Fire Behavior Comparison
Alan Ivory
2025-08-19
Graph surface fire rate of spread by invasions status
fb %>%
ggplot(aes(x = Status, y = S_ROS)) +
geom_point() +
geom_smooth(method = "lm", se = FALSE) +
labs(title = "Surface Fire Rate of Spread by Invasion Status",
x = "Status",
y = "Rate of Spread (m/min)")## `geom_smooth()` using formula = 'y ~ x'
Fuel Metrics
# Create plots for the surface fire rate of spread (Sur_ROS) and flame length (Sur_FL)
plot_ros <- ggplot(fb, aes(x = Status, y = S_ROS)) +
geom_boxplot() +
labs(title = "Surface Fire Rate of Spread", x = "Invasion Status", y = "Rate of Spread (m/min)") +
theme_classic()
plot_fl <- ggplot(fb, aes(x = Status, y = S_FL)) +
geom_boxplot() +
labs(title = "Flame Length", x = "Invasion Status", y = "Flame Length (m)") +
theme_classic()
# Print the plots
print(plot_ros)
print(plot_fl)
GLMM Surface Rate of Spread
Can’t use Gamma or Lognormal because of zero values in the data.
Rate of Spread Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: S_ROS ~ Status * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Dead_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Live_Biomass + Status * Dead_Biomass + Status * Litter_Biomass
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 1458)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat
## Intercept 2.51 0.02 2.47 2.55 1.00
## StatusInvaded 1.03 0.04 0.94 1.10 1.00
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.51 0.02 -0.54 -0.48 1.00
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.71 0.02 0.68 0.74 1.00
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.46 0.02 -0.49 -0.42 1.00
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.49 0.02 0.46 0.52 1.00
## Live_BiomassHigh -0.19 0.02 -0.22 -0.15 1.00
## Live_BiomassLow 0.26 0.02 0.23 0.29 1.00
## Dead_BiomassHigh 0.10 0.02 0.07 0.13 1.00
## Dead_BiomassLow -0.07 0.02 -0.10 -0.04 1.00
## Litter_BiomassHigh 0.30 0.02 0.27 0.33 1.00
## Litter_BiomassLow -0.69 0.02 -0.73 -0.66 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.00 0.03 -0.07 0.07 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.24 0.04 -0.31 -0.17 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.65 0.05 -0.74 -0.56 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.06 0.04 -0.01 0.13 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 0.22 0.04 0.14 0.30 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow -0.46 0.03 -0.53 -0.40 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.65 0.04 0.57 0.72 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -0.48 0.04 -0.55 -0.40 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.80 0.03 0.73 0.86 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow -0.38 0.05 -0.49 -0.27 1.00
## Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept 3228 3057
## StatusInvaded 2577 2789
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3820 3163
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 4044 2938
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3773 3206
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3884 2790
## Live_BiomassHigh 3238 2817
## Live_BiomassLow 3774 3248
## Dead_BiomassHigh 3806 3224
## Dead_BiomassLow 3847 2646
## Litter_BiomassHigh 4380 3263
## Litter_BiomassLow 3906 3091
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3226 2915
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3539 2853
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2497 2644
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2805 2395
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 3130 2915
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 3374 3259
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 3206 2996
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow 2613 3043
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 3398 3037
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 2819 3003
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 0.17 0.01 0.15 0.19 1.00 2391 2411
## nu 1.95 0.19 1.62 2.36 1.00 2363 2465
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Surface Rate of Spread Table
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## <thead>
## <tr class="gt_heading">
## <td colspan="6" class="gt_heading gt_title gt_font_normal gt_bottom_border" style>Posterior Estimates for Surface Rate of Spread</td>
## </tr>
##
## <tr class="gt_col_headings">
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_left" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a::stub"></th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Estimate">Estimate</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Est.-Error">Est. Error</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-CI-(Lower)">95% CI (Lower)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-CI-(Upper)">95% CI (Upper)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Probability->-0">Probability > 0</th>
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## <tbody class="gt_table_body">
## <tr><th id="stub_1_1" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Intercept</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">2.51</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">2.47</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">2.55</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_2" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">High Dead Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.10</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.07</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.13</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_3" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">High Dead Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.46</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.49</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.42</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_4" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">High Litter Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.30</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.27</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.33</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_5" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">High Live Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.19</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.22</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.15</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_6" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">High Live Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.51</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.54</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.48</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_7" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Low Dead Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.07</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.10</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_8" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Low Dead Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.49</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.46</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.52</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_9" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Low Litter Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.69</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.73</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.66</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_10" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Low Live Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.26</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.23</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.29</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_11" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Low Live Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.71</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.68</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.74</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_12" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.94</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.10</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_13" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × High Dead Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.65</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.57</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.72</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_14" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × High Dead Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.65</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.74</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.56</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_15" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × High Litter Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.80</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.73</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.86</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_16" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × High Live Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.22</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.14</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.30</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_17" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × High Live Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.07</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">0.07</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.531</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_18" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × Low Dead Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.48</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.55</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.40</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_19" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × Low Dead Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">0.06</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">0.13</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.954</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_20" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × Low Litter Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.38</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.49</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.27</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_21" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × Low Live Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.46</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.53</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.40</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_22" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × Low Live Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.24</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.31</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.17</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## </tbody>
