Fire Behavior Comparison
Alan Ivory
2025-07-28
Graph surface fire rate of spread by season and invasions status
fb %>%
ggplot(aes(x = Status, y = S_ROS, color = Season)) +
geom_point() +
geom_smooth(method = "lm", se = FALSE) +
labs(title = "Surface Fire Rate of Spread by Season and Invasion Status",
x = "Season",
y = "Rate of Spread (m/min)",
color = "Season")## `geom_smooth()` using formula = 'y ~ x'
Fuel Metrics
# Create plots for the surface fire rate of spread (Sur_ROS) and flame length (Sur_FL)
plot_ros <- ggplot(fb, aes(x = Status, y = S_ROS, color = Season)) +
geom_boxplot() +
labs(title = "Surface Fire Rate of Spread", x = "Invasion Status", y = "Rate of Spread (m/min)", color = "Season") +
theme_classic()
plot_fl <- ggplot(fb, aes(x = Status, y = S_FL, color = Season)) +
geom_boxplot() +
labs(title = "Flame Length", x = "Invasion Status", y = "Flame Length (m)", color = "Season") +
theme_classic()
# Print the plots
print(plot_ros)
print(plot_fl)
GLMM Surface Rate of Spread
Can’t use Gamma or Lognormal because of zero values in the data.
Rate of Spread Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: S_ROS ~ Status * Season * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Dead_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Live_Biomass + Status * Season * Dead_Biomass + Status * Season * Litter_Biomass
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 4374)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI
## Intercept 2.52 0.02 2.49
## StatusInvaded 0.91 0.04 0.82
## SeasonGreen_Up 1.70 0.03 1.65
## SeasonWinter 0.64 0.03 0.58
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.70 0.02 -0.73
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.02 0.01 -0.00
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -1.28 0.02 -1.33
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.47 0.01 0.45
## Live_BiomassHigh -0.19 0.01 -0.22
## Live_BiomassLow 0.25 0.01 0.22
## Dead_BiomassHigh 0.15 0.01 0.12
## Dead_BiomassLow -0.04 0.01 -0.07
## Litter_BiomassHigh 0.28 0.01 0.26
## Litter_BiomassLow -0.59 0.02 -0.62
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 0.61 0.05 0.51
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 1.02 0.05 0.92
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.16 0.04 0.09
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.35 0.03 0.28
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.86 0.02 -0.91
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.86 0.04 -0.93
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 1.26 0.02 1.21
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 1.87 0.03 1.82
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.08 0.06 -0.02
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.18 0.03 0.11
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.95 0.03 0.90
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -1.21 0.04 -1.28
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.07 0.02 0.02
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.41 0.03 0.34
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 0.18 0.05 0.08
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow -0.49 0.04 -0.55
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 0.00 0.02 -0.04
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.02 0.03 -0.03
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 0.06 0.02 0.01
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -0.02 0.03 -0.07
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.77 0.04 0.70
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -0.49 0.04 -0.56
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.00 0.02 -0.04
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.01 0.03 -0.04
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow -0.06 0.02 -0.10
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow -0.02 0.03 -0.07
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.84 0.03 0.78
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow -0.40 0.06 -0.53
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.19 0.02 0.15
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.08 0.03 0.03
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow -0.10 0.02 -0.15
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 0.28 0.03 0.23
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.82 0.04 0.73
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.53 0.05 0.42
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3.64 0.05 3.54
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -1.18 0.05 -1.28
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.31 0.06 -0.43
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.38 0.07 0.25
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.50 0.04 -0.59
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.26 0.05 -0.35
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 0.30 0.05 0.21
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.34 0.05 0.23
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow -0.24 0.04 -0.33
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -0.28 0.05 -0.38
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.65 0.04 -0.74
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.14 0.05 -0.24
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 0.39 0.04 0.30
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.09 0.05 0.00
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.13 0.04 0.05
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -0.58 0.04 -0.66
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 0.48 0.06 0.36
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow -0.12 0.07 -0.25
## u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS
## Intercept 2.56 1.00 2289
## StatusInvaded 0.99 1.00 1639
## SeasonGreen_Up 1.75 1.00 2368
## SeasonWinter 0.70 1.00 2423
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.67 1.00 2894
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.05 1.00 2950
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -1.23 1.00 2710
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.50 1.00 4368
## Live_BiomassHigh -0.17 1.00 2558
## Live_BiomassLow 0.28 1.00 2691
## Dead_BiomassHigh 0.17 1.00 3231
## Dead_BiomassLow -0.02 1.00 3341
## Litter_BiomassHigh 0.31 1.00 3277
## Litter_BiomassLow -0.56 1.00 3201
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 0.71 1.00 1759
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 1.13 1.00 1764
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.24 1.00 1825
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.42 1.00 2529
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.81 1.00 3149
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.79 1.00 3347
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 1.30 1.00 3430
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 1.93 1.00 3155
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.19 1.00 1366
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.24 1.00 2231
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 1.01 1.00 2892
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -1.14 1.00 3439
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.12 1.00 4467
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.47 1.00 3275
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 0.26 1.00 1612
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow -0.42 1.00 1686
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 0.04 1.00 2764
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.07 1.00 3336
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 0.10 1.00 2964
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 0.03 1.00 2889
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.84 1.00 1950
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -0.41 1.00 2119
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.04 1.00 3504
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.07 1.00 3440
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow -0.02 1.00 3515
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.03 1.00 3503
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.90 1.00 2597
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow -0.29 1.00 1353
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.23 1.00 3784
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.14 1.00 3878
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow -0.06 1.00 3875
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 0.33 1.00 3719
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.91 1.00 2085
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.63 1.00 2208
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3.74 1.00 2919
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -1.09 1.00 2664
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.19 1.00 1467
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.51 1.00 1563
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.42 1.00 2776
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.16 1.00 2378
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 0.41 1.00 1667
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.44 1.00 1795
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow -0.16 1.00 2002
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -0.19 1.00 2014
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.57 1.00 2073
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.05 1.00 2081
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 0.47 1.00 2265
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.18 1.00 2301
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.20 1.00 2879
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -0.49 1.00 2963
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 0.61 1.00 1390
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 0.01 1.00 1530
## Tail_ESS
## Intercept 2807
## StatusInvaded 2456
## SeasonGreen_Up 2651
## SeasonWinter 3112
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2761
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3102
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2941
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2869
## Live_BiomassHigh 2745
## Live_BiomassLow 3038
## Dead_BiomassHigh 2948
## Dead_BiomassLow 3423
## Litter_BiomassHigh 3330
## Litter_BiomassLow 3449
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 2721
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 2635
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2874
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2717
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2828
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2897
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2949
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3103
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 1756
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2606
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2985
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3095
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3157
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2803
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 2638
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 2120
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 3170
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 2992
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 2849
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 3421
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 2658
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow 2571
