1 Model selection for all species and populations

After choosing the ABC rejection+regression algorithm, a set of summary statistics, generating more simulations for no mask and tweaking the priors a little, I started doing the model selection for all of the populations and species. Here are the results.

Here are all the results and how they are generated in detail, including cross validation and other stuff. Just expand what you are interested in. In the end is a summary table.

call GH

PCA:

Cross validation:

## Confusion matrix based on 100 samples for each model.
## 
## $tol0.01
##     con exp
## con  66  34
## exp  38  62
## 
## $tol0.02
##     con exp
## con  63  37
## exp  33  67
## 
## $tol0.05
##     con exp
## con  61  39
## exp  33  67
## 
## 
## Mean model posterior probabilities (mnlogistic)
## 
## $tol0.01
##        con    exp
## con 0.6585 0.3415
## exp 0.3563 0.6437
## 
## $tol0.02
##        con    exp
## con 0.6423 0.3577
## exp 0.3575 0.6425
## 
## $tol0.05
##        con    exp
## con 0.6210 0.3790
## exp 0.3724 0.6276

Model Selection:

## Call: 
## postpr(target = tar, index = model, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.02, 
##     method = "mnlogistic")
## Data:
##  postpr.out$values (76 posterior samples)
## Models a priori:
##  con, exp
## Models a posteriori:
##  con, exp
## 
## Proportion of accepted simulations (rejection):
##    con    exp 
## 0.6184 0.3816 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##        con    exp
## con 1.0000 1.6207
## exp 0.6170 1.0000
## 
## 
## Posterior model probabilities (mnlogistic):
##    con    exp 
## 0.8335 0.1665 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##        con    exp
## con 1.0000 5.0061
## exp 0.1998 1.0000
call WUG1

PCA:

Cross validation:

## Confusion matrix based on 100 samples for each model.
## 
## $tol0.01
##     con exp
## con  74  26
## exp  35  65
## 
## $tol0.02
##     con exp
## con  71  29
## exp  33  67
## 
## $tol0.05
##     con exp
## con  73  27
## exp  39  61
## 
## 
## Mean model posterior probabilities (mnlogistic)
## 
## $tol0.01
##        con    exp
## con 0.7412 0.2588
## exp 0.3511 0.6489
## 
## $tol0.02
##        con    exp
## con 0.6838 0.3162
## exp 0.3609 0.6391
## 
## $tol0.05
##        con    exp
## con 0.6862 0.3138
## exp 0.3864 0.6136

Model Selection:

## Warning: There are 2 models but only 1 for which simulations have been accepted.
## No regression is performed, method is set to rejection.
## Consider increasing the tolerance rate.TRUE
## Call: 
## postpr(target = tar, index = model, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.02, 
##     method = "mnlogistic")
## Data:
##  postpr.out$values (77 posterior samples)
## Models a priori:
##  con, exp
## Models a posteriori:
##  con, exp
## 
## Proportion of accepted simulations (rejection):
## con exp 
##   1   0 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##     con exp
## con   1 Inf
## exp   0
call WUG2

PCA:

Cross validation:

## Confusion matrix based on 100 samples for each model.
## 
## $tol0.01
##     con exp
## con  65  35
## exp  28  72
## 
## $tol0.02
##     con exp
## con  62  38
## exp  24  76
## 
## $tol0.05
##     con exp
## con  59  41
## exp  25  75
## 
## 
## Mean model posterior probabilities (mnlogistic)
## 
## $tol0.01
##        con    exp
## con 0.6591 0.3409
## exp 0.2737 0.7263
## 
## $tol0.02
##        con    exp
## con 0.6093 0.3907
## exp 0.2705 0.7295
## 
## $tol0.05
##        con    exp
## con 0.5956 0.4044
## exp 0.3010 0.6990

Model Selection:

## Call: 
## postpr(target = tar, index = model, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.02, 
##     method = "mnlogistic")
## Data:
##  postpr.out$values (77 posterior samples)
## Models a priori:
##  con, exp
## Models a posteriori:
##  con, exp
## 
## Proportion of accepted simulations (rejection):
##    con    exp 
## 0.4545 0.5455 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##        con    exp
## con 1.0000 0.8333
## exp 1.2000 1.0000
## 
## 
## Posterior model probabilities (mnlogistic):
##    con    exp 
## 0.4855 0.5145 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##        con    exp
## con 1.0000 0.9436
## exp 1.0597 1.0000
call WUG3

PCA:

Cross validation:

## Confusion matrix based on 100 samples for each model.
## 
## $tol0.01
##     con exp
## con  58  42
## exp  29  71
## 
## $tol0.02
##     con exp
## con  47  53
## exp  30  70
## 
## $tol0.05
##     con exp
## con  44  56
## exp  34  66
## 
## 
## Mean model posterior probabilities (mnlogistic)
## 
## $tol0.01
##        con    exp
## con 0.5591 0.4409
## exp 0.3155 0.6845
## 
## $tol0.02
##        con    exp
## con 0.4933 0.5067
## exp 0.3481 0.6519
## 
## $tol0.05
##        con    exp
## con 0.5005 0.4995
## exp 0.4077 0.5923

Model Selection:

## Call: 
## postpr(target = tar, index = model, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.02, 
##     method = "mnlogistic")
## Data:
##  postpr.out$values (78 posterior samples)
## Models a priori:
##  con, exp
## Models a posteriori:
##  con, exp
## 
## Proportion of accepted simulations (rejection):
##    con    exp 
## 0.4231 0.5769 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##        con    exp
## con 1.0000 0.7333
## exp 1.3636 1.0000
## 
## 
## Posterior model probabilities (mnlogistic):
##    con    exp 
## 0.3429 0.6571 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##        con    exp
## con 1.0000 0.5217
## exp 1.9167 1.0000
call WUG4

PCA:

Cross validation:

## Confusion matrix based on 100 samples for each model.
## 
## $tol0.01
##     con exp
## con  69  31
## exp  31  69
## 
## $tol0.02
##     con exp
## con  61  39
## exp  30  70
## 
## $tol0.05
##     con exp
## con  65  35
## exp  41  59
## 
## 
## Mean model posterior probabilities (mnlogistic)
## 
## $tol0.01
##        con    exp
## con 0.6832 0.3168
## exp 0.3160 0.6840
## 
## $tol0.02
##        con    exp
## con 0.6171 0.3829
## exp 0.3279 0.6721
## 
## $tol0.05
##        con    exp
## con 0.6297 0.3703
## exp 0.3784 0.6216

Model Selection:

## Call: 
## postpr(target = tar, index = model, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.02, 
##     method = "mnlogistic")
## Data:
##  postpr.out$values (78 posterior samples)
## Models a priori:
##  con, exp
## Models a posteriori:
##  con, exp
## 
## Proportion of accepted simulations (rejection):
##    con    exp 
## 0.5513 0.4487 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##        con    exp
## con 1.0000 1.2286
## exp 0.8140 1.0000
## 
## 
## Posterior model probabilities (mnlogistic):
##    con    exp 
## 0.6751 0.3249 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##        con    exp
## con 1.0000 2.0777
## exp 0.4813 1.0000
call WUG5

PCA:

Cross validation:

## Confusion matrix based on 100 samples for each model.
## 
## $tol0.01
##     con exp
## con  59  41
## exp  40  60
## 
## $tol0.02
##     con exp
## con  54  46
## exp  41  59
## 
## $tol0.05
##     con exp
## con  47  53
## exp  39  61
## 
## 
## Mean model posterior probabilities (mnlogistic)
## 
## $tol0.01
##        con    exp
## con 0.5928 0.4072
## exp 0.4031 0.5969
## 
## $tol0.02
##        con    exp
## con 0.5427 0.4573
## exp 0.4016 0.5984
## 
## $tol0.05
##        con    exp
## con 0.5293 0.4707
## exp 0.3910 0.6090

Model Selection:

## Call: 
## postpr(target = tar, index = model, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.02, 
##     method = "mnlogistic")
## Data:
##  postpr.out$values (75 posterior samples)
## Models a priori:
##  con, exp
## Models a posteriori:
##  con, exp
## 
## Proportion of accepted simulations (rejection):
##    con    exp 
## 0.4667 0.5333 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##        con    exp
## con 1.0000 0.8750
## exp 1.1429 1.0000
## 
## 
## Posterior model probabilities (mnlogistic):
##    con    exp 
## 0.2351 0.7649 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##        con    exp
## con 1.0000 0.3074
## exp 3.2531 1.0000
pall GH

PCA:

Cross validation:

## Confusion matrix based on 100 samples for each model.
## 
## $tol0.01
##     con exp
## con  67  33
## exp  31  69
## 
## $tol0.02
##     con exp
## con  60  40
## exp  31  69
## 
## $tol0.05
##     con exp
## con  65  35
## exp  23  77
## 
## 
## Mean model posterior probabilities (mnlogistic)
## 
## $tol0.01
##        con    exp
## con 0.6490 0.3510
## exp 0.3196 0.6804
## 
## $tol0.02
##        con    exp
## con 0.6516 0.3484
## exp 0.3196 0.6804
## 
## $tol0.05
##        con    exp
## con 0.6655 0.3345
## exp 0.3233 0.6767

Model Selection:

## Warning: There are 2 models but only 1 for which simulations have been accepted.
## No regression is performed, method is set to rejection.
## Consider increasing the tolerance rate.TRUE
## Call: 
## postpr(target = tar, index = model, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.02, 
##     method = "mnlogistic")
## Data:
##  postpr.out$values (78 posterior samples)
## Models a priori:
##  con, exp
## Models a posteriori:
##  con, exp
## 
## Proportion of accepted simulations (rejection):
## con exp 
##   1   0 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##     con exp
## con   1 Inf
## exp   0
pall WUG1

PCA:

Cross validation:

## Confusion matrix based on 100 samples for each model.
## 
## $tol0.01
##     con exp
## con  64  36
## exp  28  72
## 
## $tol0.02
##     con exp
## con  59  41
## exp  24  76
## 
## $tol0.05
##     con exp
## con  58  42
## exp  19  81
## 
## 
## Mean model posterior probabilities (mnlogistic)
## 
## $tol0.01
##        con    exp
## con 0.6318 0.3682
## exp 0.2883 0.7117
## 
## $tol0.02
##        con    exp
## con 0.5983 0.4017
## exp 0.2785 0.7215
## 
## $tol0.05
##        con    exp
## con 0.5959 0.4041
## exp 0.2801 0.7199

Model Selection:

## Call: 
## postpr(target = tar, index = model, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.02, 
##     method = "mnlogistic")
## Data:
##  postpr.out$values (77 posterior samples)
## Models a priori:
##  con, exp
## Models a posteriori:
##  con, exp
## 
## Proportion of accepted simulations (rejection):
##    con    exp 
## 0.4545 0.5455 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##        con    exp
## con 1.0000 0.8333
## exp 1.2000 1.0000
## 
## 
## Posterior model probabilities (mnlogistic):
##    con    exp 
## 0.6916 0.3084 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##        con    exp
## con 1.0000 2.2427
## exp 0.4459 1.0000
pall WUG2

PCA:

Cross validation:

## Confusion matrix based on 100 samples for each model.
## 
## $tol0.01
##     con exp
## con  62  38
## exp  36  64
## 
## $tol0.02
##     con exp
## con  62  38
## exp  30  70
## 
## $tol0.05
##     con exp
## con  58  42
## exp  25  75
## 
## 
## Mean model posterior probabilities (mnlogistic)
## 
## $tol0.01
##        con    exp
## con 0.6211 0.3789
## exp 0.3677 0.6323
## 
## $tol0.02
##        con    exp
## con 0.6337 0.3663
## exp 0.3471 0.6529
## 
## $tol0.05
##        con    exp
## con 0.6067 0.3933
## exp 0.3463 0.6537

Model Selection:

## Call: 
## postpr(target = tar, index = model, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.02, 
##     method = "mnlogistic")
## Data:
##  postpr.out$values (78 posterior samples)
## Models a priori:
##  con, exp
## Models a posteriori:
##  con, exp
## 
## Proportion of accepted simulations (rejection):
##    con    exp 
## 0.5256 0.4744 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##        con    exp
## con 1.0000 1.1081
## exp 0.9024 1.0000
## 
## 
## Posterior model probabilities (mnlogistic):
##    con    exp 
## 0.7528 0.2472 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##        con    exp
## con 1.0000 3.0454
## exp 0.3284 1.0000
plib GH

PCA:

Cross validation:

## Confusion matrix based on 100 samples for each model.
## 
## $tol0.01
##     con exp
## con  66  34
## exp  36  64
## 
## $tol0.02
##     con exp
## con  60  40
## exp  31  69
## 
## $tol0.05
##     con exp
## con  60  40
## exp  26  74
## 
## 
## Mean model posterior probabilities (mnlogistic)
## 
## $tol0.01
##        con    exp
## con 0.6305 0.3695
## exp 0.3593 0.6407
## 
## $tol0.02
##        con    exp
## con 0.6101 0.3899
## exp 0.3752 0.6248
## 
## $tol0.05
##        con    exp
## con 0.6206 0.3794
## exp 0.3841 0.6159

Model Selection:

## Call: 
## postpr(target = tar, index = model, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.02, 
##     method = "mnlogistic")
## Data:
##  postpr.out$values (78 posterior samples)
## Models a priori:
##  con, exp
## Models a posteriori:
##  con, exp
## 
## Proportion of accepted simulations (rejection):
##    con    exp 
## 0.4872 0.5128 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##        con    exp
## con 1.0000 0.9500
## exp 1.0526 1.0000
## 
## 
## Posterior model probabilities (mnlogistic):
##    con    exp 
## 0.7471 0.2529 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##        con    exp
## con 1.0000 2.9544
## exp 0.3385 1.0000
plib WUG1

PCA:

Cross validation:

## Confusion matrix based on 100 samples for each model.
## 
## $tol0.01
##     con exp
## con  63  37
## exp  40  60
## 
## $tol0.02
##     con exp
## con  67  33
## exp  48  52
## 
## $tol0.05
##     con exp
## con  77  23
## exp  46  54
## 
## 
## Mean model posterior probabilities (mnlogistic)
## 
## $tol0.01
##        con    exp
## con 0.6248 0.3752
## exp 0.4030 0.5970
## 
## $tol0.02
##        con    exp
## con 0.6545 0.3455
## exp 0.4665 0.5335
## 
## $tol0.05
##        con    exp
## con 0.6549 0.3451
## exp 0.4718 0.5282

Model Selection:

## Call: 
## postpr(target = tar, index = model, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.02, 
##     method = "mnlogistic")
## Data:
##  postpr.out$values (77 posterior samples)
## Models a priori:
##  con, exp
## Models a posteriori:
##  con, exp
## 
## Proportion of accepted simulations (rejection):
##    con    exp 
## 0.4156 0.5844 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##        con    exp
## con 1.0000 0.7111
## exp 1.4062 1.0000
## 
## 
## Posterior model probabilities (mnlogistic):
##    con    exp 
## 0.4739 0.5261 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##        con    exp
## con 1.0000 0.9007
## exp 1.1103 1.0000
ppli GH

PCA:

Cross validation:

## Confusion matrix based on 100 samples for each model.
## 
## $tol0.01
##     con exp
## con  75  25
## exp  21  79
## 
## $tol0.02
##     con exp
## con  77  23
## exp  20  80
## 
## $tol0.05
##     con exp
## con  77  23
## exp  19  81
## 
## 
## Mean model posterior probabilities (mnlogistic)
## 
## $tol0.01
##        con    exp
## con 0.7820 0.2180
## exp 0.2385 0.7615
## 
## $tol0.02
##        con    exp
## con 0.7793 0.2207
## exp 0.2366 0.7634
## 
## $tol0.05
##        con    exp
## con 0.7855 0.2145
## exp 0.2477 0.7523

Model Selection:

## Warning: There are 2 models but only 1 for which simulations have been accepted.
## No regression is performed, method is set to rejection.
## Consider increasing the tolerance rate.TRUE
## Call: 
## postpr(target = tar, index = model, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.02, 
##     method = "mnlogistic")
## Data:
##  postpr.out$values (77 posterior samples)
## Models a priori:
##  con, exp
## Models a posteriori:
##  con, exp
## 
## Proportion of accepted simulations (rejection):
## con exp 
##   1   0 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##     con exp
## con   1 Inf
## exp   0
ppli WUG1

PCA:

Cross validation:

## Confusion matrix based on 100 samples for each model.
## 
## $tol0.01
##     con exp
## con  75  25
## exp  26  74
## 
## $tol0.02
##     con exp
## con  73  27
## exp  18  82
## 
## $tol0.05
##     con exp
## con  80  20
## exp  16  84
## 
## 
## Mean model posterior probabilities (mnlogistic)
## 
## $tol0.01
##        con    exp
## con 0.7461 0.2539
## exp 0.2530 0.7470
## 
## $tol0.02
##        con    exp
## con 0.7505 0.2495
## exp 0.1815 0.8185
## 
## $tol0.05
##        con    exp
## con 0.7665 0.2335
## exp 0.1837 0.8163

Model Selection:

## Call: 
## postpr(target = tar, index = model, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.02, 
##     method = "mnlogistic")
## Data:
##  postpr.out$values (78 posterior samples)
## Models a priori:
##  con, exp
## Models a posteriori:
##  con, exp
## 
## Proportion of accepted simulations (rejection):
##    con    exp 
## 0.4231 0.5769 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##        con    exp
## con 1.0000 0.7333
## exp 1.3636 1.0000
## 
## 
## Posterior model probabilities (mnlogistic):
##    con    exp 
## 0.7822 0.2178 
## 
## Bayes factors:
##        con    exp
## con 1.0000 3.5918
## exp 0.2784 1.0000

1.1 Summary Table

con exp
call_GH_pred 0.8335028 0.1664972
call_WUG1_pred 1.0000000 0.0000000
call_WUG2_pred 0.4855015 0.5144985
call_WUG3_pred 0.3428556 0.6571444
call_WUG4_pred 0.6750805 0.3249195
call_WUG5_pred 0.2351216 0.7648784
pall_GH_pred 1.0000000 0.0000000
pall_WUG1_pred 0.6916146 0.3083854
pall_WUG2_pred 0.7528049 0.2471951
plib_GH_pred 0.7471175 0.2528825
plib_WUG1_pred 0.4738708 0.5261292
ppli_GH_pred 1.0000000 0.0000000
ppli_WUG1_pred 0.7822212 0.2177788

2 Parameter estimation

Here is the parameter estimation for each population under the best model chosen for it. Again the details in de collapsible and then a a summary table at the end.

call GH

Intensity CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##             P1
## 0.05 0.9035654

Intensity Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075,
## : No parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (141 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                             P1
## Min.:                  -0.9971
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:   4.7645
## Weighted Median:       10.6961
## Weighted Mean:         11.0577
## Weighted Mode:         10.5828
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 24.9847
## Max.:                  32.8258

Time CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##             P1
## 0.05 0.6695014

Time Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (144 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                              P1
## Min.:                  -2509915
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:   -296049
## Weighted Median:        2024085
## Weighted Mean:          2180918
## Weighted Mode:          1676479
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.:  4269017
## Max.:                   5305529

Ne CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##               P1
## 0.05 0.001786882

Ne Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (144 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                               P1
## Min.:                   89285.01
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:   93088.66
## Weighted Median:        95809.21
## Weighted Mean:          95860.72
## Weighted Mode:          95846.45
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.:  98333.10
## Max.:                  102569.39

call WUG1

Intensity CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##            P1
## 0.05 1.965598

Intensity Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075,
## : No parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (144 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                             P1
## Min.:                   2.2822
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:   6.6944
## Weighted Median:       11.8934
## Weighted Mean:         12.5720
## Weighted Mode:         11.0679
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 20.6839
## Max.:                  37.4260

Time CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##            P1
## 0.05 1.123282

Time Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (145 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                               P1
## Min.:                  -939372.0
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:   655486.5
## Weighted Median:       1442157.1
## Weighted Mean:         1541706.5
## Weighted Mode:         1329792.9
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 2690013.5
## Max.:                  5244732.3

