 117
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 116/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 118
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 117/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 120
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 118/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 120
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 119/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 122
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 120/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 123
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 2/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 17
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 3/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 17
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 4/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 19
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 5/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 19
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 6/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 20
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 7/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 22
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 8/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 22
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 9/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 23
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 10/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 25
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 11/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 28
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 12/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 31
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 13/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 33
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 14/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 33
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 15/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 35
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 16/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 36
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 17/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 38
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 18/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 40
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 19/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 40
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 20/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 41
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 21/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 42
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 22/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 43
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 23/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 43
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 24/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 43
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 25/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 43
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 26/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 44
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 27/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 44
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 28/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 44
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 29/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 45
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 30/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 45
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 31/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 45
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 32/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 46
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 33/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 46
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 34/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 46
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 35/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 46
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 36/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 47
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 37/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 47
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 38/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 47
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 39/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 47
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 40/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 47
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 41/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 48
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 42/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 50
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 43/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 50
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 44/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 51
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 45/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 51
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 46/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 51
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 47/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 51
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 48/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 52
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 49/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 52
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 50/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 52
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 51/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 52
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 52/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 52
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 53/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 53
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 54/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 54
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 55/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 54
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 56/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 54
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 57/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 54
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 58/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 55
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 59/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 55
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 60/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 56
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 61/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 56
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 62/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 57
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 63/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 58
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 64/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 58
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 65/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 59
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 66/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 59
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 67/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 61
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 68/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 62
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 69/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 63
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 70/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 65
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 71/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 65
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 72/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 65
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 73/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 66
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 74/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 67
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 75/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 67
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 76/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 67
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 77/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 67
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 78/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 67
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 79/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 68
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 80/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 68
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 81/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 68
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 82/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 68
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 83/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 68
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 84/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 69
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 85/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 70
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 86/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 70
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 87/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 71
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 88/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 72
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 89/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 72
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 90/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 74
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 91/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 75
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 92/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 75
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 93/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 76
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 94/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 76
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 95/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 76
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 96/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 76
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 97/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 77
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 98/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 77
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 99/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 77
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 100/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 77
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 101/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 78
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 102/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 79
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 103/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 82
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 104/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 82
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 105/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 82
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 106/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 83
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 107/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 83
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 108/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 83
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 109/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 84
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 110/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 85
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 111/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 112/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 113/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 114/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 115/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 86
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 116/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 88
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 117/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 88
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 118/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 88
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 119/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 88
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 120/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 91
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 2/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 17
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 3/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 17
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 4/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 18
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 5/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 19
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 6/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 20
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 7/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 22
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 8/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 23
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 9/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 26
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 10/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 27
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 11/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 27
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 12/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 28
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 13/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 29
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 14/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 30
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 15/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 30
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 16/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 30
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 17/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 30
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 18/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 31
