1 Introduction

Housing affordability and housing conditions are an important feature of human life. If too much money is spent on housing, then less money is available for other things, such as food, which can lead to poor health and inability to work, perpetuating the affordability problem Meltzer and Schwartz (2016). Similarly, poor housing conditions (damp, dark and overcrowded dwellings) lead to health problems (Palacios et al. 2021; Howden-Chapman et al. 2023) and, in the case of children, poor school performance (Goux and Maurin 2005), which in turn reduces the chances of overcoming housing problems and escaping poverty (Lopoo and London 2016).

Housing affordability and housing conditions are determined by a variety of factors, including socio-economic, demographic, geographical and technical conditions. Governmental decisions can also play a role. On the one hand, the government can explicitly seek to improve housing conditions by supporting households and shaping housing quality standards. On the other hand, the unintended effects of some government policies can affect housing affordability negatively.

In this study, we investigate the potential impact of three housing policies (rent control, social housing and housing allowances) on housing affordability using data on 28 countries between 1981 and 2023. Using panel data models with fixed effects, we found that these policies affect housing affordability, but do not reduce the affordability gap between low- and high-income households.

The study is structured as follows. In the next section, we present a review of literature on the forms and determinants of different inequality, including various types of housing inequality. Section 3 defines the notion of housing affordability used in this study and presents its long-term evolution for an international sample of countries. Section 4 sets up the econometric model, describes the explanatory variables and reports the estimation results. Section 5 concludes the study. The appendix reports the descriptive statistics of the variables used in this study and contains a summary table providing an overview of the literature on inequality and its determinants.

2 Literature review

2.1 Measures of inequality

Inequality can manifest in many ways. In this study, we conducted a review of the empirical literature on the determinants of various types of economic inequality. Our aim was to identify the typical measures of inequality used in the literature, as well as the types of determinants found to influence inequality.

First, we will analyse the measures of inequality. The figure below illustrates how frequently different measures of inequality are used in the empirical literature.1 The length of each bar shows the number of studies devoted to a particular measure. Some studies consider multiple measures (including Atkinson, entropy, and Gini indices).2

Figure: The measures of inequality

Figure: The measures of inequality

Source: Own construction. Note: EHII stands for estimated household income inequality; and FGT denotes Forster, Greer, Thorbecke measure of inequality.

Most of the empirical studies reviewed concentrate on income or wealth inequality. Relatively few concentrate on housing inequality. Three types of housing inequality are identified in the literature: the affordability gap, the space gap and the adequacy gap. The housing affordability gap is defined as the difference in the housing cost-to-income ratio between low- and high-income households. The housing space gap is the difference in dwelling size and inhabitant density between these two groups, while the housing adequacy gap is the difference in housing quality.

Most of the studies on housing inequality focus on a single country and use microdata. Only two studies use international data. Dewilde and De Decker (2016) examine two measures of housing inequality: the affordability gap and the housing conditions (or adequacy) gap. They define both gaps as the difference between low- and middle-income households. Their sample is rather small, covering 11–13 Western European countries and two years (1995 and 2012). Aizawa, Helble, and Lee (2020) focus on the housing adequacy gap, which they measure using a wide range of indicators, including the condition of plumbing, heating, toilets, kitchens, electricity and wiring, and maintenance. They compare eleven countries (the USA and ten Asian countries) over an even shorter time span, from 2012 to 2017.

2.2 Determinants of housing inequality

Based on our literature review presented in the previous subsection, we analysed the econometric model specifications in order to determine the types of explanatory variables used in the literature. Empirical studies of the determinants of housing inequality employ a variety of explanatory variables.3 Analysing these could help us to specify our own regression model and examine the potential impact of government regulations on housing inequality. The determinants identified in the literature can be used as control variables in our study.

Figure: The determinants of inequality and affordability

Figure: The determinants of inequality and affordability

Note: The length of each bar shows the number of studies using a particular explanatory variable.

Overall, 32 determinants have been identified. Many of them are used in only one study. The most commonly used control variables are income inequality, income, homeownership, education, age, poverty rate, population, household size, financialization, and ethnic minority.

The majority of studies are based on microdata from surveys and focus on a single country. The unit of observation is usually a household. In studies using macrodata, the unit of observation is the whole country or its regions (e.g., counties or metropolitan areas).

2.3 The impact of governmental policies

A large meta-study by Konstantin A. Kholodilin (2025) summarises the impact of government policies on the housing market. Among other things, some of these policies affect inequality, as shown in the figure below. Most of these studies look at the impact on income inequality and very few focus on housing inequality.

The figure below illustrates how housing policies affect inequality. Each row corresponds to an effect and each column to a policy. The number of studies examining the effect of each policy is shown above that policy’s column. The length of each bar reflects the relative attention paid by researchers to the corresponding policy-effect pair, as measured by the number of studies examining it. As some policies are examined in many studies and others in few, we normalise the number of studies devoted to a particular effect of a particular policy. For each policy instrument, this number is divided by the total number of studies examining that instrument. The colour of the bars indicates the direction of the effect. Green indicates studies that found a statistically significant positive effect, while red indicates studies that found a statistically significant negative effect. A yellow bar indicates studies that found no statistically significant effect of the policy.