Ne CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##               P1
## 0.05 0.005474869

Ne Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (145 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                              P1
## Min.:                  97608.71
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:  97942.57
## Weighted Median:       98715.36
## Weighted Mean:         98710.59
## Weighted Mode:         98731.73
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 99447.61
## Max.:                  99814.82

call WUG2

Intensity CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##            P1
## 0.05 3.220563

Intensity Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075,
## : No parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (147 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                              P1
## Min.:                  -92.1096
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:  -19.8987
## Weighted Median:        12.2911
## Weighted Mean:          23.0172
## Weighted Mode:           5.8569
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 106.8347
## Max.:                  542.6684

Time CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##            P1
## 0.05 1.318987

Time Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (147 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                                 P1
## Min.:                  -1860743.88
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:     66735.22
## Weighted Median:        2722357.58
## Weighted Mean:          2802683.01
## Weighted Mode:          2680609.96
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.:  5785848.45
## Max.:                   7901972.17

Ne CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##               P1
## 0.05 0.007767491

Ne Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (147 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                              P1
## Min.:                  175848.2
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:  177007.8
## Weighted Median:       177727.0
## Weighted Mean:         177809.9
## Weighted Mode:         177677.1
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 179028.5
## Max.:                  179088.9

call WUG3

Itensity CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##            P1
## 0.05 1.195392

Intensity Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075,
## : No parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (146 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                              P1
## Min.:                   26.9290
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:   28.1815
## Weighted Median:        35.1175
## Weighted Mean:          37.9766
## Weighted Mode:          33.5571
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.:  61.2428
## Max.:                  126.8588

Time CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##            P1
## 0.05 1.568512

Time Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (146 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                                P1
## Min.:                  -167649.66
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:   -70496.42
## Weighted Median:         25885.41
## Weighted Mean:           47143.14
## Weighted Mode:           24066.01
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.:  268748.85
## Max.:                   637995.46

Ne CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##               P1
## 0.05 0.001305559

Ne Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (146 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                               P1
## Min.:                   43643.54
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:   87209.11
## Weighted Median:       123715.49
## Weighted Mean:         121541.97
## Weighted Mode:         127346.73
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 149139.92
## Max.:                  362551.67

call WUG4

Intensity CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##            P1
## 0.05 3.093037

Intensity Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075,
## : No parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (146 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                             P1
## Min.:                  16.8938
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:  17.8380
## Weighted Median:       19.0011
## Weighted Mean:         19.2871
## Weighted Mode:         18.8547
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 23.3668
## Max.:                  27.3447

Time CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##            P1
## 0.05 0.956668

Time Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (147 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                               P1
## Min.:                  -174801.3
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:   580222.5
## Weighted Median:       1649959.3
## Weighted Mean:         1715114.9
## Weighted Mode:         1388731.1
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 2843297.8
## Max.:                  4019974.8

Ne CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##               P1
## 0.05 0.004241838

Ne Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (147 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                              P1
## Min.:                  113783.4
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:  115117.2
## Weighted Median:       117062.7
## Weighted Mean:         117265.0
## Weighted Mode:         116811.1
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 119894.6
## Max.:                  123324.9

call WUG5

PCA:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##            P1
## 0.05 1.911601

Intensity Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075,
## : No parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (141 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                              P1
## Min.:                  -86.0987
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:  -40.3677
## Weighted Median:        11.5007
## Weighted Mean:          17.4672
## Weighted Mode:           8.4755
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.:  98.9418
## Max.:                  314.7245

Time CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##            P1
## 0.05 2.209451

Time Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (141 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                                P1
## Min.:                   -857660.8
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:    918211.2
## Weighted Median:        4689050.7
## Weighted Mean:          4477665.7
## Weighted Mode:          5636201.1
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.:  8675190.7
## Max.:                  10256582.6

Ne CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##              P1
## 0.05 0.01055754

Ne Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (141 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                              P1
## Min.:                  155646.4
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:  162282.5
## Weighted Median:       163987.1
## Weighted Mean:         164139.8
## Weighted Mode:         163991.0
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 166273.2
## Max.:                  167448.3
pall GH