##
##
## </table>
## </div>ROS Conditional Effects
## Warning: The `size` argument of `element_line()` is deprecated as of ggplot2 3.4.0.
## ℹ Please use the `linewidth` argument instead.
## This warning is displayed once every 8 hours.
## Call `lifecycle::last_lifecycle_warnings()` to see where this warning was
## generated.## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
ROS Posterior Probabilities
post_S_ROS <- posterior_samples(S_ROS_model_student)## Warning: Method 'posterior_samples' is deprecated. Please see ?as_draws for
## recommended alternatives.names(post_S_ROS)## [1] "b_Intercept"
## [2] "b_StatusInvaded"
## [3] "b_Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [4] "b_Live_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [5] "b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [6] "b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [7] "b_Live_BiomassHigh"
## [8] "b_Live_BiomassLow"
## [9] "b_Dead_BiomassHigh"
## [10] "b_Dead_BiomassLow"
## [11] "b_Litter_BiomassHigh"
## [12] "b_Litter_BiomassLow"
## [13] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [14] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [15] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [16] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [17] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh"
## [18] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow"
## [19] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh"
## [20] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow"
## [21] "b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh"
## [22] "b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow"
## [23] "sigma"
## [24] "nu"
## [25] "Intercept"
## [26] "lprior"
## [27] "lp__"mean(post_S_ROS$b_StatusInvaded > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_ROS$b_Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_ROS$b_Live_Fuel_MoistureLow > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_ROS$b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_ROS$b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_ROS$b_Live_BiomassHigh > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_ROS$b_Live_BiomassLow > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_ROS$b_Dead_BiomassHigh > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_ROS$b_Dead_BiomassLow > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_ROS$b_Litter_BiomassHigh > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_ROS$b_Litter_BiomassLow > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_ROS$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh' > 0)## [1] 0.531mean(post_S_ROS$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow' > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_ROS$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh' > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_ROS$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow' > 0)## [1] 0.95425mean(post_S_ROS$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh' > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_ROS$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow' > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_ROS$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh' > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_ROS$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow' > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_ROS$'b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh' > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_ROS$'b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow' > 0)## [1] 0GLMM Flame Length
Flame Length Model Comparison
## Warning: Parts of the model have not converged (some Rhats are > 1.05). Be
## careful when analysing the results! We recommend running more iterations and/or
## setting stronger priors.## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: S_FL ~ Status * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Dead_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Live_Biomass + Status * Dead_Biomass + Status * Litter_Biomass
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 1458)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat
## Intercept 1.57 0.02 1.53 1.60 1.06
## StatusInvaded 0.18 0.07 0.10 0.31 1.53
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.26 0.02 0.22 0.29 1.50
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.20 0.02 -0.23 -0.17 1.44
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.24 0.01 0.21 0.27 1.22
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.24 0.03 -0.28 -0.19 1.53
## Live_BiomassLow 0.06 0.01 0.04 0.09 1.05
## Live_BiomassHigh -0.04 0.01 -0.07 -0.02 1.05
## Dead_BiomassLow -0.04 0.01 -0.06 -0.02 1.05
## Dead_BiomassHigh 0.07 0.01 0.04 0.09 1.15
## Litter_BiomassLow -0.44 0.04 -0.49 -0.36 1.53
## Litter_BiomassHigh 0.19 0.01 0.17 0.22 1.05
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.11 0.02 -0.15 -0.07 1.04
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.03 0.02 -0.01 0.07 1.19
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.01 0.02 -0.03 0.05 1.33
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.16 0.06 -0.23 -0.06 1.53
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow -0.09 0.03 -0.14 -0.04 1.49
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 0.01 0.06 -0.06 0.11 1.53
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -0.24 0.04 -0.29 -0.17 1.53
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.31 0.07 0.17 0.38 1.53
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow -0.19 0.17 -0.50 -0.05 1.53
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.37 0.07 0.24 0.45 1.53
## Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept 2521 1976
## StatusInvaded 7 32
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 7 30
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 8 37
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 13 826
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 7 30
## Live_BiomassLow 62 2833
## Live_BiomassHigh 59 2726
## Dead_BiomassLow 173 2736
## Dead_BiomassHigh 18 2543
## Litter_BiomassLow 7 31
## Litter_BiomassHigh 156 2207
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 80 2850
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 15 353
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 10 74
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 7 31
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 8 30
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 7 29
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow 7 30
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 7 32
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 7 30
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 7 31
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 0.12 0.04 0.05 0.15 1.53 7 30
## nu 13.64 11.16 1.01 41.03 1.53 7 35
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Surface Flame Length Table
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## <table class="gt_table" data-quarto-disable-processing="false" data-quarto-bootstrap="false">
## <thead>
## <tr class="gt_heading">
## <td colspan="6" class="gt_heading gt_title gt_font_normal gt_bottom_border" style>Posterior Estimates for Surface Fire Flame Length</td>
## </tr>
##
## <tr class="gt_col_headings">
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_left" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a::stub"></th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Estimate">Estimate</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Est.-Error">Est. Error</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-CI-(Lower)">95% CI (Lower)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-CI-(Upper)">95% CI (Upper)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Probability->-0">Probability > 0</th>
## </tr>
## </thead>
## <tbody class="gt_table_body">
## <tr><th id="stub_1_1" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Intercept</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.57</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.53</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.60</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_2" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">High Dead Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.06</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.09</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_3" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">High Dead Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.24</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.28</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.19</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_4" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">High Litter Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.19</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.17</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.22</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_5" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">High Live Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.07</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.001</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_6" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">High Live Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.20</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.23</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.17</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_7" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Low Dead Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.06</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_8" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Low Dead Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.24</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.21</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.27</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_9" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Low Litter Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.45</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.49</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.36</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_10" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Low Live Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.06</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.09</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_11" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Low Live Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.26</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.22</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.29</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_12" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.16</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.10</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.31</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_13" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × High Dead Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.34</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.17</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.38</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_14" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × High Dead Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.19</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.23</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.06</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_15" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × High Litter Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.40</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.24</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.45</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_16" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × High Live Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.06</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">0.11</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.340</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_17" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × High Live Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">0.07</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.921</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_18" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × Low Dead Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.25</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.29</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.17</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_19" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × Low Dead Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">0.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.650</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_20" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × Low Litter Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.10</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.50</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_21" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × Low Live Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.09</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.14</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_22" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × Low Live Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.11</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.15</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.07</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## </tbody>
##
##
## </table>
## </div>Flame Length Conditional Effects
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