Figure: The impact of housing policies on inequality

Figure: The impact of housing policies on inequality

Source: Konstantin A. Kholodilin (2025)

Overall 9 housing policies are found to affect economic inequality. No studies investigating the effects of these policies on housing inequality were found. Only for mortgage deduction, social housing, housing allowance, rent control there are at least three studies. Among these policy instruments, three policies seem to reduce inequality: rent control, housing benefits, and social housing. In contrast, the mortgage interest deduction seems to increase inequality.

4 Econometric analysis

This section presents the empirical approach of this study. First, the data used in the analysis are described. Secondly, the estimation methodology and results are presented.

4.1 Data

Dependent variables: The dependent variables used here are the proportion of total household expenditure accounted for by housing costs, for all households and for all quintiles of disposable income or expenditure, as well as the ratio between the first and fifth quintiles (see Table A1).

Given that the data on housing cost shares are often available at irregular intervals, they were interpolated. Interpolation was done using the function stinterp included in the stinepack library of the R programming language using the Stineman algorithm (Stineman 1980).

Given the availability of data, the sample covers 28 countries (Australia, Austria, Canada, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Republic of Korea, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and USA) between 1981 and 2023.

Control variables: Based on the literature review, we have identified the following variables that can explain housing affordability (see Table A1). The dynamics of these variables are shown in the figure below. Thin grey lines show how the corresponding variable has changed over time for each country. Thick black lines show the average trend, which is calculated using the median for periods when data are available for all countries. If data for at least one country are missing for a given year, the median is not computed for that year.

Figure: Dynamics of control variables, 1980-2024

Figure: Dynamics of control variables, 1980-2024

Note: The grey lines represent individual countries, and the black curve shows the median for periods when data are available for all countries.

Growth rates of real GDP per capita remain relatively constant throughout the sample period. Homeownership rates increase until the Great Recession of 2008–2009 and then start to decline. Trade openness and the Gini index of disposable income show an upward trend. The last two indicators, average floor space per inhabitant and average number of rooms per dwelling, provide an indication of how housing standards have changed over time. Floor space per inhabitant is increasing in most countries, primarily due to smaller household sizes and, in countries such as Germany and Russia, the larger size of newly built dwellings. The number of rooms per dwelling has also increased over the long term.

Regulation indices: We analyse the possible impact of the following government policies on housing inequality: rent control, social housing, housing allowances and social expenditure (see Table A1). Social expenditure is a broader measure of the state’s support for the population. This includes housing allowances where they are provided. These policies were chosen because they have been shown to affect inequality (see the literature review above on the determinants of inequality) and because the corresponding data are easily accessible. The figure below shows the evolution of the indicators for these policies. Once again, if data for at least one country are missing for a given year, the median (thick black line) is not computed or displayed for that year.

Figure: Intensity of housing regulations, 1980-2024

Figure: Intensity of housing regulations, 1980-2024

Note: The grey lines represent individual countries, and the black curve shows the median for periods when data are available for all countries.

During the period under consideration, the intensity of rent control and the share of social housing follow decreasing trends. This reflects the retrenchment of the state from the housing market. In 2020 there is a small increase in the intensity of rent control, which is related to the COVID-19 pandemic (Konstantin A. Kholodilin 2021). Housing allowances and general social expenditure appear to have increased slightly over the sample period. Therefore, it seems that the subsidies provided directly to households are replacing rent control and social housing to some extent.

4.2 Estimation

We have multi-year and multi-country data. In addition, the data set is very unbalanced. For some countries, the observation period is very short. Therefore, we decided to use a panel data model with country fixed effects. To deal with the endogeneity problem, we use lagged values of the explanatory variables. \[ y_{it} = \alpha_1 x_{1i,t-1} + \alpha_2x_{2i,t-1} + \ldots + \alpha_kx_{ki,t-1} + \eta_i +\varepsilon_{it} \] where \(y_{it}\) is a measure of housing inequality in country \(i\) year \(t\); \(x_{ki, t-1}\) are standard determinants and regulations; \(\eta_i\) are country fixed effects; and \(\varepsilon_{it}\) is disturbance term.

The table below shows the results of the estimation of the panel data models. Column (1) reports the estimation results of a model with an average housing cost share. Columns (2)–(6) contain models in which the dependent variable is the housing cost share at different quintiles. Finally, column (7) reports the results of estimating a model with the ratio of housing costs at the first and fifth quintiles. The notation used to denote the explanatory variables is explained in Table A1 in the Appendix.