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 2998
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 2802
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 3355
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 3124
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 3182
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 1787
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 3360
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 3119
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 3115
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 3285
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2800
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2780
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3039
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2606
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 1898
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 1878
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3037
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2901
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 2340
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 2717
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 2693
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 2316
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 2381
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 2632
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 2318
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 2471
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 3029
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 3439
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 1949
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 1914
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 0.15 0.00 0.14 0.16 1.00 4413 3317
## nu 1.24 0.05 1.16 1.34 1.00 3980 3106
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
GLMM Flame Length
Flame Length Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: S_FL ~ Status * Season * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Dead_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Live_Biomass + Status * Season * Dead_Biomass + Status * Season * Litter_Biomass
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 4374)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI
## Intercept 1.53 0.01 1.51
## StatusInvaded 0.18 0.02 0.13
## SeasonGreen_Up 0.59 0.01 0.56
## SeasonWinter 0.18 0.02 0.15
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.02 0.01 0.01
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.20 0.01 -0.22
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.24 0.01 0.22
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.75 0.01 -0.77
## Live_BiomassLow 0.04 0.01 0.03
## Live_BiomassHigh -0.05 0.01 -0.07
## Dead_BiomassLow -0.03 0.01 -0.05
## Dead_BiomassHigh 0.08 0.01 0.07
## Litter_BiomassLow -0.31 0.01 -0.32
## Litter_BiomassHigh 0.18 0.01 0.17
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 0.21 0.03 0.16
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 0.40 0.03 0.34
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.11 0.02 0.08
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.03 0.02 -0.01
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.33 0.01 0.32
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.64 0.01 0.62
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.26 0.01 -0.28
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.29 0.01 -0.32
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.02 0.01 -0.01
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.19 0.02 0.15
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.01 0.01 -0.03
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.17 0.01 0.15
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.64 0.01 0.61
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.32 0.02 -0.36
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow -0.08 0.02 -0.11
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 0.03 0.02 -0.00
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 0.00 0.01 -0.02
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 0.01 0.01 -0.01
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 0.03 0.01 0.01
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.03 0.01 0.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -0.25 0.02 -0.28
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.40 0.02 0.37
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow -0.04 0.01 -0.05
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow -0.02 0.01 -0.04
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.01 0.01 -0.01
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.04 0.01 0.01
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow -0.17 0.03 -0.24
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.43 0.02 0.40
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow -0.07 0.01 -0.09
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 0.04 0.01 0.02
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.12 0.01 0.10
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.14 0.01 0.11
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.60 0.02 0.55
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.50 0.02 -0.54
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.29 0.02 0.25
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.25 0.02 0.21
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.16 0.02 -0.20
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.15 0.02 -0.18
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.30 0.02 -0.34
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.05 0.03 -0.01
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow -0.12 0.02 -0.16
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -0.09 0.02 -0.13
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 0.13 0.02 0.08
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.10 0.02 0.06
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 0.22 0.02 0.18
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.06 0.02 0.02
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.37 0.02 -0.41
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.09 0.02 -0.13
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 0.26 0.03 0.21
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 0.01 0.03 -0.05
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh -0.01 0.02 -0.05
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -0.41 0.02 -0.45
## u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS
## Intercept 1.55 1.00 2185
## StatusInvaded 0.22 1.00 1434
## SeasonGreen_Up 0.62 1.00 2306
## SeasonWinter 0.21 1.00 2484
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.03 1.00 3521
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.18 1.00 2804
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.25 1.00 3862
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.73 1.00 3454
## Live_BiomassLow 0.05 1.00 2706
## Live_BiomassHigh -0.04 1.00 2921
## Dead_BiomassLow -0.02 1.00 2965
## Dead_BiomassHigh 0.10 1.00 3083
## Litter_BiomassLow -0.29 1.00 3078
## Litter_BiomassHigh 0.20 1.00 3649
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 0.26 1.00 1531
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 0.45 1.00 1520
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.14 1.00 2666
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.06 1.00 1827
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.35 1.00 3241
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.67 1.00 3476
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.24 1.00 3083
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.26 1.00 3131
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.05 1.00 2601
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.24 1.00 1912
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.01 1.00 4085
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.19 1.00 3996
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.66 1.00 3386
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.29 1.00 3821
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow -0.05 1.00 2325
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 0.07 1.00 2856
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 0.02 1.00 2961
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 0.04 1.00 2912
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 0.05 1.00 3070
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.05 1.00 3286
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -0.21 1.00 1839
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.43 1.00 1770
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow -0.02 1.00 3036
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.00 1.00 3438
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.03 1.00 3153
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.06 1.00 3439
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow -0.12 1.00 1660
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.46 1.00 2364
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow -0.05 1.00 3636
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 0.07 1.00 3750
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.14 1.00 4127
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.16 1.00 3783
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.64 1.00 3041
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.46 1.00 2707
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.33 1.00 1954
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.29 1.00 2218
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.13 1.00 2817
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.11 1.00 2695
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.25 1.00 2001
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.11 1.00 2689
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow -0.09 1.00 2536
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -0.05 1.00 2508
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 0.17 1.00 2730
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.15 1.00 2738
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 0.26 1.00 1969
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.10 1.00 1996
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.33 1.00 1942
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.04 1.00 1885
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 0.33 1.00 1730
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 0.08 1.00 1817
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.02 1.00 2830
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -0.36 1.00 2629
## Tail_ESS
## Intercept 2795
## StatusInvaded 2214
## SeasonGreen_Up 2816
## SeasonWinter 2466
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2711
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3323
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3392
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3469
## Live_BiomassLow 3010
## Live_BiomassHigh 3244
## Dead_BiomassLow 3302
## Dead_BiomassHigh 3161
## Litter_BiomassLow 3277
## Litter_BiomassHigh 3225
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 2226
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 2391
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3155
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2551
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3399
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3528