FL Posterior Probabilities
post_S_FL <- posterior_samples(S_FL_model_student)## Warning: Method 'posterior_samples' is deprecated. Please see ?as_draws for
## recommended alternatives.names(post_S_FL)## [1] "b_Intercept"
## [2] "b_StatusInvaded"
## [3] "b_Live_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [4] "b_Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [5] "b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [6] "b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [7] "b_Live_BiomassLow"
## [8] "b_Live_BiomassHigh"
## [9] "b_Dead_BiomassLow"
## [10] "b_Dead_BiomassHigh"
## [11] "b_Litter_BiomassLow"
## [12] "b_Litter_BiomassHigh"
## [13] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [14] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [15] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [16] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [17] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow"
## [18] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh"
## [19] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow"
## [20] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh"
## [21] "b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow"
## [22] "b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh"
## [23] "sigma"
## [24] "nu"
## [25] "Intercept"
## [26] "lprior"
## [27] "lp__"mean(post_S_FL$b_StatusInvaded > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_FL$b_Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_FL$b_Live_Fuel_MoistureLow > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_FL$b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_FL$b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_FL$b_Live_BiomassHigh > 0)## [1] 0.00075mean(post_S_FL$b_Live_BiomassLow > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_FL$b_Dead_BiomassHigh > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_FL$b_Dead_BiomassLow > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_FL$b_Litter_BiomassHigh > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_FL$b_Litter_BiomassLow > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_FL$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh' > 0)## [1] 0.92125mean(post_S_FL$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow' > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_FL$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh' > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_FL$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow' > 0)## [1] 0.65025mean(post_S_FL$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh' > 0)## [1] 0.3395mean(post_S_FL$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow' > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_FL$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh' > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_FL$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow' > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_FL$'b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh' > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_FL$'b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow' > 0)## [1] 0GLMM Surface Fireline Intensity
Fireline Intensity Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: S_Fin ~ Status * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Dead_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Live_Biomass + Status * Dead_Biomass + Status * Litter_Biomass
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 1458)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat
## Intercept 701.22 6.20 689.18 713.71 1.00
## StatusInvaded 250.84 14.26 221.47 278.15 1.00
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 221.22 5.28 211.09 231.55 1.00
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -160.66 4.41 -169.55 -152.16 1.00
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 224.15 5.00 214.43 234.29 1.00
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -186.29 4.93 -196.02 -176.71 1.00
## Live_BiomassLow 51.23 4.69 41.83 60.48 1.00
## Live_BiomassHigh -35.72 4.69 -44.82 -26.42 1.00
## Dead_BiomassLow -36.20 4.59 -45.30 -27.23 1.00
## Dead_BiomassHigh 54.76 4.62 45.83 63.86 1.00
## Litter_BiomassLow -353.22 5.29 -363.56 -343.04 1.00
## Litter_BiomassHigh 183.28 4.51 174.29 192.09 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -43.68 10.05 -63.08 -24.03 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -27.68 10.17 -48.04 -7.48 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 57.14 10.50 37.15 78.02 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -283.49 11.38 -306.51 -261.03 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow -120.58 12.63 -145.54 -96.03 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 134.03 11.47 111.17 156.18 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -225.04 10.74 -246.25 -204.35 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 373.71 9.54 355.87 392.67 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow -131.25 13.41 -156.79 -105.14 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 480.06 9.81 461.36 499.27 1.00
## Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept 3179 2645
## StatusInvaded 2362 2480
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3515 3449
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 4096 3015
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3603 2941
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 4176 2882
## Live_BiomassLow 3796 2577
## Live_BiomassHigh 3629 3060
## Dead_BiomassLow 3856 3049
## Dead_BiomassHigh 3600 3286
## Litter_BiomassLow 4430 3277
## Litter_BiomassHigh 4222 3149
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3774 3038
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3783 2868
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3017 3120
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3955 3099
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 3107 3337
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 3430 3091
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow 3708 3418
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 3084 3156
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 3552 2996
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 3603 3117
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 47.33 2.37 42.88 52.17 1.00 3488 2913
## nu 1.35 0.08 1.19 1.53 1.00 3628 2683
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Surface Fireline Intensity Table
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## <table class="gt_table" data-quarto-disable-processing="false" data-quarto-bootstrap="false">
## <thead>
## <tr class="gt_heading">
## <td colspan="6" class="gt_heading gt_title gt_font_normal gt_bottom_border" style>Posterior Estimates for Surface Fireline Intensity</td>
## </tr>
##
## <tr class="gt_col_headings">
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_left" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a::stub"></th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Estimate">Estimate</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Est.-Error">Est. Error</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-CI-(Lower)">95% CI (Lower)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-CI-(Upper)">95% CI (Upper)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Probability->-0">Probability > 0</th>
## </tr>
## </thead>
## <tbody class="gt_table_body">
## <tr><th id="stub_1_1" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Intercept</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">701.17</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">6.15</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">689.18</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">713.71</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_2" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">High Dead Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">54.82</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">4.67</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">45.83</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">63.86</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_3" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">High Dead Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−186.18</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">4.90</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−196.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−176.71</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_4" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">High Litter Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">183.33</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">4.45</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">174.29</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">192.09</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_5" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">High Live Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−35.73</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">4.74</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−44.82</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−26.42</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_6" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">High Live Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−160.71</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">4.30</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−169.55</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−152.16</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_7" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Low Dead Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−36.09</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">4.58</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−45.30</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−27.23</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_8" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Low Dead Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">224.13</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">4.94</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">214.43</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">234.29</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_9" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Low Litter Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−353.19</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">5.38</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−363.56</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−343.