Population Projections

Outline

• Why Population Projections Are Important?

• Approaches, Methods, and Data

• Using R for Population Projections

• Using R for Multi Scenarios Projections

• Expert-based projections

• Interactive Population Pyramids - R Shiny

Why Population Projections Are Important?

• Actually, it’s a Question, Any clues?

Ex 1: Analyzing Population Dynamics

Ex 2: Studying Pension Sustainability

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rNSjhjY1KLQ

Approaches, Methods, and Data

Approaches

• Statistical Modeling

• Expert-based

Methods

• Cohort-Component Methods

Data Requirements

• Age-Time Matrix of Projected Age-Specific Mortality Rates

• Age-Time Matrix of Projected Age-Specific Fertility Rates

• Migration Projections (Optional in some cases)

• Baseline population

Using R for Population Projections

https://farid-flici.github.io/tuto.html

Using R for Multi Scenarios Proj

https://farid-flici.github.io/tuto2.html

Expert-based projections

https://faridflici.shinyapps.io/eppdz/

Interactive Pop Pyramids - R Shiny

https://farid-flici.github.io/pps.html

Useful links

• Visualizing population pyramids : https://bouchrabd.gitbook.io/an-r-tutorial-on-visualizing-population-pyramids-1/an-r-tutorial-on-visualizing-population-pyramids

• Visualizing population pyramids (part 2): https://bouchrabd.gitbook.io/an-r-tutorial-on-on-visualizing-population-pyramid-1/an-r-tutorial-on-visualizing-population-pyramids-part-2

The End

https://farid-flici.github.io/