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3189
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3269
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2820
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2382
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3389
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3117
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3392
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3210
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 3016
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 2998
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 2756
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 2937
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 3121
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 2603
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow 2414
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 2482
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 3389
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 3439
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 3246
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 3278
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 2132
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 2994
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 3377
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 3590
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 3600
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 3083
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3183
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2963
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2709
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2774
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3089
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2814
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2339
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2960
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 2614
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 2785
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 2654
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 3097
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 2517
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 2559
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 3101
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 2745
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 2206
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 2230
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 3291
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 3044
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 0.07 0.00 0.07 0.08 1.00 3791 3358
## nu 1.77 0.09 1.60 1.94 1.00 3949 3243
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
GLMM Surface Fireline Intensity
Fireline Intensity Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: S_Fin ~ Status * Season * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Dead_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Live_Biomass + Status * Season * Dead_Biomass + Status * Season * Litter_Biomass
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 4374)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI
## Intercept 682.36 9.10 665.01
## StatusInvaded 196.06 17.17 161.82
## SeasonGreen_Up 670.62 13.56 644.58
## SeasonWinter 225.82 14.05 198.34
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3.31 7.29 -10.92
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -239.07 7.62 -253.69
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 231.31 6.07 219.46
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -466.97 12.84 -491.57
## Live_BiomassLow 50.84 7.09 37.00
## Live_BiomassHigh -37.72 7.00 -51.32
## Dead_BiomassLow -26.75 7.00 -40.52
## Dead_BiomassHigh 84.91 7.04 71.43
## Litter_BiomassLow -299.69 7.63 -314.53
## Litter_BiomassHigh 173.34 7.04 159.19
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 350.36 22.60 305.46
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 500.93 23.54 454.08
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 148.87 12.95 122.56
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 29.64 14.44 1.98
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 479.38 11.79 456.20
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 710.09 13.35 683.57
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -348.55 12.91 -374.74
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -282.98 11.39 -305.60
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 89.59 13.10 62.95
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -25.90 17.92 -61.42
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 39.36 13.23 13.81
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 125.06 11.25 103.42
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 294.49 15.70 263.47
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -380.99 20.10 -421.14
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow -130.93 14.84 -160.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 103.37 18.01 67.42
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 21.66 11.62 -1.06
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -1.56 11.20 -23.56
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 8.95 11.17 -13.11
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 8.06 11.60 -14.26
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -269.41 15.10 -298.97
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 455.31 13.37 429.31
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow -56.47 10.83 -78.83
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow -22.60 11.12 -44.34
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 43.29 11.40 21.33
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 64.15 11.70 42.16
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow -183.84 16.55 -215.96
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 510.24 13.18 484.13
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow -194.35 12.86 -219.56
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 10.39 11.48 -11.68
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 232.10 11.41 209.35
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 168.15 12.61 144.04
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 1537.80 37.52 1461.66
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -463.97 21.46 -505.33
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 341.64 19.57 303.85
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 167.70 19.80 128.71
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -235.80 19.91 -274.51
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -37.12 19.27 -73.73
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -88.86 23.50 -134.85
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -28.00 27.41 -80.54
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow -144.50 20.01 -183.87
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -72.31 20.48 -111.92
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 114.88 22.00 71.80
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 120.74 22.25 77.85
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 196.60 19.76 157.16
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow -13.56 20.11 -53.31
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh -379.75 18.46 -416.25
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 17.12 19.92 -21.56
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 246.00 21.53 203.91
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow -114.19 22.10 -156.14
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 433.49 22.11 389.56
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -336.55 19.88 -374.37
## u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS
## Intercept 700.47 1.00 1946
## StatusInvaded 230.32 1.00 1719
## SeasonGreen_Up 697.01 1.00 2305
## SeasonWinter 253.88 1.00 2215
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 17.92 1.00 2994
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -224.08 1.00 2847
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 243.18 1.00 4124
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -442.08 1.00 2898
## Live_BiomassLow 64.82 1.00 2955
## Live_BiomassHigh -23.84 1.00 3149
## Dead_BiomassLow -12.90 1.00 3294
## Dead_BiomassHigh 98.41 1.00 2546
## Litter_BiomassLow -284.63 1.00 3591
## Litter_BiomassHigh 186.90 1.00 3034
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 394.82 1.00 1814
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 546.80 1.00 1916
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 173.43 1.00 3128
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 58.24 1.00 2867
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 502.06 1.00 3690
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 735.84 1.00 3571
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -323.00 1.00 3440
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -261.01 1.00 3260
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 114.64 1.00 2982
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 8.07 1.00 2706
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 65.72 1.00 4517
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 147.21 1.00 3809
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 325.03 1.00 3082
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -342.02 1.00 3445
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow -102.02 1.00 2779
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 137.59 1.00 2824
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 44.68 1.00 3347
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 20.55 1.00 3361
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 32.03 1.00 3139
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 31.42 1.00 3644
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -239.23 1.00 2997
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 481.38 1.00 2697
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow -35.28 1.00 3253
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow -1.37 1.00 3586
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 65.95 1.00 3246
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 87.69 1.00 3362
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow -151.62 1.00 3000
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 536.56 1.00 3071
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow -169.37 1.00 4110
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 33.01 1.00 4082
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 253.87 1.00 3268
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 193.02 1.00 3462
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 1606.65 1.00 4411
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -421.86 1.00 3608
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 381.24 1.00 2923
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 207.24 1.00 3347
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -196.47 1.00 3285
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 1.07 1.00 3198
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -43.71 1.00 2925
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 26.49 1.00 3407
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow -105.11 1.00 2899
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -30.19 1.00 3024
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 157.79 1.00 2909
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 164.65 1.00 2897