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_10" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Low Live Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">51.26</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">4.71</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">41.83</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">60.48</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_11" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Low Live Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">221.06</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">5.31</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">211.09</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">231.55</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_12" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">250.98</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">13.54</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">221.47</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">278.15</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_13" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × High Dead Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">373.56</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">9.42</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">355.87</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">392.67</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_14" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × High Dead Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−283.56</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">11.30</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−306.51</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−261.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_15" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × High Litter Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">480.16</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">9.97</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">461.36</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">499.27</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_16" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × High Live Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">134.19</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">11.42</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">111.17</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">156.18</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_17" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × High Live Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−27.59</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">9.88</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−48.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−7.48</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.002</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_18" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × Low Dead Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−224.89</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">10.84</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−246.25</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−204.35</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_19" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × Low Dead Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">57.25</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">10.79</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">37.15</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">78.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_20" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × Low Litter Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−131.46</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">13.49</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−156.79</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−105.14</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_21" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × Low Live Biomass</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−120.59</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">12.56</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−145.54</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−96.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_22" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × Low Live Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−43.75</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">10.28</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−63.08</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−24.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## </tbody>
##
##
## </table>
## </div>Fireline Intensity Conditional Effects
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
Fireline Intensity Posterior Probabilities
post_S_FI <- posterior_samples(S_FI_model_student)## Warning: Method 'posterior_samples' is deprecated. Please see ?as_draws for
## recommended alternatives.names(post_S_FI)## [1] "b_Intercept"
## [2] "b_StatusInvaded"
## [3] "b_Live_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [4] "b_Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [5] "b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [6] "b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [7] "b_Live_BiomassLow"
## [8] "b_Live_BiomassHigh"
## [9] "b_Dead_BiomassLow"
## [10] "b_Dead_BiomassHigh"
## [11] "b_Litter_BiomassLow"
## [12] "b_Litter_BiomassHigh"
## [13] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [14] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [15] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [16] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [17] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow"
## [18] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh"
## [19] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow"
## [20] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh"
## [21] "b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow"
## [22] "b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh"
## [23] "sigma"
## [24] "nu"
## [25] "Intercept"
## [26] "lprior"
## [27] "lp__"mean(post_S_FI$b_StatusInvaded > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_FI$b_Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_FI$b_Live_Fuel_MoistureLow > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_FI$b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_FI$b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_FI$b_Live_BiomassHigh > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_FI$b_Live_BiomassLow > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_FI$b_Dead_BiomassHigh > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_FI$b_Dead_BiomassLow > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_FI$b_Litter_BiomassHigh > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_FI$b_Litter_BiomassLow > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_FI$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh' > 0)## [1] 0.00225mean(post_S_FI$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow' > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_FI$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh' > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_FI$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow' > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_FI$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh' > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_FI$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow' > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_FI$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh' > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_FI$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow' > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_S_FI$'b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh' > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_S_FI$'b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow' > 0)## [1] 0GLMM Crown Transition Ratio
Crown Transition Ratio Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: C_TR ~ Status * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Dead_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Live_Biomass + Status * Dead_Biomass + Status * Litter_Biomass + Status * TreeBH
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 1458)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat
## Intercept 0.61 0.02 0.58 0.64 1.00
## StatusInvaded -0.08 0.02 -0.13 -0.03 1.00
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.06 0.01 0.05 0.07 1.00
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.04 0.01 -0.06 -0.03 1.00
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.06 0.00 0.05 0.07 1.00
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.05 0.01 -0.06 -0.04 1.00
## Live_BiomassLow 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.02 1.00
## Live_BiomassHigh -0.01 0.01 -0.02 0.00 1.00
## Dead_BiomassLow -0.01 0.01 -0.02 0.00 1.00
## Dead_BiomassHigh 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.02 1.00
## Litter_BiomassLow -0.10 0.01 -0.11 -0.09 1.00
## Litter_BiomassHigh 0.05 0.00 0.04 0.06 1.00
## TreeBH -0.05 0.00 -0.05 -0.05 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.02 0.01 -0.03 -0.00 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.00 0.01 -0.01 0.02 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.01 0.01 -0.01 0.02 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.07 0.01 -0.08 -0.05 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow -0.02 0.01 -0.04 -0.01 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh -0.01 0.01 -0.02 0.01 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -0.06 0.01 -0.07 -0.04 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.09 0.01 0.08 0.10 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow -0.02 0.01 -0.03 -0.00 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.11 0.01 0.10 0.13 1.00
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 1.00
## Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept 2727 2687
## StatusInvaded 2646 2653
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2898 3357
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3137 2773
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3134 3275
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2901 2801
## Live_BiomassLow 3160 2898
## Live_BiomassHigh 3326 3496
## Dead_BiomassLow 3352 3332
## Dead_BiomassHigh 3434 3324
## Litter_BiomassLow 2970 3277
## Litter_BiomassHigh 4125 3191
## TreeBH 2894 3233
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2913 2671
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3066 2768
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3204 3006
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2818 3044
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 3044 2786
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 3129 3097
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow 3291 2721
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 3188 3060
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 2817 2959
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 3827 2962
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH 3120 3123
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 0.04 0.00 0.04 0.05 1.00 2820 2207
## nu 1.24 0.07 1.10 1.39 1.00 2673 2009
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Transition Ratio Table
## Warning: Dropping 'draws_df' class as required metadata was removed.## Warning: There was 1 warning in `mutate()`.
## ℹ In argument: `Parameter = fct_relevel(Parameter, "Intercept")`.
## Caused by warning:
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## <tr class="gt_heading">
## <td colspan="6" class="gt_heading gt_title gt_font_normal gt_bottom_border" style>Posterior Estimates for Crown Fire Transition Ratio</td>
## </tr>
##
## <tr class="gt_col_headings">
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_left" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a::stub"></th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Estimate">Estimate</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Est.-Error">Est. Error</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-CI-(Lower)">95% CI (Lower)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-CI-(Upper)">95% CI (Upper)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Probability->-0">Probability > 0</th>
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## <tbody class="gt_table_body">