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 19/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 32
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 20/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 33
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 21/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 34
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 22/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 35
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 23/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 35
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 24/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 35
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 25/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 35
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 26/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 35
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 27/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 35
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 28/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 35
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 29/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 37
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 30/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 37
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 31/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 38
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 32/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 39
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 33/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 40
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 34/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 43
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 35/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 43
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 36/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 43
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 37/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 43
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 38/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 44
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 39/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 45
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 40/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 45
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 41/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 45
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 42/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 46
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 43/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 46
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 44/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 48
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 45/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 48
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 46/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 48
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 47/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 48
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 48/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 48
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 49/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 48
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 50/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 48
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 51/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 49
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 52/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 49
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 53/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 50
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 54/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 51
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 55/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 51
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 56/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 52
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 57/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 53
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 58/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 53
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 59/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 53
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 60/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 54
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 61/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 55
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 62/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 55
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 63/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 55
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 64/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 56
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 65/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 57
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 66/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 58
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 67/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 59
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 68/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 60
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 69/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 60
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 70/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 60
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 71/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 60
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 72/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 61
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 73/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 62
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 74/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 62
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 75/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 65
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 76/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 65
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 77/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 66
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 78/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 66
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 79/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 66
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 80/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 66
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 81/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 67
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 82/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 67
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 83/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 67
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 84/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 69
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 85/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 69
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 86/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 69
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 87/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 70
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 88/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 70
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 89/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 70
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 90/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 70
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 91/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 70
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 92/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 70
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 93/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 70
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 94/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 70
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 95/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 71
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 96/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 72
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 97/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 72
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 98/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 72
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 99/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 72
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 100/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 72
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 101/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 72
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 102/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 72
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 103/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 72
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 104/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 72
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 105/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 72
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 106/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 74
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 107/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 74
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 108/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 74
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 109/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 74
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 110/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 75
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 111/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 75
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 112/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 76
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 113/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 77
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 114/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 78
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 115/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 78
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 116/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 78
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 117/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 78
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 118/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 78
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 119/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 78
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 120/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 78
## ----------------------------sim1## EpiModel Simulation
## =======================
## Model class: netsim
##
## Simulation Summary
## -----------------------
## Model type: SIA
## No. simulations: 5
## No. time steps: 120
## No. NW modes: 1
##
## Model Parameters
## -----------------------
## inf.prob = 0.4
## act.rate = 4
## rec.rate = 0.125
##
## Model Output
## -----------------------
## Compartments: s.num s.num.race0 s.num.race1 i.num
## i.num.race0 i.num.race1 num num.race0 num.race1
## Flows: si.flow
## Networks: sim1 ... sim5
## Transmissions: sim1 ... sim5Extract data
head(as.data.frame(sim1))## time s.num s.num.race0 s.num.race1 i.num i.num.race0 i.num.race1 num
## 1 1 135.0 67.2 67.8 15.0 7.8 7.2 150
## 2 2 131.2 66.0 65.2 18.8 9.0 9.8 150
## 3 3 128.2 64.4 63.8 21.8 10.6 11.2 150
## 4 4 125.4 63.4 62.0 24.6 11.6 13.0 150
## 5 5 124.0 62.6 61.4 26.0 12.4 13.6 150
## 6 6 122.8 62.2 60.6 27.2 12.8 14.4 150
## num.race0 num.race1 si.flow
## 1 75 75 0.0
## 2 75 75 3.8
## 3 75 75 3.0
## 4 75 75 2.8
## 5 75 75 1.4
## 6 75 75 1.2head(as.data.frame(sim1, out = "vals", sim = 2))## time s.num s.num.race0 s.num.race1 i.num i.num.race0 i.num.race1 num
## 1 1 135 71 64 15 4 11 150
## 2 2 130 70 60 20 5 15 150
## 3 3 125 68 57 25 7 18 150
## 4 4 121 67 54 29 8 21 150
## 5 5 120 66 54 30 9 21 150
## 6 6 119 66 53 31 9 22 150
## num.race0 num.race1 si.flow
## 1 75 75 0
## 2 75 75 5
## 3 75 75 5
## 4 75 75 4
## 5 75 75 1
## 6 75 75 1nw <- get_network(sim1, sim = 2)
nw## NetworkDynamic properties:
## distinct change times: 120
## maximal time range: -Inf until Inf
##
## Dynamic (TEA) attributes:
## Vertex TEAs: testatus.active
##
## Includes optional net.obs.period attribute:
## Network observation period info:
## Number of observation spells: 2
## Maximal time range observed: 1 until 121
## Temporal mode: discrete
## Time unit: step
## Suggested time increment: 1
##
## Network attributes:
## vertices = 150
## directed = FALSE
## hyper = FALSE
## loops = FALSE
## multiple = FALSE
## bipartite = FALSE
## net.obs.period: (not shown)
## vertex.pid = vertex.pid
## edge.pid = edge.pid
## total edges= 258
## missing edges= 0
## non-missing edges= 258
##
## Vertex attribute names:
## active race testatus.active vertex.names vertex.pid
##
## Edge attribute names:
## active edge.pidhead(get_transmat(sim1, sim = 1), 10)## at sus inf infDur transProb actRate finalProb
## 1 2 f40f8e55cf f402c46199b 6 0.4 4 0.8704
## 2 2 f40620695d f407fa946d0 8 0.4 4 0.8704
## 3 2 f402395b8e f40bf15857 4 0.4 4 0.8704
## 4 2 f40500b71d3 f407fa946d0 8 0.4 4 0.8704
## 5 3 f40cd77fd0 f40bf15857 5 0.4 4 0.8704
## 6 3 f40a986f0c f40f8e55cf 1 0.4 4 0.8704
## 7 3 f402f581aa7 f40620695d 1 0.4 4 0.8704
## 8 3 f40364ccc0 f40500b71d3 1 0.4 4 0.8704
## 9 3 f4016471e4e f402395b8e 1 0.4 4 0.8704
## 10 4 f403ba61ad5 f40364ccc0 1 0.4 4 0.8704Plot Epidemic Simulation
par(mfrow = c(1,1), mar = c(3,3,1,1), mgp = c(2,1,0))
plot(sim1)
Plot Indiviual Simulation Lines
plot(sim1, mean.line = FALSE, qnts = FALSE, sim.lines = TRUE)
Plot Comparison of races
plot(sim1, y = c("i.num.race0", "i.num.race1"), leg = TRUE)
par(mfrow = c(1, 2))
plot(sim1, type = "formation", stats = "edges")
plot(sim1, y = "i.num.race0", qnts = 1, mean.col = "steelblue",
qnts.col = "steelblue", main = "Total Prevalence")
plot(sim1, y = "i.num.race1", qnts = 1, mean.col = "firebrick",
qnts.col = "firebrick", add = TRUE)
legend("topleft", c("Model 1", "Model 2"), lwd = 3,
col = c("steelblue", "firebrick"), bty = "n")
Plot Static Network of Different Time Steps of Different Simualtions
par(mfrow = c(1,2), mar = c(0,0,1,0))
plot(sim1, type = "network", at = 1, col.status = TRUE,
main = "Prevalence at t1")
plot(sim1, type = "network", at = 120, col.status = TRUE,
main = "Prevalence at t120")
At timestep 1, we can see that the number of susceptible indiviuals far out-weigh those that are infected. We can also see that some suceptible and infected indiviuals are connected to each other. At timestep 120, there are far more infected indiviuals. The number of susceptible indiviuals have diminished and there are many chains of infected indiviuals. Without intervention of these infected chains, many more indiviuals will become infected.