Executive Summary

Analysis

Assumptions & Notes

  • GameChanger Classic and TeamManager subscription types were treated as one, unified user based on a user’s email.
  • “Sign up date” for any user with both a GameChanger Classic and TeamManager subscription was the earlier of the two.
  • “First subscription date” is the first time a user paid for a subscription, whether on GameChanger Classic or TeamManager.
  • The focus on more recent years better reflects how the business has evolved.
  • For revenue projections, the below table encompasses supplemental research of historical GameChanger pricing.
date of measurement Plus Premium
01/2021 $2.99/month, $29.99/year $7.99/month, $49.99/year
08/2023 $6.99/month, $34.99/year $9.99/month, $74.99/year
03/2024 $6.99/month, $29.99/year $9.99/month, $89.99/year
Current $9.99/month, $39.99/year $14.99/month, $99.99/year

Stable monthly patterns support yearly forecasts

  • Over time, each month has contributed a remarkably consistent share of full-year activity across new consumer signups, first-time paid subscriptions, team signups, and team activations.
  • This stable seasonality enables us to use partial-year data with confidence, knowing that performance in a single month is a reliable signal of broader annual trends.
February Contribution to Annual Totals
2022 2023 2024
New Consumer Subscriptions 3.7% 3.4% 3.4%
New Consumer Signups 3.7% 3.4% 3.4%
New Team Signups 7.1% 7.1% 7.4%
New Team Activations 6.5% 6.6% 6.6%
This monthly pattern is consistent across all months


  • This pattern also holds by subscription type.


Core metrics are highly correlated

  • This reinforces confidence that any metric can be uses as a proxy for others when forecasting.
Correlation Between Key Metrics in February
New Consumer
Subscriptions
New Consumer
Signups
New Team
Signups
New Team
Activations
New Consumer Subscriptions -- 0.99 0.97 0.9
New Consumer Signups 0.99 -- 0.99 0.95
New Team Signups 0.97 0.99 -- 0.97
New Team Activations 0.9 0.95 0.97 --
This monthly pattern is consistent across all months

Forecasting FY25


Recommendations & V2 Analysis Wishlist

  1. Focus on converting free users early: Leverage behavior-based nudges at key engagement milestones.
  2. Optimize subscription tiers: Test pricing elasticity and highlight benefits of Premium plans.
  3. Churn reduction strategy: Use session/activity data to trigger win-back campaigns.
  4. Enhance data capture: Begin collecting roster sizes and player-level data to refine athlete penetration estimates.