## <tr><th id="stub_1_1" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Canopy Base Height</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_2" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Dead_BiomassHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.999</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_3" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Dead_BiomassLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.028</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_4" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.06</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_5" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.06</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.07</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_6" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Intercept</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.61</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.58</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.64</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_7" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Litter_BiomassHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.06</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_8" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Litter_BiomassLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.10</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.11</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.09</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_9" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Live_BiomassHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.029</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_10" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Live_BiomassLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.995</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_11" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.06</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_12" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Live_Fuel_MoistureLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.06</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.07</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_13" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.08</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.13</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_14" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Canopy Base Height</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_15" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Dead_BiomassHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.09</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.08</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.10</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_16" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Dead_BiomassLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.06</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.07</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_17" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.07</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.08</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_18" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.821</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_19" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Litter_BiomassHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.11</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.10</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.13</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_20" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Litter_BiomassLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.009</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_21" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Live_BiomassHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.187</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_22" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Live_BiomassLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.002</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_23" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_23 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_23 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_23 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_23 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_23 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.520</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_24" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Live_Fuel_MoistureLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_24 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_24 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_24 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_24 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_24 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.018</td></tr>
## </tbody>
##
##
## </table>
## </div>Crown Transition Ratio Conditional Effects
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
Transition Ratio Posterior Probabilities
post_C_TR <- posterior_samples(Crown_TR_model_student)## Warning: Method 'posterior_samples' is deprecated. Please see ?as_draws for
## recommended alternatives.names(post_C_TR)## [1] "b_Intercept"
## [2] "b_StatusInvaded"
## [3] "b_Live_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [4] "b_Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [5] "b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [6] "b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [7] "b_Live_BiomassLow"
## [8] "b_Live_BiomassHigh"
## [9] "b_Dead_BiomassLow"
## [10] "b_Dead_BiomassHigh"
## [11] "b_Litter_BiomassLow"
## [12] "b_Litter_BiomassHigh"
## [13] "b_TreeBH"
## [14] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [15] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [16] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [17] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [18] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow"
## [19] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh"
## [20] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow"
## [21] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh"
## [22] "b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow"
## [23] "b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh"
## [24] "b_StatusInvaded:TreeBH"
## [25] "sigma"
## [26] "nu"
## [27] "Intercept"
## [28] "lprior"
## [29] "lp__"mean(post_C_TR$b_StatusInvaded > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_TR$b_Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_TR$b_Live_Fuel_MoistureLow > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_TR$b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_TR$b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_TR$b_Live_BiomassHigh > 0)## [1] 0.02925mean(post_C_TR$b_Live_BiomassLow > 0)## [1] 0.99525mean(post_C_TR$b_Dead_BiomassHigh > 0)## [1] 0.9985mean(post_C_TR$b_Dead_BiomassLow > 0)## [1] 0.0285mean(post_C_TR$b_Litter_BiomassHigh > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_TR$b_Litter_BiomassLow > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_TR$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh' > 0)## [1] 0.51975mean(post_C_TR$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow' > 0)## [1] 0.0185mean(post_C_TR$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh' > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_TR$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow' > 0)## [1] 0.82125mean(post_C_TR$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh' > 0)## [1] 0.187mean(post_C_TR$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow' > 0)## [1] 0.002mean(post_C_TR$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh' > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_TR$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow' > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_TR$'b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh' > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_TR$'b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow' > 0)## [1] 0.0095GLMM Crown Fire Active Ratio
Crown Fire Active Ratio Model Comparison
## Warning: Parts of the model have not converged (some Rhats are > 1.05). Be
## careful when analysing the results! We recommend running more iterations and/or
## setting stronger priors.## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: C_AR ~ Status * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Dead_Fuel_Moisture
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 1458)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat
## Intercept 0.12 0.00 0.11 0.12 1.54
## StatusInvaded -0.04 0.00 -0.04 -0.03 1.54
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.03 1.54
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.03 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 1.54
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.03 1.02
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.12 0.00 -0.12 -0.11 1.54
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.01 0.00 -0.02 -0.01 1.54
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.02 1.54
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 1.02
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.04 0.00 0.03 0.04 1.54
## Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept 7 31
## StatusInvaded 7 31
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 7 31
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 7 28
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 4152 2691
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 7 30
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 7 39
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 7 29
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3092 2453
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 7 31
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.45 4 11
## nu 1.12 0.14 1.01 1.35 3.98 4 14
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Active Ratio Table
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## </style>
## <table class="gt_table" data-quarto-disable-processing="false" data-quarto-bootstrap="false">
## <thead>
## <tr class="gt_heading">
## <td colspan="6" class="gt_heading gt_title gt_font_normal gt_bottom_border" style>Posterior Estimates for Crown Fire Active Ratio</td>
## </tr>
##
## <tr class="gt_col_headings">
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_left" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a::stub"></th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Estimate">Estimate</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Est.-Error">Est. Error</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-CI-(Lower)">95% CI (Lower)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-CI-(Upper)">95% CI (Upper)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Probability->-0">Probability > 0</th>
## </tr>
## </thead>
## <tbody class="gt_table_body">
## <tr><th id="stub_1_1" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Intercept</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.12</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.11</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.12</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_2" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">High Dead Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.12</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.12</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.11</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_3" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">High Live Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_4" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Low Dead Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_5" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Low Live Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_6" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_7" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × High Dead Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_8" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × High Live Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_9" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × Low Dead Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_10" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × Low Live Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## </tbody>
##
##
## </table>
## </div>Active Ratio Conditional Effects
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## Warning: Removed 1 row containing missing values or values outside the scale range