Table: Estimation results for housing costs and housing cost inequality, with floor area and housing allowances
HCost2Consum HC2C_qnt1 HC2C_qnt2 HC2C_qnt3 HC2C_qnt4 HC2C_qnt5 HC_qnt_ratio
* p < 0.1, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)
DLGDP_PC -0.122*** -0.188*** -0.150*** -0.166*** -0.147*** -0.128*** -0.000
(0.026) (0.044) (0.039) (0.044) (0.043) (0.041) (0.003)
gini_disp -0.131** 0.141 0.087 0.093 -0.003 -0.170 0.016**
(0.063) (0.140) (0.124) (0.141) (0.137) (0.133) (0.008)
HOR -0.019 -0.305*** -0.270*** -0.288*** -0.254*** -0.194*** 0.001
(0.019) (0.033) (0.029) (0.033) (0.032) (0.031) (0.002)
Openness 1.803*** 5.284*** 2.924*** 1.713* 0.134 0.731 0.234***
(0.572) (0.903) (0.797) (0.907) (0.881) (0.857) (0.052)
Area2Person 0.506*** 0.426*** 0.415*** 0.477*** 0.432*** 0.433*** -0.011***
(0.019) (0.065) (0.057) (0.065) (0.063) (0.062) (0.004)
Rent_control -0.530 -3.085** -3.335*** -2.208* -1.930 -3.420*** 0.002
(0.515) (1.216) (1.073) (1.219) (1.184) (1.154) (0.071)
Soc_housing -0.146*** -0.252*** -0.224*** -0.188*** -0.238*** -0.226*** 0.002
(0.038) (0.066) (0.058) (0.066) (0.064) (0.062) (0.004)
Housing_allowances 1.677** 2.493* -0.723 1.802 3.736*** 3.543*** -0.067
(0.770) (1.417) (1.251) (1.422) (1.382) (1.345) (0.082)
Num.Obs. 644 351 347 347 347 351 351
R2 Adj. 0.693 0.516 0.475 0.452 0.433 0.414 0.084

Note: The numbers in parentheses are standard errors.

Although faster economic growth leads to lower housing costs, it does not affect housing cost inequality. Income inequality, as measured by the Gini index of disposable income, increases the proportion of income spent on housing at the lower income quintiles and reduces it at the highest income quintile, thus leading to a larger gap. Homeownership reduces the housing cost share for all income quintiles. Therefore, it has no impact on the housing cost gap. This is because owner-occupiers tend to have lower housing costs than tenants,4 and home ownership rates are typically higher among higher-income households. Trade openness increases the housing cost share on average and for all quintiles, but the increase is lower for higher-income households. Consequently, the housing cost gap widens. This is consistent with the findings of Zore (2025), who found that trade openness leads to a higher housing price-to-income ratio. One possible explanation is that greater exposure to trade is accompanied by greater movement of people and, therefore, higher demand for housing. As expected, floor area per capita has a positive effect on housing cost shares. This impact is particularly strong for higher-income households, who tend to occupy higher-quality dwellings.

Rent control and social housing reduce housing costs for all income groups. Lower-income households experience particularly significant reductions in their housing cost shares. The fact that higher-income households also benefit from these two policies can be explained by the income-blind nature of rent control: it applies to dwellings, not people. In the case of social housing, a means test is typically carried out at the outset, but not in subsequent years.5 Therefore, as incomes rise, some households do not leave social housing. This tends to happen when the dwellings are located close to the city centre or are of a high quality. In contrast, housing allowances increase the housing cost share, as the government subsidy enables households to spend more on housing. Surprisingly, households in all income brackets appear to be experiencing increases in housing costs, even though housing allowance recipients are usually subject to regular means testing. However, none of these measures appears to have a statistically significant impact on the housing affordability gap.

Although housing allowances are a targeted way of supporting tenants (in some cases, also homeowners), other social benefits can also contribute to housing support for low-income households. For example, in Germany, recipients of unemployment benefits stopped receiving housing allowances in 2005 because their housing subsidies were incorporated into their unemployment benefits.6 This led to a dramatic decline in the number of recipient households and the overall amount of housing allowances, though the level of effective housing support remained unchanged. Therefore, it would be reasonable to consider all forms of social subsidies. Therefore, we ran another set of regressions that included the percentage ratio of social expenditure to GDP instead of housing benefits.

Table: Estimation results for housing costs and housing cost inequality, with floor area and social expenditure
HCost2Consum HC2C_qnt1 HC2C_qnt2 HC2C_qnt3 HC2C_qnt4 HC2C_qnt5 HC_qnt_ratio
* p < 0.1, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)
DLGDP_PC -0.061** -0.167*** -0.116*** -0.152*** -0.140*** -0.131*** -0.000
(0.024) (0.039) (0.035) (0.039) (0.039) (0.037) (0.002)
gini_disp 0.131*** 0.230* 0.088 0.168 0.066 -0.122 0.019**
(0.047) (0.124) (0.110) (0.125) (0.122) (0.119) (0.007)
HOR -0.054*** -0.300*** -0.259*** -0.283*** -0.257*** -0.199*** 0.001
(0.017) (0.032) (0.028) (0.032) (0.031) (0.030) (0.002)
Openness 2.722*** 5.533*** 2.811*** 1.907** 0.630 1.102 0.232***
(0.556) (0.851) (0.750) (0.853) (0.836) (0.814) (0.050)
Area2Person 0.469*** 0.356*** 0.363*** 0.399*** 0.369*** 0.405*** -0.011***
(0.023) (0.058) (0.051) (0.058) (0.057) (0.056) (0.003)
Rent_control -0.584 -3.590*** -3.238*** -3.049*** -3.040*** -4.629*** 0.051
(0.464) (1.074) (0.946) (1.075) (1.055) (1.027) (0.063)
Soc_housing -0.046* -0.250*** -0.173*** -0.181*** -0.222*** -0.224*** -0.000
(0.025) (0.059) (0.052) (0.059) (0.058) (0.056) (0.003)
Social_expenditure 0.173*** 0.113* 0.073 0.073 0.094 0.030 0.000
(0.033) (0.066) (0.058) (0.066) (0.065) (0.063) (0.004)
Num.Obs. 748 380 376 376 376 380 380
R2 Adj. 0.768 0.517 0.472 0.449 0.421 0.403 0.095

Note: The numbers in parentheses are standard errors.

