HIV Model
Mitchell Blount
December 4, 2015
Load add-on packages - deSolve - contains lsoda function - differential equation solver.
library (EpiModel)## Loading required package: deSolve
##
## Attaching package: 'deSolve'
##
## The following object is masked from 'package:graphics':
##
## matplot
##
## Loading required package: networkDynamic
## Loading required package: network
## network: Classes for Relational Data
## Version 1.13.0 created on 2015-08-31.
## copyright (c) 2005, Carter T. Butts, University of California-Irvine
## Mark S. Handcock, University of California -- Los Angeles
## David R. Hunter, Penn State University
## Martina Morris, University of Washington
## Skye Bender-deMoll, University of Washington
## For citation information, type citation("network").
## Type help("network-package") to get started.
##
##
## networkDynamic: version 0.8.0, created on 2015-09-14
## Copyright (c) 2015, Carter T. Butts, University of California -- Irvine
## Ayn Leslie-Cook, University of Washington
## Pavel N. Krivitsky, University of Wollongong
## Skye Bender-deMoll, University of Washington
## with contributions from
## Zack Almquist, University of California -- Irvine
## David R. Hunter, Penn State University
## Li Wang
## Kirk Li, University of Washington
## Steven M. Goodreau, University of Washington
## Jeffrey Horner
## Martina Morris, University of Washington
## Based on "statnet" project software (statnet.org).
## For license and citation information see statnet.org/attribution
## or type citation("networkDynamic").
##
## Loading required package: tergm
## Loading required package: statnet.common
## Loading required package: ergm
##
## ergm: version 3.4.0, created on 2015-06-16
## Copyright (c) 2015, Mark S. Handcock, University of California -- Los Angeles
## David R. Hunter, Penn State University
## Carter T. Butts, University of California -- Irvine
## Steven M. Goodreau, University of Washington
## Pavel N. Krivitsky, University of Wollongong
## Martina Morris, University of Washington
## with contributions from
## Li Wang
## Kirk Li, University of Washington
## Based on "statnet" project software (statnet.org).
## For license and citation information see statnet.org/attribution
## or type citation("ergm").
##
## NOTE: If you use custom ERGM terms based on 'ergm.userterms'
## version prior to 3.1, you will need to perform a one-time update
## of the package boilerplate files (the files that you did not write
## or modify) from 'ergm.userterms' 3.1 or later. See
## help('eut-upgrade') for instructions.
##
##
## Attaching package: 'ergm'
##
## The following objects are masked from 'package:network':
##
## as.edgelist, as.edgelist.matrix, as.edgelist.network## Warning: replacing previous import by 'network::as.edgelist.network' when
