Goal: Predict Total Weeks on Best Sellers List Click here for the data
nyt_titles <- readr::read_tsv('https://raw.githubusercontent.com/rfordatascience/tidytuesday/main/data/2022/2022-05-10/nyt_titles.tsv')
skimr::skim(nyt_titles)
Name | nyt_titles |
Number of rows | 7431 |
Number of columns | 8 |
_______________________ | |
Column type frequency: | |
character | 2 |
Date | 1 |
numeric | 5 |
________________________ | |
Group variables | None |
Variable type: character
skim_variable | n_missing | complete_rate | min | max | empty | n_unique | whitespace |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
title | 0 | 1 | 1 | 74 | 0 | 7172 | 0 |
author | 4 | 1 | 4 | 73 | 0 | 2205 | 0 |
Variable type: Date
skim_variable | n_missing | complete_rate | min | max | median | n_unique |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
first_week | 0 | 1 | 1931-10-12 | 2020-12-06 | 2000-06-25 | 3348 |
Variable type: numeric
skim_variable | n_missing | complete_rate | mean | sd | p0 | p25 | p50 | p75 | p100 | hist |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
id | 0 | 1 | 3715.00 | 2145.29 | 0 | 1857.5 | 3715 | 5572.5 | 7430 | ▇▇▇▇▇ |
year | 0 | 1 | 1989.61 | 26.23 | 1931 | 1968.0 | 2000 | 2011.0 | 2020 | ▂▂▂▃▇ |
total_weeks | 0 | 1 | 8.13 | 11.21 | 1 | 2.0 | 4 | 10.0 | 178 | ▇▁▁▁▁ |
debut_rank | 0 | 1 | 7.90 | 4.57 | 1 | 4.0 | 8 | 12.0 | 17 | ▇▆▅▅▅ |
best_rank | 0 | 1 | 6.91 | 4.57 | 1 | 3.0 | 6 | 10.0 | 17 | ▇▅▃▃▂ |
# Address missing values
data <- nyt_titles %>%
na.omit() %>%
# log transform variables
mutate(total_weeks = log(total_weeks)) %>%
filter(total_weeks < 100) %>%
select(-first_week, -id, -best_rank) %>%
# convert character/date variables to factors
mutate(across(where(is.character), factor)) %>%
separate_rows(author, sep = " and | with ")
# address outliers
data %>%
ggplot(aes(y = total_weeks))
#Explore Data
library(readr)
library(correlationfunnel)
data_binarized_tbl <- data %>%
select(-title) %>%
binarize()
data_binarized_tbl %>% glimpse()
## Rows: 7,829
## Columns: 15
## $ author__Danielle_Steel <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0…
## $ author__James_Patterson <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0…
## $ `author__-OTHER` <dbl> 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1…
## $ `year__-Inf_1971` <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0…
## $ year__1971_2001 <dbl> 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1…
## $ year__2001_2011 <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0…
## $ year__2011_Inf <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0…
## $ `total_weeks__-Inf_0.693147180559945` <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0…
## $ total_weeks__0.693147180559945_1.38629436111989 <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0…
## $ total_weeks__1.38629436111989_2.30258509299405 <dbl> 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1…
## $ total_weeks__2.30258509299405_Inf <dbl> 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0…
## $ `debut_rank__-Inf_4` <dbl> 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0…
## $ debut_rank__4_8 <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1…
## $ debut_rank__8_12 <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0…
## $ debut_rank__12_Inf <dbl> 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0…
data_corr_tbl <- data_binarized_tbl %>%
correlate(total_weeks__2.30258509299405_Inf)
data_corr_tbl
## # A tibble: 15 × 3
## feature bin correlation
## <fct> <chr> <dbl>
## 1 total_weeks 2.30258509299405_Inf 1
## 2 total_weeks -Inf_0.693147180559945 -0.389
## 3 total_weeks 1.38629436111989_2.30258509299405 -0.319
## 4 total_weeks 0.693147180559945_1.38629436111989 -0.257
## 5 year -Inf_1971 0.245
## 6 year 2011_Inf -0.241
## 7 year 2001_2011 -0.219
## 8 year 1971_2001 0.208
## 9 debut_rank 4_8 -0.0319
## 10 debut_rank 8_12 0.0179
## 11 debut_rank -Inf_4 0.0149
## 12 author James_Patterson -0.0128
## 13 author Danielle_Steel 0.00566
## 14 author -OTHER 0.00550
## 15 debut_rank 12_Inf -0.000420
data_corr_tbl %>%
plot_correlation_funnel()
Split data
# data <- sample_n(data, 100)
# split into test and train data set
set.seed(1234)
data_split <- rsample::initial_split(data)
data_train <- training(data_split)
data_test <- testing(data_split)
# further split training data set for cross-validation
set.seed(2345)
data_cv <- rsample::vfold_cv(data_train)
library(usemodels)
usemodels::use_xgboost(title ~ ., data = data_train)
## xgboost_recipe <-
## recipe(formula = title ~ ., data = data_train) %>%
## step_zv(all_predictors())
##
## xgboost_spec <-
## boost_tree(trees = tune(), min_n = tune(), tree_depth = tune(), learn_rate = tune(),
## loss_reduction = tune(), sample_size = tune()) %>%
## set_mode("classification") %>%
## set_engine("xgboost")
##
## xgboost_workflow <-
## workflow() %>%
## add_recipe(xgboost_recipe) %>%
## add_model(xgboost_spec)
##
## set.seed(55446)
## xgboost_tune <-
## tune_grid(xgboost_workflow, resamples = stop("add your rsample object"), grid = stop("add number of candidate points"))
#specify recipe
xgboost_recipe <-
recipe(formula = year ~ ., data = data_train) %>%
step_tokenize(title) %>%
step_tokenfilter(title, max_tokens = 100) %>%
step_tfidf(title) %>%
step_other(author) %>%
step_mutate(year = as.factor(year)) %>%
step_dummy(author, one_hot = TRUE) %>%
step_log(total_weeks, debut_rank)
xgboost_recipe %>% prep() %>% juice() %>% glimpse()
## Rows: 5,871
## Columns: 105
## $ total_weeks <dbl> 0.47588500, 0.78719501, 0.66572981, -Inf, -Inf,…
## $ debut_rank <dbl> 1.7917595, 2.3978953, 1.6094379, 0.0000000, 0.0…
## $ year <fct> 1940, 1955, 1949, 2004, 2006, 1950, 1998, 2018,…
## $ tfidf_title_a <dbl> 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.00000…
## $ tfidf_title_after <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_all <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_an <dbl> 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.00000…
## $ tfidf_title_and <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_are <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_at <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_be <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_black <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_blood <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_blue <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_bones <dbl> 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.00000…
## $ tfidf_title_book <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_cat <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_christmas <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_city <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_cold <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_cross <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_dark <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_daughter <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_day <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_days <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_dead <dbl> 0.00000, 0.00000, 0.00000, 0.00000, 0.00000, 0.