The estimation results of this regression are similar to those of the previous one. The signs of the control variables have hardly changed. Rent control reduces housing costs for households in different income quintiles, but does not reduce the affordability gap. By contrast, social housing appears to narrow the housing cost gap between low- and high-income households: the corresponding coefficient is statistically significant at the 5% level. This effect is primarily achieved through a stronger reduction in the housing cost share of the poorest households. Social expenditure has a positive, statistically significant impact only on the average housing cost share.

As a robustness check, we estimated two additional sets of regressions. In these, we used the average number of rooms per dwelling instead of the average floor area per capita, and we used either housing allowances or social expenditure indicators as proxies for housing subsidies. The relationship between the average number of rooms and the average floor area per person is positive, but with a correlation coefficient of 0.683, it is far from perfect.

Table: Estimation results for housing costs and housing cost inequality, with rooms per dwelling and housing allowances
HCost2Consum HC2C_qnt1 HC2C_qnt2 HC2C_qnt3 HC2C_qnt4 HC2C_qnt5 HC_qnt_ratio
* p < 0.1, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)
DLGDP_PC -0.204*** -0.206*** -0.188*** -0.207*** -0.176*** -0.165*** 0.003
(0.040) (0.046) (0.036) (0.034) (0.031) (0.030) (0.003)
gini_disp -0.295*** 0.167 0.448*** 0.548*** 0.456*** 0.341*** -0.036***
(0.100) (0.128) (0.099) (0.095) (0.087) (0.084) (0.009)
HOR 0.060* -0.187*** -0.144*** -0.122*** -0.093*** -0.085*** -0.004
(0.033) (0.046) (0.036) (0.035) (0.032) (0.031) (0.003)
Openness 1.642 7.955*** 5.354*** 5.471*** 2.430*** 3.442*** 0.160*
(1.156) (1.328) (1.027) (0.992) (0.901) (0.876) (0.089)
Room2Dwelling 5.930*** 5.639*** 4.715*** 3.568*** 2.864*** 1.021 0.269***
(0.728) (1.128) (0.870) (0.840) (0.764) (0.744) (0.076)
Rent_control -5.842*** -2.079 -3.501** -3.189** -2.504* -4.611*** 0.192
(0.865) (1.916) (1.477) (1.426) (1.296) (1.264) (0.129)
Soc_housing -0.481*** -0.764*** -0.798*** -0.755*** -0.867*** -0.830*** 0.019***
(0.082) (0.107) (0.083) (0.080) (0.072) (0.071) (0.007)
Housing_allowances 6.092*** 0.367 -2.969*** -1.068 -0.299 -0.247 0.222**
(1.102) (1.400) (1.091) (1.053) (0.957) (0.923) (0.094)
Num.Obs. 565 302 292 292 292 302 302
R2 Adj. 0.435 0.417 0.549 0.552 0.555 0.534 0.125

Note: The numbers in parentheses are standard errors.

The estimation results differ from those of the previous two sets of regressions in several ways. Firstly, income inequality, as measured by the Gini index, now results in a smaller housing affordability gap. Secondly, as with floor area per person, an increase in the number of rooms leads to an increase in housing cost shares, but widens the affordability gap. Thirdly, social housing reduces overall housing costs and at all income quintiles, but widens the affordability gap. Fourthly, housing allowances increase the average housing cost share, but reduce it for households in the second income quintile, positively affecting the housing gap. The increasing housing affordability gap can be interpreted as a sign that, thanks to subsidies, lower-income households can now afford better housing.

The final set of regressions contains the average number of rooms and the share of social expenditure.

Table: Estimation results for housing costs and housing cost inequality, with rooms per dwelling and social expenditure
HCost2Consum HC2C_qnt1 HC2C_qnt2 HC2C_qnt3 HC2C_qnt4 HC2C_qnt5 HC_qnt_ratio
* p < 0.1, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)
DLGDP_PC 0.036 -0.118*** -0.086** -0.114*** -0.092*** -0.104*** 0.002
(0.029) (0.042) (0.034) (0.031) (0.028) (0.028) (0.003)
gini_disp 0.153*** 0.097 0.399*** 0.451*** 0.344*** 0.257*** -0.035***
(0.055) (0.127) (0.101) (0.093) (0.083) (0.083) (0.009)
HOR 0.091*** -0.117*** -0.038 -0.037 -0.029 -0.047* -0.006*
(0.022) (0.043) (0.035) (0.032) (0.028) (0.028) (0.003)
Openness 1.857** 6.983*** 4.133*** 4.413*** 1.622* 2.663*** 0.172*
(0.905) (1.259) (1.004) (0.923) (0.827) (0.829) (0.087)
Room2Dwelling -0.102 3.598*** 2.949*** 1.769** 1.609** 0.412 0.208***
(0.491) (1.057) (0.841) (0.773) (0.692) (0.696) (0.073)
Rent_control -3.169*** -3.116* -5.496*** -4.567*** -3.365*** -5.116*** 0.234*
(0.561) (1.822) (1.449) (1.331) (1.193) (1.201) (0.126)
Soc_housing -0.530*** -0.557*** -0.525*** -0.510*** -0.663*** -0.707*** 0.016**
(0.046) (0.105) (0.084) (0.077) (0.069) (0.069) (0.007)
Social_expenditure 0.820*** 0.329*** 0.261*** 0.330*** 0.296*** 0.176*** 0.004
(0.029) (0.069) (0.056) (0.051) (0.046) (0.045) (0.005)
Num.Obs. 735 317 307 307 307 317 317
R2 Adj. 0.780 0.432 0.525 0.579 0.594 0.542 0.095