## loading 'tergm'## Warning: replacing previous import by 'network::as.edgelist.matrix' when
## loading 'tergm'## Warning: replacing previous import by 'network::as.edgelist' when loading
## 'tergm'##
## tergm: version 3.3.0, created on 2015-06-14
## Copyright (c) 2015, Pavel N. Krivitsky, University of Wollongong
## Mark S. Handcock, University of California -- Los Angeles
## with contributions from
## David R. Hunter, Penn State University
## Steven M. Goodreau, University of Washington
## Martina Morris, University of Washington
## Nicole Bohme Carnegie, New York University
## Carter T. Butts, University of California -- Irvine
## Ayn Leslie-Cook, University of Washington
## Skye Bender-deMoll
## Li Wang
## Kirk Li, University of Washington
## Based on "statnet" project software (statnet.org).
## For license and citation information see statnet.org/attribution
## or type citation("tergm").## Warning: replacing previous import by 'network::as.edgelist.network' when
## loading 'EpiModel'## Warning: replacing previous import by 'network::as.edgelist.matrix' when
## loading 'EpiModel'## Warning: replacing previous import by 'network::as.edgelist' when loading
## 'EpiModel'Set Network Structure
nw <- network.initialize(n = 150, directed = FALSE)
nw <- set.vertex.attribute(nw, "race", rep(0:1, each = 75))Formulate Partnership Formation
formation <- ~edges + nodefactor("race") + nodematch("race") + concurrentCalculate the target statistics
target.stats <- c(30, 30, 23, 25)coef.diss <- dissolution_coefs(dissolution = ~offset(edges), duration = 15)
coef.diss## Dissolution Coefficients
## =======================
## Dissolution Model: ~offset(edges)
## Edge Duration: 15
## Crude Coefficient: 2.639057
## Adjusted Coefficient: 2.639057
## Death rate: 0Fit Model
function (nw, formation, target.stats, coef.diss, constraints,
coef.form = NULL, edapprox = TRUE, output = "fit", set.control.ergm,
set.control.stergm, nonconv.error = FALSE, verbose = FALSE)
NULL ## function (nw, formation, target.stats, coef.diss, constraints,
## coef.form = NULL, edapprox = TRUE, output = "fit", set.control.ergm,
## set.control.stergm, nonconv.error = FALSE, verbose = FALSE)
## NULLest1 <- netest(nw, formation, target.stats, coef.diss, edapprox = TRUE)## Starting maximum likelihood estimation via MCMLE:
## Iteration 1 of at most 20:
## The log-likelihood improved by 7.549
## Iteration 2 of at most 20:
## The log-likelihood improved by 2.652
## Step length converged once. Increasing MCMC sample size.
## Iteration 3 of at most 20:
## The log-likelihood improved by 0.08818
## Step length converged twice. Stopping.
##
## This model was fit using MCMC. To examine model diagnostics and check for degeneracy, use the mcmc.diagnostics() function.Simulate Model Fit Dynamics
dx <- netdx(est1, nsims = 5, nsteps = 120,
nwstats.formula = ~edges + nodefactor("race", base = 0) +
nodematch("race") + concurrent)##
## Network Diagnostics
## -----------------------
## - Simulating 5 networks
## |*****|
## - Calculating formation statistics
## - Calculating duration statistics
## |*****|
## - Calculating dissolution statistics
## |*****|
## Print output
dx## EpiModel Network Diagnostics
## =======================
## Diagnostic Method: Dynamic
## Simulations: 5
## Time Steps per Sim: 120
##
## Formation Diagnostics
## -----------------------
## Target Sim Mean Pct Diff Sim SD
## edges 30 35.043 0.168 10.735
## nodefactor.race.0 NA 33.838 NA 11.953
## nodefactor.race.1 30 36.248 0.208 13.177
## nodematch.race 23 25.838 0.123 7.670
## concurrent 25 28.068 0.123 9.898
##
## Dissolution Diagnostics
## -----------------------
## Target Sim Mean Pct Diff Sim SD
## Edge Duration 15.000 12.636 -0.158 11.675
## Pct Edges Diss 0.067 0.067 0.009 0.045The simualted mean of edges, 33.455, is higher than the target mean of 30. This trend is consistent with the nodes of each race and the number of concurrent being higher than the target. We expect about a 7% of edge dissolve each day. There is a simmualted mean dissolution of edges of about 8% per day.
Plot Diagnostics
par(mar = c(3,3,1,1), mgp = c(2,1,0))
plot(dx)
par(mfrow = c(1, 2))
plot(dx, type = "duration")
plot(dx, type = "dissolution")
Epidemic Simulation
param <- param.net(inf.prob = 0.4, act.rate = 4, rec.rate = 0.125)status.vector <- c(rbinom(500, 1, 0.1), rep(0, 500))
status.vector <- ifelse(status.vector =="no", "i", "s")
init <- init.net(i.num = 15)control <- control.net(type = "SI", nsteps = 120, nsims = 5, epi.by = "race")Simulate Model
sim1 <- netsim(est1, param, init, control)##
## * Starting Network Simulation
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 2/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 15
## Population: 150
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## Incidence: 5
## Prevalence: 20
## Population: 150
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## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 23
## Population: 150
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## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 24
## Population: 150
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## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 27
## Population: 150
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## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 29
## Population: 150
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## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 30
## Population: 150
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## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 32
## Population: 150
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## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 33
## Population: 150
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## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 35
## Population: 150
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## Incidence: 3
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## Population: 150
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## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 39
## Population: 150
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## Population: 150
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## Incidence: 2
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## Population: 150
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## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 45
## Population: 150
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## Incidence: 0
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## Incidence: 0
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## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 46
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## Incidence: 4
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## Incidence: 0
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## Prevalence: 53
## Population: 150
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## Incidence: 0
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## Prevalence: 54
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## Prevalence: 55
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## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 56
## Population: 150
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## Prevalence: 57
## Population: 150
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## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 57
## Population: 150
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## Prevalence: 58
## Population: 150
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## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 58
## Population: 150
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## Prevalence: 59
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## Prevalence: 60
## Population: 150
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## Prevalence: 60
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## Prevalence: 60
## Population: 150
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## Prevalence: 61
## Population: 150
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## Prevalence: 61
## Population: 150
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## Prevalence: 61
## Population: 150
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## Population: 150
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## Prevalence: 61
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## Prevalence: 65
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## Prevalence: 66
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## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 68
## Population: 150
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## Prevalence: 69
## Population: 150
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## Prevalence: 70
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## Prevalence: 72
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## Prevalence: 72
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## Prevalence: 73
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## Prevalence: 77
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## Prevalence: 78
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## Prevalence: 81
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## Prevalence: 82
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## Prevalence: 86
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## Prevalence: 88
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## Prevalence: 89
## Population: 150
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## Prevalence: 89
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## Prevalence: 89
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## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 91
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## Prevalence: 92
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## Prevalence: 98
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## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 99
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## Prevalence: 99
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 111/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 99
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 112/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 99
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 113/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 99
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 114/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 99
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 115/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 99
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 116/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 100
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 117/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 100
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 118/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 119/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 102
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 1/5
## Timestep: 120/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 102
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 2/120
## Incidence: 5
## Prevalence: 21
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 3/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 24
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 4/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 26
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 5/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 27
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 6/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 27
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 7/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 27
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 8/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 28
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 9/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 30
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 10/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 32
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 11/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 34
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 12/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 36
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 13/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 37
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 14/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 39
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 15/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 42
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 16/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 45
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 17/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 48
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 18/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 51
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 19/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 54