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 236.02 1.00 3080
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 25.13 1.00 3223
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh -344.05 1.00 2913
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 56.08 1.00 3062
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 288.36 1.00 3155
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow -70.10 1.00 3288
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 476.44 1.00 3618
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -295.97 1.00 3240
## Tail_ESS
## Intercept 2707
## StatusInvaded 2631
## SeasonGreen_Up 2985
## SeasonWinter 2555
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3146
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3206
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3549
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3137
## Live_BiomassLow 3131
## Live_BiomassHigh 2982
## Dead_BiomassLow 3501
## Dead_BiomassHigh 3211
## Litter_BiomassLow 3014
## Litter_BiomassHigh 2902
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 2440
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 2624
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2959
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2855
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3225
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3268
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3225
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3564
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3124
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3178
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3357
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3162
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3154
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3418
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 2684
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 3130
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 3162
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 3162
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 2958
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 3302
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow 3251
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 2989
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 3286
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 3276
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 3246
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 3186
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 3213
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 3056
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 2850
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 3330
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 3140
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 2984
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3113
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3065
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3251
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3425
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2967
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2845
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3025
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3108
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 2877
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 3018
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 2697
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 3294
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 3280
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 3238
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 2745
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 3276
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 2896
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 3297
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 3610
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 3206
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 73.57 2.46 68.94 78.49 1.00 4896 2962
## nu 1.13 0.04 1.06 1.21 1.00 4157 2511
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
GLMM Crown Transition Ratio
Crown Transition Ratio Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: C_TR ~ Status * Season * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Dead_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Live_Biomass + Status * Season * Dead_Biomass + Status * Season * Litter_Biomass + Status * Season * TreeBH
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 4374)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI
## Intercept 0.40 0.02 0.36
## StatusInvaded 0.08 0.03 0.02
## SeasonGreen_Up 0.60 0.02 0.56
## SeasonWinter 0.16 0.03 0.11
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.01 0.00 -0.00
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.05 0.01 -0.06
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.05 0.00 0.04
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.13 0.01 -0.14
## Live_BiomassLow 0.01 0.00 0.00
## Live_BiomassHigh -0.01 0.00 -0.02
## Dead_BiomassLow -0.01 0.00 -0.02
## Dead_BiomassHigh 0.02 0.00 0.01
## Litter_BiomassLow -0.06 0.01 -0.07
## Litter_BiomassHigh 0.04 0.00 0.03
## TreeBH -0.03 0.00 -0.03
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 0.63 0.04 0.55
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 0.46 0.04 0.37
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.03 0.01 0.01
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.00 0.01 -0.01
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.11 0.01 0.10
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.15 0.01 0.14
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.10 0.01 -0.12
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.07 0.01 -0.09
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.02 0.01 0.01
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.01 0.01 -0.00
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.04 0.01 0.02
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.05 0.01 0.04
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.09 0.01 0.07
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.11 0.01 -0.13
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow -0.02 0.01 -0.03
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh -0.01 0.01 -0.03
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 0.01 0.01 -0.01
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 0.00 0.01 -0.01
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 0.00 0.01 -0.01
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.00 0.01 -0.01
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -0.06 0.01 -0.08
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.11 0.01 0.09
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow -0.02 0.01 -0.03
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow -0.00 0.01 -0.02
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.01 0.01 -0.00
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.01 0.01 -0.00
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow -0.05 0.01 -0.07
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.12 0.01 0.11
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow -0.06 0.01 -0.08
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 0.01 0.01 -0.00
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.07 0.01 0.06
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.03 0.01 0.02
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH -0.00 0.00 -0.01
## SeasonGreen_Up:TreeBH -0.05 0.00 -0.05
## SeasonWinter:TreeBH -0.01 0.00 -0.02
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.34 0.02 0.31
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.09 0.01 -0.11
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.07 0.01 0.04
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.04 0.01 0.01
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.06 0.01 -0.09
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.02 0.01 -0.05
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.09 0.01 -0.12
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.00 0.01 -0.03
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow -0.09 0.01 -0.12
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -0.04 0.01 -0.06
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 0.12 0.01 0.09
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.05 0.01 0.03
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 0.03 0.01 0.01
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow -0.00 0.01 -0.03
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.07 0.01 -0.10
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.00 0.01 -0.02
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow -0.00 0.01 -0.03
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow -0.03 0.01 -0.06
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.04 0.01 0.01
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -0.08 0.01 -0.10
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:TreeBH -0.05 0.00 -0.06
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:TreeBH -0.04 0.00 -0.05
## u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS
## Intercept 0.44 1.00 1484
## StatusInvaded 0.13 1.00 1367
## SeasonGreen_Up 0.65 1.00 1364
## SeasonWinter 0.22 1.00 1729
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.02 1.00 2512
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.04 1.00 2252
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.06 1.00 2846
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.12 1.00 2027
## Live_BiomassLow 0.02 1.00 2473
## Live_BiomassHigh -0.00 1.00 2497
## Dead_BiomassLow 0.00 1.00 2597
## Dead_BiomassHigh 0.03 1.00 2650
## Litter_BiomassLow -0.05 1.00 2211
## Litter_BiomassHigh 0.05 1.00 2237
## TreeBH -0.02 1.00 1736
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 0.70 1.00 1366
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 0.54 1.00 1521
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.04 1.00 2413
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.02 1.00 2279
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.13 1.00 2791
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.17 1.00 2563
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.08 1.00 2599
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.05 1.00 2435
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.04 1.00 2460
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.03 1.00 1876
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.05 1.00 2962
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.07 1.00 2826
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.11 1.00 2299
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.09 1.00 2374
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow -0.00 1.00 2548
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 0.01 1.00 2381
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 0.02 1.00 2720
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 0.02 1.00 2784
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 0.02 1.00 2995
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.02 1.00 2655
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -0.05 1.00 2484
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.13 1.00 2606
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow -0.00 1.00 2726
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.01 1.00 2921
