Overview

Atlanta was repaved in 2022, turning into a super speedway style race that happens on an intermediate track.

We should get pack racing here, but the field does get spread out a bit.

DNFs have been high in some races, but we have seen the low end of the spectrum too.

Cautions and DNFs were down in both races last year, though we did have a bunch of leaders run out of fuel in overtime last year.

Atlanta Average Stats
Avg Cars Avg Leaders Avg Cautions Avg GF Laps Avg Dom Points Avg Crash DNFs Avg Mech DNFs
37.8 8 7.5 123.2 97.1 5.5 2.2
Individual Race Summary
Season Race Cars Qualifying Leaders Cautions GF Laps Dom Points Crash DNFs Mech DNFs
2024 RAPTOR King of Tough 250 38 Y 5 4 146 107.95 0 1
2024 Focused Health 250 37 Y 9 6 127 97.90 4 5
2023 RAPTOR King of Tough 250 38 N 8 11 96 83.95 10 2
2023 Alsco Uniforms 250 38 Y 9 8 119 95.80 8 2
2022 Nalley Cars 250 38 N 10 10 116 95.20 8 0
2022 Alsco Uniforms 250 38 N 7 6 135 101.50 3 3

Dominator Analysis

One major difference here vs the normal super speedway races is the lap count. There are 43 more laps this week than they ran at Daytona, which means potentially 30 more dominator points.

We have seen some relatively big dominators in the historical races here. They are being driven by laps led and they are coming from 2 teams in particular: RCR and Kaulig.

Fast laps are spread, but the top half of the field is getting more of them.

Top 15 Overall Dominators
Driver Start Finish Qualifying Team Laps Led Fast Laps Dom Points Dom Rank Season Race
Jesse Love 1 12 Y Richard Childress Racing 157 11 44.20 1 2024 RAPTOR King of Tough 250
Austin Hill 3 1 N Richard Childress Racing 103 4 27.55 1 2023 RAPTOR King of Tough 250
Justin Haley 13 4 Y Kaulig Racing 80 5 22.25 1 2023 Alsco Uniforms 250
Austin Hill 5 1 N Richard Childress Racing 73 6 20.95 1 2022 Alsco Uniforms 250
AJ Allmendinger 6 3 Y Kaulig Racing 40 7 13.15 1 2024 Focused Health 250
AJ Allmendinger 7 3 N Kaulig Racing 41 3 11.60 1 2022 Nalley Cars 250
Noah Gragson 1 26 N JR Motorsports 38 2 10.40 2 2022 Nalley Cars 250
Trevor Bayne 5 28 N Joe Gibbs Racing 38 1 9.95 3 2022 Nalley Cars 250
Austin Hill 14 2 N Richard Childress Racing 27 6 9.45 4 2022 Nalley Cars 250
Josh Berry 4 19 Y JR Motorsports 34 2 9.40 2 2023 Alsco Uniforms 250
Chandler Smith 8 4 Y Joe Gibbs Racing 28 4 8.80 2 2024 Focused Health 250
Justin Allgaier 10 30 Y JR Motorsports 19 9 8.80 2 2024 Focused Health 250
Josh Berry 2 2 N JR Motorsports 13 12 8.65 2 2022 Alsco Uniforms 250
AJ Allmendinger 3 10 N Kaulig Racing 25 5 8.50 3 2022 Alsco Uniforms 250
Tyler Reddick 22 4 N Big Machine Racing 21 7 8.40 4 2022 Alsco Uniforms 250

Place Differential

We have a bigger sample of Q vs Non-Q than we do in Trucks, with the 6 Xfinity races being split down the middle.

The no Qualifying races look like almost a perfectly normal distribution. The Qualifying races are shifted right a bit more, suggesting there is actually a bit more medium to big positive place differential days when we have qualifying. That could suggest that qualifying is giving us some weird results. But it is still a small sample so it is tough to draw any strong conclusions.

Scoring Thresholds

DraftKings Points Summary by Rank
DKRank Races Mean_Points Median_Points Min_Points Max_Points Points_Range
1 6 66.97 67.08 58.45 74.55 16.10
2 6 60.23 60.12 52.95 66.40 13.45
3 6 56.88 57.42 52.35 61.90 9.55
4 6 53.79 54.53 47.35 58.25 10.90
5 6 51.81 52.05 45.35 56.60 11.25
6 6 49.55 50.00 43.55 53.15 9.60
7 6 46.99 48.62 42.40 49.60 7.20
8 6 45.66 46.58 41.60 48.70 7.10
9 6 43.87 44.80 40.45 46.00 5.55
10 6 41.46 40.95 39.35 44.15 4.80