Intensity CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##             P1
## 0.05 0.8555677

Intensity Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075,
## : No parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (147 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                             P1
## Min.:                   0.3938
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:   3.0102
## Weighted Median:        9.8233
## Weighted Mean:         11.5719
## Weighted Mode:          6.5801
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 27.7706
## Max.:                  53.3300

Time CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##             P1
## 0.05 0.6488283

Time Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (145 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                               P1
## Min.:                   356259.0
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:   492787.3
## Weighted Median:        820728.3
## Weighted Mean:          908925.4
## Weighted Mode:          778780.6
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 1791162.9
## Max.:                  3885152.5

Ne CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##               P1
## 0.05 0.003224946

Ne Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (145 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                              P1
## Min.:                  104683.2
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:  107849.4
## Weighted Median:       111411.5
## Weighted Mean:         111413.3
## Weighted Mode:         111650.1
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 114698.8
## Max.:                  122218.7

pall WUG1

Intensity CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##            P1
## 0.05 1.189307

Intensity Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075,
## : No parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (144 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                             P1
## Min.:                  -1.7915
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:   0.7737
## Weighted Median:        3.3522
## Weighted Mean:          3.8127
## Weighted Mode:          2.7091
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.:  8.7084
## Max.:                  15.2162

Time CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##             P1
## 0.05 0.7427261

Time Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (144 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                               P1
## Min.:                  -131577.2
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:   867162.4
## Weighted Median:       1333098.3
## Weighted Mean:         1380349.4
## Weighted Mode:         1282720.7
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 1958623.1
## Max.:                  3519187.6

Ne CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##                P1
## 0.05 0.0007418628

Ne Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (144 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                              P1
## Min.:                  27188.32
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:  29036.00
## Weighted Median:       30382.11
## Weighted Mean:         30398.10
## Weighted Mode:         30340.76
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 31541.88
## Max.:                  33984.40

pall WUG2

Intensity CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##            P1
## 0.05 1.283253

Intensity Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075,
## : No parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (147 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                             P1
## Min.:                  -3.4531
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:   0.2956
## Weighted Median:        4.1471
## Weighted Mean:          4.4877
## Weighted Mode:          3.3597
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 10.3669
## Max.:                  21.9005

Time CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##            P1
## 0.05 1.379242

Time Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (146 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                               P1
## Min.:                   389628.7
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:   484876.3
## Weighted Median:       1339077.9
## Weighted Mean:         1419101.9
## Weighted Mode:         1207215.1
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 2263743.9
## Max.:                  3041870.7

Ne CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##                P1
## 0.05 0.0008907214

Ne Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (146 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                              P1
## Min.:                  55304.46
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:  55488.33
## Weighted Median:       56060.72
## Weighted Mean:         56083.45
## Weighted Mode:         56016.71
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 56668.65
## Max.:                  60083.71

plib GH

Intensity CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##           P1
## 0.05 1.07111

Intensity Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075,
## : No parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (145 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                              P1
## Min.:                  -13.5975
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:   -1.0867
## Weighted Median:        10.7735
## Weighted Mean:          14.7953
## Weighted Mode:           7.2927
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.:  44.0808
## Max.:                   93.3119

Time CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##             P1
## 0.05 0.9436518

Time Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (147 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                                P1
## Min.:                  -1111080.6
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:   -653286.8
## Weighted Median:         376375.8
## Weighted Mean:           489341.4
## Weighted Mode:           247430.2
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.:  1695358.8
## Max.:                   4210778.1

Ne CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##               P1
## 0.05 0.000558175

Ne Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (147 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                              P1
## Min.:                  56506.80
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:  57281.19
## Weighted Median:       59439.95
## Weighted Mean:         59380.23
## Weighted Mode:         59069.61
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 61201.96
## Max.:                  63230.27

plib WUG1

Intensity CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##           P1
## 0.05 1.21034

Intensity Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075,
## : No parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (144 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                              P1
## Min.:                  -27.8009
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:    2.0602
## Weighted Median:        13.1398
## Weighted Mean:          13.0759
## Weighted Mode:          14.6391
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.:  33.3561
## Max.:                   61.2708