## (`geom_point()`).## Warning: Removed 1 row containing missing values or values outside the scale range
## (`geom_line()`).## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
Active Ratio Posterior Probabilities
post_C_AR <- posterior_samples(Crown_AR_model_student)## Warning: Method 'posterior_samples' is deprecated. Please see ?as_draws for
## recommended alternatives.names(post_C_AR)## [1] "b_Intercept"
## [2] "b_StatusInvaded"
## [3] "b_Live_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [4] "b_Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [5] "b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [6] "b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [7] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [8] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [9] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [10] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [11] "sigma"
## [12] "nu"
## [13] "Intercept"
## [14] "lprior"
## [15] "lp__"mean(post_C_AR$b_StatusInvaded > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_AR$b_Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_AR$b_Live_Fuel_MoistureLow > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_AR$b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_AR$b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_AR$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh' > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_AR$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow' > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_AR$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh' > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_AR$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow' > 0)## [1] 1GLMM Crown Fire Rate of Spread
Crown Fire Rate of Spread Model Comparison
## Warning: Parts of the model have not converged (some Rhats are > 1.05). Be
## careful when analysing the results! We recommend running more iterations and/or
## setting stronger priors.## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: C_ROS ~ Status * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Dead_Fuel_Moisture
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 1458)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat
## Intercept 1.30 0.00 1.30 1.30 1.03
## StatusInvaded -0.40 0.00 -0.40 -0.40 1.03
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.40 0.00 0.40 0.40 1.03
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.20 0.00 -0.20 -0.20 1.04
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.40 0.00 0.40 0.40 1.04
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -1.30 0.00 -1.30 -1.30 1.04
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.40 0.00 -0.40 -0.40 1.04
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.00 0.00 -0.00 0.00 1.04
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.30 0.00 0.30 0.30 1.03
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.40 0.00 0.40 0.40 1.04
## Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept 2374 1538
## StatusInvaded 2376 1427
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2621 1939
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3385 1992
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2684 2639
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2476 2195
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2712 2105
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3499 1970
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2885 2152
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2486 2412
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.60 4 11
## nu 1.09 0.02 1.06 1.11 4.06 4 13
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Crown Fire Rate of Spread Table
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## <td colspan="6" class="gt_heading gt_title gt_font_normal gt_bottom_border" style>Posterior Estimates for Crown Fire Rate of Spread</td>
## </tr>
##
## <tr class="gt_col_headings">
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_left" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a::stub"></th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Estimate">Estimate</th>
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## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-CI-(Lower)">95% CI (Lower)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-CI-(Upper)">95% CI (Upper)</th>
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## <tr><th id="stub_1_1" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Intercept</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.30</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.30</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.30</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_2" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">High Dead Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−1.30</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−1.30</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−1.30</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_3" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">High Live Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.20</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.20</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.20</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_4" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Low Dead Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.40</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.40</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.40</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_5" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Low Live Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.40</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.40</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.40</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_6" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.40</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.40</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.40</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_7" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × High Dead Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.40</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.40</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.40</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_8" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × High Live Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.506</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_9" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × Low Dead Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.30</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.30</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.30</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_10" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">Status-Invaded × Low Live Fuel Moisture</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.40</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.40</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.40</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## </tbody>
##
##
## </table>
## </div>Crown Fire Rate of Spread Conditional Effects
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## Warning: Removed 2 rows containing missing values or values outside the scale range
## (`geom_point()`).## Warning: Removed 2 rows containing missing values or values outside the scale range
## (`geom_line()`).## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
Crown Fire Rate of Spread Posterior Probabilities
post_C_ROS <- posterior_samples(Crown_ROS_model_student)## Warning: Method 'posterior_samples' is deprecated. Please see ?as_draws for
## recommended alternatives.names(post_C_ROS)## [1] "b_Intercept"
## [2] "b_StatusInvaded"
## [3] "b_Live_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [4] "b_Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [5] "b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [6] "b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [7] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [8] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [9] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [10] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [11] "sigma"
## [12] "nu"
## [13] "Intercept"
## [14] "lprior"
## [15] "lp__"mean(post_C_ROS$b_StatusInvaded > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_ROS$b_Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_ROS$b_Live_Fuel_MoistureLow > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_ROS$b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_ROS$b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_ROS$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh' > 0)## [1] 0.50575mean(post_C_ROS$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow' > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_ROS$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh' > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_ROS$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow' > 0)## [1] 1GLMM Crown Fire Intensity
Crown Fire Intensity Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: C_Fin ~ Status * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Dead_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Live_Biomass + Status * Dead_Biomass + Status * Litter_Biomass + Status * TreeBH
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 1458)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat
## Intercept 323.44 27.15 270.04 376.55 1.00
## StatusInvaded -156.99 40.06 -235.26 -78.79 1.00
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 397.80 14.69 368.36 426.33 1.00
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -328.27 13.23 -354.13 -302.03 1.00
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 468.43 12.43 444.23 493.38 1.00
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -1473.91 19.48 -1513.34 -1436.13 1.00
## Live_BiomassLow -10.36 13.17 -35.43 15.15 1.00
## Live_BiomassHigh 7.80 13.16 -17.92 33.24 1.00
## Dead_BiomassLow -12.90 13.44 -39.46 13.34 1.00
## Dead_BiomassHigh 17.66 13.53 -8.82 43.64 1.00
## Litter_BiomassLow -103.44 13.11 -129.26 -78.07 1.00
## Litter_BiomassHigh 50.67 13.58 23.29 76.87 1.00
## TreeBH 150.52 2.69 145.22 155.71 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -157.15 20.90 -197.35 -118.00 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 153.20 20.23 113.30 193.48 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 247.80 19.13 210.98 285.75 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 465.52 28.06 409.87 520.26 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 16.30 19.31 -21.21 53.47 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh -19.05 20.18 -57.89 20.44 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -42.58 19.90 -81.41 -3.04 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 54.19 20.14 14.18 94.81 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow -1.95 19.64 -39.69 36.63 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 38.86 20.49 -1.69 79.75 1.00
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH -44.91 4.14 -52.94 -36.76 1.00
## Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept 3078 3464
## StatusInvaded 2768 2522
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3578 2958
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3353 3099
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 4295 3117
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3222 2723
## Live_BiomassLow 3872 3536
## Live_BiomassHigh 3894 3637
## Dead_BiomassLow 3432 3364
## Dead_BiomassHigh 3410 3106
## Litter_BiomassLow 3502 3238
## Litter_BiomassHigh 3478 3117
## TreeBH 3541 3412
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3532 3265
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3151 3334
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3953 3252
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3455 2525
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 4177 3353
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 4108 3331
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow 3330 3105
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 3264 3214
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 3360 3064
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 3490 3325
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH 3329 3210
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 120.23 6.43 108.34 133.23 1.00 3697 2911