Note: The numbers in parentheses are standard errors.

These regressions confirm the estimation results of regressions involving the number of rooms and housing allowances. Social housing appears to widen the gap in housing costs between low- and high-income households. Interestingly, social expenditure now has a uniformly positive effect on housing cost shares at all income quintiles without changing the housing affordability gap.

5 Conclusion

In this study, we examined the long-term evolution of housing cost burden, as well as the potential impact of government regulations on it. Specifically, we examined measures of average housing affordability for different income quintiles, as well as the affordability gap between the lowest- and highest-income groups. We discovered several stylised facts. Firstly, the housing cost share increased in most countries after World War II. Secondly, between the 1980s and the 2010s, the affordability gap between the lowest- and highest-income households increased, but then stabilised and possibly even decreased slightly. Thirdly, generally speaking, lower-income households in rich countries tend to spend a relatively larger proportion of their income on housing than higher-income households.

Estimated panel data regressions showed that housing policies such as rent control, social housing and housing allowances affect housing cost shares at different income levels. However, these policies do not appear to reduce the gap between the poorest and richest 20% of households. This can partly be explained by the fact that rent control and social housing policies do not always target low-income households effectively. This can result in government support being misallocated.

Appendix

The table below provides the definitions, sources and descriptive statistics of all the variables used in the regression analysis.

Table A1: Dependent and explanatory variables
Variable Definition Source Minimum Mean Maximum
HCost2Consum Average housing cost share National statistical offices 8.70 23.93 39.30
HC2C_qnt1 Housing cost share for quintile 1 National statistical offices 16.43 31.95 46.64
HC2C_qnt2 Housing cost share for quintile 2 National statistical offices 13.57 29.51 42.30
HC2C_qnt3 Housing cost share for quintile 3 National statistical offices 11.98 27.14 40.09
HC2C_qnt4 Housing cost share for quintile 4 National statistical offices 10.22 25.14 39.13
HC2C_qnt5 Housing cost share for quintile 5 National statistical offices 8.54 22.25 40.10
HC_qnt_ratio Ratio of housing cost shares between the 1st and 5th quintiles Own calculation 0.95 1.53 2.47
Rent_control Index of rent control intensity Konstantin A. Kholodilin (2020) 0.00 0.40 1.00
Soc_housing Share of social housing in the total housing stock (%) Konstantin Arkadievich Kholodilin, Kohl, and Müller (2022) 0.00 10.70 79.64
Housing_allowances Public spending on housing allowance to GDP (%) OECD 0.00 0.27 1.34
Social_expenditure Social expenditure to GDP, including health, old age, incapacity-related benefits, family, active labor market programmes, unemployment, and housing (%) OECD 9.52 20.51 34.88
DLGDP_PC Growth rate of real per-capita GDP (%) Maddison Project Database -23.85 1.87 11.69
Openness Ratio of trade (exports plus imports) to GDP (%) Macrofinance and Macrohistory Lab and World Bank 0.13 0.82 3.94
gini_disp Gini index, disposable income World Inequality Database and Solt (2020) 16.70 28.69 39.20
HOR Homeownership rate (%) Konstantin A. Kholodilin and Kohl (2023a) 19.50 61.48 93.60
Area2Person Floor area per person (m2) National statistical offices 12.80 42.66 71.45
Room2Dwelling Average number of rooms per dwelling National statistical offices 1.93 3.86 6.70

The table below contains a list of all the studies on the determinants of inequality that have been examined here. The first column shows the corresponding study. The second column reports the place and time period of the investigation. The third column describes the type of data (micro- or macrodata) and the level of aggregation used (households, dwellings, municipalities or states). The estimation methods are reported in column four. Columns five and six show the dependent and explanatory variables, respectively. Finally, column seven shows the direction of impact of the explanatory variables on the dependent variable: If the value in the “Effect sign” column is 1 or -1, the effect is positive or negative, respectively.

