Intro

Republican Donald Trump won Tennessee in the 2016 and 2024 presidential elections. The following analysis shows how the volume of Republican voters have changed in Tennessee over the past eight years, and how Trump’s victory in 2024 was quite different than that in 2016.

You can explore the maps below to compare the two elections in terms of Republican and Democratic county-level gains and losses compared to the preceding presidential race.

Voting shifts, 2016-2020

This map shows county-level vote shifts by party for the 2016 and 2020 elections. In 2016, Trump beat Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. In 2020, Trump lost to Democratic nominee Joe Biden.

Voting shifts 2020-2024

This map shows county-level vote shifts by party for the 2020 and 2024 elections. In 2020, Trump lost to Democratic nominee Joe Biden. In 2024, Trump beat to Democratic nominee Kamala Harris.