Boletim FOCUS

Expectativas de Mercado

Author

Lucas Maynard

Published

August 25, 2025

Tabelas

DataReferencia Semana Passada Atual Delta
IPCA (Mediana) 2025-08-15 2025-08-22
12 meses suavizado 4.36 4.34 -0.02
2025 4.95 4.86 -0.09
2026 4.4 4.33 -0.07
2027 4 3.96 -0.03
2028 3.8 3.8 0.00
IPCA (Mediana 5 dias) 2025-08-15 2025-08-22
12 meses suavizado 4.31 4.26 -0.05
2025 4.9 4.84 -0.06
2026 4.4 4.32 -0.08
2027 3.92 3.94 0.02
2028 3.62 3.7 0.08
DataReferencia Semana Passada Atual Delta
IPCA (Media) 2025-08-15 2025-08-22
12 meses suavizado 4.38 4.34 -0.04
2025 4.97 4.88 -0.08
2026 4.4 4.33 -0.07
2027 3.89 3.89 0.00
2028 3.74 3.76 0.02
IPCA (Media 5 dias) 2025-08-15 2025-08-22
12 meses suavizado 4.31 4.3 -0.01
2025 4.92 4.85 -0.07
2026 4.35 4.32 -0.03
2027 3.84 3.9 0.06
2028 3.69 3.76 0.06
DataReferencia Semana Passada Atual Delta
IPCA - Mediana (5 dias) 2025-08-15 2025-08-22
08/2025 -0.11 -0.16 -0.05
09/2025 0.55 0.6 0.05
10/2025 0.34 0.32 -0.02
11/2025 0.27 0.26 -0.01
12/2025 0.51 0.5 -0.01
01/2026 0.43 0.44 0.01
02/2026 0.63 0.6 -0.03
03/2026 0.39 0.36 -0.03
04/2026 0.4 0.39 -0.01
05/2026 0.28 0.29 0.01
06/2026 0.25 0.25 0.00
07/2026 0.22 0.23 0.01
08/2026 0.19 0.19 0.00
09/2026 0.28 0.28 0.00
10/2026 0.35 0.36 0.01
11/2026 0.34 0.32 -0.02
12/2026 0.52 0.51 -0.01
01/2027 0.4 0.4 0.01
02/2027 0.56 0.56 0.00
03/2027 0.33 0.35 0.02
04/2027 0.35 0.35 0.00
05/2027 0.29 0.27 -0.02
06/2027 0.21 0.22 0.02
07/2027 0.22 0.21 -0.01
08/2027 0.21 0.18 -0.03
DataReferencia Semana Passada Atual Delta
PIB - Mediana 2025-08-15 2025-08-22
2025 2.21 2.18 -0.03
2026 1.87 1.86 -0.01
2027 1.86 1.86 0.00
DataReferencia 2025-08-15 2025-08-22
PIB - Média 2.23 2.19
2026 1.84 1.82 -0.02
2027 1.9 1.89 -0.01
DataReferencia Semana Passada Atual Delta
Selic (eop) - Mediana 2025-08-15 2025-08-22
2025 15 15 0.00
2026 12.5 12.5 0.00
2027 10.5 10.5 0.00
2028 10 10 0.00
Selic (eop) - Mediana 5 dias 2025-08-15 2025-08-22
2025 14.89 14.88 -0.01
2026 12.24 12.25 0.01
2027 10.38 10.41 0.03
2028 9.92 9.87 -0.05
DataReferencia Semana Passada Atual Delta
Copom - Mediana 2025-08-15 2025-08-22
R6/2025 15 15 0.00
R7/2025 15 15 0.00
R8/2025 15 15 0.00
R1/2026 15 14.75 -0.25
R2/2026 14.5 14.5 0.00
R3/2026 14 14 0.00
R4/2026 13.5 13.5 0.00
R5/2026 13 13 0.00
R6/2026 13 12.75 -0.25
R7/2026 12.5 12.5 0.00
R8/2026 12.5 12.5 0.00
R1/2027 12 12 0.00
R2/2027 12 12 0.00
R3/2027 11.5 11.5 0.00
R4/2027 11.25 11.25 0.00
R5/2027 11 11 0.00
DataReferencia Semana Passada Atual Delta
Câmbio (eop) - Mediana 2025-08-15 2025-08-22
2025 5.6 5.59 -0.01
2026 5.7 5.64 -0.07
2027 5.7 5.62 -0.08
2028 5.7 5.6 -0.10
DataReferencia Semana Passada Atual Delta
Taxa Desocupação (eop) - Mediana 2025-08-15 2025-08-22
2025 6.1 6 -0.1
2026 6.5 6.5 0.0
2027 7 7 0.0
2028 7.32 7.22 -0.1

IPCA

IPCA (por ano)

Aberturas do IPCA

PIB

Fiscal

Selic