Table A2: Empirical studies on determinants of inequality
Study Place and period Type of data Method Dependent variable Determinant Effect sign
Afandi, Rantung, and Marashdeh (2017) 32 provinces of Indonesia, 2007–2013 macro: Statistics Indonesia panel model Gini index poverty, education, financialization 1, 1, -1
Agnello and Sousa (2014) 18 countries, 1978–2009 macro: Gini inequality index from Standardized World Income Inequality Database; GDP and the degree of openness from World Development Indicators of the World Bank and Penn World Table panel model Gini index public spending, tax revenue, fiscal consolidation, growth, growth_square, trade openness -1, -1, 1, 1, -1, -1
Aizawa, Helble, and Lee (2020) 10 Asian countries and USA, 2012–2017 micro: data from Demographic and Health Survey project; American Housing Survey linear regression housing adequacy gap population, economic inequality, housing affordability 1, 1, -1
Amjadi and Shakibai (2018) Iranian cities, 2006–2016 micro: household income and expenditure surveys linear regression housing conditions gap, affordability gap, housing cost gap income inequality, income inequality, income inequality 1, 1, 1
Apergis, Dincer, and Payne (2014) US states, 1981–2004 macro: Gini index from Current Population Survey; Fraser Institute Economic Freedom index; real income from Bureau of Economic Analysis; school enrollment from National Center for Education Statistics panel error correction model Gini index economic freedom, education, income, population growth -1, -1, -1, 1
Asteriou, Dimelis, and Moudatsou (2014) EU-27 countries, 1995–2009 macro: Eurostat; IMF; UNCTAD; World Bank panel model; GMM Gini index FDI, trade openness, technology 1, -1, 1
Bahmani-Oskooee, Hegerty, and Wilmeth (2008) 16 countries, 1963–1999 macro: Penn World Table error-correction model Gini index growth, trade openness 0, 0
Baker et al. (2016) Australia, 2002–2012 micro: Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey dynamic random-effects panel model spatial inequality housing affordability -1
Ben-Shahar and Warszawski (2016) Israel, 1992–2011 micro: individual household socio-economic, demographic and dwelling unit characteristics from Household Income and Expenditure Surveys; all housing transactions from Israel Tax Authority; macro: macroeconomic indicators from Bank of Israel and Israel Central Bureau of Statistics linear regression housing affordability Gini, housing affordability Atkinson index price-to-income ratio, construction, GDP, price-to-income ratio, construction, GDP 1, -1, 1, 1, -1, 1
Ben-Shahar, Gabriel, and Golan (2019) Israel, 1998–2015 micro: individual household socio-economic, demographic, locational, and dwelling unit characteristics from Household Income and Expenditure Surveys hedonic regression; linear regression consumption-adjusted housing affordability measure housing price, income, periphery 1, 1, 1
Bergh and Nilsson (2010) 80 countries, 1970–2005 macro: Standardized World Income Inequality Database; KOF Index of Globalization; Economic Freedom Index of the Fraser institute GMM; panel model Gini index economic freedom, education, aging, income 1, 1, 0, 1
Berisha and Meszaros (2020) USA, 1929–2009 macro: interest rate, inflation, and income growth; measures of wealth inequality from World Inequality Database vector autoregression wealth Gini index, wealth shares growth, inflation, interest rate, growth, inflation, interest rate -1, -1, -1, -1, -1, -1
Biewen and Juhasz (2012) Germany, 1999–2005 micro: SOEP semiparametric decomposition technique Gini index, top income share, Theil entropy index, mean log deviation, FGT unemployment benefit, income tax, household size, labor income inequality, unemployment benefit, income tax, household size, labor income inequality, unemployment benefit, income tax, household size, labor income inequality, unemployment benefit, income tax, household size, labor income inequality, unemployment benefit, income tax, household size, labor income inequality -1, 0, 0, 1, -1, 0, 0, 1, -1, 0, 0, 1, -1, 0, 0, 1, -1, 0, 0, 1
Biewen, Ungerer, and Löffler (2019) Germany, 2005–2011 micro: SOEP descriptive analysis; flexible regression Gini index, top income share, mean log deviation household size, aging, transfer system, household size, aging, transfer system, household size, aging, transfer system 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0
Bucevska (2019) EU candidate countries, 2005–2017 macro: inequality index from Poverty and Equity Data Portal of the World Bank Group; macroeconomic and demographic variables from EUROSTAT panel model Gini index unemployment, development, investment share, government debt, terms of trade, inflation, population growth, education 1, 1, -1, -1, 0, 0, 1, -1
Calderón and Chong (2001) 102 countries, 1960–1995 macro: household-based income distribution from Deininger and Squire (1996); terms of trade; effective real exchange rate; Sachs et al. (1995) external indicator; volume of trade; ratios of exports of non-fuel primary commodities and manufacturing goods as a percentage of total exports; balance of payments restrictions from Grilli and Milesi-Ferretti (1995); black market premium on foreign exchange dynamic panel model; GMM Gini index capital controls, exchange rate, trade openness, education -1, 1, -1, -1
Checchi and Garcı́a-Peñalosa (2008) 16 countries, 1969–2004 macro: Luxembourg Income Study OLS; Oaxaca decomposition Gini index, top income share employment protection, trade openness, investment share, employment protection, trade openness, investment share -1, 0, 0, -1, 0, 0