…
## $ tfidf_title_death <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_down <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_dream <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_dune <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_earth <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_end <dbl> 5.736572, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.00000…
## $ tfidf_title_fall <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_family <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_fire <dbl> 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 5.07314…
## $ tfidf_title_for <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_from <dbl> 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.00000…
## $ tfidf_title_game <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_girl <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_god <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_golden <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_gone <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_good <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_heart <dbl> 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.00000…
## $ tfidf_title_heaven <dbl> 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.00000…
## $ tfidf_title_her <dbl> 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.00000…
## $ tfidf_title_home <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_honor <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_house <dbl> 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.00000…
## $ tfidf_title_i <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_in <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_is <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_island <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_king <dbl> 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.00000…
## $ tfidf_title_lady <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_last <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_life <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_light <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_little <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_long <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_lost <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_love <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_man <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_me <dbl> 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.00000…
## $ tfidf_title_men <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_midnight <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_moon <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_mrs <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_murder <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_my <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_new <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_night <dbl> 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.00000…
## $ tfidf_title_no <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_of <dbl> 0.0000000, 0.0000000, 1.0937217, 0.0000000, 0.0…
## $ tfidf_title_old <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_on <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_one <dbl> 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.00000…
## $ tfidf_title_prey <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_private <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_red <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_road <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_sea <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_second <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_secret <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_shadow <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_star <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_storm <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_street <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_summer <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_the <dbl> 0.0000000, 0.0000000, 0.6448305, 0.0000000, 0.0…
## $ tfidf_title_this <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_three <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_time <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_to <dbl> 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.00000…
## $ tfidf_title_tree <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_two <dbl> 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.00000…
## $ tfidf_title_we <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_white <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_who <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_with <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_woman <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_world <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ tfidf_title_you <dbl> 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.00000…
## $ author_James.Patterson <dbl> 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,…
## $ author_other <dbl> 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1,…
# specify model
xgboost_spec <-
boost_tree(trees = tune(), min_n = tune(), mtry = tune(), learn_rate = tune()) %>%
set_mode("regression") %>%
set_engine("xgboost")
#combine recipe and model using workflow
xgboost_workflow <-
workflow() %>%
add_recipe(xgboost_recipe) %>%
add_model(xgboost_spec)
# tune hyperparameters
set.seed(344)
xgboost_tune <-
tune_grid(xgboost_workflow,
resamples = data_cv,
grid = 5)
## Warning: All models failed. Run `show_notes(.Last.tune.result)` for more
## information.
```