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.03 1.00 2693
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.03 1.00 2835
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow -0.03 1.00 2102
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.14 1.00 2436
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow -0.04 1.00 2525
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 0.03 1.00 2665
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.09 1.00 2714
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.05 1.00 2752
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH 0.00 1.00 1577
## SeasonGreen_Up:TreeBH -0.05 1.00 1867
## SeasonWinter:TreeBH -0.01 1.00 1889
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.37 1.00 3004
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.06 1.00 2324
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.09 1.00 2624
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.06 1.00 2432
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.04 1.00 2967
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 1.00 2424
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.06 1.00 2167
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.03 1.00 2160
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow -0.07 1.00 2868
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -0.01 1.00 2517
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 0.14 1.00 2995
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.08 1.00 2357
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 0.06 1.00 2778
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.02 1.00 2801
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.04 1.00 2869
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.02 1.00 2927
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 0.02 1.00 2558
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow -0.01 1.00 2363
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.07 1.00 2832
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -0.05 1.00 2418
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:TreeBH -0.05 1.00 1604
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:TreeBH -0.03 1.00 1683
## Tail_ESS
## Intercept 2545
## StatusInvaded 2208
## SeasonGreen_Up 2402
## SeasonWinter 2457
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2823
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2714
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2932
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2722
## Live_BiomassLow 3066
## Live_BiomassHigh 3209
## Dead_BiomassLow 2965
## Dead_BiomassHigh 3140
## Litter_BiomassLow 2329
## Litter_BiomassHigh 2705
## TreeBH 2789
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 2246
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 2273
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2839
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2796
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3017
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2660
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2956
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2664
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2945
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2512
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3094
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2902
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2792
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2772
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 2776
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 2737
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 3115
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 2841
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 3167
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 2935
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow 3102
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 2898
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 2752
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 3521
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 2842
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 3003
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 2806
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 2839
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 3509
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 3094
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 3073
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 3305
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH 2358
## SeasonGreen_Up:TreeBH 2794
## SeasonWinter:TreeBH 2276
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3281
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2711
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3069
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2940
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3030
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2963
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2869
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2547
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 2703
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 2798
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 2683
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 2976
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 3214
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 3096
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 2973
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 3228
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 3017
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 2520
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 2970
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 3019
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:TreeBH 2385
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:TreeBH 2285
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 0.05 0.00 0.05 0.05 1.00 4221 2924
## nu 1.02 0.02 1.00 1.06 1.00 2741 1558
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
GLMM Crown Fire Active Ratio
Crown Fire Active Ratio Model Comparison
## Warning: Parts of the model have not converged (some Rhats are > 1.05). Be
## careful when analysing the results! We recommend running more iterations and/or
## setting stronger priors.## Warning: There were 25 divergent transitions after warmup. Increasing
## adapt_delta above 0.8 may help. See
## http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: C_AR ~ Status * Season * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Dead_Fuel_Moisture
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 4374)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI
## Intercept 0.10 0.00 0.10
## StatusInvaded -0.04 0.00 -0.04
## SeasonGreen_Up 0.12 0.07 0.08
## SeasonWinter -0.10 0.00 -0.10
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 0.00 -0.00
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.04 0.00 -0.04
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.05 0.00 0.05
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.10 0.00 -0.10
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up -0.03 0.07 -0.14
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 0.06 0.00 0.06
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.00 0.00 -0.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.03 0.00 0.03
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.01 0.07 -0.10
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.00 0.00 -0.00
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.01 0.00 -0.02
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.14 0.17 0.04
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.02 0.00 0.02
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.04 0.00 0.04
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.06 0.07 -0.17
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.15 0.05 0.12
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.03 0.06 -0.07
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.10 0.00 0.10
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.08 0.07 0.04
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 0.00 -0.00
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.01 0.00 0.01
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.13 0.17 -0.43
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.00 0.07 -0.04
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.10 0.05 -0.18
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.02 0.06 -0.02
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.06 0.00 -0.06
## u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS
## Intercept 0.10 1.06 3637
## StatusInvaded -0.04 1.06 2968
## SeasonGreen_Up 0.23 1.60 7
## SeasonWinter -0.10 1.06 3533
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 1.05 3479
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.04 1.07 3058
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.05 1.07 3522
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.10 1.06 3612
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 0.01 1.61 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 0.06 1.06 2902
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 1.04 3584
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.03 1.06 2826
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.05 1.60 7
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 1.05 4196
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.01 1.56 7
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.44 1.65 7
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.02 1.07 3547
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.04 1.07 2926
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.02 1.62 7
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.23 1.57 7
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.07 1.62 7
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.10 1.07 3386
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.19 1.60 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 1.06 3404
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.02 1.56 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.03 1.64 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.11 1.61 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.07 1.58 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.12 1.61 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.06 1.06 3112
## Tail_ESS
## Intercept 257
## StatusInvaded 228
## SeasonGreen_Up 15
## SeasonWinter 238
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 194
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 114
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 234
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 202
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 15
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 131
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 394
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 144
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 15
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 242
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 29
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 11
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 223
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 308
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 15
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 28