Chong (2004) 98 countries, 1960–1997 macro: Deininger and Squire (1996); Freedom House; Polity IV dynamic panel model; GMM Gini index, top income share democracy, democracy_square, income, education, democracy, democracy_square, income, education 1, -1, 0, -1, 1, -1, 0, -1
Coibion et al. (2017) USA, 1980–2008 macro: Consumer Expenditure Survey local projection Gini index, top income share monetary policy, monetary policy -1, -1
De Gregorio and Lee (2002) 49 countries, 1960–1990 macro: Deininger and Squire (1996) seemingly-unrelated-regression Gini index income, income_square, public spending, education 1, -1, -1, -1
Dewilde and De Decker (2016) 13 West European countries, 1995 and 2012 macro: residential mortgage debt to GDP (financialization; Mortgage Market Liberalization Index from IMF; housing affordability from ECHP and EU-SILC hierarchical cluster analysis; linear regression affordability gap, housing conditions gap financialization, financialization 1, -1
Dreher and Gaston (2008) 57 countries, 1970–2000 macro: University of Texas Inequality Project; UNIDO; OECD dynamic panel model; GMM Gini index globalization, democracy, income, income_square 0, 0, 0, 0
Dustmann, Fitzenberger, and Zimmermann (2022) Germany, 1993, 1998, 2003, 2008, 2013 micro: data on 40,000–50,000 households from Einkommens- und Verbrauchsstichprobe Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition affordability gap homeownership, household size, income, housing quality 1, 1, 1, 0
Foster and Kleit (2015) US counties in the lower 48 states, 1980–2010 macro: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Developmen; U.S. Census Bureau County Summary; U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey robust multivariate regression Gini index, wealth Gini index homeownership, subprime lending, housing affordability, income, income_squared, unemployment, homeownership, subprime lending, housing affordability, income, income_squared, unemployment 0, 0, 0, -1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, -1, 1, 0
Fuller, Johnston, and Regan (2020) 13 OECD countries, 1970–2015 macro: World Income Database error correction model wealth-income ratio house price, homeownership, savings rate, stock price, left-wing government, trade union density, wage coordination, public spending, tax rate 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0
Furceri and Ostry (2019) 108 countries, 1980–2013 macro: International Country Risk Guide; World Development Indicators Bayesian Model Averaging, weighted-average least squares Gini index growth, education, financial development, aging, technology, trade openness, financial globalization, public spending, unemployment 1, -1, 1, 0, 0, -1, 1, -1, 1
Ganaie, Bhat, and Kamaiah (2018) India, 1963–2007 macro: World Bank; WIDER error-correction model; ARDL top income share, estimated household income inequality growth, public spending, trade openness, inflation, growth, public spending, trade openness, inflation 1, -1, -1, -1, -1, -1, -1, -1
Gaston and Rajaguru (2009) Australia, 1970–2001 macro: income inequality from Australian taxation statistics; KOF index of social globalisation; Australian National Accounts; Trade Union Statistics, Australia vector autoregression Gini index globalization, technology, terms of trade, urbanization, trade union density, minimum wage 1, 1, -1, -1, -1, -1
Hailemariam, Sakutukwa, and Dzhumashev (2021) 17 OECD countries, 1870–2016 macro: Jordà–Schularick–Taylor Macro-history Database panel vector autoregression Gini index, top income share growth, financial development, education, growth, financial development, education 1, -1, -1, 1, -1, -1
Hess et al. (2022) USA, 1980–2017 micro: Panel Study of Income Dynamics linear probability model; stratified logit affordability gap black, female, unemployment, share of new housing, number of rooms, poverty, homeownership, vacancy rate, share single-family houses 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0
Heylen and Haffner (2012) Flanders and Netherlands, 2005–2006 micro: Housing Survey of Kenniscentrum voor Duurzaam Woonbeleid; WoON 2006 Housing Survey; income data from Dutch tax records residual income approach Gini index housing allowance, housing allowance -1, 1
Jaumotte, Lall, and Papageorgiou (2013) 51 countries, 1981–2003 macro: income inequality measures from World Bank Povcal and Luxemburg Income Studies panel model Gini index FDI, technology, trade openness 1, 1, -1
Konstantin A. Kholodilin and Kohl (2023b) 16 countries macro: Macrohistory database, World Inequality Database panel vector autoregression Gini index, top income share rent control, aging, top income tax, education, public spending, trade openness, rent control, aging, top income tax, education, public spending, trade openness -1, 0, 0, 0, -1, 0, -1, 0, -1, 0, -1, 0
Kuznets (1955) 6 countries, 1880–1948 macro: various sources descriptive analysis top income share income, income_square 1, -1
Lee, Kim, and Cin (2013) South Korea, 1980–2012 macro: ECOS of Bank of Korea and KOSIS of Statistics Korea cointegration model Gini index growth, public spending, investment share, aging 0, 0, -1, 1
S.-M. Li (2012) Guangzhou, 1996–2005 micro: own household surveys on housing conditions hedonic regression; descriptive decomposition housing conditions Gini, housing conditions Theil entropy index rationing, rationing 0, 0