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 20/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 56
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 21/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 58
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 22/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 59
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 23/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 61
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 24/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 62
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 25/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 62
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 26/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 62
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 27/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 64
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 28/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 64
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 29/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 65
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 30/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 65
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 31/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 65
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 32/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 66
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 33/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 68
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 34/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 68
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 35/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 69
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 36/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 69
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 37/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 71
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 38/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 71
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 39/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 72
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 40/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 72
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 41/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 73
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 42/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 73
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 43/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 74
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 44/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 74
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 45/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 74
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 46/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 74
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 47/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 75
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 48/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 76
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 49/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 77
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 50/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 77
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 51/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 77
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 52/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 77
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 53/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 78
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 54/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 79
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 55/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 81
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 56/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 81
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 57/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 81
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 58/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 81
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 59/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 81
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 60/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 82
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 61/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 82
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 62/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 82
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 63/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 82
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 64/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 82
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 65/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 82
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 66/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 82
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 67/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 82
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 68/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 82
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 69/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 82
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 70/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 84
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 71/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 72/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 73/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 74/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 75/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 76/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 77/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 78/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 79/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 80/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 81/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 82/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 83/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 86
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 84/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 87
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 85/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 88
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 86/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 88
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 87/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 89
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 88/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 89
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 89/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 89
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 90/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 90
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 91/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 90
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 92/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 90
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 93/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 92
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 94/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 92
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 95/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 92
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 96/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 93
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 97/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 94
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 98/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 95
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 99/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 95
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 100/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 96
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 101/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 97
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 102/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 97
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 103/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 99
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 104/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 99
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 105/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 106/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 107/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 108/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 102
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 109/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 102
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 110/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 102
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 111/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 102
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 112/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 103
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 113/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 103
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 114/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 103
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 115/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 103
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 116/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 103
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 117/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 103
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 118/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 103
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 119/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 104
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 2/5
## Timestep: 120/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 104
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 2/120
## Incidence: 5
## Prevalence: 22
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 3/120
## Incidence: 4
## Prevalence: 26
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 4/120
## Incidence: 5
## Prevalence: 31
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 5/120
## Incidence: 5
## Prevalence: 36
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 6/120
## Incidence: 6
## Prevalence: 42
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 7/120
## Incidence: 6
## Prevalence: 48
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 8/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 49
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 9/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 50
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 10/120
## Incidence: 5
## Prevalence: 55
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 11/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 58
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 12/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 60
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 13/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 60
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 14/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 60
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 15/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 60
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 16/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 60
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 17/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 61
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 18/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 61
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 19/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 61
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 20/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 63
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 21/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 63
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 22/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 63
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 23/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 63
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 24/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 63
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 25/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 63