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 15
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 231
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 15
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 287
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 30
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 11
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 15
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 28
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 15
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 196
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.24 4 11
## nu 1.53 0.42 1.18 2.24 3.56 4 11
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
GLMM Crown Fire Rate of Spread
Crown Fire Rate of Spread Model Comparison
## Warning: Parts of the model have not converged (some Rhats are > 1.05). Be
## careful when analysing the results! We recommend running more iterations and/or
## setting stronger priors.## Warning: There were 6 divergent transitions after warmup. Increasing
## adapt_delta above 0.8 may help. See
## http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: C_ROS ~ Status * Season * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Dead_Fuel_Moisture
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 4374)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI
## Intercept 1.05 0.26 0.60
## StatusInvaded -0.35 0.26 -0.50
## SeasonGreen_Up 0.81 0.22 0.45
## SeasonWinter -0.85 0.36 -1.20
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.00 0.00 -0.00
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.48 0.37 -1.03
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.75 0.26 0.60
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.67 0.37 -1.20
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 0.14 0.58 -0.80
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 0.35 0.36 -0.10
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 0.00 -0.00
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.38 0.37 -0.10
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.84 0.35 0.50
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.20 0.35 -0.80
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.14 0.37 -0.60
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.28 0.19 -0.00
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.05 0.26 -0.40
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.03 0.37 -0.53
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.21 0.21 -0.50
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.67 0.52 0.10
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.71 0.31 0.40
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.67 0.37 0.17
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.11 0.31 -0.31
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.20 0.35 -0.00
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.04 0.37 -0.53
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.18 0.19 -0.40
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.19 0.61 -0.75
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.08 0.58 -0.80
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.04 0.43 -0.61
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.17 0.37 -0.70
## u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS
## Intercept 1.20 1.54 7
## StatusInvaded 0.10 1.54 7
## SeasonGreen_Up 1.00 2.23 5
## SeasonWinter -0.40 2.10 5
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 1.02 3578
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.00 3.31 4
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 1.20 1.54 7
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.17 3.30 4
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 0.75 3.50 4
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 0.70 2.10 5
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 1.02 3988
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.93 3.31 4
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 1.31 2.25 5
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 1.54 7
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.43 3.32 4
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.50 2.93 5
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.20 1.53 7
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.50 3.30 4
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.05 3.18 4
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 1.50 2.91 5
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 1.11 3.18 4
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 1.20 3.30 4
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.50 3.24 4
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.80 1.54 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.50 3.32 4
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.10 2.93 5
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.80 3.50 4
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.80 2.91 5
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.60 3.50 4
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.33 3.30 4
## Tail_ESS
## Intercept 32
## StatusInvaded 27
## SeasonGreen_Up 12
## SeasonWinter 33
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 1201
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 12
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 26
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 12
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 12
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 29
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2883
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 12
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 11
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 30
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 12
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 24
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 25
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 12
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 12
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 27
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 11
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 12
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 11
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 31
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 12
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 26
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 12
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 28
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 11
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 12
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.51 5 11
## nu 1.10 0.02 1.07 1.12 3.10 5 12
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
GLMM Crown Fire Intensity
Crown Fire Intensity Model Comparison
## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: C_Fin ~ Status * Season * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Dead_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Live_Biomass + Status * Season * Dead_Biomass + Status * Season * Litter_Biomass + Status * Season * TreeBH
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 4374)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI
## Intercept 318.53 10.43 298.11
## StatusInvaded -146.17 15.40 -177.08
## SeasonGreen_Up 321.21 19.46 281.69
## SeasonWinter -320.71 12.10 -344.47
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 4.73 -9.28
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -480.48 7.49 -496.20
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 674.91 6.46 662.53
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -921.82 7.76 -936.59
## Live_BiomassLow -8.41 5.27 -18.65
## Live_BiomassHigh 7.85 5.28 -2.44
## Dead_BiomassLow -6.83 5.21 -17.02
## Dead_BiomassHigh 21.05 5.11 11.21
## Litter_BiomassLow -91.29 6.11 -103.09
## Litter_BiomassHigh 34.74 5.13 24.78
## TreeBH 130.33 1.11 128.20
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 179.74 25.10 130.37
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 270.36 19.99 230.76
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 53.79 7.70 38.31
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 415.90 9.54 397.55
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 570.12 11.48 548.46
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.22 5.90 -11.08
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -380.28 14.95 -408.73
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 479.29 8.38 463.45
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 401.23 15.35 370.18
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 165.36 13.99 138.77
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -180.03 11.98 -203.48
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 1051.87 25.20 995.74
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 559.94 13.32 532.67
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 921.78 8.26 905.73
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 12.92 8.07 -2.86
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh -14.10 8.20 -30.53
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow -5.63 8.39 -21.33
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 8.43 6.33 -4.24
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 9.26 8.68 -7.44
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh -7.78 6.35 -20.44
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -27.05 7.91 -42.32
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 41.23 8.20 25.48
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow -19.63 8.44 -35.97
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 6.85 6.33 -5.23
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 17.71 8.29 1.16
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -20.65 6.26 -32.92
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 26.90 8.65 10.39
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 35.48 8.19 19.75
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow -61.00 10.25 -80.73
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 89.94 7.12 75.64
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 107.26 9.35 88.70
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -33.52 6.31 -45.92
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH -62.30 1.61 -65.50
## SeasonGreen_Up:TreeBH 103.85 2.26 99.52
## SeasonWinter:TreeBH -130.02 1.25 -132.52
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 535.74 21.53 492.67
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -29.02 10.14 -48.68
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 256.17 17.04 221.68
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -440.95 11.30 -462.88
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -798.18 18.53 -833.13
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -348.21 33.36 -408.94
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -73.10 18.46 -108.25
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -422.01 14.99 -451.58
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow -20.06 11.56 -42.62
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -13.14 10.08 -32.68
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 25.75 11.80 2.24
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 15.60 10.22 -4.33
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 24.50 11.46 2.06
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 19.64 9.99 0.12
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh -43.52 11.53 -65.91
