# Load packages

# Core
library(tidyverse)
library(tidyquant)

Goal

Calculate and visualize your portfolio’s beta.

Choose your stocks and the baseline market.

from 2012-12-31 to present

1 Import stock prices

symbols <- c("GOOG", "HSY", "TSLA", "AAPL", "SBUX")

prices <- tq_get(x    = symbols, 
                 get  = "stock.prices",
                 from = "2012-12-31",
                 to   = "2017-12-31")

2 Convert prices to returns (monthly)

asset_returns_tbl <- prices %>%
    
    group_by(symbol) %>%
    
    tq_transmute(select     = adjusted, 
                 mutate_fun = periodReturn, 
                 period     = "monthly",
                 type       = "log") %>%
    
    slice(-1) %>%
    
    ungroup() %>% 
    
    set_names(c("asset", "date", "returns"))

3 Assign a weight to each asset (change the weighting scheme)

# symbols
symbols <- asset_returns_tbl %>% distinct(asset) %>% pull()
symbols
## [1] "AAPL" "GOOG" "HSY"  "SBUX" "TSLA"
# weights
weights <- c(0.25, 0.25, 0.2, 0.2, 0.1)
weights
## [1] 0.25 0.25 0.20 0.20 0.10
w_tbl <- tibble(symbols, weights)
w_tbl
## # A tibble: 5 × 2
##   symbols weights
##   <chr>     <dbl>
## 1 AAPL       0.25
## 2 GOOG       0.25
## 3 HSY        0.2 
## 4 SBUX       0.2 
## 5 TSLA       0.1

4 Build a portfolio

# ?tq_portfolio

portfolio_returns_tbl <- asset_returns_tbl %>%

tq_portfolio(assets_col = asset,
             returns_col = returns,
             weights = w_tbl, rebalance_on = "months",
             col_rename = "returns")

portfolio_returns_tbl
## # A tibble: 60 × 2
##    date        returns
##    <date>        <dbl>
##  1 2013-01-31  0.0160 
##  2 2013-02-28  0.00758
##  3 2013-03-28  0.0243 
##  4 2013-04-30  0.0618 
##  5 2013-05-31  0.0876 
##  6 2013-06-28 -0.0117 
##  7 2013-07-31  0.0865 
##  8 2013-08-30  0.0245 
##  9 2013-09-30  0.0352 
## 10 2013-10-31  0.0691 
## # ℹ 50 more rows

5 Calculate CAPM Beta

5.1 Get market returns

market_returns_tbl <- tq_get(x    = "SPY", 
                 get  = "stock.prices",
                 from = "2012-12-31",
                 to   = "2017-12-31") %>%
    # Convert prices to returns
    tq_transmute(select     = adjusted, 
                 mutate_fun = periodReturn, 
                 period     = "monthly",
                 type       = "log",
                 col_rename = "returns") %>%
    
    slice(-1)

5.2 Join returns

portfolio_market_returns_tbl <- left_join(market_returns_tbl,
                                  portfolio_returns_tbl,
                                  by = "date") %>%
    
    set_names("date", "market_returns", "portfolio_returns")

5.3 CAPM Beta

portfolio_market_returns_tbl %>%
    
    tq_performance(Ra = portfolio_returns, 
                   Rb = market_returns,
                   performance_fun = CAPM.beta)
## # A tibble: 1 × 1
##   CAPM.beta.1
##         <dbl>
## 1       0.830

6 Plot: Scatter with regression line

portfolio_market_returns_tbl %>%
    
    ggplot(aes(x = market_returns,
               y = portfolio_returns)) +
    geom_point(color = "cornflowerblue") +
    geom_smooth(method = "lm", se = FALSE, 
                size = 1.5, color = 
tidyquant::palette_light()[3]) +
    
    labs(y = "Portfolio Returns",
         x = "Market Returns")

How sensitive is your portfolio to the market? Discuss in terms of the beta coefficient. Does the plot confirm the beta coefficient you calculated?

When the market moves 1% my portfolio moves 0.83% on average. The variation in my portfolio is wide range and cant guarantee the returns of 0.83%.