Time CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##             P1
## 0.05 0.8869884

Time Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (144 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                               P1
## Min.:                   368426.6
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:   484148.9
## Weighted Median:        974617.1
## Weighted Mean:         1051975.4
## Weighted Mode:          956341.4
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 1869232.8
## Max.:                  2228232.3

Ne CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##               P1
## 0.05 0.001302433

Ne Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (144 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                              P1
## Min.:                  150127.3
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:  153841.5
## Weighted Median:       158347.5
## Weighted Mean:         158701.6
## Weighted Mode:         157594.3
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 164335.2
## Max.:                  173950.1

ppli GH

Intensity CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##            P1
## 0.05 0.831156

Intensity Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075,
## : No parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (145 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                             P1
## Min.:                  18.0741
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:  19.5539
## Weighted Median:       22.8861
## Weighted Mean:         23.9184
## Weighted Mode:         22.2426
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 31.6106
## Max.:                  53.7988

Time CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##             P1
## 0.05 0.3143715

Time Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (144 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                               P1
## Min.:                   73016.57
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:   74600.54
## Weighted Median:       108320.43
## Weighted Mean:         108294.75
## Weighted Mode:         105920.66
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 129809.36
## Max.:                  147639.40

Ne CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##              P1
## 0.05 0.01932286

Ne Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (144 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                              P1
## Min.:                  128024.3
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:  162728.5
## Weighted Median:       183342.4
## Weighted Mean:         184379.9
## Weighted Mode:         181712.6
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 213313.7
## Max.:                  246463.4
ppli WUG1

Intensity CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##             P1
## 0.05 0.4313614

Intensity Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075,
## : No parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = intensity, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (146 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                             P1
## Min.:                  -4.6636
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:  -0.3952
## Weighted Median:        5.8707
## Weighted Mean:          7.2356
## Weighted Mode:          4.9749
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 17.2391
## Max.:                  55.7916

Time CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##             P1
## 0.05 0.6120778

Time Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = time, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (146 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                             P1
## Min.:                  1449487
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:  1478240
## Weighted Median:       1501960
## Weighted Mean:         1501498
## Weighted Mode:         1493092
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 1524437
## Max.:                  1544949

Ne CV:

## Prediction error based on a cross-validation sample of 100
##               P1
## 0.05 0.003956902

Ne Estimate:

## Warning in abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, : No
## parameter names are given, using P1, P2, ...
## Call: 
## abc(target = tar, param = ne, sumstat = sumstat, tol = 0.075, 
##     method = "loclinear")
## Data:
##  abc.out$adj.values (146 posterior samples)
## Weights:
##  abc.out$weights
## Warning in density.default(x, weights = weights): Selecting bandwidth *not*
## using 'weights'
##                               P1
## Min.:                   974.5329
## Weighted 2.5 % Perc.:  1148.0409
## Weighted Median:       1367.6171
## Weighted Mean:         1372.7670
## Weighted Mode:         1353.5939
## Weighted 97.5 % Perc.: 1599.0905
## Max.:                  1821.7289

2.1 Summary Table

population int time ne
call_GH 10.6960554254761 2024084.61401233 95809.2107750962
call_WUG1 11.8933865804829 1442157.09852832 98715.3569475382
call_WUG2 12.2910724336867 2722357.57867628 177726.968669022
call_WUG3 35.1175028447456 25885.407455312 123715.489340042
call_WUG4 19.0011263738894 1649959.34598739 117062.670608756
call_WUG5 11.5007480228398 4689050.65228968 163987.118716808
pall_GH 9.82334330206158 820728.317230858 111411.542710081
pall_WUG1 3.35215465276503 1333098.29610666 30382.1100609658
pall_WUG2 4.14705344180756 1339077.87514032 56060.7179809008
plib_GH 10.7734788286851 376375.812423616 59439.9471473992
plib_WUG1 13.139783485328 974617.117190744 158347.513213599
ppli_GH 22.8861011176987 108320.430142211 183342.405295802
ppli_WUG1_ne 5.87069662704055 1501960.3414185 1367.61710853065