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -29.67 10.30 -49.45
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 46.91 12.78 21.48
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow -37.62 10.77 -59.38
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 44.25 12.66 18.57
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -24.86 10.31 -44.79
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:TreeBH 16.70 2.81 11.08
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:TreeBH 78.96 2.10 74.91
## u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS
## Intercept 338.94 1.00 1963
## StatusInvaded -115.90 1.00 1923
## SeasonGreen_Up 359.15 1.00 2235
## SeasonWinter -298.00 1.00 2110
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 9.14 1.00 3489
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -466.63 1.00 2645
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 688.09 1.00 3394
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -906.99 1.00 2878
## Live_BiomassLow 1.90 1.00 2415
## Live_BiomassHigh 18.29 1.00 2426
## Dead_BiomassLow 3.17 1.00 2588
## Dead_BiomassHigh 31.17 1.00 2764
## Litter_BiomassLow -79.26 1.00 2525
## Litter_BiomassHigh 44.75 1.00 2692
## TreeBH 132.48 1.00 2397
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 229.61 1.00 2067
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 311.06 1.00 2127
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 68.82 1.00 2958
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 434.88 1.00 2666
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 593.52 1.00 3212
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 11.76 1.00 3654
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -350.21 1.00 2685
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 496.68 1.00 2146
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 430.54 1.00 3786
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 192.93 1.00 2959
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -157.78 1.00 3260
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 1095.25 1.00 3755
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 584.76 1.00 3036
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 937.76 1.00 2954
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 28.86 1.00 2428
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 1.72 1.00 2426
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 10.97 1.00 2916
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 20.89 1.00 2692
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 25.86 1.00 2932
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 4.68 1.00 2627
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -11.69 1.00 2698
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 57.11 1.00 2669
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow -2.90 1.00 3034
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 19.43 1.00 2575
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 33.89 1.00 3187
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -8.47 1.00 3222
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 44.03 1.00 2263
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 51.11 1.00 2595
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow -41.29 1.00 2959
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 103.94 1.00 2459
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 125.37 1.00 2856
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -21.36 1.00 2819
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH -59.18 1.00 2249
## SeasonGreen_Up:TreeBH 108.37 1.00 2527
## SeasonWinter:TreeBH -127.58 1.00 2564
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 576.00 1.00 4355
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -9.32 1.00 2961
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 288.35 1.00 2748
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -418.76 1.00 2727
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -760.17 1.00 3299
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -277.44 1.00 3537
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -36.34 1.00 2898
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -393.19 1.00 3162
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 2.12 1.00 2659
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 6.69 1.00 2756
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 48.89 1.00 2667
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 35.91 1.00 2558
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 46.45 1.00 3028
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 38.82 1.00 3096
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh -21.29 1.00 3081
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -9.87 1.00 3343
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 71.48 1.00 2623
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow -16.61 1.00 2564
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 69.13 1.00 2727
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -4.97 1.00 2647
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:TreeBH 22.30 1.00 2420
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:TreeBH 83.09 1.00 2578
## Tail_ESS
## Intercept 2546
## StatusInvaded 2602
## SeasonGreen_Up 2601
## SeasonWinter 2617
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3114
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2872
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3192
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3263
## Live_BiomassLow 3017
## Live_BiomassHigh 2963
## Dead_BiomassLow 3135
## Dead_BiomassHigh 3337
## Litter_BiomassLow 2715
## Litter_BiomassHigh 3067
## TreeBH 3062
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 2603
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 2373
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3173
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3161
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3164
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3262
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2910
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2710
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2981
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3031
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2952
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2702
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2985
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3057
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 2497
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 3013
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 3123
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 2999
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 3192
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 2879
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow 3392
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 3334
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 2676
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 3104
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 3129
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 3221
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 2509
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 2954
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 2878
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 2742
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 3255
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 2877
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH 2805
## SeasonGreen_Up:TreeBH 2297
## SeasonWinter:TreeBH 3242
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3008
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3113
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3292
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3218
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3093
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 3092
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2694
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3016
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 2970
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 2656
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 3006
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 2783
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 2715
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 3026
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 3109
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 3407
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 2973
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 2651
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 2429
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 2970
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:TreeBH 2695
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:TreeBH 3131
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 44.42 1.22 42.08 46.87 1.00 5718 2991
## nu 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.01 1.00 4261 1983
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
GLMM Crown Fire Flame Length
Crown Fire Flame Length Model Comparison
## Warning: Parts of the model have not converged (some Rhats are > 1.05). Be
## careful when analysing the results! We recommend running more iterations and/or
## setting stronger priors.## Family: student
## Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity; nu = identity
## Formula: C_FL ~ Status * Season * Live_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Dead_Fuel_Moisture + Status * Season * Live_Biomass + Status * Season * Dead_Biomass + Status * Season * Litter_Biomass + Status * Season * TreeBH
## Data: fb (Number of observations: 4374)
## Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
## total post-warmup draws = 4000
##
## Regression Coefficients:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI
## Intercept 1.45 0.04 1.36
## StatusInvaded -0.49 0.05 -0.56
## SeasonGreen_Up 0.95 0.05 0.87
## SeasonWinter -1.46 0.04 -1.51
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 0.01 -0.02
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.79 0.03 -0.82
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 1.06 0.02 1.02
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -2.65 0.27 -3.14
## Live_BiomassLow -0.02 0.01 -0.03
## Live_BiomassHigh 0.01 0.01 -0.01
## Dead_BiomassLow -0.01 0.01 -0.03
## Dead_BiomassHigh 0.04 0.01 0.02
## Litter_BiomassLow -0.16 0.01 -0.18
## Litter_BiomassHigh 0.05 0.01 0.03
## TreeBH 0.22 0.00 0.22
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 0.40 0.06 0.28
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 1.10 0.05 0.99
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.11 0.01 0.08
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.64 0.03 0.56
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.80 0.02 0.76
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.00 0.01 -0.02
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.40 0.04 -0.48
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.78 0.03 0.71
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.72 0.02 0.68
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.44 0.27 0.24
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.46 0.02 -0.50
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2.79 0.04 2.70
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2.11 0.27 1.92
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2.65 0.27 2.47
