Overview

Atlanta was repaved in 2022, turning into a super speedway style race that happens on an intermediate track.

We should get pack racing here, but the field does get spread out a bit.

DNFs have been way down compared to Daytona/Talladega but we only have a 3 race sample for Trucks.

Atlanta Average Stats
Avg Cars Avg Leaders Avg Cautions Avg GF Laps Avg Dom Points Avg Crash DNFs Avg Mech DNFs
35 8.7 8.3 90.7 74.7 3 2.3
Individual Race Summary
Season Race Cars Qualifying Leaders Cautions GF Laps Dom Points Crash DNFs Mech DNFs
2024 Fr8 208 33 Y 7 7 98 77.85 2 1
2023 Fr8 208 36 N 9 11 79 69.80 4 2
2022 Fr8 208 36 N 10 7 95 76.50 3 4

Dominator Analysis

One major difference here vs the normal super speedway races is the lap count. There are 35 more laps this week than they ran at Daytona, which means potentially 24 more dominator points.

We have limited data (3 races), but there have been meaningful dominator performances driven by laps led.

Fast laps are spread, but there is a skew towards better finishers.

Top 15 Overall Dominators
Driver Start Finish Qualifying Team Laps Led Fast Laps Dom Points Dom Rank Season Race
John Hunter Nemechek 24 3 N TRICON Garage 53 7 16.40 1 2023 Fr8 208
Stewart Friesen 2 6 N Halmar Friesen Racing 49 2 13.15 1 2022 Fr8 208
Tyler Ankrum 2 7 Y McAnally Hilgemann Racing 46 0 11.50 1 2024 Fr8 208
Christian Eckes 4 1 N McAnally Hilgemann Racing 35 4 10.55 2 2023 Fr8 208
Kyle Busch 7 1 Y Spire Motorsports 33 2 9.15 2 2024 Fr8 208
Matt Crafton 8 9 N ThorSport Racing 29 0 7.25 3 2023 Fr8 208
Christian Eckes 5 33 Y McAnally Hilgemann Racing 20 3 6.35 3 2024 Fr8 208
Grant Enfinger 6 26 Y CR7 Motorsports 23 1 6.20 4 2024 Fr8 208
Corey Heim 19 1 N Kyle Busch Motorsports 22 1 5.95 2 2022 Fr8 208
Nick Sanchez 20 2 N Rev Racing 11 7 5.90 4 2023 Fr8 208
Chandler Smith 1 4 N Kyle Busch Motorsports 21 1 5.70 3 2022 Fr8 208
Grant Enfinger 8 12 N GMS Racing 14 3 4.85 4 2022 Fr8 208
John Hunter Nemechek 12 24 N Kyle Busch Motorsports 11 4 4.55 5 2022 Fr8 208
Tanner Gray 9 8 N Team DGR 0 10 4.50 6 2022 Fr8 208
Derek Kraus 18 9 N McAnally Hilgemann Racing 0 9 4.05 7 2022 Fr8 208

Place Differential

Only 1 of the 3 races since the repave has featured Qualifying, but it didn’t seem to make a noticeable impact on how place differential played out. It actually had a bit more than the non-qualifying races, which could just be an anomaly or could be a sign that qualifying speed might not be a great predictor of race speed. It’s too early to tell right now.

Scoring Thresholds

DraftKings Points Summary by Rank
DKRank Races Mean_Points Median_Points Min_Points Max_Points Points_Range
1 3 72.05 68.95 68.80 78.40 9.60
2 3 63.22 61.70 60.15 67.80 7.65
3 4 60.08 58.25 57.90 65.90 8.00
4 2 53.45 53.45 48.35 58.55 10.20
5 3 51.55 51.45 48.05 55.15 7.10
6 4 49.46 50.00 47.15 50.70 3.55
7 2 46.35 46.35 43.35 49.35 6.00
8 3 44.88 45.00 43.15 46.50 3.35
9 3 43.72 43.80 42.70 44.65 1.95
10 3 42.67 43.00 41.50 43.50 2.00