H. Li, Squire, and Zou (1998) 112 countries, 1947–1994 macro: World Development Report ANOVA; LSDV; panel model Gini index education, civil liberty, financial development -1, 1, -1
Lim and Sek (2014) 31 countries, 1990–2011 macro: World Bank panel model; simultaneous equations mode; GMM Gini index growth, education, trade openness, investment price 1, 0, 0, 0
Muller (1988) 55 countries, 1965–1975 macro: World Bank; Bollen Political Democracy Index regression top income share stability of democracy, democracy -1, 0
Peichl, Pestel, and Schneider (2012) Germany, 1991–2007 micro: GSOEP decomposition; re-weighting procedure Gini index, generalized entropy household size, employment, transfer system, household size, employment, transfer system -1, 1, -1, -1, 1, -1
Perugini and Martino (2008) European regions, 1995 and 2000 macro: Luxembourg Income Study spatial model Gini index, top income share development, technology, public spending, labor market performance, development, technology, public spending, labor market performance 0, 1, -1, 0, 0, 1, -1, 0
Petach (2022) USA, 1980–2016 micro: household-level extracts from Census Integrated Public Use Microsample database; Decennial Census; American Community Survey counterfactual simulations affordability gap income inequality 1
Reuveny and Li (2003) 69 countries, 1960–1996 macro: World Bank OLS Gini index trade openness, democracy, income, income_square, FDI -1, -1, 0, 0, 1
Rodrı́guez-Pose and Tselios (2009) regions of 13 EU countries, 1995–2000 macro: ECHP; Eurostat dynamic panel model; GMM; spatial model Theil entropy index education, aging, urbanization, female participation, unemployment, financialization 1, -1, -1, -1, 1, NA
Roine, Vlachos, and Waldenström (2009) 16 countries macro: Mitchell, WDI, Madsen panel model, first differenced GLS, dynamic first differences top income share growth, financial development, trade openness, public spending, tax progressivity 1, 1, 0, -1, -1
Rubin and Segal (2015) USA, 1953–2008 macro: inflation and unemployment rates from US Bureau of Labor Statistics; market return from The Center for Research and Security Prices; US and UK GDP per capita growth rates from Penn Tables; income distribution data from Piketty and Saez (2006) 2SLS, GMM top income share growth, stock market return 1, 1
Sauer, Rao, and Pachauri (2023) 73 countries, 1981–2010 macro: UNU-WIDER; World Income Inequality Database Version 3.4; OECD, Eurostat; Luxembourg Income Study (LIS) for high-income countries; Transmonee by UNICEF for Eastern European countries; SEDLAC for Latin American countries; World Bank panel model; GLS Gini index labor share, FDI, tax rate, education, private debt, minimum wage, unemployment benefit, trade union density -1, -1, -1, 1, 1, -1, -1, -1
Shin and Shin (2013) 153 countries, 1978–2010 macro: OECD; IMF panel model Gini index, top income share, estimated household income inequality growth, trade openness, financial opennes, technology, public spending, growth, trade openness, financial opennes, technology, public spending, growth, trade openness, financial opennes, technology, public spending -1, -1, 0, 1, -1, -1, -1, -1, 1, -1, -1, -1, -1, 0, -1
Signor, Kim, and Tebaldi (2019) 27 Brazilian states, 1996–2015 macro: Brazilian household survey (PNAD) panel model, system GMM Gini index formal jobs, education, growth, public spending -1, 1, 0, -1
Thalassinos, Ugurlu, and Muratoglu (2012) 13 EU countries, 2000–2009 macro: inequality index and employment index from Eurostat; inflation rate, openness and GDP from OECD panel model Gini index inflation, employment rate, trade openness, income 1, 1, 1, -1
Timmons (2010) 143 countries, 1960–2007 macro: WIID OLS with clustered standard errors; panel model; instrumental variables; error correction model Gini index democracy, FDI, trade openness, income, income_square -1, 1, 0, 0, 0
Tridico (2018) 25 OECD countries, 1990–2013 macro: World Bank; OECD panel model, GLS Gini index financialization, employment protection, trade union density, public spending 1, -1, -1, -1
Tunstall (2015) England and Wales, 1911–2011 macro: data from Census 1911; General Register Office census reports 1913, 1925, 1935, 1956, 1964; www.casweb.mimas.ac.uk; www.nomisweb.co.uk descriptive analysis housing conditions gap, housing conditions Gini NA, NA NA, NA
Yi and Huang (2014) Chinese cities, 2000–2010 macro: Census and 1% Survey descriptive analysis housing conditions CV, housing conditions Theil entropy index NA, NA NA, NA

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  1. These studies were identified through a literature search on Google Scholar.↩︎

  2. For more information on alternative measures of inequality, see Costa and Pérez-Duarte (2019) and the HouseInc project deliverable D3.1 — Report on Selection of Datasets and Indicators for Selected Countries).↩︎

  3. For a full list of studies on economic and housing inequality, see Table A2 in the Appendix.↩︎

  4. See, for example, Zhu et al. (2023).↩︎

  5. There is enough anecdotic and statistical evidence showing this. See, for instance, an article by Noah Eastwood in The Telegraph “Revealed: 128,000 families in social housing among top earners in England: Tenants earning £71k capitalise on taxpayer-subsidised homes — despite record high waiting list” published on July 2, 2025.↩︎

  6. Viertes Gesetz für moderne Dienstleistungen am Arbeitsmarkt vom 24.12.2003↩︎