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 0.02 0.01 -0.01
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh -0.02 0.01 -0.04
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow -0.00 0.01 -0.03
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 0.02 0.01 -0.01
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 0.02 0.01 -0.01
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh -0.01 0.01 -0.03
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -0.08 0.01 -0.11
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.08 0.02 0.05
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow -0.02 0.01 -0.05
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.01 0.01 -0.01
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.02 0.01 -0.01
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.04 0.01 -0.06
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 0.01 0.02 -0.02
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.09 0.02 0.06
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow -0.04 0.02 -0.07
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 0.16 0.01 0.13
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.15 0.02 0.11
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -0.05 0.01 -0.08
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH -0.08 0.00 -0.09
## SeasonGreen_Up:TreeBH 0.09 0.01 0.08
## SeasonWinter:TreeBH -0.22 0.00 -0.23
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.58 0.03 0.53
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.03 0.02 -0.07
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.30 0.04 0.24
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.73 0.04 -0.78
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -1.17 0.03 -1.23
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -1.41 0.06 -1.52
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.27 0.27 -0.78
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -1.52 0.27 -2.03
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow -0.03 0.02 -0.07
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow -0.02 0.02 -0.06
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 0.04 0.02 -0.00
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.02 0.02 -0.02
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 0.07 0.02 0.03
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.05 0.02 0.01
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.08 0.02 -0.12
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.04 0.02 -0.08
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 0.07 0.02 0.03
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow -0.06 0.02 -0.09
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.03 0.02 -0.01
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -0.06 0.02 -0.10
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:TreeBH 0.03 0.01 0.02
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:TreeBH 0.14 0.01 0.13
## u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS
## Intercept 1.50 1.51 7
## StatusInvaded -0.38 1.40 9
## SeasonGreen_Up 1.05 1.35 9
## SeasonWinter -1.36 1.49 8
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.02 1.01 2445
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.72 1.53 7
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 1.08 1.50 7
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -2.47 1.53 7
## Live_BiomassLow 0.00 1.05 64
## Live_BiomassHigh 0.03 1.00 2333
## Dead_BiomassLow 0.01 1.00 2562
## Dead_BiomassHigh 0.05 1.01 1771
## Litter_BiomassLow -0.14 1.02 671
## Litter_BiomassHigh 0.08 1.27 11
## TreeBH 0.23 1.52 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 0.50 1.25 12
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 1.19 1.30 10
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.14 1.00 2485
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.68 1.52 7
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.84 1.00 2441
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.02 1.00 2452
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.35 1.51 7
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.82 1.53 7
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.76 1.29 10
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.94 1.53 7
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -0.42 1.34 9
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2.86 1.06 42
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 2.61 1.53 7
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 3.14 1.53 7
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 0.05 1.02 302
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 0.01 1.00 2395
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 0.03 1.02 164
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 0.04 1.04 87
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 0.04 1.00 2681
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.01 1.00 2327
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow -0.05 1.00 2461
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.11 1.01 1988
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 0.00 1.00 3191
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.03 1.00 2839
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 0.05 1.01 2772
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.01 1.01 1945
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 0.04 1.01 2685
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.12 1.14 20
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow -0.01 1.01 2847
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 0.18 1.01 2444
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.18 1.14 19
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -0.03 1.21 14
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH -0.07 1.44 8
## SeasonGreen_Up:TreeBH 0.10 1.36 9
## SeasonWinter:TreeBH -0.22 1.51 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.64 1.00 2592
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 0.01 1.00 2726
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 0.38 1.47 8
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.65 1.51 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -1.13 1.19 15
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow -1.29 1.04 89
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -0.06 1.53 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh -1.32 1.53 7
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 0.00 1.02 2182
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 0.01 1.02 1699
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 0.07 1.00 2590
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 0.05 1.00 2731
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 0.11 1.00 2957
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 0.09 1.00 2905
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.04 1.01 2428
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh -0.00 1.00 2366
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 0.11 1.00 2897
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow -0.02 1.01 3081
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 0.07 1.08 34
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh -0.02 1.08 32
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:TreeBH 0.04 1.27 11
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:TreeBH 0.15 1.35 9
## Tail_ESS
## Intercept 31
## StatusInvaded 30
## SeasonGreen_Up 35
## SeasonWinter 30
## Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2883
## Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 35
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 32
## Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 34
## Live_BiomassLow 289
## Live_BiomassHigh 2464
## Dead_BiomassLow 2621
## Dead_BiomassHigh 2790
## Litter_BiomassLow 2532
## Litter_BiomassHigh 31
## TreeBH 33
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up 42
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter 35
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3516
## StatusInvaded:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 32
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2742
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3029
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 35
## SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 36
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 32
## StatusInvaded:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 31
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 31
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 87
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 30
## SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 31
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassLow 2611
## StatusInvaded:Live_BiomassHigh 2877
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 2034
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 141
## SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 2705
## SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 2874
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassLow 2571
## StatusInvaded:Dead_BiomassHigh 2747
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 3546
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 3032
## SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 2600
## SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 2994
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassLow 2925
## StatusInvaded:Litter_BiomassHigh 58
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 3203
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 2818
## SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 42
## SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 35
## StatusInvaded:TreeBH 29
## SeasonGreen_Up:TreeBH 37
## SeasonWinter:TreeBH 32
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 3343
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureLow 2963
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 31
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_Fuel_MoistureHigh 28
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 47
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureLow 2254
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 31
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_Fuel_MoistureHigh 29
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassLow 2574
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassLow 3066
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Live_BiomassHigh 3291
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Live_BiomassHigh 2959
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassLow 3020
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassLow 2857
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Dead_BiomassHigh 2621
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Dead_BiomassHigh 2748
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassLow 3119
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassLow 3155
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:Litter_BiomassHigh 107
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:Litter_BiomassHigh 91
## StatusInvaded:SeasonGreen_Up:TreeBH 40
## StatusInvaded:SeasonWinter:TreeBH 31
##
## Further Distributional Parameters:
## Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma 0.07 0.00 0.07 0.08 1.10 26 89
## nu 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.01 1.00 4496 2164
##
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).## Using 10 posterior draws for ppc type 'dens_overlay' by default.