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 26/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 63
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 27/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 63
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 28/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 64
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 29/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 65
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 30/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 66
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 31/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 66
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 32/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 67
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 33/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 67
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 34/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 68
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 35/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 68
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 36/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 68
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 37/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 69
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 38/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 69
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 39/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 70
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 40/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 70
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 41/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 70
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 42/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 71
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 43/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 71
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 44/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 72
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 45/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 75
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 46/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 75
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 47/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 75
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 48/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 75
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 49/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 77
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 50/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 77
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 51/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 78
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 52/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 79
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 53/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 80
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 54/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 80
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 55/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 82
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 56/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 82
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 57/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 82
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 58/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 82
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 59/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 84
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 60/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 84
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 61/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 84
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 62/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 84
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 63/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 84
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 64/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 65/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 66/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 67/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 86
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 68/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 87
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 69/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 88
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 70/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 88
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 71/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 88
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 72/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 88
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 73/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 90
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 74/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 92
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 75/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 92
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 76/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 92
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 77/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 93
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 78/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 94
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 79/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 96
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 80/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 98
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 81/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 100
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 82/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 100
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 83/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 84/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 85/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 86/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 87/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 88/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 89/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 102
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 90/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 102
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 91/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 102
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 92/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 104
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 93/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 104
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 94/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 104
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 95/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 105
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 96/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 105
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 97/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 106
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 98/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 106
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 99/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 106
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 100/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 106
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 101/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 106
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 102/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 106
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 103/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 106
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 104/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 106
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 105/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 106
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 106/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 107
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 107/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 107
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 108/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 107
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 109/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 107
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 110/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 107
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 111/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 107
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 112/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 107
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 113/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 107
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 114/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 107
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 115/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 107
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 116/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 108
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 117/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 108
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 118/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 109
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 119/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 110
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 3/5
## Timestep: 120/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 110
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 2/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 13
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 3/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 15
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 4/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 17
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 5/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 17
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 6/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 19
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 7/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 21
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 8/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 23
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 9/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 25
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 10/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 27
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 11/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 29
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 12/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 31
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 13/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 32
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 14/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 33
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 15/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 34
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 16/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 36
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 17/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 37
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 18/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 38
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 19/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 41
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 20/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 41
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 21/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 42
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 22/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 44
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 23/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 46
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 24/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 46
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 25/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 47
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 26/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 49