## nu 1.83 0.16 1.55 2.18 1.00 3903 3047
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Crown Fire Intensity Table
## Warning: Dropping 'draws_df' class as required metadata was removed.## Warning: There was 1 warning in `mutate()`.
## ℹ In argument: `Parameter = fct_relevel(Parameter, "Intercept")`.
## Caused by warning:
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## <td colspan="6" class="gt_heading gt_title gt_font_normal gt_bottom_border" style>Posterior Estimates for Crown Fireline Intensity</td>
## </tr>
##
## <tr class="gt_col_headings">
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_left" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a::stub"></th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Estimate">Estimate</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Est.-Error">Est. Error</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-CI-(Lower)">95% CI (Lower)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-CI-(Upper)">95% CI (Upper)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Probability->-0">Probability > 0</th>
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## </thead>
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## <tr><th id="stub_1_1" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Canopy Base Height</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">150.51</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">2.72</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">145.22</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">155.71</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_2" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Dead_BiomassHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">17.91</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">13.87</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−8.82</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">43.64</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.902</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_3" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Dead_BiomassLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">−12.97</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">13.35</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−39.46</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">13.34</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.169</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_4" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−1,473.61</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">19.30</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−1,513.34</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−1,436.13</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_5" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">468.30</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">12.65</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">444.23</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">493.38</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_6" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Intercept</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">323.27</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">27.06</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">270.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">376.55</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_7" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Litter_BiomassHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">50.75</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">13.87</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">23.29</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">76.87</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_8" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Litter_BiomassLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−103.36</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">13.25</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−129.26</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−78.07</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_9" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Live_BiomassHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">7.77</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">13.40</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−17.92</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">33.24</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.715</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_10" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Live_BiomassLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">−10.42</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">13.44</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−35.43</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">15.15</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.218</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_11" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−328.42</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">13.47</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−354.13</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−302.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_12" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Live_Fuel_MoistureLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">397.81</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">14.49</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">368.36</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">426.33</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_13" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−157.09</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">41.15</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−235.26</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−78.79</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_14" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Canopy Base Height</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−44.86</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">4.11</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−52.94</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−36.76</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_15" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Dead_BiomassHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">53.82</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">19.76</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">14.18</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">94.81</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.997</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_16" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Dead_BiomassLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−42.86</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">19.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−81.41</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−3.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.017</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_17" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">465.66</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">28.17</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">409.87</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">520.26</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_18" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">247.52</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">19.21</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">210.98</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">285.75</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_19" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Litter_BiomassHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">38.48</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">20.38</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−1.69</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">79.75</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.971</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_20" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Litter_BiomassLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">−2.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">19.57</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−39.69</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">36.63</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.456</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_21" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Live_BiomassHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">−18.95</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">20.42</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−57.89</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">20.44</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.178</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_22" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Live_BiomassLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">16.09</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">19.81</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−21.21</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">53.47</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.795</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_23" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_23 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">153.45</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_23 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">19.71</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_23 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">113.30</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_23 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">193.48</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_23 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_24" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Live_Fuel_MoistureLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_24 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−156.80</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_24 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">21.40</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_24 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−197.35</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_24 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−118.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_24 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## </tbody>
##
##
## </table>
## </div>Crown Fire Intensity Conditional Effects
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## Warning: Removed 2 rows containing missing values or values outside the scale range
## (`geom_point()`).## Warning: Removed 2 rows containing missing values or values outside the scale range
## (`geom_line()`).## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
Crown Fire Intensity Posterior Probabilities
post_C_Fin <- posterior_samples(Crown_Fin_model_student)## Warning: Method 'posterior_samples' is deprecated. Please see ?as_draws for
## recommended alternatives.names(post_C_Fin)## [1] "b_Intercept"
## [2] "b_StatusInvaded"
## [3] "b_Live_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [4] "b_Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [5] "b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [6] "b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [7] "b_Live_BiomassLow"
## [8] "b_Live_BiomassHigh"
## [9] "b_Dead_BiomassLow"
## [10] "b_Dead_BiomassHigh"
## [11] "b_Litter_BiomassLow"
## [12] "b_Litter_BiomassHigh"
## [13] "b_TreeBH"
## [14] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [15] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [16] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [17] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [18] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow"
## [19] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh"
## [20] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow"
## [21] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh"
## [22] "b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow"
## [23] "b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh"
## [24] "b_StatusInvaded:TreeBH"
## [25] "sigma"
## [26] "nu"
## [27] "Intercept"
## [28] "lprior"
## [29] "lp__"mean(post_C_Fin$b_StatusInvaded > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_Fin$b_Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_Fin$b_Live_Fuel_MoistureLow > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_Fin$b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_Fin$b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_Fin$b_Live_BiomassHigh > 0)## [1] 0.715mean(post_C_Fin$b_Live_BiomassLow > 0)## [1] 0.2185mean(post_C_Fin$b_Dead_BiomassHigh > 0)## [1] 0.90175mean(post_C_Fin$b_Dead_BiomassLow > 0)## [1] 0.16875mean(post_C_Fin$b_Litter_BiomassHigh > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_Fin$b_Litter_BiomassLow > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_Fin$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh' > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_Fin$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow' > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_Fin$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh' > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_Fin$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow' > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_Fin$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh' > 0)## [1] 0.1785mean(post_C_Fin$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow' > 0)## [1] 0.7955mean(post_C_Fin$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh' > 0)## [1] 0.9965mean(post_C_Fin$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow' > 0)## [1] 0.017mean(post_C_Fin$'b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh' > 0)## [1] 0.9705mean(post_C_Fin$'b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow' > 0)## [1] 0.4555GLMM Crown Fire Flame Length
Crown Fire Flame Length Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: C_FL ~ Status * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Dead_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Live_Biomass + Status * Dead_Biomass + Status * Litter_Biomass + Status * TreeBH
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 1458)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat
## Intercept 1.60 0.03 1.54 1.67 1.00
## StatusInvaded -0.41 0.05 -0.51 -0.31 1.00
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.60 0.02 0.56 0.63 1.00
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.51 0.02 -0.55 -0.48 1.00
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.71 0.02 0.68 0.74 1.00
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -3.41 0.03 -3.46 -3.35 1.00
## Live_BiomassLow -0.01 0.02 -0.05 0.02 1.00
## Live_BiomassHigh 0.02 0.02 -0.01 0.05 1.00
## Dead_BiomassLow -0.02 0.02 -0.06 0.01 1.00
## Dead_BiomassHigh 0.03 0.02 -0.00 0.06 1.00
## Litter_BiomassLow -0.16 0.02 -0.19 -0.13 1.00
## Litter_BiomassHigh 0.08 0.02 0.05 0.12 1.00
## TreeBH 0.24 0.00 0.23 0.24 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.21 0.03 -0.26 -0.16 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.19 0.03 0.14 0.25 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.44 0.02 0.39 0.49 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.75 0.05 0.66 0.84 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 0.03 0.03 -0.02 0.08 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh -0.04 0.03 -0.09 0.01 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -0.08 0.03 -0.14 -0.03 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.09 0.03 0.04 0.14 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow -0.03 0.03 -0.08 0.03 1.00
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.08 0.03 0.03 0.13 1.00
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH -0.05 0.01 -0.06 -0.04 1.00
## Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept 3112 3238
## StatusInvaded 2427 2897
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3469 2871
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3401 2980
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 4049 2652
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3895 3079
## Live_BiomassLow 3605 3185
## Live_BiomassHigh 3383 3024
## Dead_BiomassLow 3563 2871
## Dead_BiomassHigh 3726 3038
## Litter_BiomassLow 3186 3118
## Litter_BiomassHigh 3104 2974
## TreeBH 3903 3424
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3759 3335
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2986 2779
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3861 3278
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3695 3075
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 3321 2848
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 3296 3191
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow 3294 2989
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 3594 3136
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 3374 3246
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 3031 2890
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH 3216 3137
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 0.15 0.01 0.14 0.17 1.00 3325 2724