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 27/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 50
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 28/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 51
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 29/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 53
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 30/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 53
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 31/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 55
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 32/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 57
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 33/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 58
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 34/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 60
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 35/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 63
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 36/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 64
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 37/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 65
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 38/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 65
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 39/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 66
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 40/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 66
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 41/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 66
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 42/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 66
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 43/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 66
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 44/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 66
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 45/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 68
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 46/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 70
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 47/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 71
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 48/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 72
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 49/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 74
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 50/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 74
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 51/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 74
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 52/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 75
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 53/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 76
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 54/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 76
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 55/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 76
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 56/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 76
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 57/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 76
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 58/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 79
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 59/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 79
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 60/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 79
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 61/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 80
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 62/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 80
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 63/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 80
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 64/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 80
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 65/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 80
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 66/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 81
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 67/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 81
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 68/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 81
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 69/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 81
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 70/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 81
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 71/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 81
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 72/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 81
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 73/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 81
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 74/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 81
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 75/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 83
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 76/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 83
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 77/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 83
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 78/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 84
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 79/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 80/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 81/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 82/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 83/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 84/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 85/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 86/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 87/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 88/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 89/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 86
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 90/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 86
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 91/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 86
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 92/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 86
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 93/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 86
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 94/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 86
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 95/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 87
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 96/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 89
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 97/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 90
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 98/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 90
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 99/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 90
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 100/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 91
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 101/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 91
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 102/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 92
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 103/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 92
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 104/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 93
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 105/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 93
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 106/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 93
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 107/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 93
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 108/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 93
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 109/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 94
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 110/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 96
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 111/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 97
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 112/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 98
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 113/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 98
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 114/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 99
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 115/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 99
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 116/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 99
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 117/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 99
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 118/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 119/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 4/5
## Timestep: 120/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 103
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 2/120
## Incidence: 5
## Prevalence: 24
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 3/120
## Incidence: 4
## Prevalence: 28
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 4/120
## Incidence: 4
## Prevalence: 32
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 5/120
## Incidence: 4
## Prevalence: 36
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 6/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 38
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 7/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 41
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 8/120
## Incidence: 5
## Prevalence: 46
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 9/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 47
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 10/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 49
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 11/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 51
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 12/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 53
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 13/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 54
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 14/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 54
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 15/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 54
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 16/120
## Incidence: 3
## Prevalence: 57
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 17/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 58
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 18/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 59
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 19/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 59
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 20/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 61
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 21/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 62
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 22/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 62
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 23/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 63
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 24/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 64
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 25/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 64
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 26/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 64
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 27/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 64
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 28/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 64
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 29/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 64
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 30/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 64
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 31/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 64
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 32/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 65
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 33/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 65
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 34/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 65
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 35/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 66
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 36/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 66
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 37/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 66
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 38/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 66
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 39/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 67
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 40/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 67
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 41/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 67
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 42/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 67
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 43/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 68
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 44/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 68
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 45/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 68
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 46/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 70
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 47/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 71
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 48/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 72
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 49/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 72
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 50/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 72
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 51/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 73
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 52/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 74
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 53/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 76
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 54/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 78
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 55/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 79
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 56/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 81
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 57/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 81
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 58/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 81
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 59/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 81
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 60/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 81
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 61/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 82
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 62/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 82
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 63/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 84
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 64/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 65/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 66/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 85
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 67/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 86
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 68/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 87
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 69/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 88
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 70/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 88
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 71/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 88
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 72/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 89
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 73/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 91
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 74/120
## Incidence: 2
## Prevalence: 93
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 75/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 94
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 76/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 94
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 77/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 95
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 78/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 96
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 79/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 97
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 80/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 97
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 81/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 98
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 82/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 99
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 83/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 100
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 84/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 85/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 86/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 87/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 88/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 89/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 90/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 91/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 92/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 93/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 94/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 95/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 96/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 97/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 98/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 99/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 100/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 101/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 102/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 103/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 104/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 105/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 106/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 101
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 107/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 102
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 108/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 103
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 109/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 103
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 110/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 103
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 111/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 103
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 112/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 103
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 113/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 104
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 114/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 104
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 115/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 105
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 116/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 106
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 117/120
## Incidence: 1
## Prevalence: 107
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 118/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 107
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 119/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 107
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------
## Epidemic Simulation
## ----------------------------
## Simulation: 5/5
## Timestep: 120/120
## Incidence: 0
## Prevalence: 107
## Population: 150
## ----------------------------sim1## EpiModel Simulation
## =======================
## Model class: netsim
##
## Simulation Summary
## -----------------------
## Model type: SI
## No. simulations: 5
## No. time steps: 120
## No. NW modes: 1
##
## Model Parameters
## -----------------------
## inf.prob = 0.4
## act.rate = 4
## rec.rate = 0.125
##
## Model Output
## -----------------------
## Compartments: s.num s.num.race0 s.num.race1 i.num
## i.num.race0 i.num.race1 num num.race0 num.race1
## Flows: si.flow
## Networks: sim1 ... sim5
## Transmissions: sim1 ... sim5summary(sim1, at = 120)##
## EpiModel Summary
## =======================
## Model class: netsim
##
## Simulation Details
## -----------------------
## Model type: SI
## No. simulations: 5
## No. time steps: 120
## No. NW modes: 1
##
## Model Statistics
## ------------------------------
## Time: 120
## ------------------------------
## mean sd pct
## Suscept. 44.8 3.271 0.299
## Infect. 105.2 3.271 0.701
## Total 150.0 0.000 1.000
## S -> I 0.4 0.894 NA
## ------------------------------Extract data
head(as.data.frame(sim1))## time s.num s.num.race0 s.num.race1 i.num i.num.race0 i.num.race1 num
## 1 1 135.0 67.0 68.0 15.0 8.0 7.0 150
## 2 2 131.0 64.4 66.6 19.0 10.6 8.4 150
## 3 3 127.4 62.4 65.0 22.6 12.6 10.0 150
## 4 4 124.2 61.0 63.2 25.8 14.0 11.8 150
## 5 5 122.0 60.2 61.8 28.0 14.8 13.2 150
## 6 6 119.4 58.6 60.8 30.6 16.4 14.2 150
## num.race0 num.race1 si.flow
## 1 75 75 0.0
## 2 75 75 4.0
## 3 75 75 3.6
## 4 75 75 3.2
## 5 75 75 2.2
## 6 75 75 2.6head(as.data.frame(sim1, out = "vals", sim = 2))## time s.num s.num.race0 s.num.race1 i.num i.num.race0 i.num.race1 num
## 1 1 134 67 67 16 8 8 150
## 2 2 129 64 65 21 11 10 150
## 3 3 126 63 63 24 12 12 150
## 4 4 124 63 61 26 12 14 150
## 5 5 123 63 60 27 12 15 150
## 6 6 123 63 60 27 12 15 150
## num.race0 num.race1 si.flow
## 1 75 75 0
## 2 75 75 5
## 3 75 75 3
## 4 75 75 2
## 5 75 75 1
## 6 75 75 0nw <- get_network(sim1, sim = 2)
nw## NetworkDynamic properties:
## distinct change times: 122
## maximal time range: -Inf until Inf
##
## Dynamic (TEA) attributes:
## Vertex TEAs: testatus.active
##
## Includes optional net.obs.period attribute:
## Network observation period info:
## Number of observation spells: 2
## Maximal time range observed: 1 until 121
## Temporal mode: discrete
## Time unit: step
## Suggested time increment: 1
##
## Network attributes:
## vertices = 150
## directed = FALSE
## hyper = FALSE
## loops = FALSE
## multiple = FALSE
## bipartite = FALSE
## net.obs.period: (not shown)
## vertex.pid = vertex.pid
## edge.pid = edge.pid
## total edges= 302
## missing edges= 0
## non-missing edges= 302
##
## Vertex attribute names:
## active race testatus.active vertex.names vertex.pid
##
## Edge attribute names:
## active edge.pidhead(get_transmat(sim1, sim = 1), 10)## at sus inf infDur transProb actRate finalProb
## 1 2 111c78bea2b 111c6768316d 74 0.4 4 0.8704
## 2 2 111c387f1135 111c6768316d 74 0.4 4 0.8704
## 3 2 111c2d0c3ac5 111c170d42c8 58 0.4 4 0.8704
## 4 3 111c4ef73055 111c2d0c3ac5 1 0.4 4 0.8704
## 5 3 111c294b7c05 111c78bea2b 1 0.4 4 0.8704
## 6 3 111c402512a5 111c1c093dc0 2 0.4 4 0.8704
## 7 3 111c371a3140 111c387f1135 1 0.4 4 0.8704
## 8 3 111c3ba72148 111c3dc9657 45 0.4 4 0.8704
## 9 4 111c4bdf285f 111c4ef73055 1 0.4 4 0.8704
## 10 4 111c696334a0 111c170d42c8 60 0.4 4 0.8704Plot Epidemic Simulation
par(mfrow = c(1,1), mar = c(3,3,1,1), mgp = c(2,1,0))
plot(sim1)
Plot Indiviual Simulation Lines
plot(sim1, mean.line = FALSE, qnts = FALSE, sim.lines = TRUE)
Plot Disease Susceptibles and Incidences
plot(sim1, y = c("si.flow"), qnts = 1, leg = TRUE)
Plot Comparison of races
plot(sim1, y = c("i.num.race0", "i.num.race1"), leg = TRUE)
Plot Static Network of Different Time Steps of Different Simualtions
par(mfrow = c(1,2), mar = c(0,0,1,0))
plot(sim1, type = "network", at = 1, col.status = TRUE,
main = "Prevalence at t1")
plot(sim1, type = "network", at = 120, col.status = TRUE,
main = "Prevalence at t120")
At timestep 1, we can see that the number of susceptible indiviuals far out-weigh those that are infected. We can also see that some suceptible and infected indiviuals are connected to each other. At timestep 120, there are far more infected indiviuals. The number of susceptible indiviuals have diminished and there are many chains of infected indiviuals. Without intervention of these infected chains, many more indiviuals will become infected.