## nu 1.48 0.10 1.30 1.70 1.00 3191 2971
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
Crown Flame Length Table
## Warning: Dropping 'draws_df' class as required metadata was removed.## Warning: There was 1 warning in `mutate()`.
## ℹ In argument: `Parameter = fct_relevel(Parameter, "Intercept")`.
## Caused by warning:
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## <thead>
## <tr class="gt_heading">
## <td colspan="6" class="gt_heading gt_title gt_font_normal gt_bottom_border" style>Posterior Estimates for Crown Fire Flame Length</td>
## </tr>
##
## <tr class="gt_col_headings">
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_left" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a::stub"></th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Estimate">Estimate</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Est.-Error">Est. Error</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-CI-(Lower)">95% CI (Lower)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="a95%-CI-(Upper)">95% CI (Upper)</th>
## <th class="gt_col_heading gt_columns_bottom_border gt_right" rowspan="1" colspan="1" scope="col" id="Probability->-0">Probability > 0</th>
## </tr>
## </thead>
## <tbody class="gt_table_body">
## <tr><th id="stub_1_1" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Canopy Base Height</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.24</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.23</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.24</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_1 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_2" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Dead_BiomassHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">0.00</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">0.06</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_2 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.955</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_3" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Dead_BiomassLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.06</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_3 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.078</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_4" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−3.40</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−3.46</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−3.35</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_4 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_5" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.71</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.68</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.74</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_5 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_6" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Intercept</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.60</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.54</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.67</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_6 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_7" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Litter_BiomassHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.08</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.12</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_7 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_8" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Litter_BiomassLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.16</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.19</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.13</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_8 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_9" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Live_BiomassHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">0.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_9 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.891</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_10" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Live_BiomassLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_10 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.218</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_11" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.51</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.55</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.48</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_11 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_12" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_Live_Fuel_MoistureLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.60</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.56</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.63</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_12 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_13" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.41</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.51</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.31</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_13 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_14" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Canopy Base Height</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.06</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_14 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_15" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Dead_BiomassHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.09</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.14</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_15 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_16" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Dead_BiomassLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.08</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.14</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_16 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_17" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.75</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.05</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.66</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.84</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_17 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_18" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.44</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.39</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.49</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_18 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_19" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Litter_BiomassHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.08</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.13</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_19 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.998</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_20" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Litter_BiomassLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.08</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_20 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.172</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_21" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Live_BiomassHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.04</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.09</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">0.01</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_21 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.055</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_22" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Live_BiomassLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right">−0.02</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right">0.08</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_22 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right">0.833</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_23" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_23 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.19</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_23 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_23 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.14</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_23 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.25</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_23 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">1.000</td></tr>
## <tr><th id="stub_1_24" scope="row" class="gt_row gt_center gt_stub">b_StatusInvaded × Live_Fuel_MoistureLow</th>
## <td headers="stub_1_24 Estimate" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.21</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_24 Est. Error" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.03</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_24 95% CI (Lower)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.26</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_24 95% CI (Upper)" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">−0.16</td>
## <td headers="stub_1_24 Probability > 0" class="gt_row gt_right" style="font-weight: bold;">0.000</td></tr>
## </tbody>
##
##
## </table>
## </div>Crown Fire Flame Length Conditional Effects
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## Warning: Removed 2 rows containing missing values or values outside the scale range
## (`geom_point()`).## Warning: Removed 2 rows containing missing values or values outside the scale range
## (`geom_line()`).## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
## `geom_line()`: Each group consists of only one observation.
## ℹ Do you need to adjust the group aesthetic?
Crown Fire Flame Length Posterior Probabilities
post_C_FL <- posterior_samples(Crown_FL_model_student)## Warning: Method 'posterior_samples' is deprecated. Please see ?as_draws for
## recommended alternatives.names(post_C_FL)## [1] "b_Intercept"
## [2] "b_StatusInvaded"
## [3] "b_Live_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [4] "b_Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [5] "b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [6] "b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [7] "b_Live_BiomassLow"
## [8] "b_Live_BiomassHigh"
## [9] "b_Dead_BiomassLow"
## [10] "b_Dead_BiomassHigh"
## [11] "b_Litter_BiomassLow"
## [12] "b_Litter_BiomassHigh"
## [13] "b_TreeBH"
## [14] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [15] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [16] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow"
## [17] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh"
## [18] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow"
## [19] "b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh"
## [20] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow"
## [21] "b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh"
## [22] "b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow"
## [23] "b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh"
## [24] "b_StatusInvaded:TreeBH"
## [25] "sigma"
## [26] "nu"
## [27] "Intercept"
## [28] "lprior"
## [29] "lp__"mean(post_C_FL$b_StatusInvaded > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_FL$b_Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_FL$b_Live_Fuel_MoistureLow > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_FL$b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_FL$b_Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_FL$b_Live_BiomassHigh > 0)## [1] 0.89125mean(post_C_FL$b_Live_BiomassLow > 0)## [1] 0.21825mean(post_C_FL$b_Dead_BiomassHigh > 0)## [1] 0.95525mean(post_C_FL$b_Dead_BiomassLow > 0)## [1] 0.0785mean(post_C_FL$b_Litter_BiomassHigh > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_FL$b_Litter_BiomassLow > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_FL$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh' > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_FL$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow' > 0)## [1] 0mean(post_C_FL$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh' > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_FL$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow' > 0)## [1] 1mean(post_C_FL$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh' > 0)## [1] 0.055mean(post_C_FL$'b_StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow' > 0)## [1] 0.83325mean(post_C_FL$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh' > 0)## [1] 0.9995mean(post_C_FL$'b_StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow' > 0)## [1] 5e-04mean(post_C_FL$'b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh' > 0)## [1] 0.99825mean(post_C_FL$'b_StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow' > 0)## [1] 0.17175